Cristhian Adames

PosSS

B/TS/R

Born1991-07-26

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	33	INTLDominican Rep…	139	.224/.323/.293	1	2	74	—
2025	34	INTLDominican Rep…	215	.294/.383/.417	3	4	130	—
2026	35	INTLTigres del Li…	19	.154/.421/.154	0	1	101	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2016-2019

Speed22

xwOBA15

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	192	168	44	5	0	0	18	26	2	7	8	262	340	292	632	30	308	14	9	290	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	151	121	28	6	0	1	18	24	3	8	3	231	345	306	651	74	276	16	12	288	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK	Casper Ghosts	—	165	145	42	9	0	1	14	24	1	4	5	290	356	372	729	83	342	15	8	322	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Asheville Tourists	—	459	399	109	17	2	8	42	74	7	2	0	273	353	386	739	113	315	16	9	328	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	485	418	117	21	7	2	47	82	3	4	2	280	357	378	735	98	338	17	10	322	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	446	389	104	19	2	3	34	78	4	13	7	267	333	350	682	82	326	17	8	298	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	INTL	Toros del Este	—	116	101	26	4	2	2	11	13	2	1	4	257	342	396	738	139	276	11	9	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	15	15	1	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	67	67	67	133		100	33	0	60	-74	-3	+0	+1	+8	+0	0.7
2014	23	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	163	145	49	12	0	1	13	25	0	5	1	338	392	441	834	103	403	15	8	363	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	380	330	88	9	4	2	29	58	2	7	9	267	330	336	666	70	312	15	8	289	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	INTL	Toros del Este	—	198	167	59	4	5	2	18	19	3	4	4	353	426	473	899	120	390	10	9	382	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	58	53	13	1	1	0	3	11	1	0	1	245	298	302	600	57	310	19	5	270	52	-3	-0	-1	+8	+1	0.5
2015	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	511	463	144	20	3	11	36	56	2	11	7	311	363	438	802	127	334	11	7	351	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	131	120	25	5	0	0	8	19	0	0	0	208	258	250	508	42	248	15	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	256	225	49	7	3	2	24	47	4	2	3	218	304	302	607	84	267	18	9	278	67	-10	-1	+4	+4	+6	0.3
2016	25	INTL	Toros del Este	—	108	97	27	4	0	0	10	6	0	1	3	278	346	320	665	41	297	6	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	362	323	85	19	6	11	29	68	0	3	4	263	324	461	785	198	294	19	8	336	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL	Toros del Este	—	182	153	43	4	3	2	22	24	1	2	2	281	375	386	761	105	320	13	12	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	498	449	121	18	3	7	38	67	1	6	3	269	328	370	698	100	299	13	8	309	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	148	135	31	8	1	0	10	21	0	2	1	230	283	304	586	74	272	14	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	24	22	7	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	318	375	364	739	45	500	33	8	338	117	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2019	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	213	184	51	14	2	8	27	39	0	2	1	277	370	505	875	228	309	18	13	381	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	25	21	6	0	2	2	3	4	0	0	0	286	375	762	1.137	476	250	16	12	452	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL	Toros del Este	—	33	27	6	2	0	1	5	6	1	1	0	222	364	407	771	185	250	18	15	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL	Toros del Este	—	101	90	20	8	0	1	11	20	0	3	0	222	307	344	651	122	275	20	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL	Toros del Este	—	86	75	16	2	0	0	8	15	1	0	0	213	294	240	534	27	267	17	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL	Toros del Este	—	32	24	8	3	0	0	7	6	1	0	1	333	500	458	958	125	444	19	22	437	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL	Toros del Este	—	160	140	33	4	0	0	19	34	0	2	2	236	327	264	591	29	311	21	12	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	139	116	26	3	1	1	14	29	3	2	3	224	323	293	616	69	284	21	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	215	187	55	14	0	3	26	40	1	4	0	294	383	417	800	123	361	19	12	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	19	13	2	0	0	0	5	5	1	1	0	154	421	154	575		250	26	26	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	353	315	70	9	4	2	29	71	5	2	4	222	298	295	593	73	281	20	8	272	70	-13	-1	+5	+21	+8	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	192	173	32	3	0	0	13	32	2	7	8	185	250	202	452	17	219	17	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	151	126	22	4	0	1	13	29	3	8	3	175	268	230	498	56	192	19	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	Casper Ghosts	—	165	150	36	7	0	1	9	34	1	4	5	240	287	307	594	67	288	21	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	459	414	98	12	2	5	27	105	7	2	0	237	295	312	606	75	289	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	485	431	112	19	5	2	34	109	3	4	2	260	318	341	659	81	321	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	446	397	103	20	2	2	26	95	4	13	7	259	311	335	646	76	314	21	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	15	15	1	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	67	67	67	133		100	33	0	58	-74	-3	+0	+1	+8	+0	0.7
