Simeon Woods Richardson
P
Toronto Blue Jays
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 1.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION113 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 121
ERA4.82
FIP5.07
K%14.6%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%4.1%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 180 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p1018.4%
K%
p1011.7%
xwOBA vs
p100.369
FB+2.0 (44%)
CU (7%)
SL-1.9 (24%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 7 | 4 | 17 | 71 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 57% | 2.5 | 24.9% | 7.0% | 17.9% | 2.0% | 1.56 | 2.97 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 7 | 4 | 17 | 71 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 57% | 2.5 | 36.6% | 5.6% | 31.0% | 1.4% | 1.56 | 1.54 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 107 | 432 | 126 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 21.8% | 6.5% | 15.3% | 1.9% | 3.80 | 3.12 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 107 | 432 | 126 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 29.2% | 5.6% | 23.6% | 1.4% | 3.80 | 2.14 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 15 | 14 | 53 | 240 | 77 | 34 | 5 | 93% | 3.6 | 26.0% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 5.91 | 4.02 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 15 | 14 | 53 | 240 | 77 | 34 | 5 | 93% | 3.6 | 32.1% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 2.1% | 5.91 | 3.34 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 23 | 112 | 446 | 118 | 38 | 7 | 96% | 4.7 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 1.8% | 2.80 | 3.37 | +2.7 |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 23 | 112 | 446 | 118 | 38 | 7 | 96% | 4.7 | 26.5% | 8.5% | 17.9% | 1.6% | 2.80 | 2.82 | +3.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 22 | 118 | 521 | 101 | 64 | 14 | 88% | 4.7 | 17.0% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.10 | 4.85 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 22 | 118 | 521 | 101 | 64 | 14 | 88% | 4.7 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.10 | 4.55 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 147 | 628 | 129 | 53 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 20.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 3.84 | +2.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 147 | 628 | 129 | 53 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 20.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 4.35 | 3.84 | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 134 | 567 | 134 | 52 | 21 | 93% | 4.8 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 4.11 | 4.23 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 134 | 567 | 134 | 52 | 21 | 93% | 4.8 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 3.7% | 4.11 | 4.30 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 29 | 22 | 113 | 532 | 63 | 60 | 23 | 76% | 3.9 | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 3.7% | 7.15 | 5.60 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 41 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 14.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.82 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 41 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 14.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.82 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 180 | 814 | 104 | 90 | 33 | — | — | 12.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.29 | 5.40 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 172 | 727 | 104 | 90 | 33 | — | — | 14.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.58 | 5.92 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 21 | 21 | 126 | 531 | 88 | 56 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.25 | 5.30 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 21 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 89 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.5% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.31 | 5.34 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 21 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 89 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.38 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 21 | 21 | 126 | 532 | 88 | 56 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.25 | 5.30 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 21 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 89 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.5% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.31 | 5.34 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 21 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 89 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.38 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 157 | 148 | 808 | 3469 | 596 | 358 | 119 | 94% | 5.1 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 4.84 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 37 | 200 | 858 | 147 | 89 | 29 | 94% | 5.2 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 185 | 168 | 802 | 3437 | 683 | 346 | 93 | 91% | 4.3 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.17 | +11.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 42 | 200 | 857 | 170 | 86 | 23 | 91% | 4.3 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 21.3% | 9.2% | 3.2% | — | 5.36 | 16.5% | 5.8% | 382 | +0.76 | — | — | — |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .260 | 4.50 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 343 | +0.44 | 3.73 | 725 | 68 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 68 |
| Rafael Montero R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .325 | 3.79 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 177 | -0.87 | 2.38 | 663 | 67 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 67 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 67 |
| Jayden Murray R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.44 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .258 | 4.95 | 19.6% | 6.5% | 105 | +0.51 | 3.38 | 372 | 67 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 66 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.24 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .286 | 5.57 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 51 | +0.33 | 3.81 | 527 | 66 |
| Chris Vallimont R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.61 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .304 | 6.00 | 18.1% | 4.9% | 128 | +1.39 | 3.13 | 472 | 66 |
| Shane Greene R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.60 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 3.67 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 191 | -0.93 | 2.90 | 484 | 66 |
| Dom Hamel R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.41 | 18.7% | 13.9% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.89 | 18.5% | 8.3% | 147 | -0.52 | 3.65 | 514 | 66 |
| Jacob Waguespack R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.82 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 3.8% | .291 | 2.99 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 87 | -1.83 | 2.71 | 603 | 66 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 65 |
| Sean Hjelle R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .336 | 3.79 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 285 | -0.45 | 2.95 | 670 | 65 |
| Nestor Molina R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 65 |
| Davis Daniel R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.72 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | .261 | 4.54 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 282 | -0.18 | 3.06 | 584 | 65 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 64 |
| Elliot Morris R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 64 |
| Drew Rucinski R 2027 · 5.57 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.57 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | .336 | 3.72 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 278 | -1.85 | 2.73 | 409 | 64 |
| Sam Gaviglio R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.60 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .277 | 4.28 | 17.0% | 11.0% | 464 | -0.32 | 3.73 | 754 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 125 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 1.32 | 5.08 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |