Leo Rivas
3B Tacoma Rainiers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 329 | .259/.428/.377 | 4 | 30 | 97 | — | .264/.375/.364 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBSEA | 86 | .233/.333/.274 | 0 | 3 | 77 | 0.3 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAASEA | 299 | .318/.476/.507 | 10 | 24 | 123 | — | .283/.397/.418 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBSEA | 111 | .244/.387/.333 | 2 | 6 | 117 | 0.7 | |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA/ROKSEA | 169 | .254/.458/.369 | 4 | 7 | 94 | — | .225/.369/.311 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBSEA | 148 | .153/.271/.194 | 0 | 2 | 39 | -0.6 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 29 | MLBSEA | 107 | .211/.327/.313 | 2 | 5 | 89 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 30 | MLBSEA | 138 | .208/.324/.305 | 2 | 5 | 86 | 0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 276 | 213 | 55 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 37 | 53 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 258 | 408 | 376 | 784 | 117 | 329 | 19 | 13 | 352 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 235 | 190 | 55 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 39 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 413 | 379 | 792 | 89 | 360 | 17 | 15 | 358 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 116 | 90 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 267 | 416 | 322 | 738 | 56 | 348 | 19 | 17 | 343 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 183 | 137 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 299 | 467 | 445 | 912 | 146 | 339 | 12 | 21 | 408 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 547 | 454 | 106 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 84 | 138 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 233 | 357 | 326 | 683 | 93 | 325 | 25 | 15 | 315 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 338 | 297 | 70 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 90 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 236 | 328 | 377 | 706 | 141 | 318 | 27 | 12 | 319 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 25 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 375 | 62 | 438 | 83 | 16 | 32 | 259 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 226 | 190 | 52 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 45 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 274 | 384 | 337 | 721 | 63 | 356 | 20 | 14 | 333 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 164 | 140 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 46 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 243 | 350 | 336 | 685 | 93 | 348 | 28 | 14 | 316 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 197 | 171 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 216 | 298 | 351 | 649 | 135 | 237 | 18 | 8 | 287 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 436 | 329 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 86 | 89 | 7 | 50 | 10 | 255 | 419 | 347 | 766 | 91 | 324 | 20 | 20 | 350 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 86 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 333 | 274 | 607 | 41 | 347 | 28 | 12 | 281 | 77 | -2 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 266 | 203 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 55 | 51 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 296 | 448 | 424 | 872 | 128 | 368 | 19 | 21 | 389 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 63 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 91 | 344 | 159 | 503 | 68 | 114 | 14 | 24 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 111 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 244 | 387 | 333 | 721 | 89 | 312 | 22 | 18 | 340 | 117 | +2 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 299 | 223 | 71 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 62 | 59 | 5 | 24 | 3 | 318 | 476 | 507 | 983 | 188 | 389 | 20 | 21 | 426 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 148 | 124 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 153 | 271 | 194 | 464 | 40 | 226 | 28 | 11 | 224 | 39 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 153 | 115 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 428 | 339 | 767 | 96 | 338 | 25 | 22 | 363 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 429 | 750 | 857 | 1.607 | 429 | 1.000 | 25 | 50 | 638 | 238 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 345 | 287 | 58 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 90 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 202 | 324 | 258 | 582 | 56 | 284 | 26 | 13 | 275 | 73 | -11 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +7 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 276 | 226 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 65 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 181 | 307 | 261 | 568 | 80 | 224 | 24 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 235 | 203 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 56 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 222 | 313 | 286 | 599 | 64 | 290 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 116 | 94 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 245 | 372 | 287 | 659 | 43 | 327 | 26 | 14 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 183 | 153 | 35 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 32 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 229 | 344 | 340 | 684 | 111 | 264 | 17 | 13 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 547 | 482 | 86 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 194 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 178 | 268 | 245 | 513 | 66 | 283 | 35 | 10 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 338 | 308 | 53 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 121 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 172 | 246 | 273 | 518 | 101 | 263 | 36 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 250 | 53 | 303 | 67 | 24 | 20 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 226 | 198 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 253 | 339 | 308 | 647 | 56 | 339 | 23 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 164 | 147 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 58 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 211 | 288 | 272 | 560 | 61 | 340 | 35 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 197 | 176 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 188 | 251 | 295 | 547 | 108 | 205 | 21 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 436 | 358 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 57 | 104 | 7 | 50 | 10 | 235 | 351 | 318 | 669 | 84 | 289 | 24 | 13 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 86 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 333 | 274 | 607 | 41 | 347 | 28 | 12 | 283 | 77 | -2 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 266 | 220 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 61 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 264 | 375 | 364 | 738 | 100 | 327 | 23 | 14 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 111 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 