2014	23	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	163	149	46	10	0	1	9	35	0	5	1	309	348	396	744	87	386	21	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	380	340	92	8	5	2	19	71	2	7	9	271	313	341	654	71	308	19	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	58	54	13	1	1	0	2	11	1	0	1	241	281	296	577	56	310	19	3	244	52	-3	-0	-1	+8	+1	0.5
2015	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	511	476	137	17	3	8	23	75	2	11	7	288	323	387	710	99	318	15	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	256	225	47	7	2	2	24	47	4	2	3	209	296	284	581	76	267	18	9	267	67	-10	-1	+4	+4	+6	0.3
2017	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	362	331	70	15	4	7	21	92	0	3	4	211	259	344	603	133	254	25	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	498	461	109	17	2	6	26	82	1	6	3	236	279	321	600	85	266	16	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	24	22	7	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	318	375	364	739	45	500	33	8	341	117	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2019	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	213	192	41	11	1	6	19	52	0	2	1	214	284	375	659	161	253	24	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	—	25	22	5	0	1	2	2	6	0	0	0	227	292	591	883	364	175	24	8	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	192	173	32	3	0	0	13	32	2	7	8	185	250	202	452	17	225	17	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	192	168	44	5	0	0	18	26	2	7	8	262	340	292	632	30	308	14	9	290	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	151	126	22	4	0	1	13	29	3	8	3	175	268	230	498	56	214	19	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	151	121	28	6	0	1	18	24	3	8	3	231	345	306	651	74	276	16	12	288	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	Casper Ghosts	—	165	150	36	7	0	1	9	34	1	4	5	240	287	307	594	67	304	21	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK RAW	Casper Ghosts	—	165	145	42	9	0	1	14	24	1	4	5	290	356	372	729	83	342	15	8	322	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	459	414	98	12	2	5	27	105	7	2	0	237	295	312	606	75	302	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	459	399	109	17	2	8	42	74	7	2	0	273	353	386	739	113	315	16	9	328	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	485	431	112	19	5	2	34	109	3	4	2	260	318	341	659	81	337	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	485	418	117	21	7	2	47	82	3	4	2	280	357	378	735	98	338	17	10	322	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	562	502	130	25	2	3	33	120	6	14	11	259	312	335	647	76	332	21	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	562	490	130	23	4	5	45	91	6	14	11	265	335	359	694	94	315	16	8	304	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	756	678	189	25	6	4	39	150	5	16	14	279	323	351	674	72	349	20	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA RAW	4 teams	—	756	657	197	25	9	5	60	107	5	16	14	300	363	388	751	88	348	14	8	325	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	700	652	183	22	4	10	31	106	3	11	8	281	316	373	689	92	322	15	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	700	636	182	26	4	11	47	86	3	11	8	286	338	392	730	105	316	12	7	322	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	364	322	67	10	3	3	34	67	4	3	6	208	292	286	577	78	254	18	9	267	67	-14	-2	+4	+4	+8	-0.0
2016	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	364	322	76	11	3	2	34	53	4	3	6	236	317	307	624	71	277	15	9	286	67	-14	-2	+4	+4	+8	-0.0
