Jacob Waguespack
P
Nashville Sounds
+0.1
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'6" / 228 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.68
FIP4.20
xFIP5.18
SIERA5.62
K%23.3%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.6%
IP25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p9038.2%
K%
p4621.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.390
CT (35%)
CU (14%)
FB-0.6 (39%)
CH-2.8 (12%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.94 | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 43 | 0 | 72 | 317 | 72 | 28 | 1 | 16.8% | 10.4% | 0.5% | 3.52 | 3.27 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 31 | 16 | 105 | 452 | 108 | 37 | 5 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 3.42 | 3.36 | +2.3 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 28 | 21 | 122 | 538 | 112 | 45 | 7 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 4.80 | 3.45 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 28 | 24 | 131 | 571 | 115 | 54 | 21 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 0 | 18 | 90 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | 8.15 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 24 | 10 | 69 | 292 | 74 | 21 | 3 | 22.3% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 2.86 | 2.74 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 14 | 6 | 33 | 154 | 46 | 15 | 3 | 26.1% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 5.13 | 3.30 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 25 | 0 | 33 | 127 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 2.45 | 3.44 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 6 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | MIL | 25 | — | 25 | 107 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.90 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 33 | 141 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 22.6% | 12.2% | 2.1% | 4.85 | 3.46 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 24 | — | 24 | 103 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 20.7% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 214 | 77 | 596 | 2600 | 508 | 243 | 46 | 19.5% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 4.18 | 3.61 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 26 | 200 | 872 | 170 | 81 | 15 | 19.5% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 4.18 | 3.61 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Waguespack (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.64 | 20.7% | 10.0% | 24 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 81 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.82 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.26 | 3.17 | 272 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 78 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 77 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 76 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.54 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .308 | 4.43 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.89 | 3.54 | 348 | 75 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.53 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .338 | 4.03 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.50 | 2.80 | 410 | 75 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.77 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .280 | 3.48 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.29 | 3.02 | 363 | 75 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 73 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 73 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 73 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .362 | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.05 | 2.99 | 227 | 73 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 73 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 73 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.7% | .265 | 3.96 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.79 | 2.89 | 227 | 72 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 72 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 72 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 72 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 71 |
| Collin McHugh R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.13 | 25.9% | 9.5% | 3.7% | .259 | 2.03 | 28.8% | 24.3% | 133 | -2.10 | 1.78 | 806 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.