244 | 387 | 333 | 721 | 89 | 312 | 22 | 18 | 342 | 117 | +2 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 299 | 244 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 68 | 5 | 24 | 3 | 283 | 397 | 418 | 815 | 135 | 340 | 23 | 14 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 148 | 124 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 153 | 271 | 194 | 464 | 40 | 226 | 28 | 11 | 225 | 39 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 153 | 126 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 46 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 206 | 342 | 270 | 612 | 63 | 294 | 30 | 14 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 16 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 400 | 625 | 700 | 1.325 | 300 | 680 | 38 | 31 | 520 | 238 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 276 | 226 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 65 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 181 | 307 | 261 | 568 | 80 | 242 | 24 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 276 | 213 | 55 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 37 | 53 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 258 | 408 | 376 | 784 | 117 | 329 | 19 | 13 | 352 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 235 | 203 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 56 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 222 | 313 | 286 | 599 | 64 | 301 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Angels | — | 235 | 190 | 55 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 39 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 413 | 379 | 792 | 89 | 360 | 17 | 15 | 358 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 247 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 62 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 231 | 352 | 312 | 663 | 81 | 296 | 21 | 13 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 299 | 227 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 44 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 286 | 447 | 396 | 844 | 110 | 342 | 15 | 20 | 383 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 547 | 482 | 86 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 194 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 178 | 268 | 245 | 513 | 66 | 289 | 35 | 10 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 547 | 454 | 106 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 84 | 138 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 233 | 357 | 326 | 683 | 93 | 325 | 25 | 15 | 315 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 327 | 54 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 127 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 165 | 246 | 260 | 506 | 95 | 251 | 35 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 363 | 313 | 71 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 94 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 331 | 361 | 693 | 134 | 305 | 26 | 13 | 315 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 226 | 198 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 253 | 339 | 308 | 647 | 56 | 342 | 23 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 226 | 190 | 52 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 45 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 274 | 384 | 337 | 721 | 63 | 356 | 20 | 14 | 333 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 323 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 100 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 198 | 268 | 285 | 553 | 87 | 266 | 28 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 361 | 311 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 81 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 228 | 322 | 344 | 666 | 116 | 282 | 22 | 11 | 300 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 436 | 358 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 57 | 104 | 7 | 50 | 10 | 235 | 351 | 318 | 669 | 84 | 306 | 24 | 13 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 436 | 329 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 86 | 89 | 7 | 50 | 10 | 255 | 419 | 347 | 766 | 91 | 324 | 20 | 20 | 350 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 415 | 344 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 100 | 4 | 33 | 8 | 256 | 366 | 340 | 706 | 84 | 347 | 24 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 415 | 320 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 80 | 84 | 4 | 33 | 8 | 253 | 408 | 353 | 762 | 100 | 326 | 20 | 19 | 348 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 334 | 91 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 61 | 92 | 6 | 30 | 3 | 272 | 394 | 395 | 789 | 123 | 347 | 22 | 15 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 410 | 313 | 93 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 82 | 83 | 6 | 30 | 3 | 297 | 451 | 457 | 908 | 160 | 367 | 20 | 20 | 403 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 317 | 261 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 93 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 184 | 317 | 245 | 563 | 61 | 269 | 29 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 317 | 246 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 57 | 84 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 203 | 372 | 280 | 652 | 77 | 287 | 26 | 18 | 312 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 276 | 233 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 65 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 176 | 307 | 253 | 560 | 77 | 224 | 24 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 235 | 206 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 56 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 218 | 313 | 282 | 595 | 63 | 290 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 251 | 57 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 62 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 227 | 352 | 307 | 658 | 80 | 288 | 21 | 13 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 547 | 483 | 86 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 194 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 178 | 268 | 244 | 512 | 66 | 283 | 35 | 10 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 325 | 54 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 127 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 166 | 246 | 262 | 507 | 95 | 250 | 35 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 226 | 198 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 253 | 339 | 308 | 647 | 56 | 339 | 23 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 327 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 100 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 196 | 268 | 281 | 550 | 86 | 266 | 28 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 436 | 369 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 57 | 104 | 7 | 50 | 10 | 228 | 351 | 309 | 660 | 81 | 289 | 24 | 13 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 415 | 352 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 100 | 4 | 33 | 8 | 250 | 366 | 332 | 699 | 82 | 332 | 24 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 340 | 91 