Carlos Narváez
C Baltimore Orioles| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 493 | .277/.389/.459 | 16 | 14 | 102 | — | .215/.306/.320 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBNYY | 15 | .231/.333/.231 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0.9 | |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBBOS | 446 | .241/.308/.419 | 15 | 1 | 97 | 3.1 | |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBBAL | 285 | .161/.244/.226 | 3 | 2 | 30 | -1.0 | |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBBAL | 271 | .206/.282/.342 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 0.5 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 29 | MLBBAL | 223 | .204/.279/.335 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 30 | MLBBAL | 223 | .200/.275/.326 | 6 | 0 | 67 | 0.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 144 | 133 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 389 | 444 | 832 | 105 | 355 | 6 | 6 | 374 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | — | 124 | 106 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 358 | 292 | 650 | 38 | 310 | 18 | 12 | 306 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 132 | 107 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 417 | 336 | 753 | 56 | 362 | 20 | 18 | 356 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 65 | 56 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 304 | 381 | 429 | 810 | 125 | 395 | 28 | 8 | 355 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 254 | 205 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 76 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 239 | 378 | 380 | 759 | 141 | 336 | 30 | 17 | 346 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 300 | 248 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 87 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 194 | 329 | 383 | 712 | 190 | 243 | 29 | 15 | 322 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 359 | 292 | 70 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 57 | 91 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 376 | 387 | 763 | 147 | 309 | 25 | 16 | 348 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 60 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 350 | 451 | 801 | 216 | 312 | 28 | 12 | 358 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 149 | 129 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 347 | 372 | 719 | 116 | 310 | 19 | 11 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 231 | 564 | 429 | 40 | 13 | 274 | 72 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +0 | 0.9 | |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 403 | 335 | 85 | 20 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 105 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 254 | 373 | 412 | 785 | 158 | 332 | 26 | 14 | 353 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 90 | 77 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 377 | 461 | 662 | 1.123 | 286 | 400 | 14 | 10 | 481 | 211 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | — | 446 | 403 | 97 | 27 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 308 | 419 | 727 | 179 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 320 | 97 | -1 | -0 | +15 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 285 | 248 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 244 | 226 | 469 | 65 | 234 | 32 | 7 | 216 | 30 | -24 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 746 | 664 | 140 | 34 | 0 | 18 | 59 | 207 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 284 | 343 | 628 | 133 | 275 | 28 | 8 | 280 | 75 | -22 | +0 | +17 | +22 | +16 | 3.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 144 | 135 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 264 | 267 | 531 | 52 | 233 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 124 | 112 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 268 | 232 | 500 | 36 | 249 | 26 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 132 | 116 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 311 | 259 | 569 | 43 | 305 | 28 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 65 | 57 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 386 | 719 | 123 | 352 | 37 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 254 | 219 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 279 | 269 | 548 | 96 | 282 | 41 | 11 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 300 | 266 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 112 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 143 | 235 | 289 | 524 | 147 | 187 | 37 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 359 | 312 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 109 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 298 | 304 | 602 | 106 | 271 | 30 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 60 | 53 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 189 | 283 | 321 | 604 | 132 | 289 | 35 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 231 | 564 | 429 | 40 | 13 | 274 | 72 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +9 | +0 | 0.9 | |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 403 | 353 | 76 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 127 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 215 | 306 | 320 | 626 | 105 | 303 | 32 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 446 | 403 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 299 | 402 | 701 | 171 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -1 | -0 | +15 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 285 | 248 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 244 | 226 | 469 | 65 | 234 | 32 | 7 | 213 | 30 | -24 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 144 | 135 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 264 | 267 | 531 | 52 | 232 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 144 | 133 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 389 | 444 | 832 | 105 | 355 | 6 | 6 | 374 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 124 | 112 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 268 | 232 | 500 | 36 | 263 | 26 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees West | — | 124 | 106 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 358 | 292 | 650 | 38 | 310 | 18 | 12 | 306 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 132 | 116 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 311 | 259 | 569 | 43 | 308 | 28 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Yankees | — | 132 | 107 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 417 | 336 | 753 | 56 | 362 | 20 | 18 | 356 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 319 | 276 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 128 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 192 | 290 | 293 | 583 | 101 | 315 | 40 | 10 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 319 | 261 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 94 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 253 | 379 | 391 | 770 | 138 | 350 | 29 | 15 | 348 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 300 | 266 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 112 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 143 | 235 | 289 | 524 | 147 | 197 | 37 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 300 | 248 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 87 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 194 | 329 | 383 | 712 | 190 | 243 | 29 | 15 | 322 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 496 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 57 | 176 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 198 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 117 | 275 | 31 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 568 | 472 | 115 | 27 | 0 | 14 | 81 | 137 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 244 | 366 | 390 | 756 | 146 | 310 | 24 | 14 | 343 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 443 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 162 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 217 | 310 | 321 | 631 | 104 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 508 | 425 | 117 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 124 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 275 | 388 | 452 | 839 | 176 | 348 | 24 | 13 | 374 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 446 | 403 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 299 | 402 | 701 | 171 | 280 | 25 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -1 | -0 | +15 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | Boston Red Sox | — | 446 | 403 | 97 | 27 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 308 | 419 | 727 | 179 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 320 | 97 | -1 | -0 | +15 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 285 | 248 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 244 | 226 | 469 | 65 | 234 | 32 | 7 | 213 | 30 | -24 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | Baltimore Orioles | — | 285 | 248 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 244 | 226 | 469 | 65 | 234 | 32 | 7 | 216 | 30 | -24 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 144 | 134 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 264 | 269 | 533 | 52 | 233 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 124 | 112 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 268 | 232 | 500 | 36 | 249 | 26 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 132 | 115 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 311 | 261 | 571 | 43 | 305 | 28 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 319 | 278 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 128 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 191 | 290 | 291 | 581 | 101 | 296 | 40 | 10 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 300 | 265 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 112 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 143 | 235 | 291 | 525 | 147 | 187 | 37 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 496 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 57 | 176 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 198 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 117 | 274 | 31 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 443 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 162 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 217 | 310 | 321 | 631 | 104 | 308 | 32 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 446 | 404 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 299 | 401 | 700 | 171 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 285 | 256 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 156 | 244 | 219 | 462 | 62 | 234 | 32 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 508 | 443 | 96 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 162 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 217 | 310 | 321 | 631 | 104 | 308 | 32 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Boston Red Sox | — | 446 | 404 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 299 | 401 | 700 | 171 | 294 | 25 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 285 | 256 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 156 | 244 | 219 | 462 | 62 | 234 | 32 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 379 | 340 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 108 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 130 | 263 | 28 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -12 | +0 | +5 | +7 | +8 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 271 | 244 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 77 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 282 | 342 | 624 | 135 | 267 | 28 | 8 | 281 | 73 | -9 | +0 | +3 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 82% | 272 | 245 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 78 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 276 | 327 | 603 | 127 | 261 | 29 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -9 | -0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | BAL | 82% | 272 | 245 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 272 | 318 | 591 | 122 | 259 | 29 | 8 | 268 | 67 | -11 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 82% | 223 | 200 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 64 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 279 | 335 | 614 | 131 | 265 | 29 | 8 | 277 | 71 | -8 | -0 | +2 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | BAL | 82% | 223 | 200 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 275 | 326 | 602 | 126 | 263 | 29 | 8 | 272 | 67 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1192 | 1064 | 220 | 50 | 0 | 30 | 93 | 336 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 207 | 281 | 338 | 619 | 132 | 270 | 28 | 8 | 278 | 67 | -38 | +0 | +20 | +30 | +26 | 3.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 119 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 51 | 183 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 280 | 334 | 614 | 129 | 268 | 28 | 8 | 278 | 67 | -21 | +0 | +11 | +16 | +14 | 2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3641 | 3229 | 641 | 127 | 3 | 77 | 316 | 1092 | 58 | 33 | 10 | 199 | 282 | 311 | 593 | 113 | 270 | 30 | 9 | 267 | 67 | -50 | +0 | +23 | +37 | +34 | 4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 115 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 56 | 195 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 200 | 281 | 316 | 597 | 116 | 272 | 30 | 9 | 267 | 67 | -21 | +0 | +10 | +15 | +14 | 1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 403 PAwOBA .347 → .284 (−63)K% 26.1% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.05% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.65% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.48% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 22.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.072 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 6.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.78% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .347 → .284; ISO .158 → .115; BABIP .332 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 359 PAwOBA .341 → .275 (−65)K% 25.3% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.35% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.32% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 10.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.38% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.47% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.98% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.54% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .341 → .275; ISO .147 → .116; BABIP .309 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASomerset Patriots · 60 PAwOBA .348 → .285 (−63)K% 28.3% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.33% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.67% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.987 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 14.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.958 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 13.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.43% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .348 → .285; ISO .216 → .170; BABIP .312 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 300 PAwOBA .317 → .230 (−87)K% 29.0% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.00% | ÷1.015 | ×1.310 | — | — | 37.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 9.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.91% | ÷1.084 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 11.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.028 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.83% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 5.86% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 79, 3B 106, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .317 → .230; ISO .190 → .156; BABIP .243 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ATampa Tarpons · 254 PAwOBA .342 → .252 (−89)K% 29.9% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 11.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.990 | 22.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×0.990 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.953 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .342 → .252; ISO .141 → .103; BABIP .336 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 65 PAwOBA .357 → .288 (−69)K% 27.7% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 37.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 2.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 33.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 2.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.36% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .357 → .288; ISO .125 → .097; BABIP .395 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKPulaski Yankees · 132 PAwOBA .348 → .261 (−87)K% 19.7% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.70% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 11.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×0.995 | 27.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.021 | ×0.995 | 2.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.021 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 0.98% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .348 → .261; ISO .056 → .042; BABIP .362 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Yankees West · 124 PAwOBA .301 → .221 (−80)K% 17.7% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.74% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 24.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 0.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.94% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .301 → .221; ISO .038 → .028; BABIP .310 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .