Martín Maldonado

C San Diego Padres

Age 40 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 15.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

MLBExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	36	MLBHOU	407	.191/.258/.348	15	0	65	-0.5
2024	37	INTLIndios de May…	80	.125/.192/.264	3	0	24	—
2024	37	MLBCWS	147	.119/.174/.230	4	0	8	-1.2
2025	38	INTLIndios de May…	133	.170/.301/.259	3	0	69	—
2025	38	MLBSD	161	.204/.245/.327	4	0	55	-0.3
2026	39	No MLB games played
2027PROJ	40	MLBSD	92	.198/.251/.350	3	1	68	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -2.1 · Next 1 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service15.000First FA2028

2027Ext / FA-deal$0.9M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Barrel%53

Bat Spd48

Avg EV32

xwOBA10

Speed10

CompsMike DiFelice (age 39) · Manuel Cazarin (age 40) · Guillermo Velasquez (age 39)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7168vR 60

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .251 / .350

PA92

HR3

K%27

BB%7

BABIP241

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

Tools · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT

xAVG

100.181

POWER

Barrel%

538.6

Avg EV

3287.8

Bat Spd

4871.2

SPEED

Sprint

1023.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 308 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

211

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

230

215

◀L

ISO

104

123

▶▶R

BABIP

235

222

◀L

33.0%

36.0%

◀L

BB%

7.2%

4.3%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2012

Service 15.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.9M		$-0.8M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	18	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	125	118	30	2	0	1	4	15	1	0	0	254	285	297	581	42	282	12	3	261	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK	AZL Angels	—	76	63	14	1	1	0	7	12	3	0	2	222	329	270	599	48	275	16	9	274	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A	West Virginia Power	—	242	208	46	8	0	2	14	36	13	2	0	221	311	288	599	67	257	15	6	274	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	106	98	19	2	0	2	4	24	0	0	0	194	225	276	501	82	236	23	4	218	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+	Brevard County Manatees	—	110	94	25	8	0	0	8	17	5	3	1	266	355	351	706	85	321	15	7	317	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	20	18	6	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	333	368	389	757	56	353	10	5	325	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+	Brevard County Manatees	—	299	251	50	9	0	2	30	51	7	2	1	199	302	259	561	60	240	17	10	258	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	105	190	105	296		154	32	9	146	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	201	174	44	9	0	7	14	45	2	0	1	253	316	425	741	172	294	22	7	312	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	123	103	26	6	0	2	9	24	7	0	2	252	353	369	722	117	304	20	7	322	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+	Brevard County Manatees	—	37	33	4	0	0	0	1	8	2	1	0	121	194	121	316		154	22	3	156	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	79	70	17	4	0	1	3	19	2	0	1	243	293	343	636	100	320	24	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	160	134	43	5	0	8	16	21	5	0	0	321	413	537	950	216	330	13	10	407	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA	Huntsville Stars	—	241	208	55	13	0	3	19	56	9	2	1	264	352	370	722	106	344	23	8	324	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	137	118	32	5	0	4	10	26	6	1	0	271	358	415	773	144	308	19	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	256	233	62	9	0	8	17	56	2	1	1	266	321	408	729	142	320	22	7	321	104	+1	-0	+15	+9	+6	3.1
2012	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	138	121	24	6	0	4	9	37	4	0	2	198	276	347	623	149	241	27	7	275	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	118	98	27	5	0	2	14	23	3	0	2	276	383	388	770	112	329	19	12	345	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	202	183	31	7	1	4	13	53	3	0	0	169	236	284	520	115	214	26	6	235	44	-14	+0	+12	+6	+4	0.9
2013	26	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	123	108	27	3	0	1	6	22	6	0	0	250	325	306	631	56	299	18	5	287	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	126	111	26	5	0	4	11	32	3	0	0	234	320	387	707	153	293	25	9	318	98	-0	+0	+9	+3	+3	1.5
2014	27	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	47	36	6	2	0	0	6	8	2	0	2	167	318	222	540	56	207	17	13	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	256	229	48	7	0	4	23	65	1	0	1	210	285	293	577	83	272	25	9	264	60	-12	-0	+16	+5	+6	1.4
2016	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	253	208	42	7	0	8	35	56	6	1	0	202	333	351	684	149	234	22	14	312	80	-6	+0	+15	+5	+5	2.0
2016	29	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	20	17	5	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	294	400	294	694		385	20	15	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	471	429	95	19	1	14	15	119	18	0	2	221	277	368	645	147	273	25	3	285	78	-12	-1	+35	+8	+10	4.2
2018	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	404	373	84	18	1	9	16	98	11	0	1	225	278	351	629	126	280	24	4	281	74	-12	-0	+22	+7	+9	2.5
2019	32	MLB	Houston Astros	—	374	333	71	19	0	12	32	86	6	0	0	213	294	378	672	165	250	23	9	300	87	-6	+0	+9	+7	+8	1.8
2020	33	MLB	Houston Astros	—	165	135	29	4	0	6	27	51	1	1	0	215	350	378	727	163	295	31	16	330	109	+2	+0	+3	+3	+4	1.2
2021	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	426	373	64	10	1	12	47	127	5	0	0	172	273	300	573	129	221	30	11	265	64	-18	+0	+13	+8	+9	1.2
2022	35	MLB	Houston Astros	—	379	344	64	12	0	15	22	116	7	0	0	186	249	352	601	166	228	31	6	265	66	-16	+0	+11	+7	+8	1.0
2023	36	MLB	Houston Astros	—	407	362	69	12	0	15	30	139	3	0	0	191	258	348	606	157	260	34	7	265	65	-17	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.5
2024	37	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	147	135	16	3	0	4	8	51	1	0	0	119	174	230	403	111	150	35	5	181	8	-16	+0	-3	+4	+3	-1.2
2024	37	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	80	72	9	1	0	3	6	33	0	0	0	125	192	264	456	139	162	41	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	38	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	161	147	30	6	0	4	8	57	0	0	0	204	245	327	572	122	302	35	5	247	55	-9	+0	-3	+5	+3	-0.3
2025	38	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	133	112	19	1	0	3	17	39	4	0	1	170	301	259	560	89	229	29	13	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4027	3595	731	138	4	119	304	1106	67	3	5	203	278	343	621	140	257	27	8	278	74	-124	-1	+149	+84	+87	19.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	18	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	125	120	24	1	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	200	220	233	453	33	230	18	2	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	76	66	12	1	1	0	4	17	3	0	2	182	260	227	488	45	228	22	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	242	213	45	7	0	2	9	48	13	2	0	211	285	272	557	61	245	20	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	106	99	19	2	0	2	3	29	0	0	0	192	216	273	488	81	236	27	3	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	110	96	24	8	0	0	6	24	5	3	1	250	327	333	660	83	318	22	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	20	18	6	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	333	368	389	757	56	329	15	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	299	259	48	9	0	2	22	72	7	2	1	185	267	243	511	58	233	24	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	10	0	1	0	100	143	100	243		139	45	5	116	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	201	179	40	7	0	6	9	58	2	0	1	223	268	363	632	140	270	29	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	123	106	25	6	0	2	6	28	7	0	2	236	319	349	668	113	284	23	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Brevard County Manatees	—	37	33	3	0	0	0	1	11	2	1	0	91	167	91	258		134	30	3	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	160	138	40	4	0	6	12	26	5	0	0	290	368	449	817	159	306	16	8	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	Huntsville Stars	—	241	215	49	11	0	2	12	68	9	2	1	228	297	307	604	79	312	28	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	256	233	63	10	0	8	17	56	2	1	1	270	325	416	742	146	320	22	7	322	104	+1	-0	+15	+9	+6	3.1
2012	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	138	124	20	5	0	3	6	47	4	0	2	161	224	274	498	113	206	34	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	202	184	31	7	1	4	12	53	3	0	0	168	231	283	514	114	214	26	6	233	44	-14	+0	+12	+6	+4	0.9
2014	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	126	112	26	5	0	4	10	32	3	0	0	232	312	384	696	152	293	25	8	313	98	-0	+0	+9	+3	+3	1.5
2015	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	256	232	48	7	0	4	20	65	1	0	1	207	273	289	562	82	272	25	8	257	60	-12	-0	+16	+5	+6	1.4
2016	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	253	217	42	7	0	8	26	56	6	1	0	194	297	336	634	143	234	22	10	287	80	-6	+0	+15	+5	+5	2.0
2017	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	471	430	96	20	1	14	14	119	18	0	2	223	277	372	649	149	273	25	3	284	78	-12	-1	+35	+8	+10	4.2
2018	31	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	404	373	83	17	1	9	16	98	11	0	1	223	275	346	621	123	280	24	4	278	74	-12	-0	+22	+7	+9	2.5
2019	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	374	334	70	18	0	12	31	86	6	0	0	210	288	371	660	162	250	23	8	296	87	-6	+0	+9	+7	+8	1.8
2020	33	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	165	135	29	4	0	6	27	51	1	1	0	215	350	378	727	163	295	31	16	330	109	+2	+0	+3	+3	+4	1.2
2021	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	426	374	63	9	1	12	46	127	5	0	0	168	268	294	562	126	221	30	11	263	64	-18	+0	+13	+8	+9	1.2
2022	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	379	344	63	11	0	15	22	116	7	0	0	183	247	346	593	163	228	31	6	265	66	-16	+0	+11	+7	+8	1.0
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	407	362	68	11	0	15	30	139	3	0	0	188	256	343	598	155	260	34	7	264	65	-17	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.5
2024	37	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	147	135	16	3	0	4	8	51	1	0	0	119	174	230	403	111	150	35	5	180	8	-16	+0	-3	+4	+3	-1.2
2025	38	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	161	147	30	6	0	4	8	57	0	0	0	204	245	327	572	122	302	35	5	250	55	-9	+0	-3	+5	+3	-0.3
2005	18	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	125	120	24	1	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	200	220	233	453	33	235	18	2	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	18	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	—	125	118	30	2	0	1	4	15	1	0	0	254	285	297	581	42	282	12	3	261	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	76	66	12	1	1	0	4	17	3	0	2	182	260	227	488	45	245	22	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK RAW	AZL Angels	—	76	63	14	1	1	0	7	12	3	0	2	222	329	270	599	48	275	16	9	274	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	242	213	45	7	0	2	9	48	13	2	0	211	285	272	557	61	262	20	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	242	208	46	8	0	2	14	36	13	2	0	221	311	288	599	67	257	15	6	274	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	216	195	43	10	0	2	9	53	5	3	1	221	273	303	575	82	291	25	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	216	192	44	10	0	2	12	41	5	3	1	229	292	312	604	83	280	19	6	269	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	341	296	56	10	0	2	25	84	7	3	1	189	268	243	512	54	252	25	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	341	288	58	10	0	2	33	60	7	3	1	201	299	257	556	56	243	18	10	255	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	440	387	84	17	0	9	20	120	13	1	4	217	279	331	609	114	283	27	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	440	380	91	19	0	10	27	96	13	1	4	239	312	368	680	129	288	22	6	295	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	538	472	122	21	0	12	33	126	20	3	1	258	333	379	713	121	324	23	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	538	460	130	23	0	15	45	103	20	3	1	283	371	430	802	148	330	19	8	353	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	512	461	107	19	0	14	31	133	9	1	5	232	293	364	658	132	291	26	6	287	80	-12	-2	+15	+9	+11	2.2
2012	25	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	512	452	113	20	0	14	40	116	9	1	5	250	323	387	711	137	302	23	8	314	80	-12	-2	+15	+9	+11	2.2
2013	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	325	291	51	12	2	6	19	85	9	0	0	175	248	292	540	117	223	26	6	233	44	-22	+0	+12	+6	+7	0.3
2013	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	325	291	58	10	1	5	19	75	9	0	0	199	270	292	562	93	249	23	6	255	44	-22	+0	+12	+6	+7	0.3
2014	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	173	150	35	7	0	5	14	44	5	0	2	233	320	380	700	147	294	25	8	313	98	-0	-1	+9	+3	+4	1.5
2014	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	173	147	32	7	0	4	17	40	5	0	2	218	320	347	666	129	269	23	10	300	98	-0	-1	+9	+3	+4	1.5
2015	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	256	232	48	7	0	4	20	65	1	0	1	207	273	289	562	82	267	25	8	257	60	-12	-0	+16	+5	+6	1.4
2015	28	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	256	229	48	7	0	4	23	65	1	0	1	210	285	293	577	83	272	25	9	264	60	-12	-0	+16	+5	+6	1.4
2016	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	273	235	45	8	0	8	28	60	6	1	0	191	294	328	621	136	220	22	10	287	80	-6	+0	+15	+5	+6	2.0
2016	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	273	225	47	7	0	8	38	60	6	1	0	209	338	347	685	138	247	22	14	313	80	-6	+0	+15	+5	+6	2.0
2017	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	471	430	96	20	1	14	14	119	18	0	2	223	277	372	649	149	275	25	3	284	78	-12	-1	+35	+8	+10	4.2
2017	30	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	—	471	429	95	19	1	14	15	119	18	0	2	221	277	368	645	147	273	25	3	285	78	-12	-1	+35	+8	+10	4.2
2018	31	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	404	373	83	17	1	9	16	98	11	0	1	223	275	346	621	123	276	24	4	278	74	-12	-0	+22	+7	+9	2.5
2018	31	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	404	373	84	18	1	9	16	98	11	0	1	225	278	351	629	126	280	24	4	281	74	-12	-0	+22	+7	+9	2.5
2019	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	374	334	70	18	0	12	31	86	6	0	0	210	288	371	660	162	245	23	8	296	87	-6	+0	+9	+7	+8	1.8
2019	32	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	374	333	71	19	0	12	32	86	6	0	0	213	294	378	672	165	250	23	9	300	87	-6	+0	+9	+7	+8	1.8
2020	33	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	165	135	29	4	0	6	27	51	1	1	0	215	350	378	727	163	295	31	16	330	109	+2	+0	+3	+3	+4	1.2
2020	33	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	165	135	29	4	0	6	27	51	1	1	0	215	350	378	727	163	295	31	16	330	109	+2	+0	+3	+3	+4	1.2
2021	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	426	374	63	9	1	12	46	127	5	0	0	168	268	294	562	126	216	30	11	263	64	-18	+0	+13	+8	+9	1.2
2021	34	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	426	373	64	10	1	12	47	127	5	0	0	172	273	300	573	129	221	30	11	265	64	-18	+0	+13	+8	+9	1.2
2022	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	379	344	63	11	0	15	22	116	7	0	0	183	247	346	593	163	223	31	6	265	66	-16	+0	+11	+7	+8	1.0
2022	35	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	379	344	64	12	0	15	22	116	7	0	0	186	249	352	601	166	228	31	6	265	66	-16	+0	+11	+7	+8	1.0
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	407	362	68	11	0	15	30	139	3	0	0	188	256	343	598	155	255	34	7	264	65	-17	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.5
2023	36	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	407	362	69	12	0	15	30	139	3	0	0	191	258	348	606	157	260	34	7	265	65	-17	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.5
2024	37	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	227	209	25	5	0	6	12	79	1	0	0	120	171	230	401	110	152	35	5	180	8	-25	+0	-3	+4	+5	-1.9
2024	37	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	227	207	25	4	0	7	14	84	1	0	0	121	180	242	422	121	154	37	6	189	8	-25	+0	-3	+4	+5	-1.9
2025	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	294	269	56	12	0	7	15	104	4	0	1	208	260	331	591	123	310	35	5	250	55	-16	-0	-3	+5	+6	-0.8
2025	38	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	294	259	49	7	0	7	25	96	4	0	1	189	271	297	568	108	269	33	9	257	55	-16	-0	-3	+5	+6	-0.8
2005	18	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	125	121	24	1	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	198	220	231	451	33	230	18	2	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	76	69	12	1	1	0	4	17	3	0	2	174	260	217	478	43	228	22	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	242	218	45	7	0	2	9	48	13	2	0	206	285	266	551	60	245	20	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	216	200	43	10	0	2	9	53	5	3	1	215	273	295	568	80	278	25	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	341	306	56	10	0	2	25	84	7	3	1	183	268	235	504	52	233	25	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	440	404	84	17	0	9	20	120	13	1	4	208	279	317	595	109	261	27	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	538	480	122	21	0	12	33	126	20	3	1	254	333	373	706	119	310	23	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	512	467	107	19	0	14	31	133	9	1	5	229	293	360	653	131	280	26	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	325	294	51	12	2	6	19	85	9	0	0	173	248	289	537	116	214	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	