Tyler Phillips
P
Miami Marlins
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.24
FIP4.42
K%17.5%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%7.9%
ROS IP71
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p5325.7%
K%
p1617.3%
xwOBA vs
p280.338
SL+1.4 (25%)
CH+1.0 (24%)
FB+0.9 (34%)
SI (26%)
CU (17%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 13 | 0 | 15 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 11.3% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 3.60 | 4.97 | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 13 | 0 | 15 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.7% | 1.7% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 3.60 | 3.70 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 7 | 4 | 25 | 117 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 57% | 3.6 | 9.5% | 9.1% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 6.39 | 4.62 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 7 | 4 | 25 | 117 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 57% | 3.6 | 12.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 6.39 | 4.01 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 133 | 531 | 127 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.9% | 3.2% | 14.7% | 0.7% | 2.64 | 2.39 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 133 | 531 | 127 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.9% | 3.0% | 20.9% | 0.8% | 2.64 | 1.94 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 131 | 527 | 102 | 25 | 16 | 92% | 5.5 | 15.5% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 3.89 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 131 | 527 | 102 | 25 | 16 | 92% | 5.5 | 19.4% | 4.7% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 3.71 | 3.70 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 14 | 40 | 181 | 41 | 23 | 8 | 93% | 2.6 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.13 | 5.36 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 14 | 40 | 181 | 41 | 23 | 8 | 93% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 6.13 | 5.39 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 123 | 541 | 110 | 52 | 13 | 96% | 4.7 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 4.92 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 123 | 541 | 110 | 52 | 13 | 96% | 4.7 | 20.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.92 | 3.96 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 155 | 667 | 128 | 56 | 23 | 96% | 5.5 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 5.50 | 4.75 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 27 | 155 | 667 | 128 | 56 | 23 | 96% | 5.5 | 19.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 5.50 | 4.46 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 54 | 1 | 78 | 313 | 52 | 24 | 8 | 2% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 2.78 | 4.15 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 54 | 1 | 78 | 313 | 52 | 24 | 8 | 2% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 2.78 | 4.03 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 25 | 9 | 75 | 324 | 56 | 35 | 8 | 36% | 3.0 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 3.48 | 4.36 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 64 | 0 | 68 | 285 | 48 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 60 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 44 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 56 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 39 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.25 | 5.40 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 46 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.25 | 5.40 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 259 | 17 | 370 | 1559 | 260 | 143 | 50 | 7% | 1.4 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.60 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 140 | 9 | 200 | 843 | 141 | 77 | 27 | 7% | 1.4 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 215 | 125 | 775 | 3261 | 545 | 255 | 85 | 58% | 3.6 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.17 | 4.11 | +11.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 32 | 200 | 842 | 141 | 66 | 22 | 58% | 3.6 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.17 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Phillips (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | — | 5.16 | 16.3% | 6.1% | 190 | +0.38 | — | — | — |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 77 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 77 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 76 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 75 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 75 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .278 | 6.71 | 16.4% | 2.4% | 16 | +2.71 | 4.00 | 464 | 74 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 74 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 74 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 74 |
| Mike Connolly R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 73 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 73 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 73 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 73 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.59 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 302 | 72 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 72 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 72 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 72 |
| Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 72 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.92 | 16.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 5.85 | 20.8% | 11.4% | 39 | +1.93 | 3.05 | 221 | 71 |
| Sugar Ray Marimon R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.08 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 107 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 65 | 16.7% | 9.7% | 1.24 | 4.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |