Ryan Rolison
P
Chicago Cubs
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 213 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 125
ERA4.51
FIP4.69
K%18.7%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p2621.9%
K%
p6625.2%
xwOBA vs
p470.315
SL (31%)
SI (6%)
CU (19%)
CH (1%)
FB (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 9 | 9 | 29 | 109 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 3.2 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 1.86 | 3.88 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 9 | 9 | 29 | 109 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 3.2 | 31.2% | 7.3% | 23.9% | 1.8% | 1.86 | 2.48 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 131 | 562 | 132 | 39 | 22 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.32 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 131 | 562 | 132 | 39 | 22 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.5% | 6.9% | 16.5% | 3.9% | 4.40 | 4.16 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 16 | 72 | 306 | 77 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.5% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 5.27 | 3.63 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 16 | 72 | 306 | 77 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 4.5 | 25.2% | 6.9% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 5.27 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 100% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.00 | 6.21 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 100% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.00 | 6.65 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 5 | 46 | 193 | 35 | 14 | 8 | 17% | 1.6 | 15.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 4.47 | 5.03 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 5 | 46 | 193 | 35 | 14 | 8 | 17% | 1.6 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.47 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 2 | 72 | 320 | 57 | 28 | 12 | 4% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.50 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 2 | 72 | 320 | 57 | 28 | 12 | 4% | 1.4 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 5.50 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 37 | 2 | 43 | 180 | 47 | 23 | 4 | 5% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 2.95 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 82 | 345 | 78 | 42 | 9 | — | — | 22.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 3.70 | 4.34 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 74 | 315 | 78 | 42 | 9 | — | — | 24.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.06 | 4.30 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 52 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.29 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 62 | 0 | 65 | 276 | 47 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.30 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 49 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.29 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 45 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.30 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 223 | 3 | 245 | 1044 | 186 | 117 | 39 | 1% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.08 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 182 | 2 | 200 | 851 | 152 | 95 | 32 | 1% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.08 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 171 | 63 | 404 | 1723 | 327 | 143 | 55 | 37% | 2.4 | 19.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.30 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 31 | 200 | 854 | 162 | 71 | 27 | 37% | 2.4 | 19.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Rolison (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.50 | 14.0% | 10.9% | 3.3% | — | 5.37 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 135 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 81 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 77 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 76 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 76 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 73 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 72 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 72 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 71 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 71 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.34 | 17.4% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .275 | 5.22 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.88 | 269 | 70 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 70 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 70 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.14 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 299 | 69 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 68 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 67 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.72 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 133 | 66 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 3.67 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.64 | 1.52 | 350 | 66 |
| Brian Duensing L 2029 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.70 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.76 | 2.59 | 198 | 65 |
| Felix Doubront L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.39 | 17.6% | 12.6% | 126 | -1.06 | 3.39 | 291 | 64 |
| Josh Outman L 2028 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 16.1% | 11.2% | 1.32 | 5.25 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |