Jacob Waguespack

Jacob Waguespack P Detroit Tigers

Age 32 RHP 6'6" / 228 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10395vR 87

ERA4.21

FIP4.16

K%21.9%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2792.9

Whiff%

p4324.3%

p1016.4%

xwOBA vs

p790.284

CT (35%)

CU (14%)

FB-0.6 (39%)

CH-2.8 (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	4	0	6	25	7	1	0	0%	1.4	28.0%	4.0%	24.0%	0.0%	7.94	1.24	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	4	0	6	25	7	1	0	0%	1.4	28.0%	4.0%	24.0%	0.0%	7.94	1.16	—
2016	22	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	43	0	72	317	72	28	1	0%	1.7	16.8%	10.4%	6.4%	0.5%	3.52	3.26	—
2016	22	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	43	0	72	317	72	28	1	0%	1.7	22.7%	8.8%	13.9%	0.3%	3.52	2.44	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	16	105	452	108	37	5	52%	3.4	18.7%	9.2%	9.5%	1.2%	3.42	3.36	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	16	105	452	108	37	5	52%	3.4	23.9%	8.2%	15.7%	1.1%	3.42	2.72	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	21	122	538	112	45	7	75%	4.4	17.9%	8.9%	9.0%	1.3%	4.80	3.45	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	21	122	538	112	45	7	75%	4.4	20.8%	8.4%	12.5%	1.3%	4.80	3.12	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	131	571	115	54	21	86%	4.7	19.0%	9.7%	9.4%	3.8%	4.75	4.82	+0.1
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	24	131	571	115	54	21	86%	4.7	20.1%	9.5%	10.7%	3.7%	4.75	4.67	+0.3
2020	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	11	0	18	90	16	9	2	0%	1.6	17.8%	10.0%	7.8%	2.2%	8.15	4.09	+0.1
2020	26	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	11	0	18	90	16	9	2	0%	1.6	17.8%	10.0%	7.8%	2.2%	8.15	4.29	+0.1
2021	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	24	10	69	292	74	21	3	42%	2.9	22.3%	7.6%	14.8%	1.0%	2.86	2.75	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	24	10	69	292	74	21	3	42%	2.9	25.3%	7.2%	18.2%	1.0%	2.86	2.44	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	6	33	154	46	15	3	43%	2.4	25.0%	9.7%	15.4%	2.1%	5.13	3.34	+0.5
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	6	33	154	46	15	3	43%	2.4	25.0%	9.7%	15.4%	2.1%	5.13	3.34	+0.5
2024	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	6	33	154	46	15	3	43%	2.4	29.9%	9.7%	20.1%	1.9%	5.13	2.86	+0.7
2025	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	25	0	33	127	31	11	2	0%	1.3	20.3%	7.8%	12.5%	1.8%	2.45	3.38	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	25	0	33	127	31	11	2	0%	1.3	20.3%	7.8%	12.5%	1.8%	2.45	3.38	—
2025	31	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	25	0	33	127	31	11	2	0%	1.3	24.4%	8.7%	15.7%	1.6%	2.45	3.01	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			61	15	144	628	115	64	21	25%	2.4	18.3%	10.2%	8.1%	3.3%	4.49	4.73	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	46	1	60	243	58	31	7	2%	1.3	21.6%	12.1%	9.4%	3.0%	2.39	4.48	+0.0
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	46	1	60	243	58	31	7	2%	1.3	21.6%	12.1%	9.4%	3.0%	2.39	4.48	+0.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	DET	16	0	22	91	33	15	1	0%	1.4	36.3%	16.5%	19.8%	1.1%	1.66	2.73	—
2026	32	MLB RAW	DET	30	1	39	152	25	16	6	3%	1.3	16.4%	10.5%	5.9%	3.9%	2.79	5.21	-0.3
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	DET	30	1	39	152	25	16	6	3%	1.3	16.4%	10.5%	5.9%	3.9%	2.79	5.21	-0.3
ROS	32	MLB MLE	DET	6	0	6	27	6	3	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.1%	10.8%	2.8%	4.21	4.16	+0.0
ROS	32	MLB CTX	DET	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.1%	10.8%	2.8%	4.21	4.16	+0.0
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	DET	—	—	67	270	64	34	8	—	—	23.7%	12.6%	11.1%	2.9%	2.56	4.45	+0.1
FULL	32	MLB A+C	DET	—	—	45	190	64	34	8	—	—	33.6%	17.9%	15.7%	4.1%	3.79	4.76	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	DET	132	0	138	584	113	64	19	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.0%	8.4%	3.3%	4.95	5.04	-0.8
2028	34	MLB MLE	DET	120	0	126	532	99	61	19	0%	1.0	18.5%	11.5%	7.0%	3.6%	5.19	5.34	-1.1
2027	33	MLB CTX	DET	125	0	131	553	107	61	18	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.0%	8.4%	3.3%	4.95	5.04	-0.7
2028	34	MLB CTX	DET	109	0	114	481	89	55	17	0%	1.0	18.5%	11.5%	7.0%	3.6%	5.19	5.34	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		301	15	396	1690	318	183	57	5%	1.3	18.8%	10.8%	7.9%	3.4%	4.84	4.75	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		152	8	200	854	161	92	29	5%	1.3	18.8%	10.8%	7.9%	3.4%	4.84	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		254	78	649	2809	548	264	54	31%	2.6	19.5%	9.4%	10.1%	1.9%	4.01	3.70	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	24	200	866	169	82	17	31%	2.6	19.5%	9.4%	10.1%	1.9%	4.01	3.70	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Waguespack (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	22.2%	10.6%	2.7%	—	5.18	19.0%	7.8%	264	+0.74	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	67
Nick Martinez R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	32	SU	3.62	23.0%	8.5%	2.5%	.286	3.68	17.2%	12.9%	474	+0.06	2.94	1,134	64
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	14.0%	6.6%	4.2%	.268	5.28	17.5%	9.7%	166	+0.25	3.97	567	62
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	61
Joe Blanton R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	34	SW	3.45	22.4%	4.6%	3.0%	.272	3.70	23.5%	17.0%	124	+0.25	3.01	240	60
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	60
Sam LeCure R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	32	SW	4.17	16.6%	6.5%	3.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.17	171	59
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	59
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	58
Casey Coleman R 2019 · 5.06 FIP	32	SW	5.06	18.4%	9.0%	4.3%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	306	57
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	57
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	219	57
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	57
Toru Murata R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	31	SW	3.63	12.9%	5.7%	1.6%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	267	57
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	56
Joakim Soria R 2016 · 4.33 FIP	32	SU	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.7%	.319	2.63	28.5%	21.7%	186	-1.70	2.01	380	56
Louis Coleman R 2018 · 3.98 FIP	32	SU	3.98	19.8%	9.9%	2.4%	.243	4.44	17.6%	3.6%	14	+0.46	3.10	256	55
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	55
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	55
Cory Gearrin R 2018 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	8.1%	3.1%	.292	3.78	19.5%	9.5%	55	-0.24	3.15	272	54

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	138	20.2%	11.0%	1.23	4.86
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45