Eduardo Valencia

Eduardo ValenciaC Toledo Mud Hens

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION331 act + 220 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†118

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .325 / .461

PA220

HR10

K%24

BB%7

BABIP307

ISO200

MLB%30%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT44

xwOBA

900.486

POWER50

Barrel%

9028.6

Avg EV

9092.7

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED22

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$1.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.3	$24M	+$24M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.2	$22M	+$21M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+3.1	$20M	+$15M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+2.8	$17M	+$11M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+2.5	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$29M		$98M	+$79M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	231	206	53	10	1	0	13	33	4	6	5	257	314	316	629	58	298	14	6	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	231	198	62	13	1	0	21	23	4	6	5	313	390	389	779	76	344	10	9	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	GCL Tigers West	—	130	121	21	5	0	0	5	19	1	1	0	174	213	215	427	41	200	15	4	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	GCL Tigers West	—	130	118	27	7	0	0	8	13	1	1	0	229	283	288	572	59	250	10	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	153	134	29	4	0	1	9	29	7	2	0	216	300	269	569	52	264	19	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	153	127	34	6	0	1	16	21	7	2	0	268	380	339	719	71	308	14	10	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	199	180	35	7	0	4	15	56	2	1	0	194	264	300	564	106	256	28	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	199	174	41	7	0	6	21	38	2	1	0	236	325	379	704	144	267	19	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	31	5	1	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	161	212	290	502	129	174	24	3	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	31	5	1	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	161	212	290	502	129	160	18	3	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	247	227	44	8	0	3	14	65	3	0	0	194	250	269	519	75	255	26	6	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	247	220	53	14	0	4	21	48	3	0	0	241	316	359	675	118	288	19	9	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	433	394	118	17	2	25	29	97	4	0	0	299	354	543	897	244	335	22	7	381	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	433	379	118	18	2	24	43	86	4	0	0	311	386	559	946	248	342	20	10	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	DET	—	331	299	68	11	1	13	22	83	7	1	1	227	296	401	697	174	267	25	7	305	92	-3	-0	+0	+6	+9	1.2
YTD	26	AAA	DET	—	331	288	77	13	1	16	33	69	7	1	1	267	357	486	843	219	296	21	10	369	141	+15	-0	+0	+6	+9	3.1
ROS	26	AAA	DET	30%	220	199	52	8	1	10	15	54	4	1	0	260	325	461	785	200	303	24	7	340	118	+5	+0	-0	+4	+6	1.5
ROS	26	MLB	DET	30%	66	61	15	2	0	3	4	16	1	0	0	246	303	426	729	180	298	24	6	321	104	+0	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.3
FULL	26	AAA	DET	—	397	360	83	13	1	16	26	99	8	1	1	231	297	406	703	175	270	25	7	308	94	-3	-0	-0	+7	+11	1.5
TOT	26	AAA	DET	—	551	498	120	19	2	23	37	137	11	2	1	241	307	425	732	184	283	25	7	319	102	+1	+0	-0	+10	+16	2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	DET	54%	496	451	117	19	2	22	35	121	7	2	1	259	323	457	779	197	303	24	7	340	118	+10	+0	-1	+9	+14	3.3
2028	28	MLB	DET	67%	516	466	120	20	2	22	37	126	8	2	1	258	323	451	774	193	301	24	7	337	116	+10	+0	-2	+9	+15	3.2
2029	29	MLB	DET	71%	520	470	120	20	2	22	38	127	7	2	1	255	320	447	767	191	300	24	7	335	114	+8	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.1
2030	30	MLB	DET	73%	520	470	118	19	2	21	38	128	7	1	1	251	317	434	751	183	299	25	7	332	112	+7	-0	-3	+9	+15	2.8
2031	31	MLB	DET	74%	504	455	113	18	2	20	37	126	7	1	1	248	315	429	743	180	296	25	7	328	109	+5	-0	-4	+9	+14	2.5
2032	32	MLB	DET	75%	488	442	108	17	2	19	36	124	7	1	1	244	311	421	732	176	293	25	7	322	104	+2	-0	-5	+9	+14	2.1
2033	33	MLB	DET	76%	410	372	88	14	1	15	30	106	5	1	0	237	302	401	703	164	289	26	7	315	99	-0	+0	-5	+7	+12	1.4
2034	34	MLB	DET	71%	336	305	72	11	1	12	24	89	4	0	0	236	300	397	697	161	287	26	7	308	94	-2	+0	-6	+6	+10	0.8
2035	35	MLB	DET	67%	275	249	57	8	1	9	20	75	4	0	0	229	297	378	674	149	283	27	7	299	87	-4	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.3
2036	36	MLB	DET	58%	145	132	29	4	0	5	10	41	2	0	0	220	285	364	648	144	279	28	7	290	80	-3	+0	-7	+3	+4	-0.3
2037	37	MLB	DET	49%	92	85	18	2	0	3	6	27	1	0	0	212	272	341	613	129	275	29	7	280	72	-3	+0	-7	+2	+3	-0.6
2027	27	MLB	DET	54%	269	244	61	10	1	11	19	66	4	1	1	250	315	434	749	184	297	25	7	322	104	+1	-0	-1	+5	+8	1.3
2028	28	MLB	DET	67%	345	312	78	13	1	14	25	84	5	1	1	250	316	433	748	183	296	24	7	320	103	+1	-0	-1	+6	+10	1.6
2029	29	MLB	DET	71%	368	333	82	13	1	15	27	90	5	1	1	246	312	426	739	180	295	24	7	318	101	+1	-0	-2	+7	+10	1.6
2030	30	MLB	DET	73%	380	344	85	14	1	15	28	94	5	1	1	247	313	424	737	177	293	25	7	315	99	-0	-0	-2	+7	+11	1.5
2031	31	MLB	DET	74%	375	339	82	13	1	14	28	94	5	1	1	242	309	410	719	168	291	25	7	311	96	-2	-0	-3	+7	+11	1.3
2032	32	MLB	DET	75%	367	332	80	13	1	14	27	93	5	1	0	241	308	413	720	172	288	25	7	305	92	-3	+0	-3	+7	+10	1.1
2033	33	MLB	DET	76%	310	280	65	10	1	11	23	80	4	0	0	232	300	393	693	161	284	26	7	299	87	-5	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.6
2034	34	MLB	DET	71%	239	217	49	7	1	8	17	63	3	0	0	226	291	378	669	152	282	26	7	293	82	-5	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.2
2035	35	MLB	DET	67%	183	166	37	5	1	6	13	50	2	0	0	223	287	373	661	151	278	27	7	284	76	-5	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.1
2036	36	MLB	DET	58%	84	77	17	2	0	3	6	24	1	0	0	221	286	364	649	143	275	29	7	275	69	-3	+0	-4	+1	+2	-0.3
2037	37	MLB	DET	49%	45	41	8	1	0	1	3	13	1	0	0	195	267	293	559	98	271	29	7	265	61	-2	+0	-4	+1	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3031	2746	659	103	9	115	220	767	41	6	5	240	306	410	716	170	290	25	7	308	94	-22	-1	-32	+54	+86	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	142	22	2	25	47	164	9	1	1	241	307	413	720	171	290	25	7	308	94	-5	-0	-7	+12	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	5949	5389	1317	212	19	214	412	1451	85	21	11	244	308	410	718	166	293	24	7	315	99	-5	-0	-48	+106	+169	22.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	143	23	2	23	45	159	9	2	1	243	306	406	712	163	291	24	7	315	99	-1	+0	-5	+12	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	231	198	62	13	1	0	21	23	4	6	5	313	390	389	779	76	344	10	9	343	121	+5	-1	—	—	+7	1.1
2019	19	ROK	GCL Tigers West	—	130	118	27	7	0	0	8	13	1	1	0	229	283	288	572	59	250	10	6	257	55	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2021	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	42	36	5	0	0	0	5	8	0	1	0	139	244	139	383		172	19	12	191	4	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	21	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	111	91	29	6	0	1	11	13	7	1	0	319	431	418	849	99	359	12	10	383	151	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	35	30	6	0	0	2	4	8	1	0	0	200	314	400	714	200	200	23	11	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	164	144	35	7	0	4	17	30	1	1	0	243	327	375	702	132	279	18	10	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	31	5	1	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	161	212	290	502	129	160	18	3	221	27	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	231	205	51	12	0	4	21	43	3	0	0	249	328	366	693	117	296	19	9	313	98	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	24	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	16	15	2	2	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	133	133	267	400	133	182	31	0	161	-19	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	215	185	59	13	2	13	27	41	1	0	0	319	408	622	1.030	303	346	19	13	440	195	+23	+0	—	—	+6	3.0
2025	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	218	194	59	5	0	11	16	45	3	0	0	304	364	500	864	196	338	21	7	374	145	+11	+0	—	—	+6	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,041	120	7	248	309	426	+43	-31	15.5	14.5
	/162	664	26	2	248	309	426	+9.4	-6.8	3.4	pk7: 13
#3Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	5	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
	/162	664	24	5	248	301	431	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eduardo Valencia (OGILVIE)	26	40→44	50	20→22	52	241/307/425	184	283	23	2	25%	7%	102	+2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Matthew LeCroy 2004 · MLB	28	53	57→55	36→30	47	277/330/476	199	317	25	3	21%	7%	129	+3.7	264/334/439	175	313	23	3	22%	8%	121	+3.2	231/303/367	136	272	18	0	22%	8%	86	+0.4
●Willy Adames 2022 · MLB	26	52	58→65	43→50	49	263/333/475	212	336	26	6	29%	10%	129	+3.7	245/319/460	215	298	27	9	27%	10%	120	+3.1	236/326/443	207	281	27	11	26%	11%	115	+3.1
●Geovany Soto 2009 · MLB	26	55→60	56→60	41→30	51	278/347/477	199	335	23	2	24%	9%	135	+4.2	252/344/442	190	300	22	2	22%	12%	125	+3.5	236/337/418	182	280	21	0	23%	13%	111	+1.7
★Austin Riley 2022 · MLB	25	53→59	61→65	39→40	46	278/341/500	222	336	30	2	26%	8%	140	+4.5	275/345/506	231	326	30	3	24%	8%	143	+4.7	269/341/501	232	317	30	2	24%	8%	137	+4.4
✕Paul DeJong 2020 · MLB	26	45→50	59→60	43→45	47	243/315/452	209	281	27	6	24%	8%	117	+2.9	219/298/399	180	263	24	7	26%	9%	96	+1.5	227/278/404	177	297	25	5	32%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Gary Sánchez 2020 · MLB	27	38→48	65	42→45	50	225/308/468	243	246	35	3	26%	9%	118	+3.0	206/296/418	212	244	30	3	29%	10%	101	+1.8	224/310/436	212	260	32	1	27%	9%	109	+1.1
●Miguel Sanó 2020 · MLB	27	45→53	66→70	41→45	49	240/328/495	255	327	35	2	36%	11%	133	+4.0	226/310/472	246	310	34	4	36%	11%	120	+3.1	208/295/445	238	276	33	2	37%	11%	103	+0.9
●Chris Iannetta 2010 · MLB	27	46→56	57→60	43→45	58	242/355/454	211	281	24	2	22%	12%	134	+4.1	221/334/394	173	257	20	5	22%	13%	110	+2.4	237/357/386	149	305	16	2	25%	15%	113	+1.5
✕Devin Mesoraco 2016 · MLB	28	48→49	55→60	40	51	249/326/438	189	283	23	5	21%	9%	118	+3.0	221/307/375	154	258	18	5	21%	9%	93	+1.3	206/298/365	159	231	21	1	21%	9%	83	+0.2
●Fernando Tatis 2001 · MLB	26	50→54	59→55	41→45	60	257/372/480	223	305	26	6	24%	13%	147	+5.0	239/328/399	160	289	18	5	23%	10%	108	+2.3	250/318/422	172	288	19	6	20%	8%	105	+1.6
★Matt Chapman 2019 · MLB	26	47→57	61→65	41→50	47	247/319/483	236	313	28	4	30%	9%	126	+3.5	250/333/495	245	299	30	3	26%	10%	135	+4.2	246/339/455	209	302	24	10	25%	11%	123	+3.3
●Robinson Chirinos 2011 · AAA	27	50→46	53→60	39→50	51	257/329/436	179	284	20	4	18%	8%	118	+3.0	236/304/369	133	286	14	4	22%	8%	90	+1.0	230/343/435	205	296	26	2	29%	11%	122	+2.1
●Jhonny Peralta 2006 · MLB	24	55→65	55	37→40	52	276/348/475	199	329	22	2	23%	10%	135	+4.2	267/334/432	165	326	18	3	22%	9%	118	+3.0	287/344/457	170	331	18	1	19%	8%	124	+3.1
✕Omar Narváez 2020 · MLB	28	54→55	53→50	39→30	56	276/355/442	166	312	22	2	19%	10%	130	+3.8	252/333/399	147	300	17	2	21%	10%	110	+2.4	234/321/355	120	285	12	0	21%	10%	89	+0.5
●Sean Murphy 2021 · MLB	26	45→50	57→60	45→30	52	239/322/442	203	286	25	4	26%	10%	117	+2.9	241/330/436	195	286	23	2	23%	10%	118	+3.0	242/337/441	199	283	23	0	22%	10%	120	+2.6
●Karim Garcia 2003 · MLB	27	49→51	68→60	36→50	42	277/310/532	255	291	39	5	21%	4%	137	+4.3	253/295/434	181	278	26	5	19%	6%	103	+1.9	284/331/478	194	322	23	10	19%	6%	127	+2.0
●Jonny Gomes 2007 · MLB	26	46→52	60	43→50	54	243/343/469	226	290	28	8	26%	11%	132	+4.0	235/320/442	207	297	25	13	29%	9%	116	+2.8	244/338/426	182	303	23	7	26%	10%	115	+2.0
●Kevin Kouzmanoff 2007 · MLB	26	57→62	59→60	44→40	45	297/342/509	212	330	26	6	19%	5%	143	+4.7	269/317/449	180	305	21	3	19%	5%	117	+2.9	259/309/430	171	295	20	1	19%	5%	104	+2.0
●Wilson Betemit 2008 · MLB	26	49→56	57→60	43→40	52	253/331/451	198	308	24	4	26%	10%	122	+3.3	244/305/422	178	312	20	4	27%	8%	104	+2.0	272/341/444	172	355	18	2	27%	9%	119	+2.0
✕Ben Petrick 2003 · MLB	26	47	55→60	43→45	52	244/326/438	194	296	22	6	25%	10%	117	+2.9	236/299/404	168	288	20	7	25%	8%	97	+1.5	220/267/366	146	261	18	0	24%	6%	72	-0.0