Yoyner Fajardo — OGILVIE

Yoyner FajardoOF Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 L/R 6'0" / 179 lbs AA HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .296 / .324

PA183

HR2

SB9

K%22

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

25→25

SPD

60→60

EYE

46↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-5M		$-14M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	DSL Pirates 1	256	233	57	10	6	1	18	40	5	17	3	.245	.312	.352	.664	.107	.292	16	7	.289	79	-6	+2	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2019	20	ROK	GCL Pirates	119	107	29	2	0	0	6	16	3	16	4	.271	.328	.290	.617	.019	.309	13	5	.275	69	-4	+2	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2021	22	A	2 teams	153	139	34	6	1	1	10	38	4	14	5	.245	.314	.324	.637	.079	.330	25	7	.280	72	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2022	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	343	320	72	5	2	4	20	84	2	17	13	.225	.275	.291	.565	.066	.292	24	6	.251	50	-19	-2	+0	-2	+10	-1.4
2023	24	AA	2 teams	590	539	145	23	10	7	41	120	4	53	14	.269	.325	.388	.713	.119	.332	20	7	.311	96	-3	+5	+0	-4	+17	1.6
2024	25	AA	3 teams	407	367	92	12	1	3	30	96	6	21	9	.251	.318	.313	.631	.063	.328	24	7	.285	76	-11	+1	+0	-2	+12	-0.1
2025	26	AA	Arkansas Travelers	165	153	36	8	0	0	10	39	1	11	6	.235	.287	.288	.574	.052	.316	24	6	.250	50	-9	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	SEA	183	166	40	7	1	2	13	41	2	9	3	.241	.304	.331	.635	.090	.299	22	7	.283	75	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 9%	SEA	263	240	57	10	2	3	19	59	2	12	4	.237	.299	.333	.632	.096	.298	22	7	.286	77	-7	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2028	29	MLB 19%	SEA	301	273	64	11	2	4	22	69	3	13	4	.234	.299	.333	.632	.099	.297	23	7	.287	78	-8	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2029	30	MLB 29%	SEA	327	296	69	12	2	4	25	76	3	13	5	.233	.299	.328	.627	.095	.296	23	8	.286	77	-9	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.3
2030	31	MLB 40%	SEA	320	290	67	12	2	4	24	75	3	11	4	.231	.297	.328	.624	.097	.295	23	8	.283	75	-9	+1	-3	-2	+9	-0.4
2031	32	MLB 49%	SEA	307	278	64	11	2	4	23	74	3	10	3	.230	.296	.327	.623	.097	.293	24	7	.278	71	-10	+1	-4	-2	+9	-0.6
2032	33	MLB 57%	SEA	280	255	57	10	2	3	21	69	2	8	3	.224	.288	.314	.601	.090	.292	25	8	.273	67	-10	+0	-4	-2	+8	-0.8
2033	34	MLB 68%	SEA	239	217	47	8	1	2	18	61	2	6	2	.217	.283	.290	.573	.074	.291	26	8	.267	62	-10	+0	-5	-1	+7	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4253	3873	930	147	34	42	300	957	45	231	82	.240	.302	.328	.630	.088	.307	23	7	.282	74	-125	+13	-20	-26	+121	-3.7
/ 162G	—			650	592	141	22	5	6	46	146	7	35	13	.238	.301	.323	.624	.084	.304	22	7	.282	74	-19	+2	-3	-4	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	DSL Pirates 1	256	222	69	13	8	1	29	28	5	17	3	.311	.402	.455	.857	.144	.352	11	11	.383	152	+15	+2	—	—	+7	2.5
2019	20	ROK	GCL Pirates	119	104	35	3	0	0	9	11	3	16	4	.337	.405	.365	.771	.029	.365	9	8	.347	124	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.8
2021	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	75	65	16	3	0	0	8	13	2	6	5	.246	.347	.292	.639	.046	.308	17	11	.302	89	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2021	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	78	68	21	4	2	1	8	15	2	8	0	.309	.397	.471	.868	.162	.385	19	10	.387	154	+5	+2	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	343	304	79	6	3	6	36	64	2	17	13	.260	.342	.359	.701	.099	.311	19	10	.319	103	+1	-2	—	—	+10	0.9
2023	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	527	469	143	23	8	9	50	84	4	50	13	.305	.377	.446	.822	.141	.354	16	9	.365	137	+22	+5	—	—	+15	4.3
2023	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	63	54	14	3	1	0	7	7	0	3	1	.259	.344	.352	.696	.093	.292	11	11	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	114	105	24	2	0	4	6	34	1	3	3	.229	.274	.362	.636	.133	.294	30	5	.282	74	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	25	AA	Altoona Curve	265	220	66	10	3	0	35	37	5	17	5	.300	.402	.373	.774	.073	.359	14	13	.354	129	+9	+1	—	—	+8	1.8
2024	25	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	28	23	3	0	1	0	3	8	0	1	1	.130	.231	.217	.448	.087	.188	29	11	.197	9	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	26	AA	Arkansas Travelers	165	149	37	8	0	0	13	32	1	11	6	.248	.311	.302	.613	.054	.316	19	8	.281	73	-5	-0	—	—	+5	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yoyner Fajardo (OGILVIE)	27	45	25	60	35	.235/.296/.324	.090	.299	2	9	22%	7%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nathan Haynes 2007 · AAA	27	48	41→40	55	42	.228/.280/.337	.109	.310	7	25	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.252/.297/.349	.097	.334	6	25	25%	5%	80	+0.4	.268/.307/.349	.081	.350	5	28	24%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Brian Miller 2023 · AAA	27	51→57	40	61→60	43	.244/.287/.344	.100	.309	6	30	23%	6%	75	-0.0	.228/.281/.325	.097	.295	7	25	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.207/.270/.276	.068	.275	3	29	24%	7%	49	-0.9
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→42	36→30	55→60	45	.233/.290/.294	.062	.308	3	28	24%	7%	63	-0.8	.217/.283/.274	.057	.307	3	27	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.194/.269/.217	.023	.287	0	37	29%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Magneuris Sierra 2023 · MLB	27	47→57	39→40	59→60	44	.226/.276/.311	.085	.283	7	29	22%	6%	62	-0.9	.221/.272/.316	.095	.296	8	24	27%	6%	62	-0.9	.205/.256/.273	.068	.295	5	26	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Quintin Berry 2012 · AAA	27	49→58	39→40	58→65	46	.232/.298/.313	.081	.314	7	34	27%	8%	72	-0.2	.229/.299/.304	.075	.314	5	36	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.230/.303/.293	.064	.312	3	38	25%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Kyle Wren 2018 · AAA	27	52→59	36→40	56→60	48	.244/.299/.312	.068	.299	4	26	19%	7%	72	-0.2	.232/.286/.318	.086	.307	6	18	25%	7%	68	-0.5	.234/.284/.314	.079	.322	4	17	27%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Andrew Aplin 2018 · AAA	27	45→55	40	54→55	50	.215/.289/.306	.091	.277	7	21	24%	9%	66	-0.6	.208/.276/.313	.105	.265	9	10	24%	8%	64	-0.8	.208/.275/.310	.102	.256	8	3	21%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Mike Rodriguez 2008 · AAA	27	50→52	40	57→55	49	.236/.287/.331	.095	.271	6	22	16%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.268/.320	.093	.280	6	14	20%	5%	60	-1.0	.225/.261/.310	.085	.282	5	11	21%	4%	51	-1.2
✕Ian Miller 2019 · AAA	27	52→58	36→40	61→60	43	.244/.290/.310	.066	.309	3	34	22%	5%	67	-0.5	.229/.280/.327	.098	.287	8	29	22%	6%	68	-0.5	.224/.278/.325	.102	.276	8	30	21%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Eric Reed 2008 · MLB	27	49→51	37→40	62→60	38	.233/.268/.315	.082	.310	3	33	26%	4%	59	-1.1	.222/.265/.304	.082	.288	5	23	23%	5%	55	-1.4	.202/.247/.221	.019	.259	0	19	21%	5%	22	-0.9
✕Ben Copeland 2011 · AAA	27	50→53	41→45	56→55	47	.239/.291/.345	.106	.293	7	21	20%	7%	76	+0.1	.224/.272/.340	.116	.283	10	19	23%	6%	68	-0.5	.207/.248/.327	.120	.258	11	20	24%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Brad Coon 2010 · AAA	27	53→57	37→40	53→60	49	.248/.311/.318	.070	.302	5	25	19%	7%	79	+0.3	.230/.294/.305	.075	.295	5	17	22%	8%	68	-0.5	.217/.285/.287	.070	.284	4	16	23%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Drew Avans 2023 · AAA	27	49→53	42→45	64→60	45	.230/.302/.347	.117	.332	8	33	31%	8%	82	+0.5	.222/.293/.323	.101	.317	8	28	30%	9%	73	-0.1	.223/.294/.314	.091	.311	8	30	29%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Cade Gotta 2019 · AAA	27	49→51	41→45	58→55	44	.234/.282/.337	.103	.295	7	31	23%	6%	71	-0.3	.238/.304/.352	.114	.309	9	23	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.249/.328/.367	.118	.320	9	21	23%	10%	99	+0.6
✕Kenny Wilson 2017 · AAA	27	47→50	39→40	56→60	43	.223/.280/.310	.087	.303	5	27	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.214/.279/.306	.092	.310	7	23	31%	7%	63	-0.9	.199/.267/.293	.094	.305	8	22	35%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Elian Herrera 2012 · AAA	27	50→55	37→40	58→60	46	.231/.294/.308	.076	.321	4	30	28%	8%	69	-0.4	.240/.297/.327	.087	.318	5	20	24%	7%	75	-0.0	.247/.290/.343	.096	.318	7	10	23%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Wayne Lydon 2008 · AAA	27	50→51	40	58→55	44	.237/.283/.335	.098	.302	6	25	23%	6%	71	-0.3	.233/.285/.309	.076	.290	4	28	20%	6%	65	-0.7	.233/.289/.281	.047	.287	1	38	18%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Nook Logan 2007 · MLB	27	51	37→40	58→60	48	.242/.296/.322	.080	.300	4	27	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.245/.293/.333	.088	.325	4	28	24%	6%	74	-0.1	.260/.300/.338	.078	.351	0	39	25%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Sean Danielson 2010 · AAA	27	51→57	37→30	56→55	45	.240/.291/.315	.075	.309	4	24	23%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.282/.304	.075	.304	6	18	25%	6%	63	-0.9	.232/.286/.268	.036	.308	3	19	24%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Rey Fuentes 2018 · MLB	27	53→61	38→40	57→60	41	.252/.294/.332	.081	.325	6	26	24%	5%	74	-0.1	.229/.281/.325	.096	.297	8	17	24%	6%	68	-0.5	.209/.268/.298	.089	.270	8	15	24%	6%	53	-0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)