Tyler Phillips
P
Miami Marlins
+0.2
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA4.48
FIP4.69
xFIP4.12
SIERA3.72
K%18.0%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%9.6%
IP63
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL5555
CMD4040
K†4545
FB Velo
p8196.7
Whiff%
p9036.6%
K%
p8528.6%
xwOBA vs
p580.304
SL+1.4 (26%)
CH+1.0 (25%)
FB+0.9 (33%)
SI (26%)
CU (17%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 13 | 0 | 15 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 11.3% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.60 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 7 | 4 | 25 | 117 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 9.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 6.39 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 23 | 23 | 133 | 531 | 127 | 16 | 4 | 17.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 2.64 | 2.45 | +4.3 |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 24 | 22 | 131 | 527 | 102 | 25 | 16 | 15.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.71 | 4.12 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 15 | 14 | 40 | 181 | 41 | 23 | 8 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 6.13 | 5.71 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 26 | 25 | 123 | 541 | 110 | 52 | 13 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.92 | 4.51 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 28 | 27 | 155 | 667 | 128 | 56 | 23 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 5.50 | 4.69 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 54 | 1 | 78 | 313 | 52 | 24 | 8 | 16.6% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 2.78 | 4.13 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 5 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 12 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.84 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIA | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 18.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 63 | 268 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 20.2% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 3.92 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 52 | 24 | 8 | 19.8% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.56 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 60 | 254 | 49 | 23 | 8 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 46 | 23 | 7 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.68 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 42 | 22 | 7 | 18.1% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.87 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 39 | 22 | 7 | 17.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 4.91 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 50 | — | 50 | 213 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 16.7% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 5.19 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 44 | — | 44 | 188 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 5.35 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 195 | 116 | 710 | 2982 | 501 | 225 | 81 | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 4.13 | +9.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 33 | 200 | 840 | 141 | 63 | 23 | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 4.13 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Phillips (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 18.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.65 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 180 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.22 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.06 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 219 | 83 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.10 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.09 | 3.18 | 253 | 82 |
| Collin Balester R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.23 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.20 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -1.03 | 3.20 | 116 | 81 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.85 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.65 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.20 | 3.23 | 171 | 81 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 81 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.29 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.78 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.49 | 3.39 | 212 | 81 |
| John Church R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.85 | 13.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | .278 | 2.78 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 30 | -1.07 | 2.78 | 101 | 81 |
| Anthony Bass R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.43 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 2.83 | 432 | 81 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 117 | 81 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.80 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 3.29 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.51 | 3.15 | 485 | 80 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.10 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .282 | 4.07 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 68 | -1.03 | 4.06 | 256 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 80 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 80 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.13 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .302 | 5.19 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +1.06 | 4.13 | 265 | 80 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 79 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% | .298 | 3.32 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.64 | 2.21 | 385 | 79 |
| Bryan Evans R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 79 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2029 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 79 |
| Tyler Herron R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.39 | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | .389 | 3.99 | 16.4% | 7.7% | 60 | -0.40 | 3.99 | 117 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.