Aaron Brooks
P
Durham Bulls
Age 36
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION53 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.92
FIP5.07
xFIP5.15
SIERA5.30
K%13.4%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%5.2%
IP54
K†3030
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p1219.9%
K%
p1010.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.391
SI (24%)
CU (2%)
SL (33%)
CH-2.1 (13%)
FB-3.5 (52%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 33 | 28 | 174 | 740 | 141 | 34 | 19 | 17.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.55 | 4.12 | +2.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 5 | 4 | 16 | 75 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 14.1% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 7.71 | 7.78 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | 26 | 26 | 146 | 643 | 107 | 28 | 29 | 14.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.12 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 29 | 15 | 102 | 420 | 75 | 30 | 8 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 3.26 | 3.61 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 29 | 18 | 110 | 482 | 82 | 34 | 21 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.65 | 4.78 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 20 | 13 | 79 | 343 | 61 | 22 | 12 | 15.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.81 | 4.30 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 33 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 44 | 4 | 64 | 282 | 51 | 20 | 10 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.95 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 20 | 13 | 94 | 418 | 62 | 24 | 8 | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 4.96 | 3.85 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 35 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 18 | 14 | 87 | 396 | 66 | 35 | 16 | 14.5% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 5.56 | 4.85 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 7 | 3 | 19 | 89 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.68 | 5.74 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | TB | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | TB | — | — | 68 | 298 | 41 | 25 | 11 | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 5.95 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TB | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 23 | 16 | 6 | 12.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.25 | 5.47 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 231 | 138 | 891 | 3888 | 607 | 246 | 142 | 15.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.22 | 4.60 | +8.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 31 | 200 | 873 | 136 | 55 | 32 | 15.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.22 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aaron Brooks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.1% | — | 5.47 | 12.3% | 3.4% | 44 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 84 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 36 | SW | 5.02 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | .282 | 4.48 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.54 | 4.48 | 156 | 82 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 81 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2024 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.97 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.71 | 160 | 79 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 79 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 3.95 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.95 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 132 | 78 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 77 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 76 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 75 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.83 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 173 | 75 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 36 | SW | 5.13 | 13.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.91 | 225 | 75 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 74 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 73 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 73 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 72 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.69 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 248 | 72 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.56 | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 143 | 71 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2025 · 5.63 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.63 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 261 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.