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 61 | 92 | 6 | 30 | 3 | 268 | 394 | 388 | 782 | 121 | 333 | 22 | 15 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 317 | 263 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 93 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 183 | 317 | 243 | 561 | 61 | 282 | 29 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 415 | 352 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 100 | 4 | 33 | 8 | 250 | 366 | 332 | 699 | 82 | 332 | 24 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 340 | 91 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 61 | 92 | 6 | 30 | 3 | 268 | 394 | 388 | 782 | 121 | 333 | 22 | 15 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 317 | 263 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 93 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 183 | 317 | 243 | 561 | 61 | 282 | 29 | 13 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 45% | 367 | 311 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 90 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 213 | 329 | 317 | 646 | 104 | 274 | 25 | 13 | 299 | 89 | -5 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 45% | 107 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 327 | 313 | 640 | 102 | 272 | 24 | 13 | 297 | 89 | -1 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 53% | 261 | 221 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 65 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 210 | 325 | 309 | 634 | 99 | 272 | 25 | 13 | 295 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 53% | 138 | 117 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 208 | 324 | 305 | 628 | 97 | 270 | 25 | 13 | 293 | 86 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 483 | 404 | 82 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 64 | 124 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 203 | 324 | 270 | 593 | 67 | 280 | 26 | 13 | 280 | 75 | -14 | +3 | -3 | +8 | +10 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 544 | 110 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 167 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 202 | 323 | 267 | 589 | 64 | 279 | 26 | 13 | 280 | 75 | -18 | +4 | -4 | +10 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4384 | 3725 | 798 | 108 | 33 | 46 | 507 | 1169 | 73 | 255 | 71 | 214 | 320 | 298 | 618 | 84 | 295 | 27 | 12 | 280 | 75 | -19 | +4 | -5 | +9 | +18 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 552 | 119 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 75 | 173 | 11 | 38 | 11 | 216 | 321 | 301 | 622 | 85 | 297 | 27 | 12 | 280 | 75 | -15 | +3 | -4 | +7 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAATacoma Rainiers · 153 PAwOBA .353 → .285 (−69)K% 24.8% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 14.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.973 | ×0.982 | 26.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×0.982 | 2.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.68% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .353 → .285; ISO .096 → .072; BABIP .338 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Mariners · 16 PAwOBA .625 → .520 (−105)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 50.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 29.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 4.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 66.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 51.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 24.44% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .625 → .520; ISO .429 → .513; BABIP 1.000 → .680. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 299 PAwOBA .419 → .350 (−70)K% 19.7% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.73% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.40% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 13.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.10% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 28.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.204 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.52% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .419 → .350; ISO .188 → .141; BABIP .389 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAATacoma Rainiers · 266 PAwOBA .386 → .324 (−61)K% 19.2% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.17% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.68% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 14.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.29% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 25.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.142 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .386 → .324; ISO .128 → .104; BABIP .368 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAArkansas Travelers · 436 PAwOBA .350 → .301 (−49)K% 20.4% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷1.041 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.72% | ÷1.046 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 13.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.50% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.58% | ÷0.983 | ×0.840 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.103 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.93% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 121, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .350 → .301; ISO .091 → .091; BABIP .324 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 197 PAwOBA .285 → .238 (−47)K% 17.8% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.77% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.12% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.38% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 16.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.68% | ÷0.990 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 82, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .285 → .238; ISO .135 → .114; BABIP .237 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALouisville Bats · 164 PAwOBA .308 → .257 (−51)K% 28.0% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.05% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.02% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.60% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 26.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.282 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .308 → .257; ISO .093 → .068; BABIP .348 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 226 PAwOBA .327 → .293 (−33)K% 19.9% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.91% | ÷1.040 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.16% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 10.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.66% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 28.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.14% | ÷1.183 | ×0.870 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.07% | ÷0.912 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 2.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 102, 2B 137, 3B 82, K 108, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .327 → .293; ISO .063 → .059; BABIP .356 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .