Erick Fedde P Chicago White Sox
Age 33 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION143 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.74
FIP5.06
xFIP4.73
SIERA4.45
K%14.7%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%5.7%
IP144
WAR · 143 IP × (5.30 − 5.06) / 9.8+0.6
K†3030
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p1019.3%
K%
p2117.9%
xwOBA vs
p590.303
SL+4.8 (38%)
SI (28%)
CT-0.9 (19%)
FB-1.8 (30%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201522AHagerstown Suns6629119238114.3%7.9%1.1%4.343.52+0.3
201623AAHarrisburg Senators232212150112329819.1%6.6%1.8%3.123.30+3.0
201724MLBWashington Nationals321610644694281218.1%6.7%3.0%4.514.09+1.6
201825MLBWashington Nationals2525122522120411121.3%7.9%2.0%4.813.43+2.8
201926MLBWashington Nationals281811348478401814.8%8.4%3.9%4.795.06+0.4
202027MLBWashington Nationals1185022228201012.6%9.0%4.5%4.295.65-0.6
202128MLBWashington Nationals3028138611131432321.7%7.1%3.9%5.404.31+1.8
202229MLBWashington Nationals282813158998592116.4%10.1%3.7%5.635.01+0.6
202431MLBSt. Louis Cardinals3131177726154522021.2%7.2%2.8%3.303.74+3.5
202532MLBMilwaukee Brewers322414162383661913.3%10.6%3.2%5.495.06+0.6
▸ 2026 Season
202633MLBChicago White Sox1386327640241414.5%8.7%5.1%4.695.76-0.8
ROS33MLBCWS15158033950311314.7%9.0%3.7%4.745.06-0.1
2026 Total33MLBCWS14461590552714.6%8.9%4.3%4.725.37+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202734MLBCWS242413155276532213.9%9.5%4.1%5.505.75-0.5
202835MLBCWS212111749564502212.9%10.1%4.4%5.856.08-0.9
202936MLBCWS191910443852472111.9%10.7%4.8%6.216.45-1.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career2592141191511991141916317.8%8.2%3.2%4.594.38+14.2
/ 200 IP4336200859153702717.8%8.2%3.2%4.594.38+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Erick Fedde (OGILVIE) 5.06 15.0%9.3%3.0% 6.07 13.0%2.9%352 +1.01
Miguel González R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 33 SP 4.57 14.6%7.7%3.1%.285 6.83 7.6%-1.5%12 +2.26 3.73 469 63
Matt Buschmann R 2025 · 4.71 FIP 32 SP 4.71 12.8%8.4%3.0%.325 3.92 277 63
Jeremy Guthrie R 2029 · 5.42 FIP 36 SP 5.42 12.7%6.5%4.7%.309 5.00 11.6%3.0%87 -0.42 5.00 235 62
Yovani Gallardo R 2025 · 4.35 FIP 32 SP 4.35 14.9%9.6%2.4%.312 3.91 577 61
Alfredo Simon R 2027 · 4.69 FIP 34 SP 4.69 14.3%8.2%3.2%.289 5.63 12.3%2.7%74 +0.94 4.69 261 60
Cory Riordan R 2023 · 4.19 FIP 30 SP 4.19 14.3%5.0%3.0%.341 4.19 154 59
Kyle Lohse R 2029 · 4.98 FIP 36 SP 4.98 16.2%6.0%4.5%.309 5.53 14.8%8.8%59 +0.55 4.98 211 58
Jake Peavy R 2027 · 4.09 FIP 34 SP 4.09 17.3%5.7%3.2%.278 4.36 19.6%12.9%119 +0.27 4.09 262 58
Edinson Volquez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 33 SP 4.42 16.3%8.8%2.9%.315 4.44 19.4%6.2%108 +0.02 3.72 498 58
Tomoyuki Sugano R 2028 · 4.91 FIP 35 SP 4.91 15.7%5.0%4.5%.279 5.13 13.6%6.6%68 +0.22 4.91 225 58
Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 5.02 FIP 33 SP 5.02 21.5%9.0%4.7%.325 3.67 469 57
Daniel McCutchen R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 33 SP 4.60 10.8%5.9%3.0%.353 4.47 287 57
Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 33 SP 4.25 20.8%7.7%3.5%.262 4.26 17.1%11.3%307 +0.01 3.43 645 56
Chien-Ming Wang R 2028 · 4.13 FIP 35 SP 4.13 7.6%6.1%1.6%.354 4.52 13.0%5.2%53 +0.39 4.13 183 56
Donovan Hand R 2024 · 4.30 FIP 31 SP 4.30 12.5%6.8%2.5%.328 4.29 237 56
Dylan Axelrod R 2024 · 4.43 FIP 31 SP 4.43 13.7%6.3%3.1%.302 4.43 251 56
Chris Leroux R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 32 SP 3.94 13.5%8.0%1.8%.299 3.94 219 55
Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.43 FIP 33 SP 4.43 18.5%8.1%3.4%.308 5.32 17.4%8.8%143 +0.89 2.09 1,046 54
Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 33 SP 5.03 20.3%7.3%5.0%.303 3.99 22.5%16.9%190 -1.04 2.03 804 53
Garrett Richards R 2026 · 4.41 FIP 33 SP 4.41 18.6%9.6%3.0%.328 3.22 19.5%12.5%43 -1.19 2.34 577 53

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.