Robert Suarez — OGILVIE

Robert Suarez P Atlanta Braves

Age 35 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9284vR 76

ERA3.13

FIP3.08

K%24.8%

BB%5.1%

K-BB%19.8%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD6060

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.8

Whiff%

p4124.0%

p4521.5%

xwOBA vs

p810.282

FB+4.4 (54%)

CH+0.7 (32%)

SI (6%)

CT (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	43	0	47	182	48	7	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	4.0%	19.2%	0.6%	1.71	1.95	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	43	0	47	182	48	7	1	0%	1.1	26.4%	3.8%	22.5%	0.5%	1.71	1.79	—
2022	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	1	52	208	67	22	6	2%	1.1	31.9%	11.0%	20.9%	2.0%	2.61	2.92	+1.0
2022	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	1	52	208	67	22	6	2%	1.1	32.2%	10.6%	21.6%	2.9%	2.61	3.29	+0.8
2023	32	MIX MLE	4 levels	32	1	33	137	28	12	5	3%	1.0	22.2%	6.5%	15.7%	3.6%	5.23	4.03	+0.2
2023	32	MIX MLE	4 levels	32	1	33	137	28	12	5	3%	1.0	22.2%	6.5%	15.7%	3.6%	5.23	4.03	+0.2
2023	32	MIX RAW	4 levels	32	1	33	137	28	12	5	3%	1.0	20.4%	8.8%	11.7%	3.6%	5.23	4.48	+0.0
2024	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	65	0	65	258	59	15	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.1%	2.6%	2.77	3.36	+0.9
2024	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	65	0	65	258	59	15	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.1%	2.6%	2.77	3.36	+0.9
2024	33	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	65	0	65	258	59	15	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.1%	2.7%	2.77	3.38	+0.9
2025	34	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	70	0	70	269	75	14	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.2%	22.7%	2.2%	2.97	2.60	+1.6
2025	34	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	70	0	70	269	75	14	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.2%	22.7%	2.2%	2.97	2.60	+1.6
2025	34	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	70	0	70	269	75	14	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.2%	22.7%	2.2%	2.97	2.67	+1.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			237	0	242	947	245	63	22	0%	1.0	25.9%	6.7%	19.2%	2.3%	2.60	3.04	+4.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	31	0	32	121	26	6	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	5.0%	16.5%	0.8%	0.56	2.37	+0.8
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	31	0	32	121	26	6	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	5.0%	16.5%	0.8%	0.56	2.37	+0.8
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	35	MLB RAW	ATL	31	0	32	121	26	6	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	5.0%	16.5%	0.8%	0.56	2.37	+0.8
SO FAR	35	MLB RAW	ATL	31	0	32	121	26	6	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	5.0%	16.5%	0.8%	0.56	2.37	+0.8
ROS	35	MLB MLE	ATL	1	0	2	6	2	0	0	0%	1.5	24.8%	5.1%	19.8%	2.6%	3.13	3.08	+0.0
ROS	35	MLB CTX	ATL	2	0	2	8	2	0	0	0%	1.0	24.8%	5.1%	19.8%	2.6%	3.13	3.08	+0.0
2026 TOT	35	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	34	127	28	6	1	—	—	21.7%	5.0%	16.7%	0.9%	0.68	2.40	+0.9
FULL	35	MLB A+C	ATL	—	—	34	142	28	6	1	—	—	19.5%	4.5%	15.0%	0.8%	0.68	2.47	+0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	ATL	47	0	49	208	51	12	6	0%	1.0	24.5%	5.7%	18.8%	2.7%	3.51	3.63	+0.6
2028	37	MLB MLE	ATL	41	0	43	182	42	11	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	6.3%	17.0%	3.1%	3.83	4.04	+0.3
2027	36	MLB CTX	ATL	43	0	45	190	46	11	5	0%	1.0	24.5%	5.7%	18.8%	2.7%	3.51	3.63	+0.5
2028	37	MLB CTX	ATL	33	0	35	148	35	9	5	0%	1.1	23.4%	6.3%	17.0%	3.1%	3.83	4.04	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		315	0	324	1292	328	84	32	0%	1.0	25.4%	6.5%	18.9%	2.5%	2.87	3.14	+5.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	0	200	798	203	52	20	0%	1.0	25.4%	6.5%	18.9%	2.5%	2.87	3.14	+3.4
Career	—	MLE		290	2	298	1175	299	74	24	1%	1.0	25.5%	6.3%	19.2%	2.0%	2.65	2.86	+5.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		194	1	200	788	201	50	16	1%	1.0	25.5%	6.3%	19.2%	2.0%	2.65	2.86	+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Suarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.34	27.1%	5.1%	2.7%	—	3.82	24.0%	18.0%	92	+0.48	—	—	—
Jumbo Diaz R 2019 · 2.98 FIP	35	SU	2.98	25.0%	7.7%	1.8%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	284	73
Brandon Morrow R 2018 · 2.82 FIP	34	SU	2.82	25.4%	7.4%	1.7%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	186	66
Tony Pena Jr. R 2016 · 2.87 FIP	35	SU	2.87	21.5%	4.3%	1.9%	.249	3.43	10.9%	6.6%	22	+0.56	2.80	128	65
Joakim Soria R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	35	SU	3.52	28.4%	6.8%	3.6%	.246	3.45	25.1%	17.7%	60	-0.07	2.01	380	65
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	65
Luis Ayala R 2015 · 3.03 FIP	37	SU	3.03	19.7%	5.0%	1.7%	.270	3.27	12.1%	5.9%	57	+0.24	3.03	119	64
John Axford R 2018 · 3.64 FIP	35	SU	3.64	23.2%	9.0%	2.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	197	64
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	64
Chris Martin R 2021 · 3.12 FIP	35	SU	3.12	18.2%	2.8%	2.2%	.324	2.13	28.1%	26.3%	152	-0.99	1.76	416	64
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	62
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	61
Daniel Bard R 2020 · 2.82 FIP	35	SU	2.82	25.5%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	3.63	25.3%	12.0%	175	+0.81	2.56	200	60
Tony Barnette R 2018 · 2.61 FIP	34	SU	2.61	25.0%	4.8%	1.8%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	2.61	144	60
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	59
Carlos Torres R 2018 · 2.89 FIP	35	SU	2.89	22.3%	7.3%	1.4%	.248	4.28	17.8%	8.8%	62	+1.39	2.89	326	59
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2019 · 3.72 FIP	35	SU	3.72	26.2%	8.6%	3.2%	.303	5.02	17.5%	4.8%	12	+1.30	3.45	132	58
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	58
Seunghwan Oh R 2017 · 3.90 FIP	35	SU	3.90	20.5%	2.3%	4.1%	.299	3.45	26.6%	20.5%	87	-0.45	1.87	226	58
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	58
Jose Valverde R 2015 · 2.47 FIP	37	SU	2.47	17.8%	3.0%	0.9%	.253	2.21	25.4%	19.1%	58	-0.26	2.21	122	58

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	25.1%	5.7%	1.11	3.56
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Seunghwan Oh ('18)	1.0	69	27.7%	5.9%	1.00	2.78
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97