Eduardo Valencia

Eduardo ValenciaC Toledo Mud Hens

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.7 · 2027

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .306 / .423

PA129

HR5

K%24

BB%7

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗44

PWR

50↘49

SPD

20↗22

FLD

40→40

EYE

46↗51

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$14M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.6	$14M	+$13M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.4	$13M	+$12M
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+1.2	$11M	+$9M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.8	$4M	+$1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.5M
Totals		$9M		$58M	+$49M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	231	206	53	10	1	0	13	33	4	6	5	.257	.314	.316	.629	.058	.298	14	6	.271	66	-9	-1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2019	19	ROK	GCL Tigers West	130	121	21	5	0	0	5	19	1	1	0	.174	.213	.215	.427	.041	.200	15	4	.187	1	-14	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.8
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	153	133	29	4	0	1	10	29	7	2	0	.218	.307	.271	.577	.053	.267	19	7	.256	54	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2022	22	A	2 teams	199	179	37	7	0	5	16	54	2	1	0	.207	.279	.330	.609	.123	.264	27	8	.260	57	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2023	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	34	31	5	1	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	.161	.212	.290	.502	.129	.174	24	3	.194	7	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A	2 teams	247	226	45	10	0	3	15	67	3	0	0	.199	.258	.283	.541	.084	.266	27	6	.238	40	-17	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.5
2025	25	AA	2 teams	433	394	113	16	2	22	29	102	4	0	0	.287	.342	.505	.847	.218	.330	24	7	.361	135	+17	+0	+0	+8	+12	3.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	95	85	15	1	1	2	9	25	1	1	0	.176	.263	.282	.546	.106	.224	26	9	.241	43	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	DET	34	31	7	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	.226	.294	.355	.649	.129	.279	24	9	.312	97	-0	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
TOT	26	MLB	DET	129	116	22	2	1	3	12	33	1	1	0	.190	.271	.302	.573	.112	.237	26	9	.260	57	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 56%	DET	335	301	73	11	2	12	28	66	3	2	0	.243	.313	.412	.725	.169	.268	20	8	.320	103	+1	+0	-1	+6	+9	1.7
2028	28	MLB 66%	DET	363	326	78	12	2	13	31	73	3	1	0	.239	.311	.408	.719	.169	.269	20	9	.319	102	+1	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.7
2029	29	MLB 75%	DET	373	334	80	12	2	13	32	76	4	1	0	.240	.314	.404	.718	.165	.269	20	9	.317	101	+0	+0	-2	+7	+11	1.6
2030	30	MLB 83%	DET	378	338	80	12	2	13	33	79	4	0	0	.237	.312	.399	.711	.163	.269	21	9	.314	99	-1	+0	-3	+7	+11	1.4
2031	31	MLB 90%	DET	358	321	76	12	2	12	31	76	3	0	0	.237	.310	.399	.709	.162	.267	21	9	.311	96	-2	+0	-4	+6	+10	1.2
2032	32	MLB	DET	333	298	70	11	2	11	29	73	3	0	0	.235	.309	.396	.705	.161	.266	22	9	.306	92	-3	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.8
2033	33	MLB	DET	297	267	60	9	1	9	25	67	3	0	0	.225	.298	.367	.665	.142	.264	23	8	.300	88	-4	+0	-5	+5	+8	0.5
2034	34	MLB	DET	250	225	49	7	1	7	21	58	2	0	0	.218	.290	.351	.641	.133	.262	23	8	.294	83	-5	+0	-5	+4	+7	0.1
2035	35	MLB	DET	198	177	38	6	1	5	17	48	2	0	0	.215	.291	.345	.635	.130	.260	24	9	.286	77	-5	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4346	3908	914	146	18	128	339	936	49	14	5	.234	.303	.379	.682	.145	.273	22	8	.300	88	-61	+1	-32	+78	+123	11.1
/ 162G	—			650	584	137	22	3	19	51	140	7	2	1	.235	.303	.380	.683	.146	.274	22	8	.300	88	-9	+0	-5	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	231	198	62	13	1	0	21	23	4	6	5	.313	.390	.389	.779	.076	.344	10	9	.343	121	+5	-1	—	—	+7	1.1
2019	19	ROK	GCL Tigers West	130	118	27	7	0	0	8	13	1	1	0	.229	.283	.288	.572	.059	.250	10	6	.257	55	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2021	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	42	36	5	0	0	0	5	8	0	1	0	.139	.244	.139	.383	.000	.172	19	12	.191	4	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	21	ROK	FCL Tigers West	111	91	29	6	0	1	11	13	7	1	0	.319	.431	.418	.849	.099	.359	12	10	.383	151	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	35	30	6	0	0	2	4	8	1	0	0	.200	.314	.400	.714	.200	.200	23	11	.323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	164	144	35	7	0	4	17	30	1	1	0	.243	.327	.375	.702	.132	.279	18	10	.315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	34	31	5	1	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	.161	.212	.290	.502	.129	.160	18	3	.221	27	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	231	205	51	12	0	4	21	43	3	0	0	.249	.328	.366	.693	.117	.296	19	9	.313	98	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	24	ROK	FCL Tigers	16	15	2	2	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	.133	.133	.267	.400	.133	.182	31	0	.161	-19	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	215	185	59	13	2	13	27	41	1	0	0	.319	.408	.622	1.030	.303	.346	19	13	.440	195	+23	+0	—	—	+6	3.0
2025	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	218	194	59	5	0	11	16	45	3	0	0	.304	.364	.500	.864	.196	.338	21	7	.374	145	+11	+0	—	—	+6	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eduardo Valencia (OGILVIE)	26	40→44	50→49	20→22	51	.246/.306/.423	.177	.290	5	1	24%	7%	106	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josmil Pinto 2015 · MLB	26	50→59	50→55	37→40	50	.253/.318/.412	.159	.300	17	2	22%	8%	107	+2.2	.231/.287/.369	.138	.288	16	3	24%	7%	83	+0.6	.217/.266/.343	.126	.274	15	0	26%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Luis Gonzalez 2005 · MLB	26	53→58	52→50	38→40	44	.270/.314/.440	.170	.306	20	5	19%	5%	112	+2.6	.266/.310/.402	.136	.300	14	5	16%	5%	101	+1.8	.265/.308/.386	.120	.299	11	4	15%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Devin Mesoraco 2015 · MLB	27	48→52	54→60	35→40	50	.251/.323/.433	.182	.284	22	3	21%	8%	115	+2.7	.237/.319/.403	.166	.279	19	5	22%	9%	105	+2.1	.214/.306/.378	.164	.240	21	1	21%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Michael McKenry 2010 · AA	25	43→46	51→55	39→40	48	.225/.296/.391	.165	.272	19	4	24%	8%	92	+1.2	.220/.281/.353	.133	.280	14	3	26%	7%	76	+0.1	.251/.325/.427	.177	.298	22	2	23%	9%	111	+0.9
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	51→55	43→45	54	.240/.331/.401	.161	.281	19	5	21%	10%	110	+2.4	.220/.316/.357	.137	.263	16	6	22%	10%	93	+1.3	.206/.306/.322	.116	.244	14	5	21%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	53→55	36→45	37	.230/.262/.398	.168	.272	21	3	25%	3%	80	+0.4	.220/.270/.369	.149	.258	19	4	23%	5%	76	+0.1	.205/.264/.337	.132	.237	18	2	22%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	44→30	46	.235/.294/.401	.166	.288	20	3	26%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.287/.380	.148	.304	18	3	28%	7%	85	+0.7	.223/.277/.353	.130	.278	13	2	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Zach Lutz 2012 · AAA	26	48	51→55	41→30	45	.241/.309/.401	.160	.316	19	3	29%	8%	101	+1.8	.240/.312/.388	.148	.329	16	3	30%	8%	98	+1.6	.236/.313/.372	.136	.320	14	0	29%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	55→60	44→30	44	.235/.296/.415	.180	.285	24	3	27%	7%	99	+1.7	.243/.309/.448	.205	.293	28	3	27%	7%	114	+2.7	.233/.304/.458	.225	.279	32	1	29%	7%	111	+1.4
✕Austin Allen 2020 · MLB	26	44→54	57→60	38→40	41	.237/.284/.433	.195	.284	26	2	27%	5%	99	+1.7	.236/.279/.421	.185	.289	24	3	27%	5%	94	+1.3	.214/.266/.402	.189	.251	27	0	27%	5%	80	+0.2
●Matthew LeCroy 2003 · MLB	27	48	54→55	38→30	48	.247/.304/.429	.182	.277	21	4	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.272/.331/.459	.187	.317	24	3	22%	7%	124	+3.4	.272/.340/.454	.182	.319	26	0	22%	8%	124	+1.9
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB	27	54→57	50→55	35→30	47	.270/.323/.422	.152	.318	18	2	21%	7%	111	+2.5	.253/.318/.415	.162	.312	20	3	24%	8%	108	+2.3	.231/.305/.388	.157	.287	21	1	26%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Welington Castillo 2013 · MLB	26	44→54	53→60	42→30	44	.231/.299/.400	.169	.289	22	3	28%	7%	96	+1.5	.247/.316/.398	.151	.308	18	3	25%	7%	102	+1.9	.256/.312/.443	.187	.311	26	1	26%	7%	109	+1.6
✕Wilin Rosario 2014 · MLB	25	48→55	58→60	42→45	39	.257/.289/.451	.194	.299	27	5	25%	4%	105	+2.1	.256/.292/.423	.167	.300	20	5	21%	5%	98	+1.6	.250/.283/.407	.157	.289	19	3	21%	4%	85	+0.5
●Chris Gimenez 2008 · AA	25	40→50	52→55	41→45	44	.213/.290/.381	.168	.254	21	5	25%	7%	89	+0.9	.233/.309/.379	.146	.297	17	4	26%	9%	95	+1.4	.229/.308/.360	.131	.295	14	2	26%	9%	87	+0.5
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	45→55	51→50	43→40	46	.224/.323/.381	.157	.304	19	3	31%	9%	102	+1.9	.205/.291/.348	.143	.274	15	5	29%	8%	80	+0.4	.159/.245/.277	.117	.212	11	0	29%	8%	40	-1.0
●Trevor Plouffe 2014 · MLB	28	46→51	54→60	41→45	48	.243/.304/.419	.176	.276	22	4	21%	7%	103	+1.9	.250/.313/.420	.170	.288	19	3	20%	8%	107	+2.2	.250/.313/.423	.173	.285	19	2	19%	8%	105	+1.8
✕Jed Morris 2006 · AA	26	46	53→60	41→30	45	.237/.295/.414	.177	.290	20	5	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.243/.303/.398	.155	.288	18	5	21%	7%	97	+1.5	.245/.305/.401	.155	.277	19	1	19%	7%	93	+0.5
●Jedd Gyorko 2015 · MLB	26	45→53	51→60	41→45	46	.235/.292/.393	.158	.274	20	4	23%	7%	92	+1.2	.240/.301/.417	.177	.276	25	3	23%	8%	102	+1.8	.258/.332/.467	.210	.287	29	4	21%	10%	125	+2.5
●Jhonny Peralta 2008 · MLB	26	54→61	51→55	39→40	51	.268/.338/.432	.164	.326	18	3	23%	9%	120	+3.1	.261/.323/.419	.158	.309	17	3	20%	8%	111	+2.5	.277/.343/.439	.162	.321	18	2	19%	8%	118	+2.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)