Matt VierlingCF Detroit Tigers
Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs MLB HR +5%H +3% Svc 4.151 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 1.0 · 2026
wRC+†vL 9896vR 93
AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .317 / .389
PA399
HR9
SB7
K%22
BB%8
MLB%100%
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +2.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -1.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +11.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +1.00+1.0WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
5555
PWR
5050
SPD
5555
EYE
4760
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2021
Service   4.151 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-2$3M+1.0$8M+$5M
2027Arb-3$5M+1.0$8M+$3M
Totals $8M $16M +$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201821 ALakewood BlueClaws 204188 441105 6515 55 .234.276.372.649 .138.289 253 .282 74 -6 -1 +0 +1 +6 -0.0
201922 A+Clearwater Threshers 483439 751514 261409 225 .171.232.237.469 .066.234 295 .216 24 -42 +2 +0 +2 +14 -2.4
202124 AAA3 teams 415376 9714211 28995 122 .258.318.394.711 .136.316 247 .307 93 -3 +2 +0 -7 +12 0.3
202225 MLB2 teams 452413 981547 30893 156 .237.294.344.638 .107.282 207 .283 75 -13 +1 -1 +2 +13 0.1
202326 MLBDetroit Tigers 530479 12821511 441125 66 .267.335.401.736 .134.328 218 .321 104 +2 -1 +0 -6 +15 1.1
202427 MLBDetroit Tigers 567518 13326516 411213 61 .257.315.419.734 .162.303 217 .320 103 +2 +1 -2 +2 +16 2.0
202528 MLB2 teams 169150 32503 13504 30 .213.293.307.600 .093.293 308 .262 58 -8 +1 -0 +1 +5 -0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202629 MLBDetroit Tigers 4743 10401 390 10 .233.283.395.678 .163.265 196 .291 81 -1 +0 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
ROS29 MLBDET 352320 791528 26783 61 .247.309.381.691 .134.304 227 .314 98 -1 +1 -0 +1 +10 1.1
TOT29 MLBDET 399363 891929 29873 71 .245.306.383.689 .138.296 227 .311 96 -2 +1 -2 +1 +11 1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202730 MLBDET 395359 891729 30813 51 .248.311.382.693 .134.294 218 .311 96 -2 +1 -3 +1 +11 0.9
202831 MLBDET 380346 841628 28793 30 .243.305.370.675 .127.293 217 .307 93 -3 +1 -3 +1 +11 0.7
202932 MLBDET 361328 801528 27773 20 .244.307.375.682 .131.292 217 .302 89 -4 +0 -4 +1 +10 0.4
203033 MLBDET 331300 721327 25733 00 .240.305.367.672 .127.290 228 .297 85 -6 +0 -5 +1 +9 0.0
203134 MLBDET 287262 611125 21662 00 .233.295.347.642 .115.289 237 .290 80 -6 +0 -5 +1 +8 -0.3
203235 MLBDET 235214 48914 17562 00 .224.288.332.619 .107.287 247 .283 74 -7 +0 -6 +1 +7 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 51614692 112020330106 362117253 8527 .239.301.363.663 .124.293 237 .294 83 -96 +6 -29 +2 +146 3.0
/ 162G 650591 14126413 461487 113 .239.301.362.663 .124.294 237 .294 83 -12 +1 -4 +0 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201821 ALakewood BlueClaws 204184 541506 10385 55 .293.347.473.820 .179.336 195 .354 129 +7 -1 +6 1.2
201922 A+Clearwater Threshers 483431 1002325 34949 225 .232.302.329.631 .097.279 197 .283 75 -14 +2 +14 0.3
202124 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 7771 23312 4201 20 .324.368.479.847 .155.420 265 .371 142 +4 +0 +0 -7 +2 -0.1
202124 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs 236206 51615 24463 51 .248.335.359.694 .112.291 1910 .313 98 -1 +1 +7 0.7
202124 AAReading Fightin Phils 10287 30616 12181 51 .345.430.6441.074 .299.369 1812 .454 205 +12 +1 +3 1.6
202225 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 357325 801226 23703 74 .246.302.351.653 .105.290 206 .290 80 -8 -0 -1 +2 +10 0.2
202225 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs 9585 23622 10150 82 .271.347.459.806 .188.309 1611 .356 131 +3 +1 +3 0.7
202326 MLBDetroit Tigers 530479 12521510 441125 66 .261.330.388.718 .127.321 218 .322 105 +3 -1 +0 -6 +15 1.1
202427 MLBDetroit Tigers 567518 13328516 411213 61 .257.315.423.738 .166.303 217 .325 107 +4 +1 -2 +2 +16 2.2
202528 MLBDetroit Tigers 10088 21301 7243 20 .239.316.307.623 .068.308 247 .284 76 -3 +0 -0 +1 +3 0.1
202528 AAAToledo Mud Hens 6960 12202 8231 10 .200.304.333.638 .133.286 3312 .294 83 -1 +0 +2 0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 16311481 382671335 11934715 2311 .258.320.392.711 .134.311 217 .316 100 +0 +0 -3 -9 +46 3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Matt Vierling (OGILVIE) 29 55 50 55 60 .249/.312/.387 .138.296 96 20% 7% 98 +1.1
Ryan Roberts
2010 · MLB
29 51→52 45→50 52→55 54 .247/.323/.377 .129.295 1213 20% 10% 99 +1.7 .235/.309/.371 .136.279 1416 20% 9% 92 +1.2 .233/.307/.361.129.271151319%10%86+0.6
Andy Green
2006 · MLB
29 52→56 48→50 48→45 51 .256/.318/.410 .154.291 138 17% 8% 105 +2.1 .236/.304/.368 .132.279 128 19% 8% 89 +1.0 .215/.283/.329.114.25511720%8%68-0.3
Jamey Carroll
2003 · MLB
29 51→61 48→40 55→50 49 .252/.307/.407 .155.287 1410 18% 7% 100 +1.7 .253/.324/.342 .089.293 510 14% 9% 91 +1.1 .283/.362/.340.057.33711214%10%101+1.3
Andy Ibáñez
2023 · MLB
30 49→55 46→50 49→45 48 .241/.294/.375 .134.272 138 17% 6% 87 +0.8 .246/.302/.391 .145.287 157 19% 7% 94 +1.3 .247/.306/.390.143.28915720%7%94+0.8
Chad Allen
2004 · MLB
29 50→54 48→50 47→50 50 .245/.312/.396 .151.289 148 20% 8% 100 +1.7 .253/.291/.383 .130.302 129 20% 5% 87 +0.8 .275/.304/.408.133.31914718%4%96+1.0
Mike Brosseau
2023 · MLB
29 46→56 51→55 52→45 46 .231/.315/.389 .158.304 208 30% 9% 101 +1.8 .214/.285/.353 .139.270 196 27% 7% 79 +0.3 .193/.261/.311.118.23817526%6%55-0.7
Jay Canizaro
2002 · MLB
29 52 46→45 47→45 50 .257/.311/.393 .135.289 138 16% 7% 98 +1.6 .235/.300/.357 .122.278 108 18% 8% 85 +0.7 .209/.278/.295.087.2580017%8%57-0.3
Eric Campbell
2016 · MLB
29 54→57 44→45 49→50 55 .259/.346/.381 .122.314 1014 20% 10% 111 +2.5 .244/.329/.355 .111.302 1012 21% 10% 97 +1.5 .235/.322/.349.115.29010921%10%90+0.7
Phillip Ervin
2021 · MLB
29 49→52 48→50 49→55 48 .240/.314/.388 .149.300 1414 24% 8% 99 +1.7 .207/.283/.336 .129.279 1515 29% 9% 73 -0.1 .163/.242/.272.109.220152132%9%36-1.2
John Mayberry Jr.
2013 · MLB
29 47→48 51→55 49→50 45 .244/.296/.406 .163.285 2010 22% 6% 96 +1.5 .225/.289/.388 .163.270 186 23% 8% 89 +0.9 .203/.272/.360.158.24317524%8%72-0.1
Angel Berroa
2006 · MLB
29 54→56 45→50 50 43 .266/.310/.392 .126.302 1212 16% 4% 98 +1.6 .245/.286/.356 .111.281 116 17% 4% 78 +0.2 .259/.304/.420.161.30320421%4%101+1.1
Josh Fields
2012 · MLB
29 50→56 52→55 48→50 45 .254/.311/.423 .168.312 2011 25% 7% 107 +2.2 .248/.295/.371 .123.339 1111 28% 6% 86 +0.8 .248/.293/.356.107.3439929%6%79+0.2
Mike Cervenak
2006 · AAA
29 51→61 48→50 51→40 45 .257/.303/.401 .144.280 167 15% 5% 98 +1.6 .253/.284/.381 .128.284 144 16% 3% 84 +0.6 .270/.315/.390.120.29813314%5%97+1.0
Ed Lucas
2011 · AAA
29 50→56 45 51→50 48 .244/.308/.367 .123.301 1314 23% 8% 91 +1.1 .226/.280/.340 .114.288 127 25% 6% 72 -0.2 .256/.307/.325.069.3325323%6%75-0.0
Lonnie Chisenhall
2018 · MLB
29 51→58 49→55 50→45 47 .257/.309/.412 .155.298 157 20% 7% 102 +1.9 .259/.322/.416 .157.308 168 20% 8% 109 +2.4 .291/.368/.429.138.3389515%9%122+0.6
Adam Heether
2011 · AAA
29 44→54 47→50 49→45 49 .219/.302/.354 .135.268 149 23% 9% 86 +0.8 .200/.284/.320 .120.245 149 24% 8% 70 -0.3 .178/.268/.284.106.21813724%8%51-1.0
Marshall McDougall
2007 · MLB
28 50→56 50→55 53→45 45 .251/.304/.409 .158.312 1811 25% 7% 100 +1.7 .235/.271/.391 .156.268 186 20% 4% 82 +0.5 .270/.318/.439.169.28723715%6%111+1.4
José Pirela
2019 · MLB
29 51→58 47→55 47→50 47 .253/.304/.396 .143.296 139 19% 6% 96 +1.5 .257/.303/.439 .182.303 227 23% 6% 108 +2.3 .263/.300/.487.225.30232325%4%118+1.9
Wendell Magee
2002 · MLB
29 47 50→55 55→45 51 .239/.302/.398 .158.266 178 18% 8% 96 +1.5 .250/.291/.381 .131.290 137 18% 5% 87 +0.8 .266/.288/.377.110.31110318%3%82+0.3
Mikie Mahtook
2019 · MLB
29 45→55 50→55 52→50 42 .231/.287/.388 .157.291 1710 27% 6% 88 +0.9 .220/.283/.402 .182.273 2412 29% 7% 90 +1.0 .205/.268/.396.192.245281330%7%80+0.3