Ryan Walker — OGILVIE

Ryan Walker P San Francisco Giants

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB peak 0.8 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10294vR 86

ERA3.27

FIP3.31

K%22.3%

BB%6.5%

K-BB%15.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD6565

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4794.3

Whiff%

p1014.9%

p1014.8%

xwOBA vs

p400.323

FB+0.9 (69%)

SL (31%)

SI (65%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	12	50	12	4	0	0%	1.5	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	0.0%	1.46	2.09	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	12	50	12	4	0	0%	1.5	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	0.0%	1.46	2.13	—
2019	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	37	0	59	247	61	14	1	0%	1.6	18.3%	6.7%	11.6%	0.5%	3.36	2.67	—
2019	23	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	37	0	59	247	61	14	1	0%	1.6	24.7%	5.7%	19.0%	0.4%	3.36	1.96	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	49	205	66	10	4	0%	1.3	25.2%	6.7%	18.5%	2.8%	3.65	3.35	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	49	205	66	10	4	0%	1.3	32.2%	4.9%	27.3%	2.0%	3.65	2.09	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	53	242	65	27	1	0%	1.1	22.2%	12.9%	9.3%	0.6%	3.74	3.21	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	53	242	65	27	1	0%	1.1	26.9%	11.2%	15.7%	0.4%	3.74	2.42	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	16	82	337	101	32	8	25%	1.3	28.8%	9.3%	19.6%	2.6%	2.64	3.25	+1.3
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	16	82	337	101	32	8	25%	1.3	28.8%	9.3%	19.6%	2.6%	2.64	3.25	+1.3
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	16	82	337	101	32	8	25%	1.3	30.0%	9.5%	20.5%	2.4%	2.64	3.08	+1.4
2024	28	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	76	1	80	308	99	17	5	1%	1.1	32.1%	5.5%	26.6%	1.8%	1.91	2.05	+2.4
2024	28	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	76	1	80	308	99	17	5	1%	1.1	32.1%	5.5%	26.6%	1.8%	1.91	2.05	+2.4
2024	28	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	76	1	80	308	99	17	5	1%	1.1	32.1%	5.5%	26.6%	1.6%	1.91	2.08	+2.4
2025	29	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	68	0	61	266	60	16	4	0%	0.9	22.6%	6.0%	16.5%	1.6%	4.11	2.85	+1.2
2025	29	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	68	0	61	266	60	16	4	0%	0.9	22.6%	6.0%	16.5%	1.6%	4.11	2.85	+1.2
2025	29	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	68	0	61	266	60	16	4	0%	0.9	22.6%	6.0%	16.5%	1.5%	4.11	2.77	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			226	14	235	992	260	73	22	6%	1.0	26.2%	7.4%	18.9%	2.2%	3.56	3.04	+4.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	55	0	64	280	52	26	8	0%	1.2	16.8%	8.9%	7.9%	3.1%	4.64	4.52	+0.0
YTD	30	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	55	0	64	280	52	26	8	0%	1.2	16.8%	8.9%	7.9%	3.1%	4.64	4.52	+0.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	SF	22	0	31	125	29	10	3	0%	1.4	23.2%	8.0%	15.2%	2.4%	2.01	3.47	—
2026	30	MLB RAW	SF	33	0	33	155	23	16	5	0%	1.0	14.8%	10.3%	4.5%	3.2%	7.16	4.93	-0.1
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	SF	33	0	33	155	23	16	5	0%	1.0	14.8%	10.3%	4.5%	3.2%	7.16	4.93	-0.1
ROS	30	MLB MLE	SF	5	0	5	23	5	2	1	0%	1.1	22.3%	6.5%	15.8%	2.3%	3.27	3.31	+0.1
ROS	30	MLB CTX	SF	5	0	5	21	5	1	0	0%	1.0	22.3%	6.5%	15.8%	2.3%	3.27	3.31	+0.1
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	69	303	57	28	9	—	—	18.9%	9.1%	9.8%	2.8%	4.53	4.42	+0.2
FULL	30	MLB A+C	SF	—	—	38	161	57	28	9	—	—	35.5%	17.1%	18.4%	5.3%	8.26	5.18	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SF	58	0	60	255	55	19	7	0%	1.0	21.5%	7.4%	14.1%	2.7%	3.97	4.08	+0.3
2028	32	MLB MLE	SF	53	0	56	236	49	18	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	7.8%	12.9%	2.9%	4.19	4.34	+0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	SF	54	0	57	241	52	18	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	7.4%	14.1%	2.7%	3.97	4.08	+0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	SF	50	0	53	224	46	17	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	7.8%	12.9%	2.9%	4.19	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		337	14	351	1482	364	110	36	4%	1.0	24.5%	7.4%	17.1%	2.4%	3.72	3.29	+5.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	8	200	844	207	63	20	4%	1.0	24.5%	7.4%	17.1%	2.4%	3.72	3.29	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		397	17	461	1935	466	155	36	4%	1.2	24.1%	8.0%	16.1%	1.8%	3.28	3.09	+4.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		172	7	200	840	202	67	15	4%	1.2	24.1%	8.0%	16.1%	1.8%	3.28	3.09	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Walker (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.22	26.1%	5.6%	2.2%	—	4.20	21.1%	13.5%	116	+0.98	—	—	—
Sam Dyson R 2018 · 3.34 FIP	30	SU	3.34	20.5%	7.0%	2.0%	.264	3.21	22.1%	16.9%	62	-0.13	2.66	333	81
Adam Warren R 2018 · 3.72 FIP	30	SU	3.72	23.3%	8.5%	2.8%	.288	4.69	20.6%	9.9%	86	+0.97	2.72	392	81
Drew Storen R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SU	3.83	19.5%	7.3%	2.6%	.289	4.31	19.4%	8.4%	10	+0.48	2.36	172	81
Luis García R 2017 · 2.80 FIP	30	SU	2.80	20.3%	7.1%	0.9%	.275	4.36	22.4%	12.3%	108	+1.56	2.33	617	79
Alex Colomé R 2019 · 3.82 FIP	30	SU	3.82	22.1%	8.4%	2.8%	.211	3.78	17.8%	9.4%	134	-0.04	2.72	530	78
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	78
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	76
Daniel Hudson R 2017 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	4.01	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.06	1.68	468	76
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	76
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	76
Ryan Tepera R 2018 · 3.90 FIP	30	SU	3.90	25.9%	8.7%	3.4%	.282	3.20	28.4%	19.9%	104	-0.70	2.35	445	75
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	75
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	75
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	75
Pedro Báez R 2018 · 2.90 FIP	30	SU	2.90	26.2%	8.9%	1.6%	.280	3.37	23.7%	15.4%	87	+0.47	2.29	332	75
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	74
Chad Gaudin R 2016 · 2.67 FIP	33	SU	2.67	22.8%	6.8%	1.2%	.325	3.15	21.8%	13.9%	58	+0.48	2.02	102	74
Shane Greene R 2019 · 3.50 FIP	30	SU	3.50	25.4%	6.3%	3.2%	.232	4.26	20.5%	9.9%	86	+0.76	2.86	484	74
Gregory Infante R 2017 · 2.97 FIP	30	SU	2.97	22.8%	8.2%	1.4%	.251	4.07	22.0%	17.4%	50	+1.10	2.97	230	73
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	22.8%	6.9%	1.01	3.77
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84