Brett Bateman — OGILVIE

Brett BatemanOF Buffalo Bisons

Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 170 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION498 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .333 / .250

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP350

ISO53

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 52 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT52

xAVG

660.264

POWER28

Barrel%

102.1

Avg EV

1084.6

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED64

Sprint

8428.8

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%21%▲20% over 110 PA (30d) · proj 22%

BB%10%▼9% over 139 PA (45d) · proj 11%

ISO.076▲.107 over 122 AB (60d) · proj .053

HR/BB1.3%▲2.1% over 95 BBE (60d) · proj 0.7%

BABIP.319▲.419 over 93 BIP (60d) · proj .308

SLASH.254/.328/.330▲▲proj .236/.320/.290

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.6M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$14M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	104	31	3	0	0	24	19	1	11	1	298	434	327	761	29	360	15	18	359	129	+5	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	128	112	27	1	0	0	15	29	0	8	4	241	331	250	581	9	325	23	12	276	73	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	359	293	83	11	3	1	56	57	4	22	4	283	405	352	757	68	343	16	16	347	121	+9	+3	—	—	+8	2.0
2025	23	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	329	86	9	0	2	61	82	1	19	6	261	379	307	686	46	339	21	15	320	103	+1	+1	—	—	+9	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	112	29	3	0	0	16	27	1	11	1	259	357	286	642	27	329	21	12	293	84	-2	+2	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	128	116	26	1	0	0	11	36	0	8	4	224	291	233	524	9	315	28	9	236	46	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	359	310	77	9	3	1	39	76	4	22	4	248	340	306	646	58	312	21	11	290	82	-8	+3	—	—	+8	0.3
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	347	86	9	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	248	332	291	624	43	332	26	11	282	77	-11	+1	—	—	+9	-0.1
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	112	29	3	0	0	16	27	1	11	1	259	357	286	642	27	337	21	12	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	104	31	3	0	0	24	19	1	11	1	298	434	327	761	29	360	15	18	359	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	487	426	103	10	3	1	50	113	4	30	8	242	327	286	613	45	323	23	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	487	405	110	12	3	1	71	86	4	30	8	272	385	323	709	52	339	18	15	328	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	347	86	9	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	248	332	291	624	43	340	26	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	329	86	9	0	2	61	82	1	19	6	261	379	307	686	46	339	21	15	320	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	112	29	3	0	0	16	27	1	11	1	259	357	286	642	27	329	21	12	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	487	430	103	10	3	1	50	113	4	30	8	240	327	284	611	44	313	23	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	349	86	9	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	246	332	289	622	43	332	26	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	112	29	3	0	0	16	27	1	11	1	259	357	286	642	27	329	21	12	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	487	430	103	10	3	1	50	113	4	30	8	240	327	284	611	44	313	23	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	349	86	9	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	246	332	289	622	43	332	26	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	TOR	—	498	434	129	21	3	4	55	108	3	23	3	297	380	387	767	90	383	22	11	342	118	+10	+3	+0	-3	+11	2.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	TOR	—	139	122	41	5	1	2	12	28	2	3	0	336	404	443	847	107	419	20	9	373	118	+3	+1	+0	-3	+3	0.4
YTD	24	AAA RAW	TOR	—	359	293	91	18	2	3	62	67	1	20	3	311	433	416	849	106	389	19	17	385	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB RAW	TOR	—	139	122	41	5	1	2	12	28	2	3	0	336	404	443	847	107	419	20	9	373	139	+6	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.9
ROS	24	AAA MLE	TOR	100%	9	8	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		348	22	11	318	101	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	TOR	100%	9	8	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		350	22	11	315	101	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	TOR	—	148	130	43	5	1	2	13	30	2	3	0	331	400	431	831	100	414	20	9	370	117	+3	+1	-0	-1	+3	0.6
TOT	24	AAA MLE	TOR	—	507	442	131	21	3	4	56	110	3	23	3	296	379	385	764	88	383	22	11	342	117	+10	+3	-0	-3	+11	2.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	538	472	126	19	3	4	58	118	3	23	4	267	351	345	696	78	341	22	11	317	101	+0	+3	-1	-3	+12	1.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	563	494	132	20	3	7	60	123	4	24	4	267	351	362	714	95	338	22	11	322	104	+3	+3	-1	-3	+12	1.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	552	484	129	20	3	7	59	121	4	24	4	267	351	364	715	97	335	22	11	322	104	+3	+3	-1	-3	+12	1.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	541	474	124	19	2	7	58	120	4	22	4	262	347	354	701	93	334	22	11	321	103	+2	+3	-1	-3	+12	1.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	530	464	120	18	2	7	57	118	4	20	3	259	345	351	696	93	331	22	11	318	101	+1	+3	-2	-3	+11	1.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	520	456	117	18	2	6	56	117	3	18	3	257	342	344	686	88	329	22	11	314	99	-1	+2	-3	-3	+11	0.7
2033	31	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	509	446	113	17	2	6	55	116	3	15	2	253	339	341	680	87	324	23	11	309	95	-3	+2	-3	-3	+11	0.4
2034	32	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	499	439	108	16	2	5	54	116	3	12	2	246	333	326	658	80	320	23	11	302	91	-6	+2	-4	-3	+11	-0.0
2035	33	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	356	313	75	11	1	3	38	85	2	7	1	240	326	310	636	70	314	24	11	294	85	-6	+1	-5	-2	+8	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	350	307	82	12	2	3	38	76	2	15	2	267	352	349	700	81	343	22	11	313	101	+0	+2	-0	-2	+8	0.8
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	366	322	86	13	2	4	39	80	2	16	3	267	350	357	707	90	340	22	11	318	104	+2	+2	-0	-2	+8	0.9
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	359	315	85	13	2	5	39	79	2	15	2	270	354	371	725	102	337	22	11	318	104	+2	+2	-0	-2	+8	0.9
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	352	309	82	12	2	5	38	78	2	14	2	265	350	366	715	100	336	22	11	317	103	+1	+2	-1	-2	+8	0.8
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	344	302	79	12	2	4	37	77	2	13	2	262	346	354	700	93	333	22	11	314	101	+1	+2	-1	-2	+7	0.7
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	338	296	75	11	1	4	37	76	2	11	2	253	340	338	678	84	330	22	11	310	99	-1	+1	-2	-2	+7	0.4
2033	31	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	331	290	73	11	1	4	36	76	2	10	2	252	338	338	676	86	326	23	11	305	95	-2	+1	-2	-2	+7	0.2
2034	32	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	324	284	69	10	1	3	35	75	2	8	1	243	330	317	647	74	321	23	11	298	91	-4	+1	-3	-2	+7	-0.0
2035	33	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	231	203	49	7	1	2	25	55	1	4	1	241	328	315	643	74	316	24	11	291	85	-4	+0	-3	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3004	2636	682	101	14	34	325	674	17	106	17	259	344	346	690	88	333	22	11	310	95	-4	+14	-13	-18	+65	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	147	22	3	7	70	146	4	23	4	258	343	344	687	86	333	22	11	310	95	-1	+3	-3	-4	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5630	4935	1264	180	23	55	605	1277	36	225	42	256	342	335	677	79	333	23	11	308	95	-7	+22	-20	-28	+100	6.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	146	21	3	6	70	147	4	26	5	256	342	335	677	79	333	23	11	308	95	-1	+3	-3	-4	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	5.0	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
/162	664	5	24	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,308	37	118	261	342	348	-20	+20	8.4	7.9
/162	664	7	24	-4.0	+4.0	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Lew Fordlast yr '12 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	35	48	268	345	399	-10	+3	7.3	7.3
/162	664	13	18	-3.6	+1.1	2.7	pk7: 7
#4Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Chris Denorfialast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,339 PA	3.5	2,339	40	55	272	330	392	-20	+2	6.0	6.4
/162	664	11	16	-5.5	+0.5	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brett Bateman (OGILVIE)	24	35→52	25→28	60→64	50	267/351/339	72	348	1	8	22%	11%	101	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	49→52	38→40	57→60	51	227/326/306	79	286	5	25	20%	9%	86	+0.3	239/325/324	85	293	6	24	19%	9%	88	+0.5	257/354/339	82	314	4	22	17%	11%	101	+0.8
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA	25	51→61	35→40	59→60	49	233/326/293	61	318	2	30	25%	9%	83	+0.1	244/345/331	87	312	5	33	21%	10%	98	+1.2	237/348/319	82	305	5	37	21%	10%	95	+0.5
●Michael Bourn 2007 · AAA	24	52→62	39→45	64→65	45	246/299/335	89	318	5	31	24%	7%	80	-0.2	249/308/338	89	318	5	43	22%	8%	84	+0.1	276/338/379	103	351	5	38	21%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Alden Carrithers 2009 · A	24	50→60	39→30	56→55	54	236/326/326	90	294	6	18	20%	10%	90	+0.6	260/333/324	64	313	2	15	16%	9%	91	+0.6	278/352/333	55	322	1	17	12%	10%	97	+0.7
✕Adam Klein 2008 · A	24	48	35→30	57→60	60	214/334/275	61	301	2	27	26%	14%	82	+0.0	229/328/296	67	315	2	16	24%	12%	84	+0.1	240/347/298	58	324	1	17	23%	14%	90	+0.4
✕Joshua Howard 2007 · A	24	53	38→40	55→60	52	245/320/327	81	318	4	24	23%	9%	86	+0.3	215/286/276	61	310	3	16	28%	9%	63	-1.4	192/265/219	28	288	0	16	30%	9%	40	-1.7
✕Kyle Mottice 2019 · A	23	50	35→30	58→55	54	229/334/291	63	272	2	18	15%	9%	86	+0.3	232/327/292	60	284	2	18	17%	8%	83	+0.1	241/335/285	43	296	0	25	16%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Rey Fuentes 2015 · MLB	24	54→63	40	58→60	44	256/309/350	94	334	7	30	24%	6%	87	+0.4	255/298/339	84	332	6	27	24%	5%	80	-0.1	258/300/332	74	336	5	29	24%	5%	77	-0.2
●Tony Kemp 2016 · AAA	24	58→61	38→45	55	52	273/337/360	87	318	5	26	15%	8%	100	+1.3	269/325/364	95	309	6	21	14%	7%	97	+1.1	274/331/373	99	309	7	21	13%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Micah Johnson 2015 · AAA	24	55→59	40→45	59→60	44	261/305/362	101	328	6	29	22%	6%	88	+0.5	248/295/337	89	327	5	26	24%	6%	79	-0.2	244/294/326	81	329	5	28	26%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Shawn O'Malley 2012 · AA	24	51→58	36→40	56→60	49	235/308/301	66	301	2	27	21%	8%	76	-0.4	237/295/315	78	300	3	23	21%	7%	74	-0.5	260/321/357	97	322	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Matt Angle 2010 · AA	24	55→58	35→40	55→60	49	257/315/321	64	320	3	23	20%	7%	83	+0.1	245/301/307	62	307	3	26	20%	7%	74	-0.5	230/295/309	79	308	6	25	25%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2014 · AAA	23	52→57	39→40	60→55	47	246/302/340	94	315	5	27	22%	7%	82	+0.0	206/263/281	75	293	5	20	29%	7%	55	-2.0	193/250/256	63	281	5	20	31%	6%	41	-1.5
✕Kyle Wren 2015 · AA	24	56→61	36→40	61→60	45	261/302/338	77	318	2	32	18%	5%	81	-0.1	250/300/314	64	310	2	28	19%	6%	75	-0.5	250/309/325	75	320	3	25	21%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Grégor Blanco 2007 · AAA	23	55→60	37→45	54→60	52	253/328/334	82	340	3	23	25%	10%	91	+0.7	248/327/315	67	318	3	18	20%	10%	86	+0.3	272/348/379	107	328	6	19	17%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Jordan Henry 2012 · AA	24	56→63	33→30	54→55	53	260/326/300	40	325	1	24	19%	9%	82	+0.0	245/307/301	56	297	3	16	17%	8%	76	-0.4	257/318/284	27	300	0	12	13%	8%	73	-0.3
●Ender Inciarte 2015 · MLB	24	54→63	38→45	58→60	47	258/297/339	81	292	5	28	14%	5%	80	-0.2	283/328/381	98	317	7	20	12%	6%	101	+1.4	294/343/394	100	328	7	19	12%	6%	106	+1.8
✕Evan Frey 2010 · AA	24	54→58	36→40	54→55	49	251/309/323	73	304	2	21	18%	7%	81	-0.1	242/304/307	65	303	2	23	19%	8%	76	-0.4	238/305/297	59	298	1	26	19%	8%	72	-0.7
✕Zack Granite 2017 · AA	24	54→60	36→40	59→60	48	254/299/324	70	291	3	30	14%	6%	77	-0.3	247/291/321	74	279	4	24	12%	6%	74	-0.6	242/285/309	66	271	3	22	12%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Robbie Podorsky 2019 · A	24	58	38→40	60	44	275/319/362	87	326	3	23	16%	4%	93	+0.8	245/294/333	88	300	5	23	19%	6%	78	-0.3	239/290/324	85	292	5	36	19%	6%	72	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps