Yoyner Fajardo
OF Arkansas Travelers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 590 | .300/.373/.436 | 9 | 53 | 99 | — | .274/.331/.392 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 407 | .267/.355/.359 | 4 | 21 | 80 | — | .264/.329/.342 |
| 2025 | 26 | AASEA | 165 | .248/.311/.302 | 0 | 11 | 55 | — | .234/.280/.286 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 28 | MLBSEA | 2 | .216/.275/.289 | 0 | 0 | 62 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 29 | MLBSEA | 35 | .215/.274/.289 | 0 | 1 | 61 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | — | 256 | 222 | 69 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 29 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 311 | 402 | 455 | 857 | 144 | 352 | 11 | 11 | 383 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 119 | 104 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 337 | 405 | 365 | 771 | 29 | 365 | 9 | 8 | 347 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 75 | 65 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 246 | 347 | 292 | 639 | 46 | 308 | 17 | 11 | 302 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 78 | 68 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 309 | 397 | 471 | 868 | 162 | 385 | 19 | 10 | 387 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 304 | 79 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 64 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 260 | 342 | 359 | 701 | 99 | 311 | 19 | 10 | 319 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 527 | 469 | 143 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 84 | 4 | 50 | 13 | 305 | 377 | 446 | 822 | 141 | 354 | 16 | 9 | 365 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 63 | 54 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 344 | 352 | 696 | 93 | 292 | 11 | 11 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 114 | 105 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 229 | 274 | 362 | 636 | 133 | 294 | 30 | 5 | 282 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 265 | 220 | 66 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 37 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 300 | 402 | 373 | 774 | 73 | 359 | 14 | 13 | 354 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 28 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 130 | 231 | 217 | 448 | 87 | 188 | 29 | 11 | 197 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 165 | 149 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 248 | 311 | 302 | 613 | 54 | 316 | 19 | 8 | 281 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates 1 | — | 256 | 231 | 47 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 203 | 281 | 281 | 563 | 78 | 241 | 13 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 119 | 107 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 271 | 328 | 290 | 617 | 19 | 295 | 13 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 75 | 68 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 235 | 307 | 279 | 586 | 44 | 302 | 23 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 78 | 71 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 282 | 346 | 437 | 783 | 155 | 366 | 27 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 320 | 71 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 222 | 272 | 287 | 559 | 66 | 288 | 24 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 527 | 482 | 132 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 37 | 101 | 4 | 50 | 13 | 274 | 331 | 392 | 723 | 118 | 330 | 19 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 114 | 108 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 204 | 239 | 306 | 544 | 102 | 277 | 36 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 265 | 235 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 47 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 289 | 367 | 357 | 725 | 68 | 354 | 18 | 9 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 165 | 154 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 234 | 280 | 286 | 566 | 52 | 302 | 22 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates 1 | — | 256 | 231 | 47 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 203 | 281 | 281 | 563 | 78 | 239 | 13 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates 1 | — | 256 | 222 | 69 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 29 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 311 | 402 | 455 | 857 | 144 | 352 | 11 | 11 | 383 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 119 | 107 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 271 | 328 | 290 | 617 | 19 | 309 | 13 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 119 | 104 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 337 | 405 | 365 | 771 | 29 | 365 | 9 | 8 | 347 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 139 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 252 | 320 | 345 | 666 | 94 | 340 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 153 | 133 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 278 | 373 | 383 | 756 | 105 | 346 | 18 | 10 | 345 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 320 | 71 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 222 | 272 | 287 | 559 | 66 | 288 | 24 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 304 | 79 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 64 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 260 | 342 | 359 | 701 | 99 | 311 | 19 | 10 | 319 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 539 | 149 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 113 | 4 | 53 | 14 | 276 | 332 | 397 | 729 | 121 | 336 | 19 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 590 | 523 | 157 | 26 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 91 | 4 | 53 | 14 | 300 | 373 | 436 | 809 | 136 | 347 | 15 | 10 | 359 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 407 | 367 | 95 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 95 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 259 | 325 | 332 | 657 | 74 | 338 | 23 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 407 | 348 | 93 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 79 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 267 | 355 | 359 | 714 | 92 | 332 | 19 | 11 | 323 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 165 | 154 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 234 | 280 | 286 | 566 | 52 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 165 | 149 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 248 | 311 | 302 | 613 | 54 | 316 | 19 | 8 | 281 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates 1 | — | 256 | 229 | 47 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 205 | 281 | 284 | 565 | 79 | 241 | 13 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 119 | 109 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 266 | 328 | 284 | 612 | 18 | 295 | 13 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 138 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 254 | 320 | 348 | 668 | 94 | 335 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 343 | 318 | 71 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 223 | 272 | 289 | 561 | 66 | 288 | 24 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 540 | 149 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 113 | 4 | 53 | 14 | 276 | 332 | 396 | 728 | 120 | 330 | 19 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 407 | 368 | 95 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 95 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 258 | 325 | 332 | 657 | 73 | 331 | 23 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 165 | 154 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 234 | 280 | 286 | 566 | 52 | 302 | 22 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 407 | 368 | 95 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 95 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 258 | 325 | 332 | 657 | 73 | 331 | 23 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 165 | 154 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 234 | 280 | 286 | 566 | 52 | 302 | 22 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | SEA | 2% | 215 | 197 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 218 | 277 | 292 | 569 | 74 | 284 | 24 | 7 | 259 | 62 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | SEA | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 275 | 289 | 564 | 73 | 281 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 62 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 23% | 153 | 140 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 276 | 292 | 568 | 75 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 259 | 61 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 23% | 35 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 274 | 289 | 563 | 74 | 280 | 23 | 6 | 257 | 61 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 35 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 229 | 212 | 441 | 30 | 240 | 23 | 6 | 257 | 75 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 613 | 112 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 149 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 183 | 229 | 214 | 443 | 31 | 241 | 23 | 6 | 257 | 75 | -30 | +4 | -6 | -4 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2299 | 2101 | 516 | 75 | 24 | 17 | 153 | 481 | 28 | 155 | 56 | 246 | 305 | 328 | 634 | 83 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 146 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 136 | 8 | 44 | 16 | 246 | 305 | 330 | 635 | 84 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -30 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAArkansas Travelers · 165 PAwOBA .274 → .250 (−23)K% 19.4% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.39% | ÷1.061 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 23.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷0.914 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.800 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 104, K 112, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .274 → .250; ISO .054 → .052; BABIP .316 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAltoona Curve · 265 PAwOBA .347 → .320 (−27)K% 14.0% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.96% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.21% | ÷1.022 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.96% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 28.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.46% | ÷0.948 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.844 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 104, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .347 → .320; ISO .073 → .069; BABIP .359 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASt. Paul Saints · 114 PAwOBA .276 → .228 (−49)K% 29.8% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.82% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.35% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.033 | 24.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.033 | 2.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.92% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 109, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .276 → .228; ISO .133 → .092; BABIP .294 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAWichita Wind Surge · 527 PAwOBA .357 → .314 (−43)K% 15.9% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.49% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.75% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 24.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷0.931 | ×0.840 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.231 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .357 → .314; ISO .141 → .120; BABIP .354 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 343 PAwOBA .312 → .251 (−61)K% 18.7% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.66% | ÷0.999 | ×1.310 | — | — | 24.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.50% | ÷1.063 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.961 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 25.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.273 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.73% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .312 → .251; ISO .099 → .072; BABIP .311 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ABradenton Marauders · 78 PAwOBA .377 → .311 (−66)K% 19.2% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.989 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.130 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | — | 26.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷0.943 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | — | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | — | 3.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.302 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.16% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 98, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .377 → .311; ISO .162 → .125; BABIP .385 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 75 PAwOBA .295 → .258 (−37)K% 17.3% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.33% | ÷1.021 | ×1.350 | — | — | 22.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.085 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 24.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.918 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.238 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 96, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 104, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .258; ISO .046 → .043; BABIP .308 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Pirates · 119 PAwOBA .347 → .273 (−74)K% 9.2% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 28.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .347 → .273; ISO .029 → .021; BABIP .365 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .