Brett Bateman

OF Buffalo Bisons
Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.302 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AA/A+2 orgs487.272/.385/.32313078—.249/.333/.294
202523AACHC396.261/.379/.30721980—.251/.335/.297
202624AAATOR359.311/.433/.416320120—.297/.388/.384
202624MLBTOR181.329/.404/.424231350.9
2027PROJ45% MLB25MLBTOR70.253/.343/.32713940.1
2028PROJ53% MLB26MLBTOR260.255/.343/.340312970.5
2029PROJ56% MLB27MLBTOR268.253/.341/.341312960.5
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.302First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$2M2031Arb-2$3M2032Arb-3$3M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2026
Speed84
xwOBA53
Barrel%10
Avg EV10
Form.269/.363/.358 ▲▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .252/.339/.325
CompsJacob Hurtubise (age 25) · Ji Hwan Bae (age 25) · Travis Jankowski (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†94
AVG/OBP/SLG.253 / .343 / .327
PA70
HR1
K%23
BB%11
BABIP328
ISO81
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.50.40.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT
xAVG
710.268
POWER
Barrel%
101.6
Avg EV
1084.7
SPEED
Sprint
8428.8
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%19%▲▲18% over 102 PA (60d) · proj 22%
BB%12%▲14% over 102 PA (60d) · proj 11%
ISO.089▲.118 over 85 AB (60d) · proj .074
HR/BB1.8%▲3.0% over 67 BBE (60d) · proj 1.1%
BABIP.332▲.400 over 65 BIP (60d) · proj .327
SLASH.269/.363/.358▲▲proj .252/.339/.325
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.302 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2030Arb-1$2M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-2$3M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-3$3M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $6M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 130104 31300 24191 111 298434327761 29360 1518 359 89 — — — — — —
202422 AATennessee Smokies — 128112 27100 15290 84 241331250581 9325 2312 276 49 — — — — — —
202422 A+South Bend Cubs — 359293 831131 56574 224 283405352757 68343 1616 347 88 — — — — — —
202523 AAKnoxville Smokies — 396329 86902 61821 196 261379307686 46339 2115 320 80 — — — — — —
202624 MLBToronto Blue Jays — 181158 52712 18352 30 329404424829 95410 1910 369 135 +8 +1 +0 -3 +4 0.9
202624 AAABuffalo Bisons — 359293 911823 62671 203 311433416849 106389 1917 385 120 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 181158 52712 18352 30 329404424829 95410 1910 369 136 +8 +1 +0 -3 +4 0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 130111 29300 17261 111 261364288653 27327 2013 300 89 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 128116 26100 11360 84 224291233524 9322 289 241 49 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 359310 80931 39724 224 258348316665 58318 2011 298 88 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 396347 871002 431011 196 251335297632 46337 2611 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays — 181158 52712 18352 30 329404424829 95410 1910 368 135 +8 +1 +0 -3 +4 0.9
202624 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons — 359310 921722 45801 203 297388384772 87387 2213 346 120 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 130111 29300 17261 111 261364288653 27337 2013 300 89 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 130104 31300 24191 111 298434327761 29360 1518 359 89 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 487425 1061031 511094 308 249335294630 45329 2210 283 78 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAW2 teams — 487405 1101231 71864 308 272385323709 52339 1815 328 78 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 396347 871002 431011 196 251335297632 46344 2611 286 80 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAWKnoxville Smokies — 396329 86902 61821 196 261379307686 46339 2115 320 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 540468 1442434 631153 233 308393397791 90397 2112 353 125 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAW2 teams — 540451 1432535 801023 233 317423419842 102397 1915 379 125 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 130111 29300 17261 111 261364288653 27327 2013 300 89 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 487429 1061031 511094 308 247335291627 44319 2210 283 78 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 396349 871002 431011 196 249335295630 46337 2611 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 540469 1442434 631153 233 307393397790 90395 2112 353 125 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 487429 1061031 511094 308 247335291627 44319 2210 283 78 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 396349 871002 431011 196 249335295630 46337 2611 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 540469 1442434 631153 233 307393397790 90395 2112 353 125 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLETOR 45% 380332 841323 43842 173 252342326668 74327 2211 307 94 -3 +2 +1 -2 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXTOR 45% 7062 15201 8160 31 253343327670 74328 2311 308 94 -1 +0 +0 -0 +2 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLETOR 53% 488427 1081725 551083 224 254342339681 85325 2211 312 97 -2 +3 +1 -3 +11 1.0
202927 MLB MLETOR 56% 475416 1041625 531063 214 252340340680 87323 2211 311 96 -2 +3 +1 -3 +10 0.9
203028 MLB MLETOR 58% 462405 1011625 511043 184 250337338675 88320 2311 309 95 -3 +2 +0 -3 +10 0.7
203129 MLB MLETOR 58% 451396 971525 491033 163 246332334666 88316 2311 305 92 -4 +2 -1 -3 +10 0.4
203230 MLB MLETOR 58% 438386 941525 471012 123 243328329658 87313 2311 301 90 -5 +1 -1 -3 +9 0.2
203331 MLB MLETOR 58% 286253 60913 30671 61 238323319642 81310 2310 295 86 -5 +1 -2 -2 +6 -0.2
202826 MLB CTXTOR 53% 260228 58913 29581 122 255343340683 85326 2211 312 97 -1 +2 +1 -2 +6 0.5
202927 MLB CTXTOR 56% 268234 59913 30602 122 253341341682 88324 2211 312 96 -1 +2 +1 -2 +6 0.5
203028 MLB CTXTOR 58% 269235 59913 30612 112 251338339678 89322 2311 310 95 -2 +1 +0 -2 +6 0.4
203129 MLB CTXTOR 58% 261230 57913 28601 92 247333335668 88317 2311 305 92 -2 +1 -0 -2 +6 0.2
203230 MLB CTXTOR 58% 253223 54813 27581 72 244329331660 87314 2311 302 90 -3 +1 -1 -2 +5 0.1
203331 MLB CTXTOR 58% 165146 35512 17391 31 239324320644 81311 2410 295 86 -3 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16571454 37456719 17937110 5711 257343345687 87331 2211 314 94 -4 +7 -1 -12 +36 2.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650570 1472237 701464 224 258343344687 86333 2211 314 94 -2 +3 -0 -5 +14 1.0
Career— MLE — 43083769 9641401836 47797425 18538 256343331674 75333 2311 307 94 -14 +13 -2 -20 +64 4.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 1452135 721474 286 255343329672 74333 2311 307 94 -3 +3 -0 -4 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAABuffalo Bisons · 359 PAwOBA .379 → .346 (−33)K% 18.7% → 22.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.66%÷1.000×1.200——22.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.27%÷1.000×0.690—×1.04812.49%
HBP% /PA0.28%—×0.940—×1.0480.27%
Singles /BIP30.09%÷1.000×0.930×1.044×1.04830.61%
Doubles /BIP7.96%÷1.000×0.830×1.044×1.0487.23%
Triples /BIP0.88%÷1.000×0.970×1.044×1.0480.94%
Home runs /BIP1.33%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0480.97%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .379 → .346; ISO .106 → .096; BABIP .389 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAKnoxville Smokies · 396 PAwOBA .316 → .286 (−30)K% 20.7% → 25.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.71%÷0.994×1.220——25.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.40%÷0.988×0.680—×1.02710.89%
HBP% /PA0.25%—×0.840—×1.0270.22%
Singles /BIP30.36%÷0.996×0.920×1.039×1.02729.93%
Doubles /BIP3.64%÷0.910×0.910×1.039×1.0273.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880×1.039×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.81%÷0.911×0.800—×1.0270.73%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .316 → .286; ISO .046 → .046; BABIP .339 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+South Bend Cubs · 359 PAwOBA .343 → .298 (−45)K% 15.9% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.88%÷1.005×1.270——20.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.60%÷1.021×0.710—×1.01210.98%
HBP% /PA1.11%—×0.790—×1.0120.89%
Singles /BIP28.81%÷1.009×0.920×1.025×1.01227.26%
Doubles /BIP4.66%÷1.034×0.810×1.025×1.0123.79%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷0.979×0.850×1.025×1.0121.14%
Home runs /BIP0.42%÷0.909×0.800—×1.0120.38%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 96, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .343 → .298; ISO .068 → .060; BABIP .343 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AATennessee Smokies · 128 PAwOBA .269 → .241 (−28)K% 22.7% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.66%÷0.975×1.220——28.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.72%÷0.959×0.680—×1.0428.66%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP31.33%÷1.015×0.920×1.050×1.04231.08%
Doubles /BIP1.20%÷1.059×0.910×1.050×1.0421.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.985×0.880×1.050×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.854×0.800—×1.0420.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .269 → .241; ISO .009 → .008; BABIP .325 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 130 PAwOBA .354 → .300 (−54)K% 14.6% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.62%÷1.011×1.360——19.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.46%÷0.967×0.690—×1.01513.37%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.780—×1.0150.61%
Singles /BIP32.94%÷1.046×0.920×1.021×1.01530.01%
Doubles /BIP3.53%÷0.975×0.830×1.021×1.0153.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.021×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.957×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .354 → .300; ISO .029 → .026; BABIP .360 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).