173	152	35	7	0	5	14	44	5	0	2	230	320	375	695	145	293	25	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	256	233	48	7	0	4	20	65	1	0	1	206	273	288	560	82	272	25	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	273	237	45	8	0	8	28	60	6	1	0	190	294	325	619	135	234	22	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	471	436	96	20	1	14	14	119	18	0	2	220	277	367	644	147	273	25	3	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	404	374	83	17	1	9	16	98	11	0	1	222	275	345	620	123	280	24	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	374	334	70	18	0	12	31	86	6	0	0	210	288	371	660	162	250	23	8	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	165	136	29	4	0	6	27	51	1	1	0	213	350	375	725	162	295	31	16	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	426	372	63	9	1	12	46	127	5	0	0	169	268	296	564	126	221	30	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	379	347	63	11	0	15	22	116	7	0	0	182	247	343	590	161	228	31	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	407	371	68	11	0	15	30	139	3	0	0	183	256	334	590	151	260	34	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	37	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	227	212	25	5	0	6	12	79	1	0	0	118	171	226	398	108	150	35	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	294	273	56	12	0	7	15	104	4	0	1	205	260	326	586	121	302	35	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	37	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	227	212	25	5	0	6	12	79	1	0	0	118	171	226	398	108	150	35	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	294	273	56	12	0	7	15	104	4	0	1	205	260	326	586	121	302	35	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	40	MLB MLE	SD	100%	148	137	28	6	1	5	9	41	1	1	1	200	254	353	607	153	246	28	6	269	68	-6	-0	-3	+3	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	40	MLB CTX	SD	100%	92	85	16	3	0	3	6	25	1	1	0	198	251	350	601	152	241	27	7	266	68	-3	+0	-2	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4027	3595	731	138	4	119	304	1106	67	3	5	203	278	343	621	140	257	27	8	278	66	-124	-1	+149	+84	+87	19.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	118	22	1	19	49	179	11	0	1	203	278	343	621	140	258	28	8	278	66	-20	-0	+24	+14	+14	3.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6756	6033	1242	231	6	164	433	1801	149	16	21	206	276	328	603	122	262	27	6	266	66	-128	-1	+148	+85	+89	19.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	120	22	1	16	42	173	14	2	2	207	277	331	608	124	263	27	6	266	66	-20	-0	+23	+13	+14	3.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2012 AAANashville Sounds · 138 PAwOBA .273 → .221 (−53)K% 26.8% → 33.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.81%	÷1.024	×1.290	—	—	33.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.52%	÷1.003	×0.710	—	×1.018	4.70%
HBP% /PA	2.90%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	2.89%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.016	×0.900	×0.972	×1.018	14.60%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.957	×0.810	×0.972	×1.018	5.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.810	×0.972	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.022	×0.780	—	×1.018	3.70%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 88, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .273 → .221; ISO .149 → .114; BABIP .241 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAHuntsville Stars · 241 PAwOBA .319 → .272 (−47)K% 23.2% → 28.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.24%	÷1.005	×1.220	—	—	28.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.88%	÷1.047	×0.680	—	×0.998	5.11%
HBP% /PA	3.73%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	3.13%
Singles /BIP	25.66%	÷1.023	×0.920	×1.032	×0.998	23.76%
Doubles /BIP	8.55%	÷1.087	×0.910	×1.032	×0.998	7.38%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.933	×0.880	×1.032	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.97%	÷0.993	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.59%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 87, K 101, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .319 → .272; ISO .106 → .089; BABIP .344 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAANashville Sounds · 160 PAwOBA .398 → .356 (−42)K% 13.1% → 16.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.12%	÷1.035	×1.290	—	—	16.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷0.950	×0.710	—	×1.033	7.72%
HBP% /PA	3.12%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	3.16%
Singles /BIP	26.55%	÷0.980	×0.900	×1.014	×1.033	25.53%
Doubles /BIP	4.42%	÷1.024	×0.810	×1.014	×1.033	3.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.014	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.08%	÷1.028	×0.780	—	×1.033	5.55%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .398 → .356; ISO .216 → .176; BABIP .330 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAANashville Sounds · 201 PAwOBA .306 → .274 (−32)K% 22.4% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.39%	÷0.991	×1.290	—	—	29.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.97%	÷0.989	×0.710	—	×1.048	4.49%
HBP% /PA	1.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	1.02%
Singles /BIP	21.71%	÷1.009	×0.900	×1.031	×1.048	20.93%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷1.089	×0.810	×1.031	×1.048	5.61%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.031	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.43%	÷0.943	×0.780	—	×1.048	4.70%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .306 → .274; ISO .172 → .149; BABIP .294 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAHuntsville Stars · 123 PAwOBA .319 → .287 (−32)K% 19.5% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.51%	÷1.029	×1.220	—	—	23.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.32%	÷0.997	×0.680	—	×1.012	5.05%
HBP% /PA	5.69%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	4.84%
Singles /BIP	22.78%	÷1.030	×0.920	×1.013	×1.012	20.87%
Doubles /BIP	7.59%	÷0.918	×0.910	×1.013	×1.012	7.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.013	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.53%	÷1.108	×0.800	—	×1.012	1.85%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .319 → .287; ISO .117 → .106; BABIP .304 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Brevard County Manatees · 37 PAwOBA .157 → .130 (−27)K% 21.6% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.62%	÷1.014	×1.420	—	—	30.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.70%	÷1.050	×0.750	—	×0.988	1.91%
HBP% /PA	5.41%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	4.97%
Singles /BIP	16.00%	÷1.038	×0.920	—	×0.988	14.02%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.916	×0.960	—	×0.988	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.004	×0.810	—	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.881	×0.880	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 108, 2B 83, 3B 101, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .157 → .130; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .134. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Brevard County Manatees · 299 PAwOBA .253 → .227 (−26)K% 17.1% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.06%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	24.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.03%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.998	7.51%
HBP% /PA	2.34%	—	×0.930	—	×0.998	2.17%
Singles /BIP	19.50%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	18.80%
Doubles /BIP	4.50%	÷1.000	×0.960	×1.050	×0.998	4.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.050	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	0.88%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .253 → .227; ISO .060 → .056; BABIP .240 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 22 PAwOBA .150 → .116 (−34)K% 31.8% → 43.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.82%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	43.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	6.21%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.990	15.18%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.990	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .150 → .116; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1René Riveralast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	42	1	221	273	354	+29	+90	11.7	11.8
/162	664	17	0	+11.9	+37.2	4.9	pk7: 12
#2Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	6.2	4,119	122	4	203	273	342	+74	+149	6.5	6.7
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+24.1	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Charlie O'Brien'85-'00 * career totals — 12 seasons, 2,560 PA	3.9	2,560	56	1	214*	295*	358*	+46	+0	5.0	5.6
/162	664	15	0	+11.9	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Buck Martinez'69-'86 * career totals — 15 seasons, 3,072 PA	4.6	3,072	58	5	223*	284*	368*	+54	+0	4.5	4.9
/162	664	13	1	+11.8	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Henry Blanco'97-'13 * career totals — 15 seasons, 3,087 PA	4.6	3,087	72	6	215*	278*	352*	+54	-0	1.0	2.5
/162	664	15	1	+11.6	-0.1	0.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Martín Maldonado (OGILVIE)	40	—	—	—	—	199/252/350	151	246	3	1	28%	6%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike DiFelice 2008 · MLB	39	45	42→50	41→30	42	219/276/322	102	287	11	3	27%	6%	70	-0.9	213/263/311	98	280	9	5	26%	5%	62	-1.4	187/229/261	74	244	5	0	25%	4%	36	-1.4
✕Manuel Cazarin 2006 · AAA	40	44	46→30	41→45	49	218/267/335	117	229	15	6	14%	6%	69	-0.9	221/266/318	97	239	10	8	12%	5%	64	-1.3	215/249/272	58	228	4	5	8%	4%	45	-1.0
✕Guillermo Velasquez 2007 · AAA	39	44	45	38→30	49	221/282/339	117	262	14	4	21%	8%	76	-0.4	207/257/304	97	257	9	6	22%	6%	58	-1.7	187/229/255	68	233	5	2	22%	5%	36	-1.6
✕John McDonald 2013 · MLB	38	47	46→40	39→50	46	233/271/357	124	251	14	5	14%	5%	75	-0.5	210/271/310	100	243	10	7	18%	7%	65	-1.2	150/219/196	46	176	5	4	18%	6%	19	-0.9
✕Hernando Arredondo 2016 · AAA	39	46→53	45→50	42→50	42	229/269/347	117	268	13	5	20%	4%	72	-0.7	228/272/333	105	293	10	9	25%	5%	70	-0.8	220/240/259	40	290	0	5	24%	3%	35	-0.6
✕David Ross 2016 · MLB	39	38	46→60	46→45	43	197/262/325	129	275	14	5	33%	8%	65	-1.2	225/302/397	172	282	22	6	27%	10%	97	+1.1	211/303/415	204	238	30	0	26%	12%	103	+0.5
✕Hector Hurtado 2009 · AAA	38	41	41→40	43→30	37	206/247/295	90	265	9	4	26%	4%	53	-2.1	215/250/290	75	267	7	5	22%	3%	52	-2.2	218/247/264	46	270	4	0	20%	2%	40	-0.9
✕Geronimo Gil 2014 · AAA	38	45	45→50	37→40	42	228/268/343	115	258	14	3	18%	4%	72	-0.7	229/273/311	82	269	8	3	17%	5%	65	-1.2	228/273/285	57	268	5	0	16%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Jonathan Aceves 2017 · AAA	39	49	43→50	42→30	48	238/305/347	109	285	11	4	20%	7%	86	+0.3	229/290/354	125	278	14	6	22%	7%	82	+0.0	210/267/328	119	248	15	2	22%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Henry Blanco 2013 · MLB	41	44	52→50	47→40	48	230/288/395	165	261	21	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	210/283/351	141	255	16	7	24%	9%	79	-0.2	142/228/248	106	168	12	0	24%	9%	37	-0.8
✕Julian Yan 2006 · AAA	41	37→39	56→60	44→45	49	210/286/398	188	247	26	5	27%	9%	92	+0.7	218/279/390	172	257	23	8	25%	8%	87	+0.4	215/268/399	184	239	26	9	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Adan Amezcua 2014 · AAA	40	48	46→45	44→45	47	237/304/371	133	276	13	6	19%	7%	92	+0.7	217/285/324	107	269	9	6	22%	6%	74	-0.5	199/258/262	62	251	2	3	20%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Francisco Valdez 2007 · AAA	38	48	41→40	38→30	42	235/275/328	92	261	10	5	15%	3%	70	-0.8	249/291/338	89	277	7	5	12%	4%	78	-0.3	260/300/341	82	286	4	1	10%	3%	79	-0.1
✕Erik Kratz 2019 · MLB	39	42→44	47→60	48→45	42	217/270/346	129	255	16	6	22%	5%	73	-0.6	228/285/366	138	261	16	7	19%	6%	84	+0.1	200/260/335	135	217	16	2	17%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Jamie Burke 2010 · MLB	38	46→45	40→45	42→30	46	224/274/315	91	262	8	5	18%	6%	67	-1.1	216/274/319	103	267	9	8	22%	6%	68	-1.0	190/247/252	62	241	3	4	21%	5%	41	-0.7
✕José Hernández 2008 · MLB	39	43→53	47→55	42→45	43	220/273/349	128	272	15	4	25%	6%	75	-0.5	230/289/333	103	300	9	9	25%	7%	77	-0.3	245/303/340	95	323	5	11	24%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Pedro Mere 2009 · AAA	39	47→46	39→40	40	46	223/273/307	83	257	7	5	16%	5%	65	-1.2	220/282/301	81	264	6	6	18%	6%	67	-1.1	211/278/266	55	253	2	3	16%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Hector Paez 2016 · AAA	38	43	41→45	41→40	42	210/254/301	91	236	9	4	16%	4%	56	-1.9	214/245/297	83	246	7	6	16%	3%	51	-2.2	210/224/266	56	239	4	3	14%	1%	34	-1.0
✕Mario Valenzuela 2017 · AAA	40	46→56	44→55	38→40	41	231/274/339	108	290	13	5	25%	5%	72	-0.7	225/279/336	111	290	11	6	25%	7%	74	-0.6	211/270/304	93	274	9	1	25%	7%	61	-0.9
✕José Molina 2014 · MLB	39	48	43→45	45	48	233/292/341	108	282	10	6	21%	7%	80	-0.2	211/269/288	77	264	7	8	22%	7%	59	-1.6	170/224/179	9	223	0	7	22%	6%	17	-1.9

Martín Maldonado

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps