Tyler Phillips — OGILVIE

Tyler Phillips P Miami Marlins

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.28

FIP4.44

K%18.5%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7296.1

Whiff%

p5626.2%

p2718.9%

xwOBA vs

p330.332

SL+1.4 (25%)

CH+1.0 (24%)

FB+0.9 (34%)

SI (26%)

CU (17%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	13	0	15	60	10	1	2	0%	1.2	11.3%	2.1%	9.3%	4.7%	3.60	4.97	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	13	0	15	60	10	1	2	0%	1.2	16.7%	1.7%	15.0%	3.3%	3.60	3.70	—
2017	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	7	4	25	117	15	9	2	57%	3.6	9.5%	9.1%	0.4%	2.2%	6.39	4.65	—
2017	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	7	4	25	117	15	9	2	57%	3.6	12.8%	7.7%	5.1%	1.7%	6.39	4.01	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	133	531	127	16	4	100%	5.8	17.9%	3.2%	14.7%	0.8%	2.64	2.46	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	133	531	127	16	4	100%	5.8	23.9%	3.0%	20.9%	0.8%	2.64	1.94	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	131	527	102	25	16	92%	5.5	15.5%	5.3%	10.2%	3.0%	3.71	4.13	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	131	527	102	25	16	92%	5.5	19.4%	4.7%	14.6%	3.0%	3.71	3.70	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	14	40	181	41	23	8	93%	2.6	19.5%	13.9%	5.6%	4.5%	6.13	5.68	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	14	40	181	41	23	8	93%	2.6	22.7%	12.7%	9.9%	4.4%	6.13	5.39	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	123	541	110	52	13	96%	4.7	16.6%	9.8%	6.8%	2.7%	4.92	4.44	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	123	541	110	52	13	96%	4.7	16.6%	9.8%	6.8%	2.7%	4.92	4.44	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	123	541	110	52	13	96%	4.7	20.3%	9.6%	10.7%	2.4%	4.92	3.96	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	155	667	128	56	23	96%	5.5	16.6%	7.7%	9.0%	3.6%	5.50	4.64	+0.5
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	155	667	128	56	23	96%	5.5	16.6%	7.7%	9.0%	3.6%	5.50	4.64	+0.5
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	155	667	128	56	23	96%	5.5	19.2%	8.4%	10.8%	3.4%	5.50	4.46	+0.8
2025	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	54	1	78	313	52	24	8	2%	1.4	16.6%	7.7%	8.9%	2.7%	2.78	4.15	+0.4
2025	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	54	1	78	313	52	24	8	2%	1.4	16.6%	7.7%	8.9%	2.7%	2.78	4.15	+0.4
2025	27	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	54	1	78	313	52	24	8	2%	1.4	16.6%	7.7%	8.9%	2.6%	2.78	4.03	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			97	26	233	980	176	82	34	27%	2.4	18.0%	8.4%	9.6%	3.5%	3.82	4.54	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	35	18	119	507	96	51	17	51%	3.4	18.9%	10.1%	8.9%	3.5%	3.55	4.71	+0.3
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	35	18	119	507	96	51	17	51%	3.4	18.9%	10.1%	8.9%	3.5%	3.55	4.71	+0.3
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	MLB RAW	MIA	35	18	119	507	96	51	17	51%	3.4	18.9%	10.1%	8.9%	3.4%	3.55	4.62	+0.4
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	MIA	35	18	119	507	96	51	17	51%	3.4	18.9%	10.1%	8.9%	3.4%	3.55	4.62	+0.4
ROS	28	MLB MLE	MIA	2	2	11	46	9	4	1	100%	5.5	18.5%	9.1%	9.5%	3.2%	4.28	4.44	+0.1
ROS	28	MLB CTX	MIA	2	2	11	46	9	4	1	100%	5.5	18.5%	9.1%	9.5%	3.2%	4.28	4.44	+0.1
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	130	553	105	55	18	—	—	18.9%	10.0%	8.9%	3.3%	3.62	4.69	+0.3
FULL	28	MLB A+C	MIA	—	—	130	549	105	55	18	—	—	19.1%	10.1%	9.0%	3.4%	3.62	4.61	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIA	10	10	68	285	51	27	10	100%	6.8	17.8%	9.3%	8.5%	3.4%	4.88	5.01	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIA	10	10	63	268	46	26	10	100%	6.3	17.1%	9.6%	7.5%	3.6%	5.08	5.22	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIA	10	10	64	270	48	25	9	100%	6.4	17.8%	9.3%	8.5%	3.4%	4.88	5.01	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIA	9	9	60	253	43	24	9	100%	6.7	17.1%	9.6%	7.5%	3.6%	5.08	5.22	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		118	47	369	1551	276	136	54	40%	3.1	17.8%	8.8%	9.1%	3.5%	4.22	4.61	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		64	25	200	842	150	74	29	40%	3.1	17.8%	8.8%	9.1%	3.5%	4.22	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		225	134	819	3444	579	261	99	60%	3.6	16.8%	7.6%	9.2%	2.9%	4.14	4.22	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	33	200	841	141	64	24	60%	3.6	16.8%	7.6%	9.2%	2.9%	4.14	4.22	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Phillips (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	17.6%	7.7%	3.1%	—	5.11	17.5%	8.0%	131	+0.43	—	—	—
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	78
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	76
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	75
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	75
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	74
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	73
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	73
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	73
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	72
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	72
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	72
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	72
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	72
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	72
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	72
Michael Blazek R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	28	SP-	3.85	16.0%	9.5%	1.6%	.317	5.72	20.8%	11.4%	39	+1.87	2.99	221	72
Drew VerHagen R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	28	SW	4.11	19.5%	7.3%	3.2%	.344	6.00	17.0%	4.7%	22	+1.89	2.80	487	72
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	71
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	67	17.5%	8.8%	1.30	4.82
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79