Carlos Narváez — OGILVIE

Carlos NarváezC Boston Red Sox

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 1.221 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION174 act + 279 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9290vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .285 / .343

PA279

HR7

K%28

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO131

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

699.1%

xwOBA

320.287

POWER50

Barrel%

508.2

Avg EV

8391.4

Bat Spd

5371.7

EYE45

Chase%

9023.8%

SPEED35

Sprint

1025.3

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 496 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

130

366

—

wRC+

108

◀◀L

wOBA

326

304

◀L

ISO

156

174

▶R

BABIP

289

292

—

21.5%

27.1%

◀◀L

BB%

11.5%

6.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.221 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$1.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$8M	+$6M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$20M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	144	136	36	6	1	1	5	12	3	0	0	265	306	346	651	81	285	8	3	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	144	133	45	9	1	1	8	8	3	0	0	338	389	444	832	105	355	6	6	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	124	112	22	1	0	1	9	32	2	0	0	196	268	232	500	36	263	26	7	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	124	106	27	1	0	1	15	22	2	0	0	255	358	292	650	38	310	18	12	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	132	116	25	2	0	1	15	37	1	0	1	216	311	259	569	43	308	28	11	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	132	107	30	3	0	1	24	26	1	0	1	280	417	336	753	56	362	20	18	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	319	276	53	7	0	7	33	128	5	3	0	192	290	293	583	101	315	40	10	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	319	261	66	9	0	9	48	94	5	3	0	253	379	391	770	138	350	29	15	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	300	262	37	11	1	8	31	113	5	4	2	141	245	282	527	141	203	38	10	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	300	248	48	12	1	11	45	87	5	4	2	194	329	383	712	190	243	29	15	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	568	500	99	24	0	14	53	178	10	6	3	198	288	330	618	132	272	31	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	568	472	115	27	0	14	81	137	10	6	3	244	366	390	756	146	310	24	14	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	508	445	96	18	0	10	47	164	11	14	1	216	306	324	630	108	312	32	9	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	508	425	117	27	0	16	67	124	11	14	1	275	388	452	839	176	348	24	13	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	446	403	92	24	0	15	38	111	1	1	1	228	296	400	696	171	276	25	9	305	91	-4	-0	+15	+8	+13	3.1
2025	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	446	403	97	27	0	15	38	111	1	1	1	241	308	419	727	179	294	25	9	320	103	+2	-0	+15	+8	+13	3.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	BOS	—	174	154	29	6	0	2	12	55	3	1	0	188	260	266	527	78	273	32	7	236	38	-12	+0	+2	+3	+5	-0.1
YTD	27	MLB	BOS	—	174	154	29	6	0	2	12	55	3	1	0	188	260	266	527	78	273	32	7	238	40	-12	+0	+2	+3	+5	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	BOS	100%	279	251	53	12	0	7	23	77	3	2	1	211	285	343	628	131	276	28	8	288	79	-7	+0	+3	+5	+8	1.0
ROS	27	MLB	BOS	100%	279	251	55	13	0	7	23	77	3	2	1	219	292	355	647	135	283	28	8	285	77	-7	+0	+3	+5	+8	0.9
FULL	27	MLB	BOS	—	453	405	84	19	0	9	35	132	6	3	1	207	280	321	601	114	281	29	8	266	62	-19	+0	+6	+8	+13	0.8
TOT	27	MLB	BOS	—	453	405	82	18	0	9	35	132	6	3	1	202	276	314	589	111	273	29	8	268	63	-19	+0	+6	+8	+13	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	BOS	98%	449	403	87	19	1	12	38	125	5	3	1	216	291	357	649	141	276	28	8	288	79	-11	+0	+5	+8	+13	1.5
2028	29	MLB	BOS	98%	438	393	84	19	1	11	37	123	5	3	1	214	290	351	641	137	275	28	8	286	77	-11	+0	+4	+8	+12	1.3
2027	28	MLB	BOS	98%	440	395	86	20	1	11	37	122	5	3	1	218	293	357	650	139	283	28	8	285	76	-12	+0	+5	+8	+12	1.4
2028	29	MLB	BOS	98%	429	385	83	19	0	11	36	120	5	3	1	216	291	351	642	135	283	28	8	283	75	-12	+0	+4	+8	+12	1.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1609	1447	324	79	1	44	136	436	14	9	4	224	297	371	668	147	287	27	8	294	83	-30	+0	+26	+38	+46	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	131	32	0	18	55	176	6	4	2	224	298	371	669	147	287	27	8	294	83	-12	+0	+11	+15	+18	3.3
Career	—			—	3707	3297	684	143	4	87	329	1100	51	36	11	207	289	332	622	125	280	30	9	278	71	-123	+3	+26	+66	+105	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	120	25	1	15	58	193	9	6	2	208	290	332	622	125	281	30	9	278	71	-22	+0	+5	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	144	133	45	9	1	1	8	8	3	0	0	338	389	444	832	105	355	6	6	374	144	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2017	18	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	124	106	27	1	0	1	15	22	2	0	0	255	358	292	650	38	310	18	12	306	92	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	132	107	30	3	0	1	24	26	1	0	1	280	417	336	753	56	362	20	18	356	130	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2021	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	65	56	17	1	0	2	5	18	2	1	0	304	381	429	810	125	395	28	8	355	130	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	254	205	49	8	0	7	43	76	3	2	0	239	378	380	759	141	336	30	17	346	123	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.4
2022	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	300	248	48	12	1	11	45	87	5	4	2	194	329	383	712	190	243	29	15	322	105	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2023	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	359	292	70	13	0	10	57	91	7	5	1	240	376	387	763	147	309	25	16	348	125	+10	+1	—	—	+10	2.1
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	60	51	12	5	0	2	7	17	2	1	2	235	350	451	801	216	312	28	12	358	132	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	24	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	149	129	33	9	0	2	17	29	1	0	0	256	347	372	719	116	310	19	11	324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	15	13	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	231	333	231	564		429	40	13	274	68	-1	+0	+0	+9	+0	0.9
2024	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	403	335	85	20	0	11	56	105	8	9	1	254	373	412	785	158	332	26	14	353	129	+13	+1	—	—	+11	2.6
2024	25	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	90	77	29	7	0	5	9	13	3	5	0	377	461	662	1.123	286	400	14	10	481	226	+13	+1	—	—	+3	1.7
2025	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	446	403	97	27	0	15	38	111	1	1	1	241	308	419	727	179	294	25	9	320	103	+2	-0	+15	+8	+13	3.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	461	416	100	27	0	15	40	117	1	1	1	240	309	413	722	173	297	25	9	319	102	+1	-0	+15	+17	+13	4.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,942	54	11	221	291	368	+35	+28	5.5	5.5
	/162	664	18	4	221	291	368	+11.9	+9.7	1.9	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Narváez (OGILVIE)	27	40	50	35	45	202/276/314	111	273	9	3	29%	8%	63	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Pérez 2020 · MLB	27	44	46→50	36→40	46	221/282/351	130	280	15	3	26%	8%	76	+0.0	193/262/328	135	247	16	4	28%	8%	62	-0.9	167/245/284	117	216	16	1	31%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Yu Chang 2023 · MLB	27	44→46	49→50	42→45	43	225/290/378	153	296	17	5	29%	7%	87	+0.8	223/283/378	155	287	20	12	29%	7%	84	+0.6	188/224/339	151	215	26	18	28%	3%	46	-0.7
✕Jeff Mathis 2010 · MLB	27	41→46	45→50	40→45	47	207/277/322	116	262	13	5	26%	8%	67	-0.5	199/248/310	111	260	12	6	28%	6%	50	-1.7	211/261/316	106	287	8	1	28%	6%	54	-0.4
✕Chad Wallach 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	46→50	42→40	42	201/265/322	121	271	14	4	30%	7%	62	-0.9	216/283/353	137	296	16	5	31%	7%	77	+0.1	186/257/330	144	259	20	2	35%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Scott Manea 2022 · AA	26	45→41	47→45	36→30	47	224/307/355	131	303	15	4	30%	9%	88	+0.9	205/291/304	99	312	9	5	34%	9%	68	-0.5	165/265/238	73	266	6	0	36%	10%	39	-1.4
✕Kyle Higashioka 2017 · AAA	27	43	51→60	39→40	43	224/266/383	159	257	20	2	22%	6%	78	+0.2	207/255/361	154	242	19	4	24%	6%	67	-0.5	229/285/425	196	263	28	4	25%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Martín Maldonado 2014 · MLB	27	43→50	47→50	41→40	43	218/280/347	129	272	15	4	26%	6%	75	-0.0	220/298/350	130	277	15	4	25%	9%	83	+0.6	211/289/350	138	261	16	1	25%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2008 · AAA	26	41	46→50	39→40	41	210/261/338	128	269	15	5	28%	6%	64	-0.8	218/273/337	119	273	12	4	24%	6%	69	-0.4	231/290/376	145	269	19	2	22%	6%	82	+0.2
✕Tony Sanchez 2014 · MLB	26	46→49	46→50	42→40	44	229/292/366	136	293	13	3	26%	7%	84	+0.6	212/279/346	134	273	14	4	27%	7%	74	-0.1	236/291/326	90	320	9	1	27%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jett Bandy 2016 · AAA	26	45	48→50	40→45	40	227/285/364	137	271	16	3	23%	4%	81	+0.4	223/282/361	138	266	17	5	23%	5%	79	+0.3	213/276/348	135	252	17	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Griff Erickson 2015 · AAA	27	41→50	47→45	39→40	46	211/278/346	135	268	15	4	27%	8%	73	-0.1	218/278/338	120	276	12	7	25%	7%	71	-0.3	202/264/297	95	251	9	2	23%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Chadwick Tromp 2021 · MLB	26	43	52→50	43→40	43	228/284/389	161	279	21	5	26%	6%	87	+0.8	208/250/354	146	258	19	3	27%	5%	63	-0.8	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Cameron Rupp 2016 · MLB	27	41→48	48→60	41→30	43	211/273/345	134	276	16	3	29%	7%	71	-0.3	227/290/403	176	301	22	3	31%	8%	93	+1.3	217/282/404	186	292	24	1	33%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Max Stassi 2018 · MLB	27	40→43	49→55	44→40	43	208/279/350	142	277	17	4	31%	8%	76	+0.0	216/295/360	144	285	18	4	29%	9%	85	+0.7	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Francisco Cordoba 2011 · AAA	27	46→53	45	40	50	227/300/351	124	274	12	7	22%	9%	83	+0.6	224/272/341	117	288	14	5	26%	6%	69	-0.4	245/293/369	124	299	16	1	23%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Andy Marte 2011 · MLB	27	47→48	52→55	40	48	242/294/409	167	269	20	4	19%	7%	95	+1.4	219/275/360	141	258	17	6	22%	7%	76	+0.0	218/264/344	126	248	15	2	19%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Robert Emery 2023 · AA	26	47	45	38→30	44	225/309/351	127	315	12	4	30%	8%	89	+0.9	214/285/312	98	324	8	6	34%	8%	67	-0.5	175/242/207	32	298	0	0	38%	7%	21	-0.6
✕Rio Ruiz 2021 · MLB	27	44→51	49→50	40	49	226/287/370	144	265	17	3	22%	8%	82	+0.5	216/276/351	135	263	14	8	23%	7%	73	-0.1	197/254/312	115	243	10	7	23%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Johnny Monell 2013 · AAA	27	42→44	47→50	42→45	43	214/275/353	139	286	14	4	30%	7%	74	-0.1	222/286/353	131	290	13	7	27%	8%	78	+0.2	224/289/345	121	286	13	8	25%	8%	75	+0.0
●Freddy Fermin 2022 · AAA	27	45	48→55	43→40	45	232/283/370	138	272	17	4	22%	6%	81	+0.4	247/306/406	159	290	20	4	22%	8%	101	+1.8	256/315/410	155	296	20	2	21%	7%	102	+1.0