Tres Barrera — OGILVIE

Tres BarreraC Rochester Red Wings

Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP265

ISO117

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT40

Whiff%

5110.9%

xAVG

100.214

POWER55

Barrel%

163.8

Avg EV

1080.9

EYE30

Chase%

3933.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

1024.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.0M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	237	66	18	1	8	23	58	6	1	0	278	357	464	821	186	335	22	9	362	131	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2018	23	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	288	259	68	14	0	6	22	53	6	3	0	263	334	386	721	124	310	18	8	325	106	+2	+1	—	—	+6	0.9
2018	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	48	44	11	2	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	250	283	295	578	45	289	17	2	253	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	357	89	23	0	8	36	69	5	1	2	249	327	381	708	132	285	17	9	316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+9	0.8
2020	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	24	23	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	174	208	174	382		286	38	4	180	8	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	24	3	1	2	12	22	4	0	0	264	374	385	758	121	328	21	11	348	122	+3	+0	+4	+6	+2	1.4
2021	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	201	169	34	5	0	3	24	43	2	0	0	201	306	284	590	83	244	21	12	271	69	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2022	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	53	50	9	1	0	0	2	16	0	0	0	180	212	200	412	20	265	30	4	187	13	-5	+0	-0	+5	+1	-0.0
2022	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	206	177	45	7	1	7	20	41	3	0	2	254	333	424	757	169	292	20	10	332	111	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	216	46	7	0	7	26	49	3	1	1	213	306	343	649	130	244	20	11	297	87	-4	-0	—	—	+5	0.1
2025	30	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	156	143	34	4	0	7	9	42	3	0	0	238	297	413	709	175	287	27	6	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	30	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	113	92	15	1	0	1	17	24	2	1	0	163	306	207	513	43	203	21	15	252	57	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	30	INTL	Toros del Este	—	40	32	4	1	0	1	2	5	3	0	0	125	243	250	493	125	111	12	5	219	35	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	160	141	33	4	1	2	14	38	4	0	0	234	321	319	640	85	307	24	9	295	86	-3	+0	+3	+10	+3	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	246	54	12	1	7	14	77	6	1	0	220	278	362	640	142	280	29	5	274	72	-9	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2018	23	A+ MLE	Potomac Nationals	—	288	267	58	11	0	5	14	75	6	3	0	217	272	315	586	97	281	26	5	256	59	-14	+1	—	—	+6	-0.7
2019	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	370	79	20	0	6	23	85	5	1	2	214	269	316	585	103	250	21	6	254	58	-20	-1	—	—	+9	-1.2
2021	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	107	91	24	3	1	2	12	22	4	0	0	264	374	385	758	121	328	21	11	334	112	+2	+0	+4	+6	+2	1.3
2021	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	201	178	31	4	0	2	16	53	2	0	0	174	250	230	480	56	218	26	8	223	37	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2022	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	53	50	9	1	0	0	2	16	0	0	0	180	212	200	412	20	265	30	4	185	11	-6	+0	-0	+5	+1	-0.0
2022	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	206	187	42	7	1	5	14	47	3	0	2	225	289	353	642	128	265	23	7	276	73	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	224	39	6	0	5	18	60	3	1	1	174	245	268	513	94	214	24	7	232	43	-17	-0	—	—	+5	-1.2
2025	30	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	156	146	28	3	0	3	6	48	3	0	0	192	239	274	513	82	267	31	4	238	47	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	30	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	113	97	14	1	0	1	12	29	2	1	0	144	252	186	438	41	182	26	11	207	26	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2017	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	246	54	12	1	7	14	77	6	1	0	220	278	362	640	142	287	29	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	237	66	18	1	8	23	58	6	1	0	278	357	464	821	186	335	22	9	362	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	310	67	12	0	6	16	88	7	3	0	216	270	313	583	97	280	26	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	336	303	79	16	0	6	23	61	7	3	0	261	327	373	700	112	307	18	7	315	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	370	79	20	0	6	23	85	5	1	2	214	269	316	585	103	258	21	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	357	89	23	0	8	36	69	5	1	2	249	327	381	708	132	285	17	9	316	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL MLE	Leones del Escogido	—	24	23	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	174	208	174	382		286	38	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL RAW	Leones del Escogido	—	24	23	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	174	208	174	382		286	38	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	308	269	55	7	1	4	28	75	6	0	0	204	294	283	576	78	263	24	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	308	260	58	8	1	5	36	65	6	0	0	223	330	319	649	96	273	21	12	298	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	237	51	8	1	5	16	63	3	0	2	215	273	321	594	105	271	24	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	259	227	54	8	1	7	22	57	3	0	2	238	309	374	683	137	287	22	8	303	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	224	39	6	0	5	18	60	3	1	1	174	245	268	513	94	214	24	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	216	46	7	0	7	26	49	3	1	1	213	306	343	649	130	244	20	11	297	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	274	49	5	0	5	21	88	8	1	0	179	257	252	509	73	239	28	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	309	267	53	6	0	9	28	71	8	1	0	199	294	322	616	124	232	23	9	279	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	268	246	54	12	1	7	14	77	6	1	0	220	278	362	640	142	280	29	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	336	310	67	12	0	6	16	88	7	3	0	216	270	313	583	97	281	26	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	372	79	20	0	6	23	85	5	1	2	212	269	315	583	102	250	21	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	308	271	55	7	1	4	28	75	6	0	0	203	294	280	574	77	256	24	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	259	238	51	8	1	5	16	63	3	0	2	214	273	319	593	105	265	24	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	222	39	6	0	5	18	60	3	1	1	176	245	270	515	95	214	24	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	277	49	5	0	5	21	88	8	1	0	177	257	249	507	72	231	28	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	245	222	39	6	0	5	18	60	3	1	1	176	245	270	515	95	214	24	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	277	49	5	0	5	21	88	8	1	0	177	257	249	507	72	231	28	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	31	AAA MLE	WSH	—	61	51	12	1	0	1	8	13	0	1	0	235	339	314	653	78	289	21	13	290	82	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	AAA RAW	WSH	—	61	47	12	1	0	1	12	11	0	1	0	255	407	340	747	85	306	18	20	341	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	31	AAA MLE	WSH	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		265	30	10	274	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	31	MLB CTX	WSH	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						265	0	0	264	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	31	MLB A+C	WSH	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	264	81	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	31	AAA MLE	WSH	—	71	60	13	1	0	1	9	16	0	1	0	217	319	283	602	67	273	23	13	288	81	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	282	256	54	8	1	6	21	71	3	3	1	211	279	320	599	109	266	25	7	274	71	-10	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.2
2027	32	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	77	70	15	2	0	2	6	19	1	1	0	214	286	329	614	114	265	25	8	264	71	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	238	212	48	6	1	4	20	57	5	1	0	226	308	321	629	94	291	24	8	285	57	-5	+0	+2	+12	+5	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	131	16	3	11	55	156	14	3	0	226	309	321	630	95	291	24	8	285	57	-15	+1	+6	+31	+14	3.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2444	2218	453	78	4	44	159	619	41	10	6	204	270	303	573	98	260	25	7	252	57	-13	+0	-1	+15	+10	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	121	21	1	12	42	165	11	3	2	205	271	305	576	100	261	25	6	252	57	-18	+0	-1	+22	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	262	4	1	226	302	323	+5	+1	0.5	0.5
/162	664	11	3	+11.9	+3.2	1.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tres Barrera (OGILVIE)	31	40	55	45	30	211/278/322	111	265	6	3	25%	7%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2013 · AAA	31	42	44→45	47→40	43	212/268/327	114	262	13	8	24%	6%	68	-1.0	222/274/335	113	294	12	7	28%	6%	72	-0.7	217/269/316	99	294	10	3	29%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	40	49→50	44→45	38	209/271/353	144	270	18	6	30%	5%	76	-0.4	215/281/334	119	302	13	8	31%	6%	75	-0.5	169/242/238	68	248	8	0	33%	6%	39	-0.6
✕Dustin Garneau 2019 · MLB	31	38→39	48→50	39→45	44	202/265/344	143	245	16	4	25%	7%	72	-0.7	207/286/374	167	266	19	4	29%	8%	86	+0.3	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2013 · AAA	31	45	47→50	42→50	42	225/280/364	139	290	15	3	28%	6%	81	-0.1	220/269/327	107	286	10	4	26%	5%	68	-1.0	207/247/303	96	275	9	1	27%	4%	50	-0.9
✕Aramis Garcia 2023 · MLB	30	42→41	43→50	42→45	36	212/255/315	103	286	11	4	30%	4%	60	-1.6	192/246/326	134	268	18	8	35%	5%	60	-1.6	168/243/303	136	236	19	5	37%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Chad Moeller 2006 · MLB	31	43	47→50	42→30	46	221/278/357	136	260	15	3	22%	7%	78	-0.3	209/267/324	115	261	12	3	24%	6%	67	-1.1	207/259/298	91	257	5	0	21%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	38	210/250/331	121	270	13	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	213/269/337	124	275	12	6	26%	6%	70	-0.8	198/259/304	106	255	9	3	25%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	50	49→50	45	220/281/367	147	256	19	7	23%	6%	82	+0.0	205/295/338	133	268	15	11	28%	10%	82	-0.0	155/276/265	109	206	14	12	30%	12%	58	-0.7
✕Humberto Sosa 2017 · AAA	31	46→49	41→45	47→45	43	226/274/316	90	286	10	5	24%	6%	67	-1.1	221/269/343	122	275	14	6	24%	6%	72	-0.7	213/258/358	145	253	17	1	23%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Devin Ivany 2012 · AAA	30	44→48	43→50	43→45	43	217/271/329	112	282	11	10	27%	6%	69	-0.9	216/265/326	110	270	10	9	23%	5%	66	-1.1	197/238/299	102	234	8	3	20%	4%	46	-0.8
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA	30	43	50→55	44→40	41	220/276/371	151	294	18	5	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/263/360	158	259	19	4	29%	7%	74	-0.5	180/239/313	133	225	17	3	29%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Carlos Rivero 2019 · AAA	31	43→53	48→50	45	42	222/266/359	137	270	16	5	24%	6%	74	-0.5	251/299/396	145	300	17	5	22%	6%	95	+1.0	260/306/404	143	306	18	0	21%	6%	98	+0.9
✕Ryan Casteel 2022 · AAA	31	40→49	50→55	47→40	39	209/265/359	150	286	19	4	33%	6%	74	-0.5	203/260/364	161	275	21	5	33%	6%	74	-0.5	170/233/352	182	198	27	0	31%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Xorge Carrillo 2019 · AAA	30	44	42→40	45→30	41	219/267/320	101	283	10	5	26%	5%	65	-1.2	242/302/361	119	284	12	7	19%	6%	88	+0.5	258/321/366	108	291	11	2	15%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Jeff Mathis 2014 · MLB	31	39→46	46→50	45	42	202/258/331	129	264	14	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	212/269/327	115	289	11	4	29%	7%	68	-1.0	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Robinson Cancel 2008 · AAA	32	45	45	47→50	43	227/268/348	122	271	12	9	22%	5%	72	-0.7	229/270/329	100	263	8	12	16%	5%	68	-1.0	251/299/341	90	297	8	15	17%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Nick Green 2010 · MLB	31	44→47	46→50	39→45	41	221/273/351	130	279	14	5	26%	5%	76	-0.4	213/263/337	124	265	12	5	24%	5%	68	-1.0	210/257/339	129	256	12	3	23%	4%	64	-0.8
✕Seth Bynum 2012 · AAA	31	41→43	46→50	51→50	39	210/257/339	129	286	15	13	32%	6%	66	-1.1	203/257/317	114	298	12	10	34%	6%	61	-1.5	177/231/274	97	267	10	6	36%	5%	39	-2.1
✕Cody Ransom 2007 · MLB	31	39→42	49→55	47→50	41	204/265/349	145	276	18	7	32%	7%	72	-0.7	208/274/372	164	267	20	12	29%	8%	81	-0.1	213/295/416	202	288	25	6	34%	10%	97	+0.6
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	42	46→45	49→50	42	214/280/340	126	282	14	10	29%	7%	76	-0.4	224/307/351	127	305	13	9	28%	9%	88	+0.5	209/311/324	115	287	11	5	28%	10%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps