Jake Bauers — OGILVIE

Jake Bauers1B Milwaukee Brewers

Age 30 L/L 6'0" / 216 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 5.488 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION346 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 102110vR 114

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .341 / .460

PA230

HR11

SB5

K%27

BB%13

BABIP289

ISO223

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

897.0%

xwOBA

780.340

POWER55

Barrel%

7912.5

Avg EV

8091.1

Bat Spd

9076.2

EYE60

Chase%

9014.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

4027.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 616 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

581

—

wRC+

104

▶▶R

wOBA

300

321

▶R

ISO

152

179

▶▶R

BABIP

280

286

—

20.0%

30.6%

◀◀L

BB%

2.9%

12.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2018

Service 5.488 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
Totals		$1M		$10M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	188	168	36	6	1	1	9	45	3	2	0	214	267	280	546	65	276	24	5	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	188	163	46	8	2	1	14	31	3	2	0	282	350	374	724	92	331	16	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	467	421	93	12	2	5	36	119	4	5	6	221	289	295	583	74	291	25	8	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	467	406	120	18	3	8	51	80	4	5	6	296	380	414	793	118	347	17	11	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	AA	3 teams	—	610	561	139	35	1	14	39	118	3	8	6	248	300	389	689	141	288	19	6	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	AA	3 teams	—	610	541	146	34	3	13	59	88	3	8	6	270	345	416	761	146	299	14	10	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	581	514	122	22	1	11	52	119	6	10	6	237	315	348	663	111	284	20	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	581	493	135	28	1	14	73	89	6	10	6	274	374	420	794	146	305	15	13	353	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	575	511	114	26	1	10	53	128	5	20	3	223	302	337	639	114	275	22	9	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	575	486	128	31	1	13	78	112	5	20	3	263	371	412	782	148	314	19	14	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	MLB	2 teams	—	610	527	110	33	2	16	70	157	4	16	12	209	306	370	676	161	261	26	11	297	86	-10	-2	-8	-11	+17	-1.3
2018	22	MLB	2 teams	—	610	520	120	36	2	16	77	151	4	16	12	231	334	400	734	169	290	25	13	326	108	+6	-2	-8	-11	+17	0.2
2019	23	MLB	2 teams	—	526	467	105	22	1	15	53	147	3	11	5	225	308	373	680	148	292	28	10	300	88	-7	+0	-7	-6	+15	-0.5
2019	23	MLB	2 teams	—	526	461	106	23	1	15	59	141	3	11	5	230	321	382	703	152	295	27	11	316	100	+0	+0	-7	-6	+15	0.2
2021	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	315	283	59	7	0	4	30	78	2	6	1	208	289	276	565	67	274	25	10	263	59	-14	+1	+1	-6	+9	-0.9
2021	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	315	282	59	7	0	4	30	78	2	6	1	209	289	277	565	67	275	25	10	264	60	-14	+1	+1	-6	+9	-0.9
2022	26	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	244	217	31	5	1	7	24	91	1	8	3	143	231	272	503	129	198	37	10	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	244	202	37	6	1	8	39	76	1	8	3	183	318	342	660	158	242	31	16	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	2 teams	—	369	327	74	22	1	21	39	114	0	9	2	226	309	492	801	266	272	31	11	337	116	+7	+1	-4	-4	+10	1.0
2023	27	MLB	2 teams	—	369	320	77	22	1	23	46	111	0	9	2	241	336	531	867	291	286	30	12	374	144	+18	+1	-4	-4	+10	2.2
2024	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	302	60	9	2	12	39	118	5	13	1	199	301	361	662	162	279	34	11	301	88	-5	+2	-3	-6	+10	-0.2
2024	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	302	60	9	2	12	39	118	5	13	1	199	301	361	662	162	279	34	11	301	88	-5	+2	-3	-6	+10	-0.2
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	240	203	46	10	0	9	34	68	2	8	1	227	343	409	752	182	291	28	14	336	115	+4	+1	-3	-4	+7	0.5
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	240	202	47	10	0	10	35	67	2	8	1	233	351	431	782	198	294	28	15	350	126	+7	+1	-3	-4	+7	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	MIL	—	346	295	79	15	1	18	47	89	3	6	1	268	374	508	882	241	323	26	14	377	147	+18	+1	-4	-6	+10	2.0
YTD	30	MLB	MIL	—	346	295	79	15	1	18	47	89	3	6	1	268	374	508	882	241	323	26	14	387	155	+21	+1	-4	-6	+10	2.3
ROS	30	MLB	MIL	100%	230	197	47	9	1	11	29	63	2	5	1	238	341	460	801	223	285	27	13	351	127	+7	+1	+1	-4	+7	1.1
ROS	30	MLB	MIL	100%	231	197	47	9	1	11	30	63	2	5	1	239	345	462	807	223	282	27	13	341	119	+5	+1	+1	-4	+7	0.9
FULL	30	MLB	MIL	—	577	492	126	24	2	29	77	152	5	11	2	256	362	490	852	234	310	26	13	363	136	+23	+1	-3	-10	+16	2.9
TOT	30	MLB	MIL	—	576	492	126	24	2	29	76	152	5	11	2	256	361	489	850	233	309	26	13	367	139	+25	+1	-3	-10	+16	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	MIL	100%	565	483	110	21	1	27	72	157	5	11	3	228	334	443	777	215	273	28	13	342	120	+13	+1	-1	-10	+16	1.9
2028	32	MLB	MIL	100%	554	473	105	20	1	25	71	156	5	9	2	222	330	427	757	205	268	28	13	336	115	+9	+1	-2	-10	+16	1.5
2029	33	MLB	MIL	100%	478	410	88	16	1	21	61	137	4	6	1	215	322	412	734	198	261	29	13	327	109	+5	+1	-3	-9	+14	0.8
2030	34	MLB	MIL	100%	404	347	71	12	1	17	51	118	3	4	1	205	312	392	704	187	251	29	13	317	101	+0	+0	-4	-7	+11	0.1
2031	35	MLB	MIL	100%	341	292	58	10	1	14	43	102	3	2	1	199	308	384	691	185	241	30	13	305	91	-3	+0	-4	-6	+10	-0.4
2027	31	MLB	MIL	100%	565	483	109	21	1	26	72	157	5	11	3	226	332	435	767	209	270	28	13	333	113	+8	+1	-1	-10	+16	1.4
2028	32	MLB	MIL	100%	554	473	104	20	1	25	71	156	5	9	2	220	328	425	753	205	265	28	13	326	108	+5	+1	-2	-10	+16	1.0
2029	33	MLB	MIL	100%	478	410	87	16	1	21	61	137	4	6	1	212	320	410	730	198	258	29	13	318	102	+1	+1	-3	-9	+14	0.4
2030	34	MLB	MIL	100%	404	347	71	12	1	17	51	118	3	4	1	205	312	392	704	187	249	29	13	308	94	-3	+0	-4	-7	+11	-0.2
2031	35	MLB	MIL	100%	341	292	57	9	1	14	43	102	3	2	1	195	305	377	681	182	239	30	13	296	85	-6	+0	-4	-6	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4535	3906	835	165	11	172	555	1302	37	76	23	214	317	394	711	180	270	29	12	313	98	-10	+6	-37	-83	+128	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	121	24	2	25	80	187	5	11	3	216	319	400	719	184	273	29	12	313	98	-1	+1	-5	-12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	7643	6703	1468	297	19	240	805	2035	60	153	55	219	308	376	685	157	274	27	11	304	91	-80	+9	-37	-130	+217	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	125	25	2	20	68	173	5	13	5	219	308	375	683	156	275	27	10	304	91	-7	+1	-3	-11	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	188	163	46	8	2	1	14	31	3	2	0	282	350	374	724	92	331	16	7	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2014	18	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	467	406	120	18	3	8	51	80	4	5	6	296	380	414	793	118	347	17	11	354	129	+15	-1	—	—	+13	2.8
2015	19	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	285	257	71	18	0	5	21	41	1	6	3	276	333	405	738	128	307	14	7	324	106	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2015	19	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	249	217	58	14	2	6	29	33	2	2	3	267	359	433	792	166	291	13	12	353	129	+8	-1	—	—	+7	1.5
2015	19	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	76	67	17	2	1	2	9	14	0	0	0	254	342	403	745	149	294	18	12	335	115	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2016	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	581	493	135	28	1	14	73	89	6	10	6	274	374	420	794	146	305	15	13	353	129	+19	-0	—	—	+16	3.6
2017	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	575	486	128	31	1	13	78	112	5	20	3	263	371	412	782	148	314	19	14	351	127	+17	+3	—	—	+16	3.7
2018	22	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	388	323	65	22	2	11	54	104	3	6	6	201	321	384	705	183	252	27	14	313	98	-1	-1	-8	-11	+11	-1.0
2018	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	222	197	55	14	0	5	23	47	1	10	6	279	357	426	784	147	345	21	10	350	126	+7	-0	—	—	+6	1.3
2019	23	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	423	372	84	16	1	12	45	115	3	3	3	226	314	371	685	145	290	27	11	309	94	-3	-1	-7	-6	+12	-0.4
2019	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	103	89	22	7	0	3	14	26	0	8	2	247	350	427	776	180	317	25	14	348	125	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	315	282	59	7	0	4	30	78	2	6	1	209	289	277	565	67	275	25	10	264	60	-14	+1	+1	-6	+9	-0.9
2022	26	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	244	202	37	6	1	8	39	76	1	8	3	183	318	342	660	158	242	31	16	303	90	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2023	27	MLB	New York Yankees	—	272	242	49	15	0	12	27	95	0	3	2	202	283	413	696	211	268	35	10	305	92	-3	-0	-4	-4	+8	-0.4
2023	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	97	78	28	7	1	11	19	16	0	6	0	359	485	897	1.382	538	333	16	20	566	291	+21	+1	—	—	+3	2.5
2024	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	346	302	60	9	2	12	39	118	5	13	1	199	301	361	662	162	279	34	11	301	88	-5	+2	-3	-6	+10	-0.2
2025	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	218	183	43	9	0	7	32	59	2	8	1	235	355	399	754	164	305	27	15	341	119	+5	+1	-3	-4	+6	0.5
2025	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	22	19	4	1	0	3	3	8	0	0	0	211	318	737	1.055	526	125	36	14	437	193	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1962	1704	360	78	5	58	227	569	15	39	14	211	309	365	674	154	277	29	12	304	91	-20	+2	-25	-37	+56	-2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Davislast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,630 PA	13	5,630	295	19	233	315	459	-96	-102	6.3	9.8
	/162	664	35	2	233	315	459	-11.3	-12.0	0.7	pk7: 13
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	5,201	205	91	219	318	405	-93	-67	7.7	8.2
	/162	664	26	12	219	318	405	-11.9	-8.5	1.0	pk7: 9
#3Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
#4Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#5Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#6Logan Morrisonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,713 PA	9	3,713	137	23	239	325	427	-58	-79	1.7	2.6
	/162	664	24	4	239	325	427	-10.4	-14.1	0.3	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Bauers (OGILVIE)	30	40	55	50	60	256/361/489	233	309	29	11	26%	13%	139	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Álvarez 2017 · MLB	30	44→46	61→60	47→45	51	243/317/462	219	281	30	5	26%	10%	120	+3.1	234/288/432	198	282	28	3	27%	7%	100	+1.7	224/273/415	191	267	28	1	28%	6%	86	+0.6
★Kyle Schwarber 2023 · MLB	30	39→47	68→70	50→45	56	229/333/496	266	260	38	7	29%	13%	135	+4.2	223/346/485	262	257	37	5	29%	15%	137	+4.3	241/362/519	278	282	40	6	29%	15%	147	+5.0
●Jay Bruce 2017 · MLB	30	43→53	59→65	48→50	49	235/299/451	216	261	27	8	23%	8%	109	+2.4	241/309/469	228	267	30	4	22%	9%	118	+3.0	234/303/467	233	254	32	2	23%	9%	112	+1.9
●Max Kepler 2022 · MLB	29	42→52	58→60	52→50	56	228/317/440	212	239	26	9	19%	11%	115	+2.7	239/318/407	168	269	19	6	19%	10%	105	+2.1	244/318/402	158	278	18	2	19%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Rick Ankiel 2009 · MLB	30	44→48	63→65	45→50	46	248/305/476	228	273	32	5	24%	7%	119	+3.1	238/298/409	171	294	20	8	25%	7%	98	+1.6	230/291/376	146	294	15	9	26%	7%	81	+0.3
✕DJ Stewart 2023 · MLB	29	44→47	54→60	49→50	54	228/332/403	175	289	23	6	28%	12%	111	+2.5	211/314/395	184	266	25	6	29%	11%	102	+1.9	184/295/360	177	228	25	5	31%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Brad Miller 2020 · MLB	30	45→55	57→60	45→50	49	236/313/436	200	298	25	6	29%	10%	111	+2.5	234/318/436	202	295	26	7	29%	11%	114	+2.7	220/311/403	183	275	25	6	29%	11%	98	+0.7
✕Travis Shaw 2020 · MLB	30	42→52	59→60	47→45	57	229/330/437	208	262	28	6	25%	12%	119	+3.1	217/304/389	172	269	22	4	27%	10%	96	+1.5	213/295/382	170	262	22	0	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Patrick Wisdom 2023 · MLB	31	39→45	63→70	45→50	45	218/302/450	232	292	32	9	36%	9%	111	+2.5	216/296/455	239	283	33	10	35%	9%	110	+2.4	202/282/485	283	230	42	9	34%	9%	109	+1.0
●Brandon Moss 2014 · MLB	30	47→50	67→65	45	48	259/331/519	260	305	35	6	28%	9%	141	+4.5	240/324/461	221	294	28	3	28%	10%	122	+3.3	229/316/444	215	280	28	1	28%	10%	109	+2.0
✕Carlos González 2016 · MLB	30	42→52	58→60	52→55	48	231/291/430	199	258	27	8	23%	8%	101	+1.8	239/302/400	161	283	18	4	22%	8%	97	+1.5	239/304/385	147	287	15	4	22%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Seth Brown 2023 · MLB	31	43→49	62→65	51→50	48	236/305/468	232	275	30	11	27%	9%	117	+2.9	243/303/439	196	296	26	8	27%	8%	108	+2.3	244/302/433	189	296	26	5	27%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Justin Maxwell 2013 · MLB	29	43→44	58→60	52→60	45	225/302/428	203	308	26	19	35%	9%	105	+2.1	220/285/378	158	318	18	11	34%	7%	85	+0.7	209/274/345	136	307	15	8	35%	7%	69	-0.2
●Garrett Jones 2011 · MLB	30	49→53	54→60	48→50	49	257/311/440	183	286	22	11	20%	7%	111	+2.5	254/313/453	199	290	24	7	21%	8%	115	+2.8	251/311/458	207	286	25	4	21%	8%	113	+2.1
✕Jake Fraley 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	54→60	51→55	56	242/340/415	172	300	23	15	26%	12%	117	+2.9	252/328/403	151	297	17	23	20%	9%	108	+2.3	253/326/393	140	296	15	27	19%	9%	102	+1.0
●Chris Carter 2016 · MLB	29	37→47	62→65	42→45	50	212/306/435	223	266	31	4	33%	11%	109	+2.4	216/306/459	243	275	34	4	34%	10%	115	+2.8	203/306/465	262	256	38	1	37%	12%	115	+1.9
●Logan Morrison 2018 · MLB	30	44→54	62→65	46→45	56	243/335/474	231	266	31	5	22%	12%	131	+3.9	232/312/471	239	247	34	4	23%	9%	121	+3.2	216/291/456	240	216	35	1	22%	8%	105	+1.1
●Jonny Gomes 2010 · MLB	29	44→52	60	49→50	45	240/314/460	221	293	28	12	28%	8%	118	+3.0	245/328/433	188	301	24	8	26%	9%	118	+3.0	244/338/426	182	303	23	7	26%	10%	115	+2.0
✕Mike Jacobs 2010 · MLB	29	45→53	59→65	45→40	47	243/303/449	206	281	27	2	25%	8%	111	+2.5	219/278/376	157	275	20	3	27%	8%	81	+0.4	210/273/353	143	272	19	2	30%	8%	70	-0.2
●Joc Pederson 2022 · MLB	30	44→53	59→70	42→55	49	240/318/451	211	272	28	4	24%	8%	118	+3.0	260/351/477	217	302	27	5	23%	11%	137	+4.3	263/368/491	227	304	29	5	22%	12%	142	+3.3