2017	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	544	495	106	23	6	11	32	138	1	5	6	214	263	352	615	137	268	25	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	544	476	128	23	9	13	51	92	1	5	6	269	341	437	778	168	303	17	9	336	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	646	598	142	22	3	8	34	107	1	8	4	237	280	324	604	87	274	17	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	646	584	152	26	4	7	48	88	1	8	4	260	318	354	672	94	293	14	7	298	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	295	265	58	13	3	8	26	74	1	3	1	219	291	381	672	162	269	25	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	295	254	70	17	4	11	37	57	1	3	1	276	370	504	874	228	312	19	13	380	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	101	90	20	8	0	1	11	20	0	3	0	222	307	344	651	122	275	20	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	101	90	20	8	0	1	11	20	0	3	0	222	307	344	651	122	275	20	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	86	75	16	2	0	0	8	15	1	0	0	213	294	240	534	27	267	17	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	86	75	16	2	0	0	8	15	1	0	0	213	294	240	534	27	267	17	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	32	24	8	3	0	0	7	6	1	0	1	333	500	458	958	125	444	19	22	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	32	24	8	3	0	0	7	6	1	0	1	333	500	458	958	125	444	19	22	437	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL MLE	Toros del Este	—	160	140	33	4	0	0	19	34	0	2	2	236	327	264	591	29	311	21	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	32	INTL RAW	Toros del Este	—	160	140	33	4	0	0	19	34	0	2	2	236	327	264	591	29	311	21	12	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	139	116	26	3	1	1	14	29	3	2	3	224	323	293	616	69	284	21	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	33	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	139	116	26	3	1	1	14	29	3	2	3	224	323	293	616	69	284	21	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	215	187	55	14	0	3	26	40	1	4	0	294	383	417	800	123	361	19	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	215	187	55	14	0	3	26	40	1	4	0	294	383	417	800	123	361	19	12	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL MLE	Tigres del Licey	—	19	13	2	0	0	0	5	5	1	1	0	154	421	154	575		250	26	26	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	35	INTL RAW	Tigres del Licey	—	19	13	2	0	0	0	5	5	1	1	0	154	421	154	575		250	26	26	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	192	175	32	3	0	0	13	32	2	7	8	183	250	200	450	17	219	17	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	151	134	22	4	0	1	13	29	3	8	3	164	268	216	484	52	192	19	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	Casper Ghosts	—	165	154	36	7	0	1	9	34	1	4	5	234	287	299	586	65	288	21	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	459	422	98	12	2	5	27	105	7	2	0	232	295	306	600	73	289	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	485	445	112	19	5	2	34	109	3	4	2	252	318	330	649	79	321	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	562	518	130	25	2	3	33	120	6	14	11	251	312	324	637	73	314	21	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	756	706	189	25	6	4	39	150	5	16	14	268	323	337	660	69	325	20	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	700	660	183	22	4	10	31	106	3	11	8	277	316	368	685	91	317	15	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	364	323	67	10	3	3	34	67	4	3	6	207	292	285	576	77	267	18	9	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	544	506	106	23	6	11	32	138	1	5	6	209	263	344	607	134	254	25	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	646	606	142	22	3	8	34	107	1	8	4	234	280	320	600	86	266	17	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	295	266	58	13	3	8	26	74	1	3	1	218	291	380	671	162	268	25	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	353	315	70	9	4	2	29	71	5	2	4	222	298	295	593	73	281	20	8	272	48	-13	-1	+5	+21	+8	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	129	17	7	4	53	131	9	4	7	222	297	297	594	74	281	20	8	272	48	-23	-2	+9	+38	+14	3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6071	5451	1335	219	35	61	415	1220	44	97	74	245	304	331	635	87	302	20	7	239	48	-13	-1	+5	+21	+8	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	143	23	4	7	44	131	5	10	8	245	303	334	637	89	302	20	7	239	48	-23	-2	+9	+38	+14	3.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 213 PAwOBA .374 → .288 (−86)K% 18.3% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.31%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	24.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.68%	÷0.980	×0.710	—	×0.992	9.11%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.62%	÷0.982	×0.900	×0.950	×0.992	16.08%
Doubles /BIP	9.66%	÷0.981	×0.810	×0.950	×0.992	7.51%
Triples /BIP	1.38%	÷1.008	×0.810	×0.950	×0.992	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	5.52%	÷1.027	×0.780	—	×0.992	4.16%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .374 → .288; ISO .228 → .170; BABIP .309 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKAZL Cubs 1 · 25 PAwOBA .457 → .325 (−132)K% 16.0% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	23.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	6.99%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.76%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	9.07%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	11.76%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	7.96%
Home runs /BIP	11.76%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	8.63%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .457 → .325; ISO .476 → .348; BABIP .250 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 498 PAwOBA .304 → .264 (−40)K% 13.5% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.45%	÷1.055	×1.290	—	—	16.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.43%	÷0.990	×0.710	—	×1.003	5.34%
HBP% /PA	0.20%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.20%
Singles /BIP	24.35%	÷1.054	×0.900	×1.037	×1.003	21.63%
Doubles /BIP	4.71%	÷0.906	×0.810	×1.037	×1.003	4.38%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷1.031	×0.810	×1.037	×1.003	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	1.83%	÷0.952	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.51%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 81, 3B 106, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .304 → .264; ISO .100 → .088; BABIP .299 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 362 PAwOBA .334 → .263 (−71)K% 18.8% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.78%	÷0.956	×1.290	—	—	25.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.01%	÷0.996	×0.710	—	×1.018	5.81%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.22%	÷1.019	×0.900	×1.026	×1.018	17.72%
Doubles /BIP	7.45%	÷1.045	×0.810	×1.026	×1.018	6.03%
Triples /BIP	2.35%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.026	×1.018	1.73%
Home runs /BIP	4.31%	÷1.202	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.85%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .334 → .263; ISO .198 → .139; BABIP .294 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 511 PAwOBA .341 → .306 (−35)K% 11.0% → 14.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.96%	÷0.960	×1.290	—	—	14.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.46%	÷1.056	×0.710	—	×1.048	4.55%
HBP% /PA	0.39%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.40%
Singles /BIP	27.03%	÷1.010	×0.900	×1.050	×1.048	26.51%
Doubles /BIP	4.91%	÷1.075	×0.810	×1.050	×1.048	4.07%
Triples /BIP	0.74%	÷0.933	×0.810	×1.050	×1.048	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.105	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 102, 2B 115, 3B 87, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .341 → .306; ISO .127 → .102; BABIP .334 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AATulsa Drillers · 380 PAwOBA .286 → .278 (−7)K% 15.3% → 18.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.26%	÷0.998	×1.220	—	—	18.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.37%	÷1.038	×0.700	—	×1.027	5.10%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.47%
Singles /BIP	26.84%	÷0.995	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	26.77%
Doubles /BIP	3.31%	÷1.087	×0.840	×1.050	×1.027	2.76%
Triples /BIP	1.47%	÷0.901	×0.940	×1.050	×1.027	1.65%
Home runs /BIP	0.74%	÷0.894	×0.800	—	×1.027	0.68%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .286 → .278; ISO .070 → .071; BABIP .312 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 163 PAwOBA .353 → .319 (−34)K% 15.3% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.34%	÷0.934	×1.290	—	—	21.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.98%	÷1.055	×0.710	—	×1.050	5.64%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.00%	÷1.005	×0.900	×1.050	×1.050	29.62%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.028	×0.810	×1.050	×1.050	8.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.050	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.83%	÷0.964	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.71%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 87, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .353 → .319; ISO .103 → .089; BABIP .403 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AATulsa Drillers · 446 PAwOBA .292 → .275 (−17)K% 17.5% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.49%	÷0.999	×1.220	—	—	21.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.62%	÷0.967	×0.700	—	×1.042	5.75%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.81%
Singles /BIP	25.72%	÷1.049	×0.920	×1.050	×1.042	24.69%
Doubles /BIP	6.11%	÷0.911	×0.840	×1.050	×1.042	6.16%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.050	×1.042	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	0.96%	÷1.239	×0.800	—	×1.042	0.65%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 110, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .292 → .275; ISO .082 → .077; BABIP .326 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .