Luis García
P
Minnesota Twins
Age 39
RHP
6'2" / 240 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10999vR 90
ERA4.05
FIP3.91
K%17.5%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%9.5%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7095.9
Whiff%
p1920.9%
K%
p108.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.397
SI (47%)
SL-1.3 (20%)
FB-1.6 (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 72 | 0 | 67 | 304 | 63 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 1.3% | 3.51 | 3.26 | +1.1 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 72 | 0 | 67 | 304 | 63 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 1.3% | 3.51 | 3.29 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 70 | 295 | 67 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 3.09 | 3.80 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 70 | 295 | 67 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 1.7% | 3.09 | 3.44 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 1 | 76 | 319 | 67 | 25 | 3 | 1% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 1.0% | 2.84 | 2.82 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 1 | 76 | 319 | 67 | 25 | 3 | 1% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 0.9% | 2.84 | 2.84 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 62 | 0 | 48 | 217 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 1.9% | 6.52 | 3.08 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 62 | 0 | 48 | 217 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 25.3% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 3.2% | 6.52 | 3.76 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 2 | 63 | 281 | 60 | 32 | 13 | 3% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 4.29 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 2 | 63 | 281 | 60 | 32 | 13 | 3% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 4.29 | 5.40 | -0.6 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 11 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 18% | 0.8 | 24.4% | 17.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 7.56 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 11 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 18% | 0.8 | 24.4% | 17.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 7.56 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 51 | 204 | 53 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 5.0% | 19.9% | 1.8% | 3.37 | 2.63 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 51 | 204 | 53 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 4.9% | 21.1% | 2.0% | 3.37 | 2.63 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 71 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 6.6% | 19.7% | 1.2% | 3.29 | 2.40 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 71 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 6.4% | 20.2% | 1.1% | 3.29 | 2.27 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 61 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 53 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 4.07 | 3.84 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 61 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 53 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 4.07 | 3.79 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 60 | 258 | 53 | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 5.1% | 15.7% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 60 | 258 | 53 | 13 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 5.0% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 3.72 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 1 | 56 | 237 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 2% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 0.9% | 3.36 | 2.99 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 1 | 56 | 237 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 2% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 0.8% | 3.36 | 2.94 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 23 | 0 | 23 | 114 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 8.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 8.10 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 39 | MLB | NYM | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 4.05 | 3.91 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 39 | MLB | NYM | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 4.05 | 3.91 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 39 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 48 | 219 | 29 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 13.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 6.02 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 39 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 46 | 195 | 29 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 15.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 6.28 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | NYM | 38 | 0 | 40 | 167 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.43 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 41 | MLB | NYM | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 42 | MLB | NYM | 28 | 0 | 29 | 124 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.15 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | NYM | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.43 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 41 | MLB | NYM | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 42 | MLB | NYM | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.15 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 709 | 4 | 687 | 2995 | 611 | 251 | 66 | 1% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 4.28 | 3.64 | +14.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 206 | 1 | 200 | 872 | 178 | 73 | 19 | 1% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 4.28 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 667 | 6 | 645 | 2808 | 597 | 237 | 58 | 1% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 4.03 | 3.51 | +14.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 207 | 2 | 200 | 870 | 185 | 73 | 18 | 1% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 4.03 | 3.51 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis García (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.89 | 21.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% | — | 4.94 | 16.3% | 7.2% | 103 | +1.05 | — | — | — |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2029 · 3.31 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.31 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.7% | .293 | 3.98 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.67 | 3.31 | 123 | 74 |
| Hector Navarro R 2024 · 3.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.41 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 70 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.44 | 26.1% | 12.0% | 1.9% | .288 | 3.51 | 25.4% | 14.2% | 167 | +0.07 | 2.67 | 295 | 66 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.72 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .258 | 4.35 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 50 | +0.63 | 3.72 | 164 | 65 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.04 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 102 | 64 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.94 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 119 | 62 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.66 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 119 | 61 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.08 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 0.9% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 219 | 61 |
| Matt Belisle R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.59 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 174 | 61 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.77 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 174 | 57 |
| Daniel Bard R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.81 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 1.7% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 200 | 53 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.88 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 44 |
| Jason Grilli R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.13 | 32.3% | 12.4% | 4.0% | .264 | 5.63 | 26.1% | 16.3% | 40 | +1.50 | 1.98 | 133 | 42 |
| Darren O'Day R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.59 | 27.7% | 8.5% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.04 | 215 | 39 |
| Logan Duran R 2024 · 3.58 FIP | 37 | SP- | 3.58 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 187 | 32 |
| Neal Cotts L 2024 · 3.24 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.24 | 25.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 156 | 31 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.62 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 199 | 30 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 29 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 37 | 18.0% | 8.7% | 1.09 | 4.52 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |