Tres BarreraC Durham Bulls
Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.5 · 2026
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .280 / .340
PA250
HR6
K%27
BB%7
MLB%10%
BAT: -7.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4040
PWR
5555
SPD
4545
EYE
4530
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-3$2M+0.5$2M+$0.2M
Totals $2M $2M +$0.2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 AHagerstown Suns 268248 531118 12756 10 .214.267.363.630 .149.269 284 .269 64 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
201823 A+2 teams 336310 681206 16887 30 .219.273.316.589 .097.284 265 .256 54 -17 +1 +0 +6 +10 -0.1
201924 AAHarrisburg Senators 403370 801907 23895 12 .216.271.324.596 .108.263 226 .259 56 -20 -1 +0 +7 +11 -0.2
202025 INTLLeones del Escogido 2423 4000 190 00 .174.208.174.382 .000.286 384 +0 +0
202126 AAA2 teams 308269 55715 28756 00 .204.294.294.587 .089.259 249 .265 61 -14 +0 +4 +6 +9 0.4
202227 AAA2 teams 259237 51716 16633 02 .215.273.329.603 .114.266 246 .266 62 -11 -1 -0 +5 +7 -0.0
202328 AAAMemphis Redbirds 245224 40606 18603 11 .179.249.286.535 .107.215 247 .240 42 -16 -0 -1 +4 +7 -0.6
202530 AAA3 teams 309275 50506 20908 10 .182.257.265.523 .084.242 296 .228 33 -23 +0 +0 +6 +9 -0.9
▸ 2026 Season
202631 MLBTB 250228 49816 17673 31 .215.278.338.616 .123.276 277 .281 73 -8 +0 +1 +4 +7 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202732 MLB 20%TB 282256 55917 20764 21 .215.282.340.622 .125.276 277 .281 73 -9 +0 -3 +5 +8 0.2
202833 MLB 33%TB 246224 48816 17673 10 .214.279.339.618 .125.276 277 .279 71 -8 +0 -4 +4 +7 -0.0
202934 MLB 43%TB 200182 39615 14562 00 .214.278.341.618 .126.275 287 .274 68 -7 +0 -4 +4 +6 -0.2
203035 MLB 52%TB 150136 28503 11432 00 .206.275.309.584 .103.273 297 .268 63 -6 +0 -5 +3 +4 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 32802982 620103771 21385852 137 .208.273.319.591 .111.265 266 .261 58 -156 -0 -13 +59 +93 -1.9
/ 162G 650591 12220114 4217010 31 .206.270.315.585 .108.263 266 .261 58 -31 +0 -3 +12 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 AHagerstown Suns 268237 661818 23586 10 .278.357.464.821 .186.335 229 .362 135 +11 +0 +8 1.9
201823 A+Potomac Nationals 288259 681406 22536 30 .263.334.386.721 .124.310 188 .325 107 +2 +1 +8 1.1
201823 INTLSalt River Rafters 4844 11200 181 00 .250.283.295.578 .045.289 172 .253 52 -3 +0 +1 -0.1
201924 AAHarrisburg Senators 403357 892308 36695 12 .249.327.381.708 .132.285 179 .316 100 +0 -1 +11 1.1
202025 INTLLeones del Escogido 2423 4000 190 00 .174.208.174.382 .000.286 384 .180 -4 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
202126 MLBWashington Nationals 10791 24312 12224 00 .264.374.385.758 .121.328 2111 .348 124 +3 +0 +4 +6 +3 1.5
202126 AAARochester Red Wings 201169 34503 24432 00 .201.306.284.590 .083.244 2112 .271 65 -8 +0 +6 -0.2
202227 MLBWashington Nationals 5350 9100 2160 00 .180.212.200.412 .020.265 304 .187 1 -6 +0 -0 +5 +2 -0.0
202227 AAARochester Red Wings 206177 45717 20413 02 .254.333.424.757 .169.292 2010 .332 113 +3 -1 +6 0.8
202328 AAAMemphis Redbirds 245216 46707 26493 11 .213.306.343.649 .130.244 2011 .297 86 -4 -0 +7 0.3
202530 AAADurham Bulls 156143 34407 9423 00 .238.297.413.709 .175.287 276 .314 99 -0 +0 +4 0.4
202530 AAMontgomery Biscuits 11392 15101 17242 10 .163.306.207.513 .043.203 2115 .252 51 -6 +0 +3 -0.3
202530 INTLToros del Este 4032 4101 253 00 .125.243.250.493 .125.111 125 .219 26 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 160141 33412 14384 00 .234.321.319.640 .085.307 249 .295 84 -3 +0 +3 +10 +5 1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Tres Barrera (OGILVIE) 31 40 55 45 30 .215/.280/.340 .125.276 63 27% 7% 73 -0.0
Anthony Recker
2015 · MLB
31 41→48 52→50 43→45 43 .214/.277/.374 .160.286 206 32% 8% 80 +0.4 .211/.285/.362 .151.286 185 31% 8% 81 +0.4 .205/.278/.348.144.27615230%8%70-0.1
Brandon Larson
2007 · MLB
31 44→42 51→50 44→45 41 .228/.283/.384 .156.296 206 30% 6% 85 +0.7 .226/.270/.378 .152.283 198 27% 5% 78 +0.2 .213/.246/.358.145.24720424%4%60-0.3
Jesus Alberto Vega
2013 · AAA
31 43 46→50 46→40 43 .217/.271/.341 .124.261 157 23% 6% 69 -0.4 .225/.275/.351 .126.292 157 27% 6% 73 -0.1 .221/.272/.330.110.29513329%6%62-0.3
Dusty Brown
2012 · MLB
30 42 45 43→30 44 .212/.270/.334 .122.272 124 26% 7% 66 -0.6 .213/.286/.364 .151.271 166 26% 9% 82 +0.5 .184/.291/.331.147.22415025%13%76+0.0
Francisco Peña
2021 · MLB
31 43 51→55 48→40 41 .227/.265/.384 .157.265 206 23% 5% 78 +0.2 .206/.259/.373 .167.242 245 26% 5% 73 -0.1 .176/.233/.336.160.19526127%5%53-1.1
Brett Hayes
2015 · MLB
31 38 50→45 50→40 36 .205/.240/.356 .151.265 196 31% 4% 59 -1.1 .185/.224/.299 .114.245 135 30% 4% 37 -2.6 .153/.195/.232.080.2119032%4%5-1.5
Chris Owings
2023 · MLB
31 40→50 47→50 50→55 44 .205/.272/.343 .138.276 1513 31% 8% 70 -0.3 .203/.276/.336 .133.294 1611 34% 8% 70 -0.3 .193/.274/.320.127.282161135%9%62-0.5
Nick Green
2010 · MLB
31 44→47 48→50 40→45 40 .224/.272/.362 .138.282 165 26% 5% 75 -0.0 .212/.262/.336 .124.264 125 24% 5% 63 -0.8 .209/.257/.338.128.25512323%4%59-0.6
Rob Johnson
2013 · MLB
31 42→52 42→45 47→50 47 .207/.272/.313 .107.253 108 22% 7% 62 -0.9 .212/.267/.333 .121.258 136 22% 7% 65 -0.7 .194/.253/.309.115.23613023%7%50-0.7
Humberto Sosa
2017 · AAA
31 46→50 43→50 46→45 43 .229/.275/.331 .102.284 125 24% 6% 67 -0.5 .223/.268/.349 .126.276 156 24% 5% 69 -0.4 .220/.265/.385.165.25621123%5%76+0.0
Jett Bandy
2021 · MLB
31 40 49→50 44→45 38 .209/.270/.352 .143.267 186 29% 4% 72 -0.2 .213/.276/.337 .124.297 148 32% 6% 70 -0.3 .172/.245/.252.080.24810033%6%37-0.5
Tim Federowicz
2019 · MLB
31 47→49 47→50 49→40 42 .236/.285/.371 .136.302 155 27% 6% 82 +0.5 .209/.262/.340 .131.279 156 30% 7% 64 -0.8 .166/.219/.275.108.22315232%6%28-1.3
Nick Hundley
2015 · MLB
31 43→45 47→55 41→40 43 .222/.273/.350 .128.274 154 25% 6% 72 -0.2 .257/.303/.413 .156.310 175 22% 6% 100 +1.7 .260/.304/.426.166.31118322%6%98+0.9
John Hester
2014 · MLB
30 40 44→55 41→50 41 .201/.257/.312 .111.280 125 32% 7% 55 -1.4 .208/.262/.321 .113.299 118 32% 6% 59 -1.1 .193/.252/.291.098.2868634%6%45-0.9
Carlos Rivero
2019 · AAA
31 42→52 48→50 44→45 41 .219/.258/.355 .136.264 165 24% 5% 66 -0.6 .254/.300/.410 .156.299 194 21% 6% 98 +1.6 .266/.311/.426.160.30721020%6%105+1.7
Bryan Holaday
2018 · MLB
30 45 47→45 37→40 42 .226/.271/.359 .133.262 143 20% 4% 73 -0.1 .227/.286/.345 .118.263 124 18% 6% 76 +0.1 .217/.286/.341.124.25213219%7%71-0.1
Austin Wynns
2022 · MLB
31 45→52 45 48→30 46 .224/.281/.336 .112.265 135 21% 7% 72 -0.2 .243/.308/.357 .114.303 125 23% 8% 89 +0.9 .244/.309/.343.100.31210224%7%82+0.2
Seth Bynum
2012 · AAA
31 42→44 49→55 51→50 38 .216/.261/.362 .146.290 1812 32% 5% 70 -0.3 .204/.256/.327 .123.296 1310 34% 6% 59 -1.1 .180/.234/.285.105.26911636%5%35-1.9
Brett Nicholas
2018 · MLB
30 48→50 46→50 43→40 40 .238/.278/.366 .128.294 144 24% 5% 78 +0.2 .229/.277/.362 .133.287 145 25% 5% 76 +0.1 .217/.270/.348.131.26915125%6%66-0.5
Andrew Knapp
2023 · MLB
31 39→49 47→45 44→40 43 .199/.269/.331 .132.271 155 32% 8% 66 -0.6 .211/.279/.335 .124.296 135 31% 8% 71 -0.3 .212/.285/.326.115.29912331%8%69-0.3