Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Christian Encarnacion-Strand1B Norfolk Tides

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 224 lbs MLB HR +9% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION468 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8384vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP285

ISO170

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

758.4%

xAVG

300.235

POWER50

Barrel%

7311.6

Avg EV

5189.2

Bat Spd

7273.6

EYE25

Chase%

7227.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

3326.7

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%30%▼30% over 102 PA (30d) · proj 28%

BB%5%▲6% over 135 PA (45d) · proj 5%

ISO.191▲.212 over 156 AB (60d) · proj .170xISO .253 vs .201 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB6.3%▲7.2% over 111 BBE (60d) · proj 5.4%barrel% 16.1% vs 8.7% prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.273▲.320 over 103 BIP (60d) · proj .267xBABIP .296 vs .271 prior — approach backs the move

SLASH.220/.271/.411▲proj .216/.263/.387

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 260 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

189

—

wRC+

-29

▶▶R

wOBA

125

292

▶▶R

ISO

015

187

▶▶R

BABIP

182

254

▶▶R

33.8%

22.7%

▶▶R

BB%

2.8%

2.6%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	87	34	2	2	4	5	26	0	2	0	391	424	598	1.022	207	526	28	5	447	189	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2022	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	208	190	60	8	2	12	10	52	6	1	1	316	369	568	937	253	375	25	5	405	160	+15	-0	—	—	+5	2.0
2022	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	330	294	87	23	3	20	30	85	5	7	1	296	371	599	969	303	353	26	9	417	169	+27	+1	—	—	+7	3.6
2023	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	241	222	60	7	0	13	14	69	5	2	0	270	328	477	805	207	336	29	6	356	127	+8	+0	-2	-10	+5	0.1
2023	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	316	278	92	21	2	20	33	69	3	2	0	331	408	637	1.044	306	377	22	10	447	189	+33	+0	—	—	+7	4.2
2024	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	123	116	22	6	0	2	4	35	1	0	0	190	223	293	516	103	247	28	3	228	41	-9	+0	-0	-3	+3	-0.9
2024	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	32	26	10	2	0	0	4	9	1	1	0	385	484	462	945	77	556	28	12	417	168	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	137	130	27	4	0	6	3	32	2	0	2	208	237	377	614	169	223	23	2	267	67	-5	-1	-3	-7	+3	-1.3
2025	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	252	229	56	20	2	11	17	62	5	0	0	245	311	493	804	249	287	25	7	350	123	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	501	468	109	17	0	21	21	136	8	2	2	233	278	404	682	171	279	27	4	300	89	-6	-0	-5	-20	+11	-2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	89	26	2	2	3	3	36	0	2	0	292	315	461	776	169	456	39	3	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	208	194	51	6	2	9	6	63	6	1	1	263	306	454	759	191	329	30	3	324	105	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2022	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	330	303	70	19	2	16	21	115	5	7	1	231	292	465	757	234	310	35	6	321	103	+1	+1	—	—	+7	1.0
2023	23	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	241	222	59	7	0	12	14	69	5	2	0	266	324	459	783	194	336	29	6	341	117	+5	+0	-2	-10	+5	-0.1
2023	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	316	289	78	18	2	13	22	82	3	2	0	270	328	481	809	211	330	26	7	349	122	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.6
2024	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	123	116	22	6	0	2	4	35	1	0	0	190	223	293	516	103	247	28	3	221	35	-9	+0	-0	-3	+3	-1.0
2025	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	137	130	27	4	0	6	3	32	2	0	2	208	237	377	614	169	223	23	2	256	59	-7	-1	-3	-7	+3	-1.4
2025	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	252	234	44	15	2	8	12	76	5	0	0	188	243	372	615	184	235	30	5	263	64	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2021	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	89	26	2	2	3	3	36	0	2	0	292	315	461	776	169	460	39	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	87	34	2	2	4	5	26	0	2	0	391	424	598	1.022	207	526	28	5	447	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	497	121	25	4	25	27	178	11	8	2	243	297	461	758	217	323	33	5	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	538	484	147	31	5	32	40	137	11	8	2	304	370	587	957	283	362	25	7	413	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	557	511	137	25	2	25	36	151	8	4	0	268	326	472	798	204	332	27	6	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	557	500	152	28	2	33	47	138	8	4	0	304	373	566	939	262	360	25	8	408	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	155	145	27	7	0	2	5	44	2	1	0	186	224	276	500	90	245	28	3	221	35	-12	+0	-0	-3	+3	-1.2
2024	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	155	142	32	8	0	2	8	44	2	1	0	225	276	324	600	99	303	28	5	267	35	-12	+0	-0	-3	+3	-1.2
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	389	364	71	19	2	14	15	108	7	0	2	195	241	374	615	179	233	28	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	389	359	83	24	2	17	20	94	7	0	2	231	285	451	736	220	263	24	5	321	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	89	26	2	2	3	3	36	0	2	0	292	315	461	776	169	456	39	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	495	121	25	4	25	27	178	11	8	2	244	297	463	760	218	317	33	5	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	557	508	137	25	2	25	36	151	8	4	0	270	326	474	801	205	332	27	6	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	155	147	27	7	0	2	5	44	2	1	0	184	224	272	496	88	247	28	3	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	389	364	71	19	2	14	15	108	7	0	2	195	241	374	615	179	231	28	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	557	508	137	25	2	25	36	151	8	4	0	270	326	474	801	205	332	27	6	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	155	147	27	7	0	2	5	44	2	1	0	184	224	272	496	88	247	28	3	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	389	364	71	19	2	14	15	108	7	0	2	195	241	374	615	179	231	28	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	BAL	—	468	434	98	20	2	20	20	155	6	3	1	226	270	419	689	194	294	33	4	294	85	-8	+0	+0	-8	+10	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	BAL	—	171	156	41	9	0	8	10	46	3	1	1	263	320	474	794	212	320	27	6	346	85	-3	-0	+0	-8	+4	-0.8
YTD	26	AAA RAW	BAL	—	297	274	73	15	2	19	14	91	3	2	0	266	309	544	853	277	320	31	5	362	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB RAW	BAL	—	171	156	41	9	0	8	10	46	3	1	1	263	320	474	794	212	320	27	6	346	120	+4	-0	+0	-3	+4	0.5
ROS	26	AAA MLE	BAL	100%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		280	33	0	292	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	BAL	100%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		285	33	0	289	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	BAL	—	180	165	42	9	0	8	10	49	3	1	1	255	309	455	764	200	312	27	6	343	85	-3	-0	+0	-3	+4	-0.3
TOT	26	AAA MLE	BAL	—	477	443	99	20	2	20	20	158	6	3	1	223	267	413	680	190	292	33	4	294	85	-8	+0	+0	-9	+10	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	407	380	84	18	2	16	19	126	5	2	1	221	267	405	673	184	280	31	5	292	84	-8	+0	+0	-7	+9	-0.6
2028	28	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	411	384	83	18	1	16	19	127	5	2	1	216	262	393	655	177	279	31	5	291	83	-8	+0	-0	-7	+9	-0.7
2027	27	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	265	248	56	12	1	11	12	82	3	2	0	226	270	415	685	190	285	31	5	289	84	-5	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	267	250	56	12	1	11	12	83	3	1	0	224	268	412	680	188	284	31	4	288	83	-5	+0	-0	-5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1042	975	222	41	2	43	45	304	14	5	2	228	272	406	678	178	282	29	4	294	91	-17	+0	-5	-29	+23	-2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	139	26	1	27	28	190	9	3	1	229	273	408	681	179	284	29	4	294	91	-11	+0	-3	-18	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2558	2379	550	114	13	101	124	773	38	19	6	231	280	417	698	186	295	30	5	302	91	-23	-0	-5	-34	+29	-3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	140	29	3	26	32	196	10	5	2	231	282	418	700	187	295	30	5	302	91	-11	-0	-2	-17	+14	-1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.3	1,554	62	8	229	273	408	-28	-14	-0.5	-0.1
/162	664	27	3	-11.9	-6.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (OGILVIE)	26	40	50	50	25	218/263/397	179	280	14	2	31%	4%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Curtis Terry 2022 · MLB	25	42→40	52→55	46→30	40	221/281/391	170	275	20	4	27%	5%	88	+0.5	223/289/369	146	269	16	5	23%	7%	86	+0.3	209/282/345	135	244	14	0	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Sandro Fabian 2023 · AAA	25	42→46	52→55	49→45	40	221/265/385	164	251	21	4	22%	4%	81	-0.1	230/276/390	160	262	19	6	20%	5%	86	+0.3	230/277/391	161	257	19	5	19%	5%	83	+0.1
●Kevin Cron 2019 · AAA	26	42→45	51→60	47→30	40	220/271/378	158	282	20	3	30%	6%	81	-0.1	235/308/464	229	285	32	5	29%	8%	116	+2.5	231/320/534	303	249	45	1	29%	10%	134	+2.9
✕Mike Hessman 2005 · MLB	27	41→36	53→60	48→45	42	218/278/388	170	277	21	7	29%	7%	86	+0.3	177/248/341	164	236	23	6	35%	7%	65	-1.2	189/269/386	197	255	26	4	36%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Brett Carroll 2009 · MLB	26	42→45	52→55	42→50	40	220/273/390	170	276	20	5	28%	5%	84	+0.2	214/280/359	145	268	16	7	26%	6%	80	-0.1	206/276/338	132	255	14	8	25%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Chris Shaw 2021 · MLB	27	42→43	54→55	45→30	38	223/275/398	175	299	22	4	33%	5%	87	+0.4	193/271/330	137	326	16	7	42%	9%	70	-0.8	132/233/279	147	220	21	2	48%	11%	42	-1.1
✕Kyle Jensen 2014 · AAA	26	37→47	53→55	44→40	41	201/272/372	171	280	22	4	36%	8%	80	-0.1	201/256/363	162	278	20	3	34%	6%	72	-0.7	196/248/360	163	271	21	1	35%	5%	66	-1.0
✕Chad Tracy 2011 · AAA	26	43→49	52→55	46→45	45	227/281/391	164	262	21	6	22%	6%	88	+0.4	206/265/343	137	258	16	4	26%	6%	71	-0.8	192/254/316	124	247	14	2	27%	6%	59	-1.1
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→50	43→40	41	214/272/372	157	286	21	5	32%	7%	80	-0.1	214/281/376	162	272	20	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	162/239/356	193	176	26	0	27%	8%	61	-0.3
✕Blaine Crim 2023 · AAA	26	47→49	54→55	47→45	43	247/298/418	171	285	24	4	23%	6%	101	+1.4	232/299/389	157	279	19	4	23%	8%	95	+0.9	221/295/377	156	267	18	4	24%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Richie Shaffer 2016 · MLB	25	38→39	52→55	47→40	43	204/271/372	169	265	20	5	31%	8%	80	-0.2	185/255/316	131	278	15	5	37%	8%	61	-1.5	162/235/276	114	253	13	3	39%	8%	42	-2.1
✕Peter O'Brien 2016 · AAA	26	41→48	57→60	41→30	35	222/264/423	201	287	25	2	32%	4%	89	+0.5	183/232/350	167	268	22	3	40%	6%	61	-1.5	156/225/315	159	233	23	1	43%	8%	49	-1.6
✕Jon Knott 2006 · MLB	27	40	52→55	49→40	45	210/277/377	168	252	19	4	25%	7%	83	+0.1	218/284/395	177	264	21	4	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/280/385	173	256	20	3	26%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Kent Matthes 2013 · AA	26	39→49	57→60	47→50	36	219/258/420	201	265	26	8	29%	4%	86	+0.3	208/251/359	151	273	17	11	30%	5%	69	-0.9	199/243/338	139	263	14	12	30%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA	27	42→38	52→55	43→40	34	214/276/378	163	309	20	5	36%	5%	84	+0.1	200/259/332	132	313	16	6	39%	6%	66	-1.1	169/220/297	127	262	19	3	42%	5%	42	-1.7
✕Lewin Díaz 2023 · MLB	26	36→45	54→60	48→30	42	203/258/378	175	235	23	3	26%	6%	77	-0.3	216/284/357	141	267	17	5	25%	8%	81	-0.1	211/287/331	120	260	15	2	24%	9%	74	-0.4
✕J.J. Jurries 2006 · AAA	27	45→44	52→55	46→40	41	233/289/405	172	307	20	5	31%	6%	94	+0.9	206/266/328	122	301	14	6	34%	7%	68	-1.0	164/227/246	82	251	9	3	37%	6%	32	-2.1
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→43	54→55	45→50	38	210/258/381	171	273	24	9	33%	6%	77	-0.3	218/278/375	157	279	19	11	28%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/370	155	270	19	11	27%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Ernesto Mejia 2013 · AAA	27	46→48	52→55	45	37	237/283/403	166	318	20	7	32%	5%	91	+0.7	223/276/394	171	303	21	8	32%	6%	86	+0.3	192/249/367	175	257	22	7	34%	6%	70	-0.8
✕Matt Mervis 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	55	50→45	43	231/290/420	188	277	23	4	26%	6%	98	+1.2	212/283/387	175	272	22	5	30%	8%	88	+0.5	192/269/368	176	246	24	4	32%	8%	76	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps