Josh Jung
3B Texas Rangers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MLBTEX | 188 | .264/.299/.421 | 7 | 4 | 97 | 0.1 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAATEX | 40 | .205/.225/.410 | 2 | 0 | 36 | — | .179/.200/.385 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBTEX | 511 | .251/.294/.390 | 14 | 4 | 90 | 1.3 | |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBTEX | 444 | .299/.367/.462 | 12 | 1 | 133 | 2.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBTEX | 352 | .273/.335/.441 | 11 | 2 | 116 | 1.5 | |
| 2028PROJ | 30 | MLBTEX | 340 | .270/.331/.432 | 10 | 1 | 113 | 1.1 | |
| 2029PROJ | 31 | MLBTEX | 320 | .265/.325/.421 | 9 | 1 | 108 | 0.8 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 179 | 157 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 287 | 367 | 389 | 756 | 102 | 341 | 16 | 9 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 19 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 588 | 632 | 941 | 1.573 | 353 | 692 | 16 | 11 | 669 | 208 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 156 | 135 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 436 | 652 | 1.088 | 304 | 413 | 22 | 12 | 469 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 186 | 169 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 308 | 368 | 544 | 912 | 237 | 356 | 23 | 7 | 397 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 102 | 98 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 235 | 418 | 654 | 214 | 278 | 38 | 4 | 284 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 106 | 99 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 321 | 525 | 846 | 253 | 333 | 28 | 4 | 369 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 29 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 345 | 600 | 945 | 360 | 176 | 17 | 10 | 406 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 515 | 478 | 127 | 25 | 1 | 23 | 30 | 151 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 316 | 467 | 782 | 201 | 340 | 29 | 6 | 343 | 115 | +9 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 188 | 178 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 264 | 299 | 421 | 721 | 157 | 323 | 26 | 4 | 317 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 235 | 471 | 333 | 29 | 0 | 213 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 511 | 482 | 121 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 129 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 251 | 294 | 390 | 684 | 139 | 316 | 25 | 5 | 305 | 90 | -6 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 40 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 225 | 410 | 635 | 205 | 207 | 20 | 2 | 276 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 444 | 398 | 119 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 80 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 299 | 367 | 462 | 830 | 163 | 346 | 18 | 8 | 367 | 133 | +17 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 467 | 761 | 267 | 154 | 6 | 0 | 338 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1760 | 1634 | 434 | 84 | 5 | 61 | 104 | 447 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 266 | 316 | 435 | 751 | 170 | 330 | 25 | 6 | 332 | 111 | +23 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +38 | 7.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 179 | 162 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 288 | 296 | 584 | 74 | 278 | 22 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 19 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 444 | 474 | 778 | 1.251 | 333 | 534 | 21 | 5 | 475 | 208 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 156 | 140 | 45 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 321 | 391 | 571 | 962 | 250 | 394 | 24 | 8 | 406 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 186 | 174 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 49 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 259 | 303 | 431 | 734 | 172 | 321 | 26 | 4 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 102 | 98 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 235 | 418 | 654 | 214 | 278 | 38 | 4 | 278 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 106 | 100 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 274 | 410 | 684 | 180 | 319 | 33 | 3 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 241 | 385 | 626 | 231 | 130 | 24 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 515 | 478 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 151 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 264 | 314 | 454 | 768 | 190 | 340 | 29 | 6 | 338 | 115 | +9 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 188 | 178 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 264 | 299 | 421 | 721 | 157 | 323 | 26 | 4 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 235 | 471 | 319 | 35 | 0 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 511 | 482 | 121 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 129 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 251 | 294 | 386 | 679 | 135 | 316 | 25 | 5 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 40 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 200 | 385 | 585 | 205 | 184 | 22 | 2 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 444 | 398 | 119 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 80 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 299 | 367 | 457 | 825 | 158 | 346 | 18 | 8 | 364 | 133 | +17 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 467 | 761 | 267 | 131 | 6 | 0 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 198 | 180 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 306 | 328 | 634 | 83 | 312 | 22 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 198 | 174 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 32 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 316 | 393 | 443 | 835 | 126 | 373 | 16 | 9 | 372 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 314 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 87 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 287 | 343 | 494 | 837 | 207 | 355 | 25 | 6 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 342 | 304 | 99 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 76 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 326 | 399 | 592 | 991 | 266 | 381 | 22 | 9 | 430 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 224 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 210 | 253 | 411 | 664 | 201 | 275 | 35 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 237 | 222 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 287 | 486 | 773 | 248 | 291 | 31 | 5 | 337 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 515 | 478 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 151 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 264 | 314 | 454 | 768 | 190 | 341 | 29 | 6 | 338 | 115 | +9 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 515 | 478 | 127 | 25 | 1 | 23 | 30 | 151 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 316 | 467 | 782 | 201 | 340 | 29 | 6 | 343 | 115 | +9 | -1 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 195 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 256 | 289 | 400 | 689 | 144 | 319 | 26 | 4 | 302 | 90 | -2 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 205 | 195 | 51 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 262 | 294 | 405 | 699 | 144 | 324 | 26 | 4 | 309 | 90 | -2 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 551 | 521 | 128 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 138 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 246 | 287 | 386 | 673 | 140 | 307 | 25 | 5 | 296 | 86 | -9 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 551 | 521 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 137 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 248 | 289 | 392 | 680 | 144 | 307 | 25 | 5 | 303 | 86 | -9 | +0 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 413 | 122 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 295 | 365 | 458 | 822 | 162 | 341 | 18 | 8 | 361 | 130 | +17 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 461 | 413 | 122 | 28 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 295 | 365 | 462 | 827 | 167 | 339 | 18 | 8 | 366 | 130 | +17 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 198 | 180 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 306 | 328 | 634 | 83 | 303 | 22 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 312 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 87 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 288 | 343 | 497 | 840 | 208 | 354 | 25 | 6 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 222 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 212 | 253 | 414 | 668 | 203 | 278 | 35 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 515 | 475 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 151 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 265 | 314 | 457 | 771 | 192 | 340 | 29 | 6 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 194 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 258 | 289 | 402 | 691 | 144 | 322 | 26 | 4 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 551 | 516 | 128 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 138 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 248 | 287 | 390 | 676 | 141 | 306 | 25 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 413 | 122 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 295 | 365 | 458 | 822 | 162 | 338 | 18 | 8 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 194 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 258 | 289 | 402 | 691 | 144 | 322 | 26 | 4 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 551 | 516 | 128 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 138 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 248 | 287 | 390 | 676 | 141 | 306 | 25 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 413 | 122 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 295 | 365 | 458 | 822 | 162 | 338 | 18 | 8 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 444 | 403 | 109 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 90 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 334 | 435 | 769 | 163 | 319 | 20 | 7 | 340 | 116 | +9 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 352 | 320 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 72 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 335 | 441 | 776 | 168 | 318 | 20 | 7 | 343 | 116 | +7 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 1.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 340 | 309 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 330 | 427 | 757 | 158 | 317 | 21 | 7 | 335 | 113 | +5 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 320 | 290 | 78 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 324 | 415 | 740 | 152 | 313 | 21 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 296 | 270 | 69 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 317 | 400 | 718 | 143 | 307 | 22 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 260 | 238 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 308 | 382 | 690 | 133 | 300 | 22 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB MLE | TEX | 100% | 214 | 195 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 296 | 360 | 656 | 122 | 291 | 23 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 340 | 309 | 83 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 331 | 432 | 763 | 163 | 316 | 21 | 7 | 337 | 113 | +5 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 320 | 290 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 325 | 421 | 746 | 156 | 312 | 21 | 7 | 330 | 108 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 296 | 270 | 69 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 318 | 405 | 723 | 148 | 306 | 22 | 7 | 321 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 260 | 238 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 308 | 387 | 695 | 137 | 299 | 22 | 7 | 310 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB CTX | TEX | 100% | 214 | 195 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 297 | 364 | 661 | 125 | 290 | 23 | 7 | 296 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3190 | 2936 | 769 | 152 | 7 | 100 | 200 | 754 | 36 | 15 | 6 | 262 | 317 | 421 | 737 | 159 | 319 | 24 | 6 | 327 | 105 | +26 | +1 | -16 | +12 | +69 | 9.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 156 | 31 | 1 | 20 | 41 | 154 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 316 | 416 | 732 | 156 | 319 | 24 | 6 | 327 | 105 | +5 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4291 | 3947 | 1028 | 217 | 10 | 129 | 263 | 1015 | 57 | 24 | 11 | 260 | 316 | 419 | 734 | 158 | 319 | 24 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +33 | +1 | -17 | +13 | +77 | 10.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 157 | 33 | 2 | 20 | 40 | 154 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 263 | 319 | 425 | 744 | 162 | 321 | 24 | 6 | 323 | 105 | +6 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAARound Rock Express · 17 PAwOBA .328 → .268 (−60)K% 5.9% → 7.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 7.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 10.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 6.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 5.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.96% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .328 → .268; ISO .267 → .193; BABIP .154 → .131. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAARound Rock Express · 40 PAwOBA .268 → .222 (−45)K% 20.0% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.086 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.50% | ÷0.962 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 1.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 11.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 6.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.913 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.96% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 76, 3B 84, K 117, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .268 → .222; ISO .205 → .164; BABIP .207 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAARound Rock Express · 17 PAwOBA .207 → .188 (−19)K% 29.4% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷1.069 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 31.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 114, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .207 → .188; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARound Rock Express · 106 PAwOBA .358 → .301 (−57)K% 28.3% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.30% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.77% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 20.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.14% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 9.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 6.66% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .358 → .301; ISO .253 → .193; BABIP .333 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 29 PAwOBA .395 → .273 (−121)K% 17.2% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 11.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 10.98% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .395 → .273; ISO .360 → .254; BABIP .176 → .130. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 186 PAwOBA .388 → .319 (−69)K% 22.6% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.58% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.99% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 4.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.98% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 24.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷0.957 | ×0.870 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.114 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.66% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .388 → .319; ISO .237 → .180; BABIP .356 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAARound Rock Express · 156 PAwOBA .455 → .406 (−49)K% 21.8% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷1.072 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.76% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.86% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 13.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.91% | ÷0.958 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .455 → .406; ISO .304 → .256; BABIP .413 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AHickory Crawdads · 179 PAwOBA .334 → .258 (−75)K% 16.2% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.20% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.38% | ÷0.955 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.22% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 20.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.16% | ÷1.106 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 7.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.183 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 107, 2B 121, 3B 81, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .334 → .258; ISO .102 → .072; BABIP .341 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).