Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | 12 | 7 | 25 | 96 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 58% | 2.1 | 23.4% | 2.6% | 20.8% | 0.0% | 2.88 | 1.46 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | 12 | 7 | 25 | 96 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 58% | 2.1 | 34.4% | 2.1% | 32.3% | 0.0% | 2.88 | 0.70 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 22 | 11 | 77 | 329 | 71 | 30 | 9 | 50% | 3.5 | 16.6% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.21 | 5.21 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 22 | 11 | 77 | 329 | 71 | 30 | 9 | 50% | 3.5 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 30 | 6 | 88 | 395 | 72 | 47 | 11 | 20% | 2.9 | 14.8% | 13.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.91 | 5.37 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 30 | 6 | 88 | 395 | 72 | 47 | 11 | 20% | 2.9 | 18.2% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 5.91 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 76 | 326 | 76 | 48 | 5 | 8% | 2.1 | 19.8% | 15.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 3.66 | 4.32 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 76 | 326 | 76 | 48 | 5 | 8% | 2.1 | 23.3% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 3.66 | 3.85 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 22 | 12 | 74 | 316 | 51 | 31 | 3 | 55% | 3.3 | 14.2% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 3.30 | 3.93 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 22 | 12 | 74 | 316 | 51 | 31 | 3 | 55% | 3.3 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 0.9% | 3.30 | 3.51 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 8 | 2 | 19 | 83 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 25% | 2.4 | 12.7% | 15.2% | -2.5% | 0.0% | 4.19 | 3.95 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 8 | 2 | 19 | 83 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 25% | 2.4 | 14.5% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.19 | 3.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 19 | 6 | 50 | 203 | 47 | 15 | 7 | 32% | 2.6 | 20.8% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 3.62 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 61 | 250 | 56 | 20 | 8 | — | — | 22.3% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 3.2% | 3.73 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 16 | 68 | 56 | 20 | 8 | — | — | 81.6% | 29.5% | 52.1% | 11.8% | 14.00 | 6.44 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.77 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.77 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 35 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.65 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 159 | 106 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 150 | 47 | 409 | 1748 | 298 | 198 | 43 | 31% | 2.7 | 17.0% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.16 | 4.46 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 23 | 200 | 854 | 145 | 97 | 21 | 31% | 2.7 | 17.0% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.16 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alec Gamboa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 18.4% | 11.2% | 2.3% | — | 4.84 | 18.6% | 6.9% | 23 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 74 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 73 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 72 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 72 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 72 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 70 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 69 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 68 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 68 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 67 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 67 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.84 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 324 | 66 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2024 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 66 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 65 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 16.3% | 11.8% | 1.9% | .345 | 4.05 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 169 | -0.20 | 3.03 | 299 | 65 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 63 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 63 |
| David Huff L 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 62 |
| Colt Hynes L 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.44 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .290 | 3.67 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.23 | 3.44 | 152 | 62 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.14 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 299 | 62 |