Robert Suarez
P
Atlanta Braves
Age 35
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8979vR 70
ERA3.01
FIP2.98
K%24.8%
BB%5.1%
K-BB%19.8%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.8
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p4521.5%
xwOBA vs
p810.282
FB+4.4 (54%)
CH+0.7 (32%)
SI (6%)
CT (14%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | 43 | 0 | 47 | 182 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 0.5% | 1.71 | 1.93 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | 43 | 0 | 47 | 182 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 3.8% | 22.5% | 0.5% | 1.71 | 1.79 | — |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 1 | 52 | 208 | 67 | 22 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 31.9% | 11.0% | 20.9% | 2.3% | 2.61 | 3.03 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 1 | 52 | 208 | 67 | 22 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 32.2% | 10.6% | 21.6% | 2.9% | 2.61 | 3.29 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 32 | 1 | 33 | 137 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 3% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 6.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | 5.23 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 32 | 1 | 33 | 137 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 3% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 5.23 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 65 | 0 | 65 | 258 | 59 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 5.8% | 17.1% | 2.9% | 2.77 | 3.51 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 65 | 0 | 65 | 258 | 59 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 5.8% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 2.77 | 3.38 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 70 | 0 | 70 | 269 | 75 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 5.2% | 22.7% | 2.4% | 2.97 | 2.72 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 70 | 0 | 70 | 269 | 75 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 5.2% | 22.7% | 2.2% | 2.97 | 2.67 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 31 | 0 | 32 | 121 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 5.0% | 16.5% | 0.8% | 0.56 | 2.37 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | ATL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 5.1% | 19.8% | 2.4% | 3.01 | 2.98 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | ATL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 5.1% | 19.8% | 2.4% | 3.01 | 2.98 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 35 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 51 | 202 | 46 | 10 | 3 | — | — | 22.8% | 5.0% | 17.8% | 1.5% | 1.48 | 2.60 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 35 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 51 | 216 | 46 | 10 | 3 | — | — | 21.3% | 4.7% | 16.7% | 1.4% | 1.48 | 2.64 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 51 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 5.7% | 18.8% | 2.8% | 3.56 | 3.69 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 6.3% | 17.0% | 3.3% | 3.88 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 5.7% | 18.8% | 2.8% | 3.56 | 3.69 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | ATL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 35 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 6.3% | 17.0% | 3.3% | 3.88 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 331 | 0 | 341 | 1366 | 346 | 87 | 34 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 6.4% | 19.0% | 2.5% | 2.88 | 3.14 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 0 | 200 | 801 | 203 | 51 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 6.4% | 19.0% | 2.5% | 2.88 | 3.14 | +5.3 | ||
| Career | — | 290 | 2 | 298 | 1175 | 299 | 74 | 26 | 1% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 6.3% | 19.2% | 2.2% | 2.65 | 2.97 | +8.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 1 | 200 | 788 | 201 | 50 | 17 | 1% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 6.3% | 19.2% | 2.2% | 2.65 | 2.97 | +5.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Suarez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.41 | 27.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | — | 3.88 | 24.0% | 18.0% | 92 | +0.47 | — | — | — |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.96 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 284 | 69 |
| Tony Pena Jr. R 2026 · 2.91 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.91 | 21.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | .249 | 3.54 | 10.9% | 6.6% | 22 | +0.63 | 2.79 | 128 | 65 |
| Luis Ayala R 2028 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 64 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 64 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 62 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2025 · 2.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.77 | 25.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 186 | 62 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 62 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.43 | 28.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .246 | 3.44 | 25.1% | 17.7% | 60 | +0.01 | 2.01 | 380 | 61 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.78 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 197 | 60 |
| Chris Martin R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.12 | 18.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | .324 | 2.16 | 28.1% | 26.3% | 152 | -0.96 | 1.76 | 416 | 60 |
| Daniel Bard R 2026 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .290 | 3.50 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.80 | 2.48 | 200 | 60 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 59 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.71 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .276 | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 46 | -0.36 | 3.08 | 349 | 59 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 58 |
| Jose Valverde R 2028 · 2.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 2.41 | 17.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | .253 | 2.19 | 25.4% | 19.1% | 58 | -0.22 | 2.19 | 122 | 57 |
| Tony Barnette R 2025 · 2.63 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.63 | 25.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 144 | 57 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 57 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.75 | 20.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | .299 | 3.19 | 26.6% | 20.5% | 87 | -0.56 | 1.81 | 226 | 57 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.55 | 26.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .303 | 5.07 | 17.5% | 4.8% | 12 | +1.52 | 3.32 | 132 | 56 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 2.78 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.78 | 22.3% | 7.3% | 1.2% | .248 | 4.25 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 62 | +1.47 | 2.78 | 326 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 48 | 25.1% | 5.7% | 1.15 | 3.61 |
| Joe Blanton ('17) | 3 | 67 | 24.2% | 6.7% | 1.08 | 3.32 |
| Richard Rodríguez ('21) | 4 | 56 | 25.0% | 6.3% | 1.21 | 3.00 |
| Addison Reed ('18) | 4 | 66 | 24.0% | 5.7% | 0.98 | 3.05 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Kelvin Herrera ('19) | 5 | 59 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.58 |