Jacob Hurtubise — OGILVIE

Jacob HurtubiseLF Biloxi Shuckers

Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION180 act + 120 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .328 / .265

PA120

HR0

SB6

K%23

BB%10

BABIP293

ISO49

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

807.9%

xwOBA

150.267

POWER25

Avg EV

1084.0

Bat Spd

1066.4

EYE60

Chase%

8025.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

3726.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	414	353	80	10	3	0	40	101	17	39	10	227	334	272	606	45	315	24	10	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	414	332	94	12	3	0	58	73	17	39	10	283	412	337	750	54	360	18	14	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	164	39	2	2	1	15	52	12	16	3	238	346	293	638	55	339	27	8	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	156	39	2	2	1	23	41	12	16	3	250	387	308	695	58	330	21	12	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	564	469	138	13	9	8	61	106	25	56	9	294	404	412	815	117	361	19	11	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	564	432	137	15	10	7	93	86	25	56	9	317	459	447	906	130	378	15	16	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	3 teams	—	317	274	65	8	3	2	25	72	10	18	1	237	324	310	634	73	313	23	8	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	3 teams	—	317	260	66	8	3	3	37	63	10	18	1	254	366	342	708	88	323	20	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	222	176	25	5	1	0	22	55	15	13	0	142	291	182	473	40	200	25	10	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	222	162	25	4	1	0	34	44	15	13	0	154	347	191	539	37	205	20	15	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AA	MIL	—	180	153	38	4	4	0	18	41	7	10	2	248	354	327	681	78	336	23	10	299	87	-3	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.2
YTD	28	AA	MIL	—	180	145	39	4	4	0	26	33	7	10	2	269	404	352	756	83	345	18	14	350	126	+5	+1	+0	-2	+5	1.0
ROS	28	AA	MIL	2%	120	102	22	3	1	0	12	28	5	6	2	216	328	265	592	49	296	23	10	291	81	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						294	0	0	259	56	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AA	MIL	—	182	155	38	4	4	0	18	41	7	10	2	245	350	323	673	77	330	23	10	298	86	-3	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.2
TOT	28	AA	MIL	—	300	255	60	7	5	0	30	69	12	16	4	235	343	302	645	67	319	23	10	296	84	-5	+2	+0	-3	+8	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIL	23%	314	269	59	8	3	2	30	75	12	14	4	219	325	294	618	74	291	24	10	289	79	-7	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	MIL	35%	336	289	63	9	3	3	32	80	12	13	3	218	321	301	622	83	289	24	10	288	79	-8	+1	-1	-4	+10	-0.2
2029	31	MLB	MIL	42%	321	276	60	8	3	3	31	78	11	11	3	217	321	301	621	83	287	24	10	286	77	-8	+1	-2	-3	+9	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	MIL	23%	71	61	13	2	1	0	7	17	3	3	1	213	324	279	603	66	289	24	10	260	57	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	30	MLB	MIL	35%	117	101	22	3	1	1	11	28	4	5	1	218	319	297	616	79	287	24	9	261	58	-6	+1	-0	-1	+3	-0.3
2029	31	MLB	MIL	42%	134	115	24	3	1	1	13	32	5	5	1	209	316	278	594	70	285	24	10	259	56	-7	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	407	345	70	9	4	2	38	101	17	15	3	203	312	270	582	67	278	25	9	255	53	-21	+2	-1	-9	+12	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	551	111	14	6	3	61	161	27	24	5	201	311	265	576	64	276	25	9	255	53	-34	+3	-2	-15	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	2802	2372	551	66	28	19	268	647	119	186	35	232	340	308	648	75	308	23	10	296	85	-48	+23	-4	-30	+79	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	550	127	15	6	4	62	150	28	43	8	231	339	302	641	71	307	23	10	296	85	-11	+5	-1	-7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	414	332	94	12	3	0	58	73	17	39	10	283	412	337	750	54	360	18	14	350	126	+12	+4	—	—	+12	2.8
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	194	156	39	2	2	1	23	41	12	16	3	250	387	308	695	58	330	21	12	327	109	+2	+2	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	137	100	39	4	0	1	29	14	5	12	3	390	545	460	1.005	70	437	10	21	452	204	+16	+1	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	318	242	74	7	10	6	48	49	19	33	6	306	450	492	942	186	360	15	15	413	174	+27	+4	—	—	+9	4.1
2023	25	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	109	90	24	4	0	0	16	23	1	11	0	267	380	311	691	44	353	21	15	322	105	+1	+2	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	68	54	10	1	1	0	6	18	3	2	0	185	302	241	542	56	270	26	9	243	44	-4	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.5
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	234	192	52	5	2	2	31	43	6	15	1	271	385	349	734	78	340	18	13	337	116	+4	+3	—	—	+7	1.4
2024	26	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	15	14	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	286	333	643	976	357	273	13	0	419	179	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	15	12	1	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	83	267	83	350		167	40	7	205	15	-1	+0	+0	-2	+0	-0.3
2025	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	207	150	24	4	1	0	33	38	13	13	0	160	354	200	554	40	207	18	16	273	67	-8	+3	—	—	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	83	66	11	1	1	0	7	24	5	2	0	167	295	212	507	45	256	29	8	236	39	-6	+0	+0	-6	+2	-0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	7	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	3	29	239	310	313	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA	8	2,389	17	24	246	315	322	+2	+9	2.5	2.7
	/162	664	5	7	246	315	322	+0.5	+2.5	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	395	2	14	210	311	284	-4	+1	-0.4	-0.3
	/162	664	4	24	210	311	284	-7.1	+1.4	-0.7	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Hurtubise (OGILVIE)	28	35	25	60	60	235/343/302	67	319	0	16	23%	10%	84	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	234/293/293	59	311	3	29	25%	7%	64	-0.8	216/281/277	61	306	3	26	28%	8%	56	-1.3	194/266/220	26	288	0	37	30%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→40	57→60	49	216/288/311	95	273	8	35	23%	9%	68	-0.5	227/294/306	79	301	6	35	25%	8%	69	-0.4	226/297/286	59	306	4	40	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Evan Frey 2014 · AAA	28	47→57	34→40	54→55	50	219/282/274	54	276	2	25	20%	8%	55	-1.4	211/268/290	79	274	6	15	23%	7%	53	-1.5	171/232/229	58	227	3	6	24%	7%	20	-1.2
✕Darin Mastroianni 2014 · MLB	28	48→58	38→40	61→60	47	225/288/303	78	289	5	34	23%	7%	65	-0.7	222/273/296	74	283	5	24	22%	6%	57	-1.2	221/270/284	63	280	4	24	21%	5%	49	-1.3
✕Quintin Berry 2014 · MLB	29	47→57	38→40	63→65	46	219/290/294	75	298	5	38	26%	8%	64	-0.8	227/294/295	68	305	4	33	25%	8%	66	-0.6	229/297/285	56	312	3	37	25%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Coby Smith 2009 · AAA	28	48	38→40	53→60	49	228/295/309	81	270	5	23	17%	7%	70	-0.3	229/281/325	96	263	9	26	16%	6%	68	-0.5	231/277/323	92	257	9	36	14%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Andrew Aplin 2018 · AAA	27	44→54	40	52→55	50	212/286/306	94	274	7	19	24%	9%	66	-0.6	213/278/324	111	270	10	9	24%	8%	67	-0.5	219/280/335	116	267	9	3	20%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Jonny Tucker 2011 · AAA	28	50→54	38→40	54→55	50	233/290/316	83	273	4	23	16%	7%	69	-0.4	215/268/298	83	259	5	19	18%	6%	56	-1.3	221/261/311	90	255	5	22	15%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Nathan Haynes 2007 · AAA	27	49	41→40	55	42	232/282/342	110	315	7	25	28%	6%	72	-0.2	252/296/347	95	333	6	25	25%	5%	79	+0.3	267/307/348	81	350	5	28	24%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Kean Wong 2023 · MLB	28	49→59	38→45	58→55	42	232/280/307	76	315	5	29	27%	6%	62	-0.9	234/292/333	99	312	9	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	247/317/338	91	316	11	15	24%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Mickey McDonald 2022 · AAA	27	46→48	37→30	57→50	43	212/279/285	73	301	4	17	29%	7%	57	-1.2	229/301/318	89	316	7	16	27%	8%	76	+0.0	233/314/304	71	326	5	16	27%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Roemon Fields 2019 · AAA	28	49→55	35→30	58→60	42	228/275/290	62	302	3	38	24%	5%	56	-1.3	223/277/301	78	285	5	24	22%	6%	60	-1.0	214/273/273	59	266	3	24	20%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Nook Logan 2007 · MLB	27	51	37→40	57→60	47	240/293/319	79	300	4	27	21%	7%	71	-0.3	244/292/335	91	324	5	27	24%	6%	75	-0.0	260/300/338	78	351	0	39	25%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	42→45	59→60	40	217/273/330	112	295	9	29	29%	6%	66	-0.6	207/268/318	111	304	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	148/223/226	79	244	8	18	40%	7%	18	-1.1
✕Matt Angle 2014 · MLB	28	46→56	39→40	57→60	43	218/281/304	87	302	7	22	29%	7%	63	-0.9	205/265/278	73	300	5	18	31%	7%	50	-1.8	187/249/226	39	279	1	18	31%	7%	26	-1.3
✕Mike Rodriguez 2008 · AAA	27	50→53	39→40	56→55	48	235/286/329	94	271	6	22	16%	6%	70	-0.3	224/265/319	95	278	7	14	21%	5%	59	-1.1	220/255/305	85	275	5	11	22%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Adam Stern 2008 · MLB	28	48→56	40	56→55	41	233/269/331	98	294	7	24	23%	4%	64	-0.8	244/286/335	91	299	6	21	19%	5%	72	-0.2	259/307/347	88	309	5	21	17%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	54→55	46	211/276/296	85	280	5	20	25%	8%	59	-1.1	224/282/323	99	296	7	15	25%	7%	68	-0.5	244/287/356	113	304	6	17	21%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Chris Getz 2012 · MLB	28	53→56	35→40	57→60	53	248/308/304	56	278	2	29	12%	7%	73	-0.1	245/296/318	73	273	3	26	11%	6%	72	-0.2	247/293/314	66	276	2	31	10%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB	28	39→41	42→45	56→60	40	198/247/301	103	257	10	27	27%	5%	47	-1.9	211/266/332	121	265	13	21	25%	6%	64	-0.8	196/270/340	144	222	16	30	20%	8%	66	-0.1