Max Kranick — OGILVIE

Max Kranick P Washington Nationals

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 100

ERA4.47

FIP4.40

K%15.8%

BB%6.6%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6565

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p3623.3%

p1011.7%

xwOBA vs

p100.369

SL+2.4 (47%)

FB+0.9 (41%)

SI (2%)

CU (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	9	6	33	130	21	4	1	67%	3.7	11.0%	3.8%	7.1%	1.1%	2.43	3.25	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	9	6	33	130	21	4	1	67%	3.7	16.2%	3.1%	13.1%	0.8%	2.43	2.59	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	5	5	24	100	18	6	1	100%	4.9	12.2%	7.5%	4.7%	1.4%	1.11	3.78	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	5	5	24	100	18	6	1	100%	4.9	18.0%	6.0%	12.0%	1.0%	1.11	2.89	—
2018	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	17	16	78	322	77	18	7	94%	4.6	17.7%	6.6%	11.1%	2.4%	3.81	3.75	—
2018	21	A RAW	West Virginia Power	17	16	78	322	77	18	7	94%	4.6	23.9%	5.6%	18.3%	2.2%	3.81	2.98	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	20	20	109	451	78	30	11	100%	5.5	13.3%	7.6%	5.7%	2.9%	3.79	4.51	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	20	20	109	451	78	30	11	100%	5.5	17.3%	6.7%	10.6%	2.4%	3.79	3.80	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	109	475	93	34	12	100%	4.5	17.8%	7.4%	10.4%	2.7%	4.89	4.02	+1.1
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	24	109	475	93	34	12	100%	4.5	19.6%	7.2%	12.4%	2.5%	4.89	3.76	+1.5
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	6	3	14	55	11	5	3	50%	2.3	20.0%	9.1%	10.9%	5.5%	1.98	5.56	-0.1
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	6	3	14	55	11	5	3	50%	2.3	20.0%	9.1%	10.9%	5.5%	1.98	5.44	-0.1
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	9	21	80	14	9	2	100%	2.3	16.6%	9.0%	7.6%	1.7%	4.35	3.76	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	9	21	80	14	9	2	100%	2.3	16.6%	9.0%	7.6%	1.7%	4.35	3.76	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	9	21	80	14	9	2	100%	2.3	17.5%	11.2%	6.2%	2.5%	4.35	4.31	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	8	71	299	64	23	12	18%	1.6	16.9%	6.6%	10.3%	4.8%	3.82	5.14	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	8	71	299	64	23	12	18%	1.6	16.9%	6.6%	10.3%	4.8%	3.82	5.14	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	8	71	299	64	23	12	18%	1.6	21.4%	7.7%	13.7%	4.0%	3.82	4.47	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	39	159	30	5	6	0%	1.5	16.9%	3.4%	13.5%	3.4%	3.89	3.96	+0.3
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	39	159	30	5	6	0%	1.5	16.9%	3.4%	13.5%	3.4%	3.89	3.96	+0.3
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	39	159	30	5	6	0%	1.5	18.9%	3.1%	15.7%	3.8%	3.89	3.94	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			52	9	99	443	72	37	13	17%	1.9	16.3%	8.4%	7.9%	2.9%	5.55	4.47	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	27	2	32	155	24	17	6	7%	1.2	11.7%	13.8%	-2.1%	4.3%	7.59	6.20	-0.6
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	27	2	32	155	24	17	6	7%	1.2	11.7%	13.8%	-2.1%	4.3%	7.59	6.20	-0.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	ROK RAW	WSH	1	0	1	7	0	1	1	0%	1.3	0.0%	14.3%	-14.3%	14.3%	13.50	12.75	—
2026	29	A RAW	WSH	2	1	3	11	5	0	1	50%	1.4	45.5%	0.0%	45.5%	9.1%	6.75	4.25	—
2026	29	AA RAW	WSH	2	1	3	11	1	0	0	50%	1.5	9.1%	0.0%	9.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.33	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	WSH	5	0	7	32	7	3	0	0%	1.3	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	0.0%	5.40	2.44	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	WSH	17	0	18	94	11	13	4	0%	1.1	11.7%	13.8%	-2.1%	4.3%	9.33	6.20	-0.3
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	WSH	17	0	18	94	11	13	4	0%	1.1	11.7%	13.8%	-2.1%	4.3%	9.33	6.20	-0.3
ROS	29	MLB MLE	WSH	4	0	4	17	3	1	1	0%	1.0	15.8%	6.6%	9.2%	3.3%	4.47	4.40	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	WSH	4	0	4	17	3	1	1	0%	1.0	15.8%	6.6%	9.2%	3.3%	4.47	4.40	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	WSH	—	—	36	172	27	18	7	—	—	15.5%	10.5%	5.0%	3.8%	7.24	5.99	-0.6
FULL	29	MLB A+C	WSH	—	—	22	95	27	18	7	—	—	28.2%	19.1%	9.1%	6.9%	11.64	6.95	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	WSH	47	0	50	210	34	15	7	0%	1.1	16.1%	7.4%	8.7%	3.6%	4.96	5.01	-0.3
2028	31	MLB MLE	WSH	44	0	46	195	31	15	7	0%	1.1	15.8%	7.9%	8.0%	3.7%	5.08	5.19	-0.3
2029	32	MLB MLE	WSH	41	0	43	181	28	15	7	0%	1.0	15.4%	8.3%	7.1%	4.0%	5.26	5.40	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	WSH	45	0	47	198	32	15	7	0%	1.0	16.1%	7.4%	8.7%	3.6%	4.96	5.01	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	WSH	42	0	44	186	29	15	7	0%	1.0	15.8%	7.9%	8.0%	3.7%	5.08	5.19	-0.3
2029	32	MLB CTX	WSH	39	0	41	173	27	14	7	0%	1.1	15.4%	8.3%	7.1%	4.0%	5.26	5.40	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		181	9	235	1017	163	82	34	5%	1.3	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	3.4%	5.27	4.62	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		154	8	200	866	139	70	29	5%	1.3	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	3.4%	5.27	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		188	93	530	2226	348	162	67	49%	2.8	15.6%	7.3%	8.4%	3.0%	4.02	4.35	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	35	200	840	131	61	25	49%	2.8	15.6%	7.3%	8.4%	3.0%	4.02	4.35	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Max Kranick (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	17.4%	5.0%	3.2%	—	5.19	15.8%	8.0%	139	+0.77	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	85
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	79
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	78
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	78
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	76
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	75
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	75
Murphy Smith R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SW	4.32	13.6%	4.9%	3.2%	.267	4.57	13.6%	4.3%	63	+0.25	3.16	300	74
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	74
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	73
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	72
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	70
Josh Lindblom R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	30	SW	3.91	18.7%	5.5%	3.1%	.333	3.50	27.2%	18.8%	45	-0.41	3.50	348	70
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	69
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	69
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	69
Felipe Arredondo R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	29	SW	3.92	17.2%	6.6%	2.6%	.281	4.71	15.4%	8.2%	139	+0.79	3.92	337	69
Lindsey Caughel R 2018 · 5.12 FIP	27	SW	5.12	13.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	187	69
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	67
Mike Wright Jr. R 2019 · 3.76 FIP	29	SW	3.76	19.9%	7.2%	2.6%	.347	4.19	17.6%	7.3%	169	+0.43	3.76	725	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	48	16.2%	7.0%	1.39	4.93
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21