Ryan Rolison
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 213 lbs
AAA
ERA5.87
FIP5.11
xFIP4.52
SIERA4.50
K%18.0%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%9.2%
IP58
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL4040
CMD2525
K†3030
FB Velo
p2792.9
Whiff%
p1017.4%
K%
p1013.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.364
SL (30%)
CU (19%)
CH (3%)
FB (48%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 9 | 9 | 29 | 109 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 1.86 | 3.88 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 25 | 25 | 131 | 562 | 132 | 39 | 22 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 4.40 | 4.54 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 16 | 16 | 72 | 306 | 77 | 21 | 9 | 21.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 5.27 | 3.86 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 4 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 29 | 5 | 46 | 193 | 35 | 14 | 8 | 15.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.47 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 51 | 2 | 72 | 320 | 57 | 28 | 12 | 16.6% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 5.50 | 4.95 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 6 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 11 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.24 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CHC | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 6.42 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 66 | 282 | 47 | 33 | 9 | 16.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 6.02 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 37 | 26 | 9 | 15.3% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 5.89 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 15.3% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 5.69 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 33 | 24 | 8 | 15.1% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 5.65 | 5.68 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 31 | 24 | 8 | 14.7% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 5.71 | 5.77 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 14.0% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 5.83 | 5.91 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 13.2% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 5.97 | 6.06 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 12.4% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 6.12 | 6.22 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 140 | 61 | 369 | 1583 | 293 | 128 | 57 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.55 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 33 | 200 | 857 | 159 | 69 | 31 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.55 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Rolison (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.66 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 3.7% | — | 5.64 | 15.3% | 4.3% | 164 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.45 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .356 | 4.80 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.65 | 3.45 | 512 | 83 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.88 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 200 | 80 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 277 | 79 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.04 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 228 | 78 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 78 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 76 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.67 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .354 | 3.79 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.88 | 3.79 | 137 | 75 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 118 | 74 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.50 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 188 | 74 |
| Darin Gorski L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.49 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 206 | 73 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.65 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 133 | 72 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.28 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 3.9% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.28 | 128 | 72 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.93 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 4.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.53 | 179 | 72 |
| Colton Johnson L 2024 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.53 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 106 | 72 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 71 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.03 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.4% | .317 | 4.78 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.78 | 327 | 70 |
| Matt Lujan L 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.61 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 227 | 70 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.72 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .329 | 3.96 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.76 | 1.36 | 350 | 70 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.14 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 182 | 68 |
| Travis Wood L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.56 | 18.7% | 8.7% | 3.5% | .211 | 5.71 | 14.9% | 4.6% | 94 | +1.15 | 3.08 | 256 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.