Jacob Hurtubise — OGILVIE

Jacob HurtubiseLF Nashville Sounds

Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs AAA BB +10%HR +7% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .335 / .314

PA250

HR3

SB14

K%22

BB%10

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

25→25

SPD

60→60

EYE

54↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-3M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	414	353	84	10	3	0	40	100	17	39	10	.238	.344	.283	.627	.045	.329	24	10	.287	78	-10	+4	+0	-4	+12	0.1
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	194	164	38	2	2	1	15	53	12	16	3	.232	.340	.287	.627	.055	.333	27	8	.281	73	-6	+2	+0	-2	+5	-0.0
2023	25	AA	3 teams	564	468	135	13	7	8	62	103	25	56	9	.288	.400	.397	.797	.109	.351	18	11	.358	132	+21	+8	+0	-6	+16	3.9
2024	26	AAA	3 teams	317	274	64	7	3	2	25	72	10	18	1	.234	.320	.303	.623	.069	.308	23	8	.280	72	-10	+3	+0	-3	+9	-0.1
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	222	175	25	4	1	0	23	55	15	13	0	.143	.296	.177	.473	.034	.202	25	10	.232	36	-16	+3	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	43	37	6	0	0	0	3	16	2	3	1	.162	.262	.162	.424	.000	.286	37	7	.201	12	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	207	176	40	5	2	2	20	48	9	11	3	.227	.337	.312	.649	.085	.291	23	10	.296	85	-4	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.0
TOT	28	MLB	MIL	250	213	46	5	2	2	23	64	11	14	4	.216	.324	.286	.610	.070	.297	26	9	.280	72	-8	+1	-1	-3	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	MIL	314	267	60	8	2	4	31	64	13	16	5	.225	.334	.315	.649	.090	.278	20	10	.300	88	-4	+1	-2	-3	+9	-0.0
2028	30	MLB 33%	MIL	336	287	64	9	2	4	33	70	13	16	5	.223	.330	.310	.640	.087	.277	21	10	.298	87	-5	+1	-3	-4	+10	-0.1
2029	31	MLB 43%	MIL	321	275	61	9	2	4	31	69	12	14	4	.222	.327	.313	.640	.091	.277	21	10	.296	85	-6	+1	-4	-3	+9	-0.3
2030	32	MLB 52%	MIL	302	259	57	8	2	4	29	66	11	12	3	.220	.324	.313	.637	.093	.275	22	10	.292	81	-6	+1	-4	-3	+9	-0.4
2031	33	MLB 64%	MIL	272	234	51	7	2	3	26	61	10	10	3	.218	.322	.303	.626	.085	.274	22	10	.286	77	-7	+1	-5	-3	+8	-0.7
2032	34	MLB 73%	MIL	229	197	40	5	1	2	22	54	8	7	2	.203	.308	.269	.577	.066	.272	24	10	.280	72	-7	+1	-6	-2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3692	3129	719	87	29	34	357	815	155	228	48	.230	.338	.309	.647	.079	.297	22	10	.297	85	-61	+26	-25	-40	+105	0.6
/ 162G	—			650	551	126	15	5	6	63	143	27	40	8	.229	.337	.307	.644	.078	.296	22	10	.297	85	-11	+5	-4	-7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	414	332	94	12	3	0	58	73	17	39	10	.283	.412	.337	.750	.054	.360	18	14	.350	126	+12	+4	—	—	+12	2.8
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	194	156	39	2	2	1	23	41	12	16	3	.250	.387	.308	.695	.058	.330	21	12	.327	109	+2	+2	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	137	100	39	4	0	1	29	14	5	12	3	.390	.545	.460	1.005	.070	.437	10	21	.452	204	+16	+1	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	318	242	74	7	10	6	48	49	19	33	6	.306	.450	.492	.942	.186	.360	15	15	.413	174	+27	+4	—	—	+9	4.1
2023	25	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	109	90	24	4	0	0	16	23	1	11	0	.267	.380	.311	.691	.044	.353	21	15	.322	105	+1	+2	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	68	54	10	1	1	0	6	18	3	2	0	.185	.302	.241	.542	.056	.270	26	9	.243	44	-4	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.5
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	234	192	52	5	2	2	31	43	6	15	1	.271	.385	.349	.734	.078	.340	18	13	.337	116	+4	+3	—	—	+7	1.4
2024	26	A+	Dayton Dragons	15	14	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	.286	.333	.643	.976	.357	.273	13	0	.419	179	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	15	12	1	0	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	.083	.267	.083	.350	.000	.167	40	7	.205	15	-1	+0	+0	-2	+0	-0.3
2025	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	207	150	24	4	1	0	33	38	13	13	0	.160	.354	.200	.554	.040	.207	18	16	.273	67	-8	+3	—	—	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			83	66	11	1	1	0	7	24	5	2	0	.167	.295	.212	.507	.045	.256	29	8	.236	39	-6	+0	+0	-6	+2	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Hurtubise (OGILVIE)	28	35	25	60	60	.226/.335/.314	.088	.291	3	13	22%	10%	91	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Duncan 2007 · MLB	28	49→46	42→45	54→60	45	.236/.299/.341	.105	.304	10	22	25%	7%	80	+0.4	.227/.292/.310	.083	.297	7	19	24%	7%	69	-0.4	.199/.273/.205	.006	.269	0	18	24%	9%	31	-0.8
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→45	57→60	50	.214/.290/.309	.095	.272	8	34	23%	9%	69	-0.4	.228/.296/.310	.082	.303	6	36	25%	8%	71	-0.3	.228/.300/.289	.061	.309	4	40	25%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Travis Jankowski 2019 · MLB	28	52→61	38→40	56→65	51	.244/.319/.319	.075	.319	5	31	24%	10%	82	+0.5	.244/.318/.321	.077	.315	5	24	22%	9%	83	+0.6	.242/.344/.306	.063	.304	2	35	18%	13%	84	+0.3
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	50→52	42→45	59→60	44	.240/.325/.355	.115	.286	9	28	19%	5%	96	+1.5	.227/.313/.349	.122	.273	11	25	20%	6%	90	+1.0	.211/.301/.325	.114	.266	11	36	23%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→42	36→30	55→60	45	.233/.290/.294	.062	.308	3	28	24%	7%	63	-0.8	.217/.283/.274	.057	.307	3	27	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.194/.269/.217	.023	.287	0	37	29%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Delino DeShields 2021 · MLB	28	49→53	39→45	57→65	51	.230/.306/.317	.088	.297	6	28	23%	10%	77	+0.1	.217/.307/.298	.081	.305	6	28	28%	11%	73	-0.1	.205/.307/.268	.062	.305	4	31	30%	12%	62	-0.5
✕Nathan Haynes 2007 · AAA	27	48	41→40	55	42	.228/.280/.337	.109	.310	7	25	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.252/.297/.349	.097	.334	6	25	25%	5%	80	+0.4	.268/.307/.349	.081	.350	5	28	24%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Grégor Blanco 2012 · MLB	28	49→59	38→45	58→60	53	.230/.306/.315	.085	.290	5	25	21%	10%	76	+0.1	.244/.323/.344	.100	.308	7	26	21%	10%	91	+1.1	.264/.341/.367	.103	.318	6	19	17%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Jordan Schafer 2014 · MLB	27	47→53	39→50	59→65	49	.223/.294/.309	.086	.294	6	36	25%	9%	69	-0.4	.224/.291/.313	.089	.294	7	39	24%	9%	69	-0.4	.227/.298/.291	.064	.288	2	75	20%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Chris Getz 2012 · MLB	28	52→56	35→40	58→60	53	.242/.303/.301	.059	.271	3	29	12%	7%	71	-0.3	.238/.290/.307	.069	.265	3	26	11%	7%	66	-0.6	.241/.288/.304	.063	.269	2	31	10%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Matt Young 2011 · AAA	28	55→58	39→40	59→60	53	.261/.328/.358	.097	.297	4	29	14%	8%	96	+1.5	.243/.315/.321	.078	.295	3	24	17%	9%	82	+0.5	.233/.313/.296	.063	.290	3	23	19%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2011 · MLB	28	51→57	37→40	56→60	55	.239/.311/.315	.075	.279	5	24	16%	9%	78	+0.2	.239/.301/.323	.084	.291	4	26	18%	8%	76	+0.0	.242/.298/.311	.070	.300	2	27	19%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Andrew Aplin 2018 · AAA	27	45→55	40	54→55	50	.215/.289/.306	.091	.277	7	21	24%	9%	66	-0.6	.208/.276/.313	.105	.265	9	10	24%	8%	64	-0.8	.208/.275/.310	.102	.256	8	3	21%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Quintin Berry 2013 · MLB	28	50→58	38→40	62→65	46	.233/.303/.314	.081	.319	6	37	27%	8%	75	-0.0	.223/.295/.294	.071	.303	5	34	26%	8%	66	-0.6	.228/.296/.280	.052	.311	3	37	26%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	42	46→40	57→55	48	.206/.304/.336	.130	.293	14	25	32%	10%	82	+0.5	.214/.310/.321	.107	.288	9	17	26%	10%	81	+0.4	.206/.316/.294	.088	.270	5	13	23%	12%	76	+0.0
✕Sam Haggerty 2022 · MLB	28	48→43	43→50	59→65	45	.226/.296/.342	.115	.316	9	25	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.245/.319/.388	.143	.313	13	35	24%	8%	101	+1.8	.253/.332/.394	.141	.318	11	42	22%	9%	103	+1.1
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	50→49	43→45	53→55	49	.235/.322/.351	.115	.318	11	20	27%	9%	93	+1.3	.213/.284/.318	.105	.330	10	21	35%	8%	68	-0.5	.152/.242/.192	.040	.277	4	35	42%	11%	16	-0.8
✕Tyler Saladino 2016 · MLB	27	47→46	42→45	58→55	45	.229/.281/.331	.102	.277	9	25	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.235/.288/.341	.106	.290	10	20	22%	6%	76	+0.0	.228/.288/.326	.099	.289	10	17	24%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Drew Avans 2023 · AAA	27	49→53	42→45	64→60	45	.230/.302/.347	.117	.332	8	33	31%	8%	82	+0.5	.222/.293/.323	.101	.317	8	28	30%	9%	73	-0.1	.223/.294/.314	.091	.311	8	30	29%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Brian Bogusevic 2012 · MLB	28	50→55	42→45	56→55	46	.237/.297/.343	.106	.310	8	22	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.237/.310/.360	.123	.303	11	20	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.387	.128	.326	13	19	23%	7%	96	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)