Robert Suarez

P Atlanta Braves

Age 36 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	33	MLBSD	65	65	2.77	3.38	22.9%	5.8%	0.9
2025	34	MLBSD	70	70	2.97	2.67	27.9%	5.2%	1.6
2026	35	MIX2 levels	34	35	1.03	2.44	20.1%	4.5%	0.9	K 20.0% · BB 4.6% · FIP 2.42
2027PROJ	36	MLBATL	39	41	3.27	3.26	25.3%	4.8%	0.7
2028PROJ91% MLB	37	MLBATL	27	28	3.51	3.66	24.2%	5.5%	0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.4 · Next 2 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo90

xwOBA vs80

K%35

CompsSeunghwan Oh (age 36) · Tony Barnette (age 34) · Matt Bush (age 36)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9587vR 79

ERA3.27

FIP3.26

K%25.3%

BB%4.8%

K-BB%20.5%

Proj IP41

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD6060

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.7

Whiff%

p3523.1%

p3520.0%

xwOBA vs

p800.283

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	24	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	43	0	47	182	48	7	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	4.0%	19.2%	0.6%	1.71	1.95	—
2015	24	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	43	0	47	182	48	7	1	0%	1.1	26.4%	3.8%	22.5%	0.5%	1.71	1.79	—
2022	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	1	52	208	67	22	6	2%	1.1	31.9%	11.0%	20.9%	2.0%	2.61	2.92	+1.0
2022	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	1	52	208	67	22	6	2%	1.1	32.2%	10.6%	21.6%	2.9%	2.61	3.29	+0.8
2023	32	MIX MLE	4 levels	32	1	33	137	28	12	5	3%	1.0	22.2%	6.5%	15.7%	3.6%	5.23	4.03	+0.2
2023	32	MIX RAW	4 levels	32	1	33	137	28	12	5	3%	1.0	20.4%	8.8%	11.7%	3.6%	5.23	4.48	+0.0
2024	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	65	0	65	258	59	15	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.1%	2.6%	2.77	3.36	+0.9
2024	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	65	0	65	258	59	15	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.1%	2.6%	2.77	3.36	+0.9
2024	33	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	65	0	65	258	59	15	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.1%	2.7%	2.77	3.38	+0.9
2025	34	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	70	0	70	269	75	14	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.2%	22.7%	2.2%	2.97	2.60	+1.6
2025	34	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	70	0	70	269	75	14	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.2%	22.7%	2.2%	2.97	2.60	+1.6
2025	34	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	70	0	70	269	75	14	6	0%	1.0	27.9%	5.2%	22.7%	2.2%	2.97	2.67	+1.6
2026	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	35	134	27	6	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	4.6%	15.4%	0.8%	1.03	2.42	+0.9
2026	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	35	134	27	6	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	4.6%	15.4%	0.8%	1.03	2.42	+0.9
2026	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	35	134	27	6	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	4.5%	15.7%	0.7%	1.03	2.44	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			239	0	244	956	245	63	22	0%	1.0	25.6%	6.6%	19.0%	2.3%	2.66	3.04	+4.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	36	MLB	ATL	39	0	41	173	44	8	4	0%	1.1	25.3%	4.8%	20.5%	2.4%	3.27	3.26	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	37	MLB MLE	ATL	29	0	31	130	32	7	4	0%	1.1	24.2%	5.5%	18.8%	2.8%	3.51	3.66	+0.3
2028	37	MLB CTX	ATL	27	0	28	118	29	6	3	0%	1.0	24.2%	5.5%	18.8%	2.8%	3.51	3.66	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		266	0	272	1074	274	69	25	0%	1.0	25.5%	6.5%	19.0%	2.4%	2.74	3.06	+4.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	0	200	790	201	51	18	0%	1.0	25.5%	6.5%	19.0%	2.4%	2.74	3.06	+3.6
Career	—	MLE		293	2	301	1188	300	74	24	1%	1.0	25.2%	6.3%	19.0%	2.0%	2.69	2.87	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		194	1	200	788	199	49	16	1%	1.0	25.2%	6.3%	19.0%	2.0%	2.69	2.87	+3.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 47 IPFIP 1.66 → 1.95 (+0.29)K% 26.4% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.37%	—	×0.880	23.21%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	3.85%	—	×1.050	4.04%
HR / BF /BF	0.55%	÷1.099	×1.100	0.55%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 120).

Result: FIP 1.66 → 1.95, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Suarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.26	25.3%	4.8%	2.4%	—	3.66	24.2%	18.8%	31	+0.40	—	—	—
Seunghwan Oh R 2018 · 2.83 FIP	36	SU	2.83	28.8%	5.8%	2.6%	.257	5.75	18.2%	11.4%	18	+2.92	1.87	226	64
Tony Barnette R 2018 · 2.61 FIP	34	SU	2.61	25.0%	4.8%	1.8%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	2.61	144	62
Matt Bush R 2022 · 3.73 FIP	36	SU	3.73	30.3%	6.6%	4.3%	.224	3.79	26.2%	17.5%	36	+0.06	2.87	249	56
Hector Navarro R 2016 · 2.30 FIP	36	SU	2.30	20.1%	7.0%	0.0%	.333	3.53	11.5%	5.9%	46	+1.23	2.30	126	55
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2003 · 3.30 FIP	35	SU	3.30	19.3%	8.7%	1.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	223	53
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	52
Akinori Otsuka R 2007 · 2.39 FIP	35	SU	2.39	17.6%	6.1%	0.0%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	232	52
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	51
Scott Atchison R 2012 · 2.52 FIP	36	SU	2.52	18.0%	3.0%	1.0%	.256	3.67	15.9%	11.3%	137	+1.15	2.52	340	51
Buddy Carlyle R 2014 · 2.57 FIP	36	SU	2.57	23.5%	4.2%	1.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	274	50
Brendan Donnelly R 2007 · 2.40 FIP	36	SU	2.40	16.7%	5.6%	0.0%	.271	4.75	19.1%	6.0%	70	+2.35	2.23	385	50
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	48
Roy Corcoran R 2015 · 2.87 FIP	35	SU	2.87	17.7%	8.2%	0.4%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	129	47
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	42
Daniel Bard R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	36	SU	3.62	26.3%	11.5%	2.3%	.337	3.64	24.6%	10.3%	110	+0.02	2.56	456	42
Peter Moylan R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	36	SU	3.11	18.4%	8.2%	0.9%	.259	3.84	18.2%	9.1%	145	+0.73	2.54	431	42
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	42
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	37
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	36
Koji Uehara R 2011 · 2.95 FIP	36	SU	2.95	35.0%	3.3%	4.3%	.194	2.13	34.9%	32.1%	175	-0.82	1.28	481	34

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	45	25.4%	6.7%	0.92	2.82
Will Harris ('21)	2.1	60	26.5%	6.7%	0.86	2.94
Andrew Bailey ('17)	1.4	55	24.7%	8.2%	0.95	3.12
Pat Neshek ('19)	2.4	54	24.0%	6.8%	1.05	2.82
Mike Schooler ('88-'93, 5 WAR*)	1.5	49	26.9%*	8.0%*	0.96*	3.68*
Joe Hoerner ('63-'77, 8 WAR*)	2.8	51	23.2%*	7.9%*	1.21*	3.52*
Carlos Diaz ('82-'86, 2 WAR*)	1.3	52	25.1%*	8.7%*	0.91*	3.84*