Austin Hedges

C Cleveland Guardians

Age 34 R/R 6'0" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 10.965 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	31	MLBCLE	146	.152/.206/.220	2	2	15	0.5
2025	32	MLBCLE	180	.161/.253/.277	5	1	47	1.2
2026	33	MLBCLE	247	.247/.328/.377	6	1	96	1.0
2027PROJ	34	MLBCLE	136	.196/.279/.307	3	1	67	0.4
2028PROJ	35	MLBCLE	87	.185/.267/.284	2	0	57	-0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.7 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service10.965First FA2028

2027Ext / FA-deal$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Bat Spd20

Avg EV13

Barrel%12

xwOBA10

Speed10

Form.193/.288/.313 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .195/.276/.306

CompsMatt Treanor (age 35) · Chad Moeller (age 33) · Tuffy Gosewisch (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7067vR 56

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .279 / .307

PA136

HR3

K%22

BB%10

BABIP233

ISO116

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT20

xAVG

100.185

POWER35

Barrel%

123.3

Avg EV

1386.3

Bat Spd

2068.1

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED35

Sprint

1024.5

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%·22% over 45 PA (60d) · proj 22%

BB%11%▲▲16% over 45 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.120·.158 over 38 AB (60d) · proj .111

BABIP.231·.185 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .233

SLASH.193/.288/.313▲proj .195/.276/.306

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 326 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

