José Ureña P Los Angeles Angels
Age 34 RHP 6'2" / 208 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA4.90
FIP4.96
K%16.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%6.9%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
K: -3.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: -0.27 (62 IP)-0.3WAR
-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.8262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4040
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p1119.8%
K%
p1013.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.389
SI (11%)
SL-1.7 (26%)
CH-2.2 (25%)
FB-5.7 (46%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201523MIX3 levels32211315567142966%4.111.7%7.8%3.8%1.8%3.844.10+2.0
201523MIX3 levels32211315567142966%4.112.8%7.6%5.2%1.6%3.843.87+2.4
201624MIX2 levels402413257799441560%3.316.3%7.8%8.5%2.9%5.054.32+1.7
201624MIX2 levels402413257799441560%3.317.2%7.6%9.5%2.6%5.054.08+2.0
201725MLBMiami Marlins3428170724113602682%5.015.6%8.3%7.3%3.8%3.824.92+1.0
201725MLBMiami Marlins3428170724113602682%5.015.6%8.3%7.3%3.6%3.824.82+1.1
201826MLBMiami Marlins31311747121304319100%5.618.3%6.0%12.2%2.8%3.983.87+3.1
201826MLBMiami Marlins31311747121304319100%5.618.3%6.0%12.2%2.7%3.983.77+3.3
201927MIX4 levels29159039265241452%3.116.8%6.2%10.6%3.7%5.004.52+0.7
201927MIX4 levels29159039265241452%3.116.6%6.1%10.5%3.6%5.004.48+0.7
202028MLBMiami Marlins552310415134100%4.714.4%12.5%1.9%4.1%5.405.70-0.3
202028MLBMiami Marlins552310415134100%4.714.4%12.5%1.9%3.8%5.405.71-0.3
202129MIX2 levels282010446669431471%3.714.7%9.2%5.5%3.4%5.644.87+0.6
202129MIX2 levels282010446669431471%3.714.8%9.2%5.6%3.0%5.644.77+0.8
202230MIX2 levels262211853377551285%4.514.1%10.4%3.7%1.8%5.424.20+1.7
202230MIX2 levels262211853377551285%4.514.4%10.3%4.1%2.3%5.424.52+1.2
202331MIX2 levels29291336051055530100%4.615.8%9.4%6.5%4.4%5.895.39+0.0
202331MIX2 levels29291336051055530100%4.617.4%9.1%8.3%5.0%5.895.69-0.5
202432MLBTexas Rangers33910946370371327%3.315.1%8.0%7.1%2.7%3.804.34+1.4
202432MLBTexas Rangers33910946370371327%3.315.1%8.0%7.1%2.8%3.804.38+1.3
202533MIX2 levels2813783465536946%2.815.2%10.6%4.6%2.6%4.294.59+0.3
202533MIX2 levels2813783465536946%2.815.9%10.4%5.5%2.6%4.294.58+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202634MLBLAA10106226242248100%6.216.2%9.3%6.9%3.0%4.904.96-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735MLBLAA995623536238100%6.215.2%9.8%5.4%3.4%5.145.30-0.5
202836MLBLAA884920830228100%6.214.2%10.4%3.7%3.8%5.455.66-0.6
202937MLBLAA774318224208100%6.113.1%11.1%2.0%4.2%5.826.06-0.8
202735MLBLAA995623636238100%6.215.2%9.8%5.4%3.3%5.115.27-0.5
202836MLBLAA884920729228100%6.114.2%10.4%3.7%3.7%5.415.62-0.6
202937MLBLAA774318224207100%6.113.1%11.1%2.0%4.1%5.786.02-0.7
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2761831151498075841616066%4.215.2%8.4%6.9%3.2%4.844.64+10.3
/ 200 IP4832200865132722866%4.215.2%8.4%6.9%3.2%4.844.64+1.8
Career3152171262547884545816769%4.015.4%8.4%7.1%3.0%4.634.53+12.8
/ 200 IP5034200868134732669%4.015.4%8.4%7.1%3.0%4.634.53+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
José Ureña (OGILVIE) 4.96 16.2%9.3%3.0% 5.64 14.3%3.8%148 +0.68
Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 34 SP- 5.03 18.2%8.4%4.4%.318 4.19 12.6%5.9%104 -0.84 3.79 264 68
Mike Pelfrey R 2025 · 5.65 FIP 33 SP- 5.65 14.5%10.6%4.4%.266 3.70 404 64
Jason Berken R 2024 · 4.31 FIP 32 SW 4.31 11.5%8.3%2.1%.308 4.31 219 63
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2024 · 4.95 FIP 32 SP- 4.95 8.4%9.2%2.5%.348 4.68 104 63
Alfredo Aceves R 2026 · 4.97 FIP 34 SP 4.97 8.9%8.9%2.7%.323 4.71 160 62
Sergio Valenzuela R 2024 · 5.47 FIP 32 SP 5.47 10.6%6.5%4.5%.355 3.52 244 62
Andres Ivan Meza R 2024 · 4.37 FIP 32 SP 4.37 11.7%7.7%2.4%.349 4.25 275 62
Rolando Valdez R 2025 · 5.15 FIP 33 SP- 5.15 11.7%7.6%3.8%.360 2.98 258 61
Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 34 SW 3.95 15.0%6.4%2.4%.312 3.73 132 61
Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 34 SP 4.56 10.9%6.2%2.9%.311 4.56 143 60
Matt Garza R 2025 · 4.74 FIP 33 SP 4.74 15.7%8.1%3.5%.283 4.12 365 59
Kameron Loe R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 34 SP 3.90 11.9%5.3%2.1%.356 3.47 17.1%9.1%133 -0.43 3.47 201 59
Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 34 SP- 5.05 18.9%7.2%4.8%.280 4.16 15.8%7.7%134 -0.89 3.49 393 59
Roberto Hernandez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 34 SP- 4.26 11.8%6.7%2.4%.287 4.22 13.8%6.8%86 -0.04 4.22 171 59
Angel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 34 SP 3.80 12.1%5.8%1.8%.302 3.80 284 58
Thad Weber R 2024 · 4.86 FIP 32 SP- 4.86 13.2%4.4%4.2%.398 4.55 363 57
Leo Medrano R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 33 SP 4.34 11.0%7.3%2.3%.312 3.74 222 56
Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.60 FIP 34 SP- 5.60 17.5%8.6%5.3%.275 3.61 605 55
Sergio Mitre R 2028 · 5.02 FIP 36 SP 5.02 9.7%4.8%3.9%.282 4.48 11.8%5.3%103 -0.54 4.48 156 54
Francisco Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 34 SP 4.51 11.4%8.2%2.4%.305 5.11 10.7%1.4%83 +0.60 3.26 273 54

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45314.8%10.1%1.365.28
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Mike Wright Jr. ('19)55217.7%8.4%1.536.00