Erick Fedde
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.6
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA4.60
FIP4.80
xFIP4.73
SIERA4.45
K%16.9%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%7.6%
IP138
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†3030
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p1019.3%
K%
p2117.9%
xwOBA vs
p590.303
SL+4.8 (38%)
SI (26%)
CT-0.9 (24%)
FB-1.8 (27%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 6 | 6 | 29 | 119 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14.3% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 4.34 | 3.51 | +0.5 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 23 | 22 | 121 | 501 | 123 | 29 | 8 | 19.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 3.12 | 3.35 | +2.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 32 | 16 | 106 | 446 | 94 | 28 | 12 | 18.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.07 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 25 | 25 | 122 | 522 | 120 | 41 | 11 | 21.3% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 4.81 | 3.49 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 28 | 18 | 113 | 484 | 78 | 40 | 18 | 14.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.90 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 11 | 8 | 50 | 222 | 28 | 20 | 10 | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 4.29 | 5.82 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 30 | 28 | 138 | 611 | 131 | 43 | 23 | 21.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.40 | 4.45 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 28 | 28 | 131 | 589 | 98 | 59 | 21 | 16.4% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 5.63 | 4.92 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 31 | 177 | 726 | 154 | 52 | 20 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 3.30 | 3.73 | +3.2 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 32 | 24 | 141 | 623 | 83 | 66 | 19 | 13.3% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 5.49 | 4.88 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 2 | 16 | 64 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.38 | 3.83 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 112 | 474 | 78 | 41 | 14 | 16.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 4.40 | +1.2 |
| 2026 Total | 33 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 128 | 538 | 90 | 44 | 16 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.04 | 4.32 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 21 | 21 | 113 | 478 | 75 | 42 | 14 | 15.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.76 | 4.92 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 18 | 18 | 99 | 419 | 62 | 38 | 13 | 14.9% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.95 | 5.07 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 51 | 34 | 12 | 14.1% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 249 | 208 | 1144 | 4907 | 883 | 398 | 149 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.28 | +13.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 36 | 200 | 858 | 154 | 70 | 26 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.28 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Erick Fedde (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 5.06 | 15.0% | 5.9% | 299 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Leo Medrano R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.34 | 11.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 222 | 63 |
| Jason Berken R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.51 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 219 | 62 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.96 | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | .285 | 3.94 | 12.0% | 6.0% | 207 | -0.02 | 3.19 | 450 | 61 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.74 | 15.2% | 8.0% | 1.7% | .262 | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 114 | +0.63 | 3.74 | 240 | 61 |
| Michael Nix R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.52 | 11.9% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 234 | 61 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.70 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 61 |
| Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.57 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 365 | 60 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 60 |
| David Fletcher R 2023 · 5.65 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.65 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.65 | 100 | 60 |
| Jerome Williams R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.66 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.79 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.13 | 4.66 | 195 | 59 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.81 | 13.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | .281 | 5.01 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 59 | +1.20 | 3.81 | 162 | 59 |
| Manuel Flores R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 515 | 59 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.54 | 10.2% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .328 | 5.54 | 14.7% | 3.6% | 57 | +1.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 59 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.35 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 275 | 59 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.77 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .270 | 4.63 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.86 | 3.77 | 264 | 58 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.25 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | +0.10 | 4.25 | 171 | 56 |
| Matt Cain R 2025 · 5.07 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.07 | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.87 | 294 | 55 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.07 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 4.3% | .278 | 5.31 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 252 | +0.24 | 3.75 | 521 | 55 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.0% | .304 | 3.50 | 14.5% | 7.1% | 139 | -1.92 | 3.50 | 292 | 55 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2024 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.03 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 283 | 54 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.