154

172

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

241

202

◀◀L

ISO

081

107

▶▶R

BABIP

256

148

◀◀L

29.9%

27.3%

▶R

BB%

7.1%

7.6%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 10.965 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	-$0.9M
Totals		$2M		$2M	-$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	18	ROK	AZL Padres	—	22	16	5	0	0	1	5	1	1	1	0	312	500	500	1.000	188	286	5	23	451	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	373	337	94	28	0	10	23	62	7	14	9	279	338	451	789	172	312	17	6	345	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	75	67	15	3	0	0	6	9	1	3	1	224	297	269	566	45	259	12	8	262	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	266	233	63	22	1	4	22	45	6	5	4	270	349	425	774	155	314	17	8	340	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	60	55	15	5	1	0	5	14	0	0	0	273	333	400	733	127	366	23	8	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	457	427	96	20	2	6	23	89	3	1	3	225	269	323	593	98	269	19	5	265	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	152	137	23	2	0	3	8	38	1	0	0	168	219	248	467	80	202	25	5	207	24	-14	+0	+13	+6	+3	0.8
2015	22	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	79	71	23	8	0	2	8	8	0	1	0	324	392	521	914	197	344	10	10	402	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	77	72	17	2	0	3	4	14	0	1	0	236	276	389	665	153	255	18	5	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	26	24	3	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	1	125	160	167	327	42	167	27	0	147	-11	-3	-0	+1	+6	+1	0.4
2016	23	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	334	313	102	20	1	21	13	51	3	1	1	326	359	597	956	272	329	15	4	409	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	417	387	83	17	0	18	23	122	3	4	1	214	264	398	662	183	260	29	6	290	81	-10	+0	+22	+7	+9	2.9
2018	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	326	303	70	14	2	14	21	90	1	3	0	231	283	429	712	198	280	28	6	313	95	-2	+1	+20	+6	+7	3.3
2018	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	31	27	11	3	0	3	3	9	0	0	0	407	467	852	1.319	444	500	29	10	539	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	347	312	55	9	0	11	27	109	5	1	0	176	253	311	564	135	228	31	8	255	56	-18	+0	+29	+6	+8	2.5
2020	27	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	83	69	10	1	0	3	6	23	2	1	1	145	234	290	524	145	159	28	7	224	38	-6	-0	+2	+1	+2	-0.1
2021	28	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	312	286	51	7	0	10	15	87	1	1	0	178	222	308	530	129	214	28	5	230	40	-22	+0	+15	+6	+7	0.5
2022	29	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	338	294	48	4	0	7	25	78	6	2	0	163	243	248	491	85	193	23	7	222	36	-26	+0	+11	+6	+7	-0.1
2023	30	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	212	185	34	5	0	1	11	47	2	1	0	184	236	227	463	43	236	22	5	203	23	-19	+0	+24	+4	+5	1.3
2024	31	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	146	132	20	3	0	2	6	50	3	2	0	152	206	220	425	68	220	34	4	192	15	-15	+0	+13	+3	+3	0.5
2025	32	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	180	155	25	3	0	5	18	43	1	1	2	161	253	277	530	116	183	24	10	239	47	-11	-1	+17	+3	+4	1.2
2026	33	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	247	215	53	10	0	6	25	45	1	1	1	247	328	377	705	130	283	18	10	312	96	-1	-0	+1	+4	+5	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2786	2499	475	76	2	80	185	739	27	17	6	190	253	318	571	128	232	27	7	252	57	-143	+1	+167	+59	+60	14.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	22	18	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	1	0	278	409	444	854	167	232	5	14	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	373	344	78	21	0	6	16	81	7	14	9	227	275	340	615	113	270	22	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	75	69	15	3	0	0	4	11	1	3	1	217	270	261	531	43	240	15	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	266	238	56	18	1	4	17	59	6	5	4	235	303	370	672	134	279	22	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	457	435	88	16	2	5	15	115	3	1	3	202	234	283	517	80	258	25	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	152	138	23	2	0	3	7	38	1	0	0	167	212	246	459	80	202	25	5	203	24	-14	+0	+13	+6	+3	0.8
2015	22	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	79	73	21	7	0	2	6	11	0	1	0	288	342	466	808	178	312	14	8	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	26	24	3	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	1	125	160	167	327	42	167	27	0	151	-11	-3	-0	+1	+6	+1	0.4
2016	23	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	334	318	82	16	1	14	8	69	3	1	1	258	283	447	729	189	275	21	2	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	417	390	84	18	0	18	20	122	3	4	1	215	259	400	659	185	260	29	5	287	81	-10	+0	+22	+7	+9	2.9
2018	25	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	326	306	71	15	2	14	18	90	1	3	0	232	277	431	708	199	280	28	6	309	95	-2	+1	+20	+6	+7	3.3
2018	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	31	28	8	2	0	2	2	12	0	0	0	286	333	571	905	286	399	39	6	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	347	315	56	10	0	11	24	109	5	1	0	178	247	314	561	137	228	31	7	251	56	-18	+0	+29	+6	+8	2.5
2020	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	83	69	10	1	0	3	6	23	2	1	1	145	234	290	524	145	159	28	7	224	38	-6	-0	+2	+1	+2	-0.1
2021	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	312	287	51	7	0	10	14	87	1	1	0	178	219	307	525	129	214	28	4	227	40	-22	+0	+15	+6	+7	0.5
2022	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	338	294	48	4	0	7	25	78	6	2	0	163	243	248	491	85	193	23	7	222	36	-26	+0	+11	+6	+7	-0.1
2023	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	212	186	34	5	0	1	11	47	2	1	0	183	236	226	462	43	236	22	5	202	23	-19	+0	+24	+4	+5	1.3
2024	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	146	132	20	3	0	2	6	50	3	2	0	152	206	220	425	68	220	34	4	191	15	-15	+0	+13	+3	+3	0.5
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	180	155	25	3	0	5	18	43	1	1	2	161	253	277	530	116	183	24	10	238	47	-11	-1	+17	+3	+4	1.2
2026	33	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	247	215	53	10	0	6	25	45	1	1	1	247	328	377	705	130	283	18	10	311	96	-1	-0	+1	+4	+5	1.0
2011	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	22	18	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	1	0	278	409	444	854	167	250	5	14	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	22	16	5	0	0	1	5	1	1	1	0	312	500	500	1.000	188	286	5	23	451	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	373	344	78	21	0	6	16	81	7	14	9	227	275	340	615	113	276	22	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	373	337	94	28	0	10	23	62	7	14	9	279	338	451	789	172	312	17	6	345	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	401	364	83	25	1	4	24	82	7	8	5	228	289	335	624	107	280	20	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	401	355	93	30	2	4	33	68	7	8	5	262	337	392	728	130	310	17	8	324	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	457	435	88	16	2	5	15	115	3	1	3	202	234	283	517	80	262	25	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	457	427	96	20	2	6	23	89	3	1	3	225	269	323	593	98	269	19	5	265	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	308	282	58	12	0	6	18	65	1	2	0	206	256	312	568	106	243	21	6	250	56	-16	+0	+13	+6	+7	0.9
2015	22	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	308	280	63	12	0	8	20	60	1	2	0	225	279	354	633	129	256	19	6	278	56	-16	+0	+13	+6	+7	0.9
2016	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	360	342	85	17	1	14	8	76	4	1	2	249	274	427	701	178	275	21	2	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	360	337	105	21	1	21	13	58	4	1	2	312	345	567	911	255	318	16	4	390	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	417	390	84	18	0	18	20	122	3	4	1	215	259	400	659	185	261	29	5	287	81	-10	+0	+22	+7	+9	2.9
2017	24	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	417	387	83	17	0	18	23	122	3	4	1	214	264	398	662	183	260	29	6	290	81	-10	+0	+22	+7	+9	2.9
2018	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	357	334	79	17	2	16	20	102	1	3	0	237	282	443	725	207	289	29	6	317	101	+0	+1	+20	+6	+8	3.6
2018	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	357	330	81	17	2	17	24	99	1	3	0	245	299	464	762	218	296	28	7	332	101	+0	+1	+20	+6	+8	3.6
2019	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	347	315	56	10	0	11	24	109	5	1	0	178	247	314	561	137	230	31	7	251	56	-18	+0	+29	+6	+8	2.5
2019	26	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	347	312	55	9	0	11	27	109	5	1	0	176	253	311	564	135	228	31	8	255	56	-18	+0	+29	+6	+8	2.5
2020	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	83	69	10	1	0	3	6	23	2	1	1	145	234	290	524	145	159	28	7	224	38	-6	-0	+2	+1	+2	-0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	83	69	10	1	0	3	6	23	2	1	1	145	234	290	524	145	159	28	7	224	38	-6	-0	+2	+1	+2	-0.1
2021	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	312	287	51	7	0	10	14	87	1	1	0	178	219	307	525	129	212	28	4	227	40	-22	+0	+15	+6	+7	0.5
2021	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	—	312	286	51	7	0	10	15	87	1	1	0	178	222	308	530	129	214	28	5	230	40	-22	+0	+15	+6	+7	0.5
2022	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	338	294	48	4	0	7	25	78	6	2	0	163	243	248	491	85	193	23	7	222	36	-26	+0	+11	+6	+7	-0.1
2022	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	338	294	48	4	0	7	25	78	6	2	0	163	243	248	491	85	193	23	7	222	36	-26	+0	+11	+6	+7	-0.1
2023	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	212	186	34	5	0	1	11	47	2	1	0	183	236	226	462	43	234	22	5	202	23	-19	+0	+24	+4	+5	1.3
2023	30	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	212	185	34	5	0	1	11	47	2	1	0	184	236	227	463	43	236	22	5	203	23	-19	+0	+24	+4	+5	1.3
2024	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	146	132	20	3	0	2	6	50	3	2	0	152	206	220	425	68	220	34	4	191	15	-15	+0	+13	+3	+3	0.5
