Max Kranick P Rochester Red Wings
Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 53 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.49
FIP4.40
K%17.8%
BB%5.3%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
K: -3.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: +4.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+4BBCONTACT: +3.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+4CONTACTSTAM: +3.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: +0.80 (65 IP)+0.8WAR
0.0-0.1-0.2-0.3262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL6565
CMD4545
K†4040
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6595.6
Whiff%
p1720.7%
K%
p1216.7%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
SL+2.4 (47%)
FB+0.9 (41%)
SI (2%)
CU (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201619ROKGCL Pirates9633130214167%3.711.0%3.8%7.1%1.1%2.433.25
201619ROKGCL Pirates9633130214167%3.716.2%3.1%13.1%0.8%2.432.59
201720ROKBristol Pirates55241001861100%4.912.2%7.5%4.7%1.4%1.113.78
201720ROKBristol Pirates55241001861100%4.918.0%6.0%12.0%1.0%1.112.89
201821AWest Virginia Power1716783227718794%4.617.7%6.6%11.1%2.1%3.813.58
201821AWest Virginia Power1716783227718794%4.623.9%5.6%18.3%2.2%3.812.98
201922A+Bradenton Marauders2020109451783011100%5.513.3%7.6%5.7%2.7%3.794.41
201922A+Bradenton Marauders2020109451783011100%5.517.3%6.7%10.6%2.4%3.793.80
202124MIX3 levels2424109475933412100%4.517.8%7.4%10.4%2.6%4.893.95+1.8
202124MIX3 levels2424109475933412100%4.519.6%7.2%12.4%2.5%4.893.76+2.1
202225MIX3 levels631455115350%2.320.0%9.1%10.9%5.5%1.985.56-0.2
202225MIX3 levels631455115350%2.320.0%9.1%10.9%5.5%1.985.44-0.1
202326MIX2 levels9921801492100%2.317.6%10.5%7.1%1.5%4.353.79
202326MIX2 levels9921801492100%2.317.5%11.2%6.2%2.5%4.354.31
202427MIX3 levels4587129964231218%1.617.9%7.7%10.3%4.5%3.825.05
202427MIX3 levels4587129964231218%1.621.4%7.7%13.7%4.0%3.824.47
202528MIX2 levels2603915930560%1.516.9%3.4%13.5%3.4%3.893.97+0.3
202528MIX2 levels2603915930560%1.518.9%3.1%15.7%3.8%3.893.94+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAARochester Red Wings821253113225%1.55.40
ROS29MLBWSH50053223401270%1.117.8%5.3%12.4%3.2%4.494.40+0.1
ROS29MLBWSH2302410118530%1.017.8%5.3%12.4%3.2%4.494.40+0.0
2026 TOT29MLBWSH652765115918.3%5.4%12.9%3.3%4.653.60+0.8
2026 FULL29MLBWSH24101185317.8%5.4%12.4%3.2%4.494.02+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBWSH47050210371370%1.117.6%6.0%11.6%3.4%4.554.60-0.0
202831MLBWSH44046195341370%1.117.3%6.6%10.7%3.6%4.704.81-0.1
202932MLBWSH41043181301370%1.016.8%7.2%9.6%3.8%4.905.04-0.2
202730MLBWSH2903012722840%1.017.6%6.0%11.6%3.4%4.554.60-0.0
202831MLBWSH3103313924950%1.117.3%6.6%10.7%3.6%4.704.81-0.1
202932MLBWSH32034144241050%1.116.8%7.2%9.6%3.8%4.905.04-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career150920285914957276%1.317.4%6.6%10.8%3.1%4.684.18+2.9
/ 200 IP149920085314857276%1.317.4%6.6%10.8%3.1%4.684.18+2.9
Career1699351021243451485955%3.016.2%7.0%9.3%2.8%3.834.14+7.5
/ 200 IP6636200833135582355%3.016.2%7.0%9.3%2.8%3.834.14+3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Max Kranick (OGILVIE) 4.40 17.8%5.3%3.2% 4.81 17.3%10.7%139 +0.41
Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 29 SW 4.73 13.8%5.9%3.7%.332 4.45 11.2%7.2%74 -0.28 4.45 135 78
Tiago Da Silva R 2027 · 3.30 FIP 30 SW 3.30 19.6%4.5%2.4%.278 2.36 21.4%18.5%98 -0.94 2.11 287 73
Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 72
Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 72
Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 29 SW 3.76 19.9%7.2%2.6%.347 3.99 17.6%7.3%169 +0.23 3.73 725 72
Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 72
Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP 32 SW 3.70 15.9%7.7%1.8%.330 3.83 16.7%8.1%144 +0.13 3.15 352 69
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP 30 SW 4.28 12.4%6.9%2.5%.288 4.99 11.4%1.3%125 +0.71 3.49 212 69
Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 4.28 FIP 30 SW 4.28 18.7%5.5%3.8%.333 3.66 27.2%18.8%45 -0.62 3.66 348 69
Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 29 SW 4.54 13.6%4.9%3.6%.267 4.47 13.6%4.3%63 -0.07 3.14 300 69
Donovan Hand R 2026 · 4.29 FIP 29 SW 4.29 11.1%4.3%2.9%.305 4.30 12.5%5.7%140 +0.01 4.29 237 69
Jorge Martinez R 2028 · 3.42 FIP 31 SP- 3.42 12.9%5.3%1.4%.266 3.59 16.5%11.5%154 +0.17 3.42 214 67
Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 29 SP- 4.59 16.9%11.1%2.8%.369 3.64 204 66
Francisco Cordova R 2028 · 5.28 FIP 31 SW 5.28 6.4%4.6%3.9%.261 4.78 7.1%-0.6%83 -0.50 4.78 115 66
Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.3%8.9%3.2%.321 2.17 152 66
Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 29 SW 4.04 17.2%6.6%2.8%.281 5.00 15.4%8.2%139 +0.96 3.93 337 65
Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 65
Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP 29 SW 4.48 14.0%8.7%2.7%.335 4.42 17.2%3.5%43 -0.06 4.23 241 64
Austin Pruitt R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 29 SW 4.12 20.5%5.5%3.7%.327 4.10 18.3%14.4%95 -0.02 2.95 819 64
Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP 28 SP- 4.00 20.9%8.8%2.8%.291 3.13 195 64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44817.4%6.2%1.344.65
Austin Pruitt ('23)56116.9%5.6%1.224.45
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Adam Morgan ('21)65920.5%7.1%1.564.77
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91
JC Ramírez ('17)38317.0%7.7%1.304.33