Cam Devanney
3B Indianapolis Indians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | AAAMIL | 390 | .271/.364/.461 | 11 | 6 | 91 | — | .236/.307/.390 | |
| 2024 | 27 | AAAKC | 524 | .254/.337/.445 | 19 | 8 | 68 | — | .209/.272/.341 | |
| 2025 | 28 | AAAPIT | 435 | .266/.355/.493 | 20 | 5 | 76 | — | .210/.274/.374 | |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBPIT | 38 | .139/.184/.167 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.3 | ||
| 2026 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBPIT | 16 | .215/.277/.359 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0.0 | ||
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 31 | MLBPIT | 69 | .213/.275/.353 | 2 | 0 | 78 | -0.1 | ||
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 125 | 106 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 330 | 427 | 472 | 899 | 142 | 351 | 9 | 10 | 401 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 334 | 291 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 94 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 175 | 273 | 261 | 534 | 86 | 235 | 28 | 9 | 249 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 56 | 49 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 306 | 370 | 571 | 942 | 265 | 353 | 25 | 9 | 395 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 459 | 402 | 104 | 28 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 96 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 259 | 344 | 483 | 826 | 224 | 289 | 21 | 9 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 390 | 336 | 91 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 71 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 271 | 364 | 461 | 826 | 190 | 311 | 18 | 12 | 364 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 524 | 461 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 136 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 254 | 337 | 445 | 782 | 191 | 318 | 26 | 9 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 38 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 139 | 184 | 167 | 351 | 28 | 333 | 55 | 5 | 166 | -2 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 435 | 379 | 101 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 107 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 266 | 355 | 493 | 848 | 227 | 318 | 25 | 10 | 371 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 38 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 139 | 184 | 167 | 351 | 28 | 333 | 55 | 5 | 166 | -2 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 125 | 111 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 234 | 315 | 333 | 648 | 99 | 259 | 13 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 334 | 301 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 143 | 218 | 206 | 424 | 63 | 209 | 35 | 6 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 56 | 50 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 333 | 480 | 813 | 200 | 326 | 30 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 459 | 417 | 88 | 25 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 120 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 211 | 275 | 391 | 666 | 180 | 247 | 26 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 390 | 351 | 83 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 87 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 236 | 307 | 390 | 698 | 154 | 283 | 22 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 524 | 478 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 167 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 209 | 272 | 341 | 613 | 132 | 288 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 38 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 139 | 184 | 167 | 351 | 28 | 333 | 55 | 5 | 165 | -2 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 435 | 396 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 27 | 133 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 210 | 274 | 374 | 648 | 164 | 267 | 31 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 125 | 111 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 234 | 315 | 333 | 648 | 99 | 255 | 13 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 125 | 106 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 330 | 427 | 472 | 899 | 142 | 351 | 9 | 10 | 401 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 334 | 301 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 143 | 218 | 206 | 424 | 63 | 212 | 35 | 6 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 334 | 291 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 94 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 175 | 273 | 261 | 534 | 86 | 235 | 28 | 9 | 249 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 467 | 102 | 29 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 137 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 218 | 281 | 400 | 682 | 182 | 263 | 27 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 515 | 451 | 119 | 32 | 1 | 23 | 48 | 110 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 264 | 346 | 492 | 839 | 228 | 295 | 21 | 9 | 364 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 390 | 351 | 83 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 87 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 236 | 307 | 390 | 698 | 154 | 287 | 22 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 390 | 336 | 91 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 71 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 271 | 364 | 461 | 826 | 190 | 311 | 18 | 12 | 364 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 524 | 478 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 167 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 209 | 272 | 341 | 613 | 132 | 292 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 524 | 461 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 136 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 254 | 337 | 445 | 782 | 191 | 318 | 26 | 9 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 432 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 154 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 204 | 267 | 356 | 623 | 153 | 274 | 33 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 473 | 415 | 106 | 21 | 3 | 20 | 46 | 128 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 255 | 341 | 465 | 806 | 210 | 319 | 27 | 10 | 354 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 125 | 111 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 234 | 315 | 333 | 648 | 99 | 259 | 13 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 334 | 302 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 117 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 142 | 218 | 205 | 423 | 63 | 209 | 35 | 6 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 469 | 102 | 29 | 1 | 18 | 32 | 137 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 281 | 399 | 680 | 181 | 256 | 27 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 390 | 351 | 83 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 87 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 236 | 307 | 390 | 698 | 154 | 283 | 22 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 524 | 478 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 167 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 209 | 272 | 341 | 613 | 132 | 288 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 433 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 154 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 203 | 267 | 356 | 622 | 152 | 272 | 33 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 524 | 478 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 167 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 209 | 272 | 341 | 613 | 132 | 288 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 433 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 154 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 203 | 267 | 356 | 622 | 152 | 272 | 33 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 10% | 380 | 347 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 115 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 216 | 279 | 366 | 644 | 149 | 286 | 30 | 6 | 287 | 80 | -9 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 277 | 359 | 637 | 144 | 287 | 31 | 6 | 284 | 80 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | PIT | 27% | 254 | 232 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 77 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 276 | 359 | 635 | 145 | 284 | 30 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -7 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | PIT | 27% | 69 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 275 | 353 | 628 | 140 | 284 | 30 | 6 | 280 | 78 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 107 | 100 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 243 | 290 | 533 | 100 | 304 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 71 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 115 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 36 | 255 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 189 | 242 | 288 | 530 | 99 | 303 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 71 | -39 | -2 | -6 | +12 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2770 | 2513 | 522 | 118 | 10 | 72 | 178 | 802 | 52 | 42 | 23 | 208 | 274 | 349 | 623 | 141 | 271 | 29 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -15 | -1 | -3 | +3 | +10 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 123 | 28 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 188 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 208 | 275 | 349 | 624 | 141 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -22 | -1 | -5 | +5 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 435 PAwOBA .363 → .281 (−82)K% 24.6% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.60% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷1.112 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.32% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×0.963 | ×0.992 | 18.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×0.992 | 5.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×0.992 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.35% | ÷0.915 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 5.58% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 93, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .363 → .281; ISO .227 → .172; BABIP .318 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 524 PAwOBA .336 → .268 (−69)K% 26.0% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.95% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.78% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.10% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.23% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 19.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.31% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 7.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.935 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.85% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.69% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 87, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .336 → .268; ISO .191 → .135; BABIP .318 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAANashville Sounds · 390 PAwOBA .357 → .303 (−54)K% 18.2% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.21% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.79% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.25% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 18.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.19% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.961 | ×1.018 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.15% | ÷0.905 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .357 → .303; ISO .190 → .158; BABIP .311 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 459 PAwOBA .355 → .286 (−69)K% 20.9% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.92% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.37% | ÷1.027 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.97% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 15.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 8.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.54% | ÷1.012 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.16% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .355 → .286; ISO .224 → .184; BABIP .289 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAANashville Sounds · 56 PAwOBA .398 → .341 (−57)K% 25.0% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 22.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.43% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 10.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.946 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.55% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .398 → .341; ISO .265 → .215; BABIP .353 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABiloxi Shuckers · 334 PAwOBA .246 → .197 (−49)K% 28.1% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.14% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.28% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.40% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.27% | ÷0.993 | ×0.940 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 17.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.124 | ×0.870 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.54% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.16% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 100, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .246 → .197; ISO .086 → .067; BABIP .235 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Brewers Blue · 125 PAwOBA .394 → .286 (−108)K% 8.8% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.80% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 12.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 20.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 3.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 1.60% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .394 → .286; ISO .142 → .103; BABIP .351 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).