2024	31	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	146	132	20	3	0	2	6	50	3	2	0	152	206	220	425	68	220	34	4	192	15	-15	+0	+13	+3	+3	0.5
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	180	155	25	3	0	5	18	43	1	1	2	161	253	277	530	116	183	24	10	238	47	-11	-1	+17	+3	+4	1.2
2025	32	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	180	155	25	3	0	5	18	43	1	1	2	161	253	277	530	116	183	24	10	239	47	-11	-1	+17	+3	+4	1.2
2026	33	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	247	215	53	10	0	6	25	45	1	1	1	247	328	377	705	130	283	18	10	311	96	-1	-0	+1	+4	+5	1.0
2026	33	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	247	215	53	10	0	6	25	45	1	1	1	247	328	377	705	130	283	18	10	312	96	-1	-0	+1	+4	+5	1.0
2011	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	22	18	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	1	0	278	409	444	854	167	232	5	14	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	373	347	78	21	0	6	16	81	7	14	9	225	275	337	612	112	270	22	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	401	367	83	25	1	4	24	82	7	8	5	226	289	332	621	106	270	20	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	457	436	88	16	2	5	15	115	3	1	3	202	234	282	516	80	258	25	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	308	286	58	12	0	6	18	65	1	2	0	203	256	308	564	105	240	21	6	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	360	345	85	17	1	14	8	76	4	1	2	246	274	423	697	177	267	21	2	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	417	391	84	18	0	18	20	122	3	4	1	215	259	399	658	184	260	29	5	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	357	333	79	17	2	16	20	102	1	3	0	237	282	444	726	207	290	29	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	347	315	56	10	0	11	24	109	5	1	0	178	247	314	561	137	228	31	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	83	75	10	1	0	3	6	23	2	1	1	133	234	267	500	133	159	28	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	312	294	51	7	0	10	14	87	1	1	0	173	219	299	518	126	214	28	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	338	304	48	4	0	7	25	78	6	2	0	158	243	240	483	82	193	23	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	212	197	34	5	0	1	11	47	2	1	0	173	236	213	449	41	236	22	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	146	136	20	3	0	2	6	50	3	2	0	147	206	213	419	66	220	34	4	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	180	159	25	3	0	5	18	43	1	1	2	157	253	270	523	113	183	24	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	33	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	247	219	53	10	0	6	25	45	1	1	1	242	328	370	698	128	283	18	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	146	136	20	3	0	2	6	50	3	2	0	147	206	213	419	66	220	34	4	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	180	159	25	3	0	5	18	43	1	1	2	157	253	270	523	113	183	24	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	33	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	247	219	53	10	0	6	25	45	1	1	1	242	328	370	698	128	283	18	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	34	MLB MLE	CLE	100%	220	195	38	7	0	5	21	48	2	2	1	196	278	307	585	111	233	22	10	267	67	-9	+0	+6	+4	+5	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	34	MLB CTX	CLE	100%	136	121	24	5	0	3	13	30	1	1	0	196	279	307	586	111	233	22	10	267	67	-5	+0	+3	+2	+3	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	CLE	100%	87	78	15	3	0	2	8	20	1	0	0	185	266	284	550	99	223	23	9	253	57	-4	+0	-3	+2	+2	-0.4
2028	35	MLB CTX	CLE	100%	87	78	15	3	0	2	8	20	1	0	0	185	267	284	551	99	224	23	9	253	57	-4	+0	-3	+2	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2873	2577	490	79	2	82	193	759	28	17	6	190	254	318	572	128	232	26	7	252	61	-147	+1	+164	+61	+62	14.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	111	18	0	19	44	172	6	4	1	190	254	319	573	129	231	26	7	252	61	-33	+0	+37	+14	+14	3.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4783	4361	896	177	6	120	274	1176	50	45	24	205	260	331	592	126	250	25	6	259	61	-153	+1	+167	+63	+65	14.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	122	24	1	16	37	160	7	6	3	206	261	331	592	125	251	25	6	259	61	-33	+0	+36	+14	+14	3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 31 PAwOBA .541 → .406 (−135)K% 29.0% → 38.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.03%	÷0.983	×1.290	—	—	38.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.68%	÷0.986	×0.710	—	×1.018	7.09%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.032	×0.900	—	×1.018	24.67%
Doubles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.098	×0.810	—	×1.018	12.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	16.67%	÷1.045	×0.780	—	×1.018	12.67%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .541 → .406; ISO .444 → .318; BABIP .500 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 334 PAwOBA .401 → .312 (−89)K% 15.3% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.27%	÷0.951	×1.290	—	—	20.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.29%	÷1.004	×0.710	—	×1.048	2.44%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.92%
Singles /BIP	22.90%	÷1.026	×0.900	×0.950	×1.048	20.00%
Doubles /BIP	7.63%	÷0.987	×0.810	×0.950	×1.048	6.24%
Triples /BIP	0.38%	÷1.028	×0.810	×0.950	×1.048	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	8.02%	÷1.160	×0.780	—	×1.048	5.65%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 106, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .401 → .312; ISO .272 → .193; BABIP .329 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 79 PAwOBA .391 → .341 (−51)K% 10.1% → 13.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.13%	÷0.980	×1.290	—	—	13.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.13%	÷0.972	×0.710	—	×1.050	7.77%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.63%	÷1.017	×0.900	×0.999	×1.050	19.15%
Doubles /BIP	12.70%	÷0.970	×0.810	×0.999	×1.050	11.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.999	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.17%	÷0.919	×0.780	—	×1.050	2.83%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .391 → .341; ISO .197 → .172; BABIP .344 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AASan Antonio Missions · 457 PAwOBA .258 → .225 (−33)K% 19.5% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.47%	÷0.942	×1.220	—	—	25.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.81%	÷1.083	×0.700	—	×1.042	3.24%
HBP% /PA	0.66%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.60%
Singles /BIP	20.12%	÷0.948	×0.920	×0.986	×1.042	20.05%
Doubles /BIP	5.92%	÷1.020	×0.840	×0.986	×1.042	5.00%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.065	×0.940	×0.986	×1.042	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	1.78%	÷0.960	×0.800	—	×1.042	1.54%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 90, 2B 104, 3B 113, K 88, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .258 → .225; ISO .098 → .081; BABIP .269 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 266 PAwOBA .337 → .286 (−50)K% 16.9% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.92%	÷1.023	×1.340	—	—	22.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.27%	÷0.962	×0.710	—	×1.027	6.27%
HBP% /PA	2.26%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	1.83%
Singles /BIP	19.15%	÷0.987	×0.910	×0.978	×1.027	17.74%
Doubles /BIP	11.70%	÷0.973	×0.820	×0.978	×1.027	9.90%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷1.098	×0.760	×0.978	×1.027	0.37%
Home runs /BIP	2.13%	÷1.052	×0.920	—	×1.027	1.91%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 120, K 105, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .337 → .286; ISO .155 → .130; BABIP .314 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AASan Antonio Missions · 75 PAwOBA .250 → .224 (−26)K% 12.0% → 14.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.00%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.047	×0.700	—	×1.050	4.68%
HBP% /PA	1.33%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	1.22%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷0.983	×0.920	×0.972	×1.050	19.76%
Doubles /BIP	5.17%	÷1.053	×0.840	×0.972	×1.050	4.21%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.056	×0.940	×0.972	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.872	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .250 → .224; ISO .045 → .037; BABIP .259 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 373 PAwOBA .338 → .267 (−71)K% 16.6% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.62%	÷1.036	×1.360	—	—	21.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.90%	÷0.970	×0.690	—	×1.030	4.32%
HBP% /PA	1.88%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.51%
Singles /BIP	20.36%	÷0.998	×0.920	×0.984	×1.030	19.03%
Doubles /BIP	10.18%	÷1.109	×0.830	×0.984	×1.030	7.73%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.984	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.64%	÷1.348	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.22%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 170, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 107, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .338 → .267; ISO .172 → .115; BABIP .312 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 ROKAZL Padres · 22 PAwOBA .441 → .349 (−92)K% 4.5% → 6.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	4.55%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	6.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.73%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	14.20%
HBP% /PA	4.55%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	3.30%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	22.03%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	5.24%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .441 → .349; ISO .188 → .164; BABIP .286 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Martín Maldonadolast yr '25 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,027 PA	6.1	4,027	119	3	203	277	343	+72	+149	21.7	20.1
/162	664	20	0	+11.9	+24.6	3.6	pk7: 18
#2Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	4.5	2,983	84	18	188	249	313	+50	+181	-0.7	0.9
/162	664	19	4	+11.2	+40.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
#4Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1
#5John Boccabella'63-'74 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	26	3	217*	267*	343*	+8	+6	-1.3	-0.1
/162	664	11	1	+3.5	+2.7	-0.5	pk7: 1
#6Mike Ryan'64-'74 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,098 PA	3.2	2,098	28	4	196*	257*	311*	+38	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	9	1	+11.9	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Hedges (OGILVIE)	34	20	35	35	45	194/276/304	110	233	3	1	22%	9%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Treanor 2011 · MLB	35	44	42→40	42→40	51	217/292/318	101	250	11	5	18%	8%	75	-0.5	213/311/316	103	260	10	7	21%	11%	82	+0.0	192/310/272	79	243	7	5	22%	12%	71	-0.3
✕Chad Moeller 2008 · MLB	33	40	45→50	41→30	42	204/259/322	118	253	14	4	25%	6%	63	-1.3	210/262/314	104	261	9	4	22%	5%	63	-1.4	200/250/291	90	248	5	0	21%	5%	52	-0.6
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2019 · MLB	35	38→43	41→45	43→40	44	189/252/288	99	243	8	3	25%	6%	53	-2.1	199/266/305	106	273	10	7	29%	7%	63	-1.4	144/218/211	67	206	9	0	33%	5%	22	-1.0
✕Luke Carlin 2015 · AAA	34	41	41→45	44→45	50	202/272/299	97	245	9	6	22%	8%	63	-1.3	192/277/290	98	244	7	8	23%	9%	63	-1.3	122/237/178	56	163	0	3	22%	11%	24	-1.4
✕Jonathan Aceves 2011 · AAA	33	41	44→50	40→30	42	207/250/318	111	253	13	4	24%	5%	59	-1.7	215/264/346	131	269	15	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	228/295/332	104	273	11	1	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Henry Blanco 2005 · MLB	33	41	47→50	35→40	48	207/260/344	138	224	15	3	16%	6%	69	-0.9	232/279/377	145	253	16	3	15%	6%	83	+0.1	254/304/390	137	291	14	0	18%	7%	96	+0.4
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2016 · AAA	34	42	43→50	43→40	41	208/268/316	107	284	12	4	30%	6%	65	-1.2	214/260/330	116	305	12	4	32%	5%	65	-1.2	199/244/310	111	296	12	0	36%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Mike Rivera 2012 · MLB	35	39	43→55	44→45	43	195/264/303	108	264	10	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	211/270/317	106	285	11	7	29%	6%	66	-1.1	194/245/256	62	262	7	0	28%	4%	40	-0.8
✕Jamie Burke 2006 · MLB	34	49→45	43→45	39→30	48	237/299/347	110	266	10	4	15%	6%	84	+0.2	237/285/344	107	263	10	4	14%	5%	78	-0.3	237/286/309	72	276	5	0	15%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Eli Whiteside 2013 · MLB	33	40	41→50	43→40	42	198/254/298	100	253	9	5	25%	6%	56	-1.9	173/222/268	95	231	10	5	29%	5%	37	-3.3	136/179/216	80	179	10	1	31%	4%	7	-2.3
✕Nick Green 2012 · MLB	33	38→46	42→50	40→45	41	193/243/301	108	239	10	5	24%	5%	53	-2.1	205/251/328	123	256	13	5	25%	4%	62	-1.4	200/244/325	125	248	15	2	26%	4%	57	-1.0
✕Bryan Holaday 2021 · MLB	33	46	44→45	43→40	49	228/293/346	118	262	12	6	18%	7%	82	-0.0	224/284/381	157	275	18	8	25%	7%	86	+0.3	186/238/360	174	219	21	4	27%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	40→38	49→50	45	46	208/290/361	153	270	17	5	29%	8%	85	+0.2	192/269/357	165	248	20	6	31%	7%	76	-0.4	145/226/306	160	173	21	1	31%	7%	48	-0.8
✕Drew Butera 2016 · MLB	32	41	41→40	43→40	45	201/262/298	97	246	9	4	22%	6%	59	-1.7	233/291/364	131	291	13	4	24%	7%	84	+0.2	226/286/352	126	282	12	0	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Gary Bennett 2007 · MLB	35	46	42→40	43→40	50	223/281/323	100	253	10	4	17%	7%	72	-0.7	234/286/354	120	252	13	7	13%	6%	80	-0.1	241/277/321	80	257	7	4	9%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Adam Hyzdu 2006 · MLB	34	43→41	48→50	39→45	51	220/300/360	140	282	16	6	27%	10%	88	+0.4	215/288/358	143	271	16	8	26%	9%	82	+0.0	198/274/338	141	242	16	7	25%	9%	73	-0.6
✕Alberto Castillo 2003 · MLB	33	43	40→30	46→30	47	206/266/296	90	253	7	6	21%	7%	60	-1.6	230/301/357	127	271	12	7	19%	9%	87	+0.4	226/301/297	71	274	2	2	17%	10%	72	-0.2
✕Paul Hoover 2010 · MLB	34	43	40→45	43→45	41	210/261/301	91	288	7	5	29%	6%	59	-1.7	216/270/310	94	294	6	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	211/263/293	83	288	3	0	26%	5%	54	-1.0
✕Humberto Quintero 2014 · MLB	34	46	44→45	43→40	40	230/266/349	119	276	12	4	22%	4%	72	-0.7	229/259/336	107	282	11	5	22%	3%	65	-1.2	228/248/318	89	282	9	4	22%	2%	54	-1.0
✕Chad Mottola 2006 · MLB	34	39→41	50	39→45	41	208/250/361	153	241	19	5	23%	5%	69	-0.9	215/253/361	146	259	17	8	24%	5%	70	-0.8	211/248/355	144	252	17	8	24%	4%	64	-1.0

Austin Hedges

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps