Eduardo Valencia
C Toledo Mud Hens| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A/ROKDET | 247 | .241/.316/.359 | 4 | 0 | 38 | — | .189/.241/.263 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AADET | 433 | .311/.386/.559 | 24 | 0 | 127 | — | .284/.340/.480 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAADET | 354 | .262/.350/.479 | 17 | 1 | 83 | — | .222/.291/.378 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBDET | 138 | .341/.377/.636 | 8 | 0 | 188 | 2.7 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 27 | MLBDET | 70 | .263/.322/.462 | 3 | 0 | 123 | 0.4 | |
| 2028PROJ60% MLB | 28 | MLBDET | 171 | .260/.319/.454 | 7 | 0 | 120 | 1.0 | |
| 2029PROJ65% MLB | 29 | MLBDET | 184 | .257/.316/.445 | 7 | 0 | 117 | 0.9 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | — | 231 | 198 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 313 | 390 | 389 | 779 | 76 | 344 | 10 | 9 | 343 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | — | 130 | 118 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 283 | 288 | 572 | 59 | 250 | 10 | 6 | 257 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 42 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 244 | 139 | 383 | 172 | 19 | 12 | 191 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers West | — | 111 | 91 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 431 | 418 | 849 | 99 | 359 | 12 | 10 | 383 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 35 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 314 | 400 | 714 | 200 | 200 | 23 | 11 | 323 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 164 | 144 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 327 | 375 | 702 | 132 | 279 | 18 | 10 | 315 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 290 | 502 | 129 | 160 | 18 | 3 | 221 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 231 | 205 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 328 | 366 | 693 | 117 | 296 | 19 | 9 | 313 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | FCL Tigers | — | 16 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 133 | 267 | 400 | 133 | 182 | 31 | 0 | 161 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 215 | 185 | 59 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 319 | 408 | 622 | 1.030 | 303 | 346 | 19 | 13 | 440 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 218 | 194 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 364 | 500 | 864 | 196 | 338 | 21 | 7 | 374 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 138 | 129 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 341 | 377 | 636 | 1.012 | 295 | 404 | 23 | 4 | 436 | 188 | +14 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +3 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 354 | 309 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 17 | 35 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 350 | 479 | 829 | 217 | 291 | 21 | 10 | 364 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 138 | 129 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 341 | 377 | 636 | 1.012 | 295 | 404 | 23 | 4 | 436 | 181 | +13 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +3 | 2.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers 1 | — | 231 | 204 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 216 | 283 | 265 | 547 | 49 | 234 | 12 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 130 | 121 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 213 | 215 | 427 | 41 | 190 | 15 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 42 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 132 | 195 | 132 | 327 | 161 | 26 | 7 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers West | — | 111 | 96 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 339 | 323 | 662 | 73 | 288 | 17 | 5 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 35 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 257 | 355 | 612 | 194 | 180 | 31 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 164 | 149 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 265 | 282 | 547 | 81 | 260 | 25 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 290 | 502 | 129 | 144 | 24 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 231 | 213 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 253 | 272 | 526 | 75 | 250 | 25 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 133 | 200 | 67 | 126 | 44 | 0 | 102 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 215 | 194 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 352 | 541 | 893 | 253 | 325 | 21 | 8 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 218 | 200 | 56 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 327 | 420 | 747 | 140 | 324 | 24 | 5 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 138 | 130 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 377 | 631 | 1.008 | 292 | 404 | 23 | 4 | 446 | 188 | +14 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +3 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 354 | 320 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 90 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 291 | 378 | 669 | 156 | 261 | 25 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers 1 | — | 231 | 204 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 216 | 283 | 265 | 547 | 49 | 243 | 12 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Tigers 1 | — | 231 | 198 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 313 | 390 | 389 | 779 | 76 | 344 | 10 | 9 | 343 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 130 | 121 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 213 | 215 | 427 | 41 | 200 | 15 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers West | — | 130 | 118 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 283 | 288 | 572 | 59 | 250 | 10 | 6 | 257 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 133 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 307 | 271 | 577 | 53 | 269 | 20 | 7 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 153 | 127 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 268 | 380 | 339 | 719 | 71 | 308 | 14 | 10 | 330 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 199 | 180 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 269 | 300 | 569 | 100 | 256 | 26 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 199 | 174 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 325 | 379 | 704 | 144 | 267 | 19 | 11 | 316 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 290 | 502 | 129 | 174 | 24 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 212 | 290 | 502 | 129 | 160 | 18 | 3 | 221 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 228 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 242 | 263 | 505 | 75 | 245 | 26 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 247 | 220 | 53 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 316 | 359 | 675 | 118 | 288 | 19 | 9 | 303 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 433 | 394 | 112 | 16 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 99 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 340 | 480 | 819 | 195 | 330 | 23 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 433 | 379 | 118 | 18 | 2 | 24 | 43 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 386 | 559 | 946 | 248 | 342 | 20 | 10 | 407 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 450 | 115 | 26 | 1 | 20 | 30 | 122 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 315 | 451 | 766 | 196 | 305 | 25 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 492 | 438 | 125 | 28 | 1 | 25 | 41 | 107 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 285 | 358 | 525 | 883 | 240 | 324 | 22 | 8 | 384 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers 1 | — | 231 | 210 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 210 | 283 | 257 | 540 | 48 | 234 | 12 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 130 | 123 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 213 | 211 | 424 | 41 | 190 | 15 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 135 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 307 | 267 | 573 | 52 | 253 | 20 | 7 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 199 | 180 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 269 | 300 | 569 | 100 | 246 | 26 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 34 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 212 | 281 | 493 | 125 | 144 | 24 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 229 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 242 | 262 | 504 | 74 | 242 | 26 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 433 | 397 | 112 | 16 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 99 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 340 | 476 | 816 | 194 | 324 | 23 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 450 | 115 | 26 | 1 | 20 | 30 | 122 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 315 | 451 | 766 | 196 | 301 | 25 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 229 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 242 | 262 | 504 | 74 | 242 | 26 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 433 | 397 | 112 | 16 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 99 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 340 | 476 | 816 | 194 | 324 | 23 | 7 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 450 | 115 | 26 | 1 | 20 | 30 | 122 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 315 | 451 | 766 | 196 | 301 | 25 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | DET | 45% | 380 | 347 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 90 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 326 | 475 | 801 | 206 | 316 | 24 | 7 | 350 | 123 | +10 | -0 | -3 | +7 | +8 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | DET | 45% | 70 | 64 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 322 | 462 | 784 | 199 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 343 | 123 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | DET | 60% | 286 | 261 | 69 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 324 | 467 | 791 | 201 | 314 | 24 | 7 | 346 | 120 | +7 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | DET | 65% | 284 | 259 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 321 | 458 | 779 | 196 | 311 | 24 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +6 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | DET | 68% | 281 | 256 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 317 | 447 | 765 | 189 | 308 | 24 | 7 | 336 | 113 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB MLE | DET | 69% | 251 | 229 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 312 | 436 | 748 | 182 | 304 | 25 | 7 | 329 | 109 | +3 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB MLE | DET | 70% | 222 | 202 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 306 | 421 | 727 | 174 | 299 | 25 | 7 | 321 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | DET | 60% | 171 | 156 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 319 | 454 | 774 | 194 | 308 | 24 | 6 | 339 | 120 | +4 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +4 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | DET | 65% | 184 | 168 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 316 | 445 | 762 | 189 | 306 | 24 | 7 | 335 | 117 | +4 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +4 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | DET | 68% | 190 | 173 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 313 | 436 | 748 | 183 | 303 | 24 | 7 | 329 | 113 | +3 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB CTX | DET | 69% | 174 | 158 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 308 | 424 | 732 | 176 | 299 | 25 | 7 | 323 | 109 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB CTX | DET | 70% | 156 | 143 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 302 | 410 | 712 | 168 | 294 | 25 | 6 | 315 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +3 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1013 | 927 | 246 | 56 | 5 | 40 | 64 | 245 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 321 | 466 | 787 | 201 | 318 | 24 | 6 | 343 | 95 | +27 | +0 | -13 | +24 | +22 | 6.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 158 | 36 | 3 | 26 | 41 | 157 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 321 | 467 | 789 | 202 | 318 | 24 | 6 | 343 | 95 | +17 | +0 | -8 | +16 | +14 | 3.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3398 | 3090 | 754 | 147 | 10 | 106 | 217 | 780 | 51 | 12 | 6 | 244 | 304 | 401 | 705 | 157 | 290 | 23 | 6 | 309 | 95 | +38 | +0 | -21 | +35 | +35 | 9.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 144 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 42 | 149 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 305 | 399 | 705 | 156 | 290 | 23 | 6 | 309 | 95 | +15 | +0 | -8 | +14 | +14 | 3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 354 PAwOBA .356 → .291 (−65)K% 21.2% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.19% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.18% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .356 → .291; ISO .217 → .161; BABIP .291 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAErie SeaWolves · 218 PAwOBA .371 → .325 (−46)K% 20.6% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.64% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.34% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.86% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 28.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.075 | ×0.860 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 2.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.115 | ×0.950 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.056 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 5.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .371 → .325; ISO .196 → .148; BABIP .338 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 215 PAwOBA .430 → .389 (−41)K% 19.1% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.07% | ÷1.073 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.53% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 20.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.03% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 8.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.905 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.03% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.49% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 81, K 115, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .430 → .389; ISO .303 → .273; BABIP .346 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 231 PAwOBA .306 → .233 (−74)K% 18.6% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.61% | ÷1.028 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.60% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.980 | 20.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.351 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×0.980 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.099 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 1.76% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .306 → .233; ISO .117 → .076; BABIP .296 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Tigers · 16 PAwOBA .166 → .102 (−64)K% 31.2% → 45.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.991 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 14.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .166 → .102; ISO .133 → .082; BABIP .182 → .126. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 34 PAwOBA .221 → .192 (−29)K% 17.6% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.007 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.94% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 2.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 11.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.62% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .221 → .192; ISO .129 → .114; BABIP .160 → .144. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 164 PAwOBA .309 → .249 (−60)K% 18.3% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.29% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 20.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.279 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .309 → .249; ISO .132 → .092; BABIP .279 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 35 PAwOBA .315 → .261 (−54)K% 22.9% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷0.956 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 8.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 16.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.876 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.847 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 8.68% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 106, 2B 75, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .315 → .261; ISO .200 → .180; BABIP .200 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).