Jesus Flores

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1984-10-26

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	30	AAA/INTL2 orgs	189	.244/.306/.345	2	65	—	.182/.250/.260
2016	31	INTLVenezuela	195	.316/.387/.489	6	148	—
2017	32	INTLAguilas del Z…	126	.216/.310/.270	0	72	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	20	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	337	319	69	18	0	7	12	90	3	2	2	216	251	339	590	122	277	27	4	261	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	480	429	114	32	0	21	28	127	18	2	0	266	337	487	824	221	327	26	6	360	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	197	180	44	9	0	4	14	48	3	0	1	244	310	361	671	117	312	24	7	304	92	-2	-0	+3	+4	+4	0.9
2008	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	324	301	77	18	1	8	15	78	4	0	1	256	300	402	702	146	315	24	5	309	94	-2	-0	+0	+7	+7	1.2
2008	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	69	59	9	3	0	1	8	20	2	0	0	153	275	254	530	102	211	29	12	254	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	106	93	28	3	2	4	11	26	0	0	0	301	375	505	880	204	375	25	10	380	139	+5	+0	+2	+2	+2	1.1
2010	25	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	96	87	28	6	0	2	5	10	2	0	0	322	372	460	832	138	338	10	5	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	91	86	18	6	0	1	5	27	0	0	0	209	253	314	567	105	293	30	5	255	48	-6	+0	+4	+10	+2	1.0
2011	26	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	218	209	49	15	0	5	5	54	1	0	0	234	256	378	634	144	288	25	2	276	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	234	218	72	16	0	8	9	42	5	1	0	330	371	514	884	183	376	18	4	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	296	277	59	12	1	6	13	59	1	1	2	213	251	329	579	116	247	20	4	255	54	-16	-1	+8	+7	+6	0.5
2012	27	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	91	84	22	4	0	3	5	22	2	1	1	262	319	417	735	155	322	24	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	269	253	44	11	0	2	11	60	2	0	0	174	214	241	455	67	219	22	4	206	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	72	64	14	1	0	4	6	15	2	0	0	219	306	422	727	203	222	21	8	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	150	137	34	5	0	5	11	32	0	0	0	248	304	394	698	146	290	21	7	308	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	INTL	Venezuela	—	129	115	25	4	0	4	9	30	4	0	1	217	297	357	653	139	259	23	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	87	74	16	7	0	0	8	18	2	0	0	216	310	311	620	95	276	21	9	278	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	102	94	25	4	0	2	3	23	2	0	0	266	303	372	675	106	324	23	3	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL	Venezuela	—	195	174	55	8	2	6	16	31	4	0	0	316	387	489	875	172	355	16	8	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	126	111	24	6	0	0	13	22	2	0	0	216	310	270	580	54	270	17	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1014	937	226	48	4	23	58	238	8	1	4	241	291	375	666	133	297	23	6	295	86	-17	-1	+18	+29	+22	5.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	20	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	337	323	55	13	0	5	8	121	3	2	2	170	198	257	455	87	247	36	2	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	480	436	89	26	0	16	21	180	18	2	0	204	269	374	643	170	293	38	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	197	180	44	9	0	4	14	48	3	0	1	244	310	361	671	117	312	24	7	304	92	-2	-0	+3	+4	+4	0.9
2008	23	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	324	302	77	18	1	8	14	78	4	0	1	255	297	401	698	146	315	24	4	307	94	-2	-0	+0	+7	+7	1.2
2008	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	69	62	9	3	0	1	5	24	2	0	0	145	232	242	474	97	193	35	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	106	94	28	3	2	4	10	26	0	0	0	298	365	500	865	202	375	25	9	373	139	+5	+0	+2	+2	+2	1.1
2011	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	91	88	18	6	0	1	3	27	0	0	0	205	231	307	538	102	293	30	3	239	48	-6	+0	+4	+10	+2	1.0
2011	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	218	211	40	11	0	4	3	66	1	0	0	190	205	299	503	109	243	30	1	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	296	280	59	12	1	6	10	59	1	1	2	211	241	325	566	114	247	20	3	248	54	-16	-1	+8	+7	+6	0.5
2013	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	269	258	35	8	0	1	6	73	2	0	0	136	162	178	340	43	180	27	2	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	150	141	28	4	0	4	7	44	0	0	0	199	236	312	549	113	251	29	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	87	77	14	6	0	0	5	23	2	0	0	182	250	260	510	78	237	26	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	337	323	55	13	0	5	8	121	3	2	2	170	198	257	455	87	251	36	2	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	—	337	319	69	18	0	7	12	90	3	2	2	216	251	339	590	122	277	27	4	261	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	480	436	89	26	0	16	21	180	18	2	0	204	269	374	643	170	300	38	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A+ RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	480	429	114	32	0	21	28	127	18	2	0	266	337	487	824	221	327	26	6	360	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	197	180	44	9	0	4	14	48	3	0	1	244	310	361	671	117	312	24	7	304	92	-2	-0	+3	+4	+4	0.9
2007	22	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	197	180	44	9	0	4	14	48	3	0	1	244	310	361	671	117	312	24	7	304	92	-2	-0	+3	+4	+4	0.9
2008	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	393	364	86	21	1	9	19	102	6	0	1	236	285	374	659	137	300	26	5	289	81	-9	-0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2008	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	393	360	86	21	1	9	23	98	6	0	1	239	296	378	673	139	300	25	6	299	81	-9	-0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2009	24	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	106	94	28	3	2	4	10	26	0	0	0	298	365	500	865	202	369	25	9	373	139	+5	+0	+2	+2	+2	1.1
2009	24	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	106	93	28	3	2	4	11	26	0	0	0	301	375	505	880	204	375	25	10	380	139	+5	+0	+2	+2	+2	1.1
2010	25	INTL MLE	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	96	87	28	6	0	2	5	10	2	0	0	322	372	460	832	138	338	10	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	INTL RAW	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	96	87	28	6	0	2	5	10	2	0	0	322	372	460	832	138	338	10	5	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	543	521	101	30	0	9	11	163	6	1	0	194	219	303	523	109	260	30	2	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	543	513	139	37	0	14	19	123	6	1	0	271	305	425	730	154	328	23	3	320	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	387	366	77	15	2	8	13	77	3	2	3	210	243	328	571	117	243	20	3	248	54	-21	-1	+8	+7	+8	0.1
2012	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	387	361	81	16	1	9	18	81	3	2	3	224	267	349	616	125	263	21	5	272	54	-21	-1	+8	+7	+8	0.1
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	341	326	45	10	0	2	8	92	4	0	0	138	169	187	356	49	185	27	2	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	341	317	58	12	0	6	17	75	4	0	0	183	234	278	511	95	219	22	5	231	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	279	259	51	7	0	7	13	81	4	0	1	197	246	305	551	108	257	29	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	279	252	59	9	0	9	20	62	4	0	1	234	301	377	678	143	276	22	7	302	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	189	169	30	12	0	0	10	50	4	0	0	178	240	249	489	71	244	26	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	189	168	41	11	0	2	11	41	4	0	0	244	306	345	651	101	302	22	6	287	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	195	174	55	8	2	6	16	31	4	0	0	316	387	489	875	172	355	16	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	195	174	55	8	2	6	16	31	4	0	0	316	387	489	875	172	355	16	8	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	126	111	24	6	0	0	13	22	2	0	0	216	310	270	580	54	270	17	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	32	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	126	111	24	6	0	0	13	22	2	0	0	216	310	270	580	54	270	17	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	20	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	337	323	55	13	0	5	8	121	3	2	2	170	198	257	455	87	247	36	2	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	480	438	89	26	0	16	21	180	18	2	0	203	269	372	642	169	293	38	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	197	178	44	9	0	4	14	48	3	0	1	247	310	365	675	118	312	24	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	393	365	86	21	1	9	19	102	6	0	1	236	285	373	658	137	294	26	5	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	106	95	28	3	2	4	10	26	0	0	0	295	365	495	860	200	375	25	9	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	543	521	101	30	0	9	11	163	6	1	0	194	219	303	523	109	258	30	2	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	387	368	77	15	2	8	13	77	3	2	3	209	243	326	570	117	247	20	3	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	341	326	45	10	0	2	8	92	4	0	0	138	169	187	356	49	180	27	2	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	279	260	51	7	0	7	13	81	4	0	1	196	246	304	550	108	251	29	5	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	189	173	30	12	0	0	10	50	4	0	0	173	240	243	483	69	237	26	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1014	937	226	48	4	23	58	238	8	1	4	241	291	375	666	133	297	23	6	295	32	-17	-1	+18	+29	+22	5.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	146	31	3	15	37	153	5	1	3	243	292	379	672	136	299	24	6	295	32	-11	-1	+11	+19	+14	3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3669	3410	713	166	7	72	161	1003	59	7	8	209	257	325	582	116	271	27	4	216	32	-17	-1	+18	+29	+22	5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	126	29	1	13	29	178	10	1	1	209	257	325	581	116	270	27	4	216	32	-11	-1	+11	+19	+14	3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 87 PAwOBA .273 → .228 (−45)K% 20.7% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.69%	÷1.016	×1.290	—	—	26.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.05%	÷0.997	×0.710	—	×0.962	5.51%
HBP% /PA	2.30%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	2.17%
Singles /BIP	16.07%	÷0.969	×0.900	×1.025	×0.962	14.71%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.012	×0.810	×1.025	×0.962	9.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.985	×0.810	×1.025	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.975	×0.780	—	×0.962	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 97, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .273 → .228; ISO .095 → .077; BABIP .276 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 150 PAwOBA .300 → .231 (−69)K% 21.3% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.33%	÷0.945	×1.290	—	—	29.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.33%	÷1.096	×0.710	—	×0.972	4.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.86%	÷1.027	×0.900	×1.038	×0.972	20.22%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.969	×0.810	×1.038	×0.972	4.02%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×1.038	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷0.998	×0.780	—	×0.972	3.62%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 89, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .300 → .231; ISO .146 → .108; BABIP .290 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAADurham Bulls · 269 PAwOBA .200 → .152 (−47)K% 22.3% → 27.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.30%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	27.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.72%	÷1.093	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.31%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.69%
Singles /BIP	16.06%	÷1.032	×0.930	×0.979	×0.982	13.91%
Doubles /BIP	5.70%	÷1.113	×0.830	×0.979	×0.982	4.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.961	×0.970	×0.979	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.04%	÷1.299	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.66%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 106, 2B 123, 3B 92, K 98, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .200 → .152; ISO .067 → .045; BABIP .219 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 218 PAwOBA .272 → .220 (−52)K% 24.8% → 30.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.77%	÷0.986	×1.200	—	—	30.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.29%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.003	1.57%
HBP% /PA	0.46%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.43%
Singles /BIP	18.71%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.950	×1.003	16.58%
Doubles /BIP	9.68%	÷1.018	×0.830	×0.950	×1.003	7.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷0.921	×0.840	—	×1.003	2.95%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .272 → .220; ISO .144 → .116; BABIP .288 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAColumbus Clippers · 69 PAwOBA .241 → .204 (−38)K% 29.0% → 34.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.99%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	34.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.14%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	7.34%
HBP% /PA	2.90%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	2.86%
Singles /BIP	12.82%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.984	×1.048	12.30%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.984	×1.048	6.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.984	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.56%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	2.26%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .241 → .204; ISO .102 → .086; BABIP .211 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 A+St. Lucie Mets · 480 PAwOBA .351 → .279 (−73)K% 26.5% → 37.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.46%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	37.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.62%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×1.012	4.27%
HBP% /PA	3.75%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	3.53%
Singles /BIP	20.20%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.957	×1.012	17.99%
Doubles /BIP	10.60%	÷1.000	×0.960	×0.957	×1.012	9.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.957	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.95%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.012	6.19%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .351 → .279; ISO .221 → .174; BABIP .327 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AHagerstown Suns · 337 PAwOBA .256 → .199 (−57)K% 26.7% → 35.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.71%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	35.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.56%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.015	2.39%
HBP% /PA	0.89%	—	×0.770	—	×1.015	0.70%
Singles /BIP	19.21%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.991	×1.015	17.78%
Doubles /BIP	7.86%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.991	×1.015	6.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.991	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.06%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.015	2.54%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .256 → .199; ISO .122 → .091; BABIP .277 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .