Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Christian Encarnacion-Strand1B Norfolk Tides

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 224 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION297 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL -45-9vR 84

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .255 / .414

PA198

HR9

K%33

BB%4

BABIP277

ISO199

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2114.2%

xwOBA

560.316

POWER50

Barrel%

599.6

Avg EV

4989.0

Bat Spd

7273.6

EYE25

Chase%

1042.2%

SPEED50

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 260 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

189

—

wRC+

-46

▶▶R

wOBA

125

292

▶▶R

ISO

015

187

▶▶R

BABIP

182

254

▶▶R

33.8%

22.7%

▶▶R

BB%

2.8%

2.6%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	88	25	2	2	3	4	37	0	2	0	284	315	455	770	170	458	40	4	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	87	34	2	2	4	5	26	0	2	0	391	424	598	1.022	207	526	28	5	447	200	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	538	497	122	26	4	27	27	182	11	8	2	245	299	477	776	231	326	34	5	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	538	484	147	31	5	32	40	137	11	8	2	304	370	587	957	283	362	25	7	413	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	557	511	140	26	2	27	36	151	8	4	0	274	332	491	823	217	337	27	6	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	557	500	152	28	2	33	47	138	8	4	0	304	373	566	939	262	360	25	8	408	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	155	145	26	7	0	2	5	44	2	1	0	179	217	269	486	90	235	28	3	220	27	-13	+0	-0	-3	+4	-1.2
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	155	142	32	8	0	2	8	44	2	1	0	225	276	324	600	99	303	28	5	267	63	-7	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.5
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	389	364	72	19	2	17	15	110	7	0	2	198	244	401	645	203	229	28	4	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	389	359	83	24	2	17	20	94	7	0	2	231	285	451	736	220	263	24	5	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	BAL	—	297	278	61	12	2	15	10	109	3	2	0	219	254	439	693	219	289	37	3	291	81	-6	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.3
YTD	26	AAA	BAL	—	297	274	73	15	2	19	14	91	3	2	0	266	309	544	853	277	320	31	5	362	135	+12	+0	+0	-5	+8	1.6
ROS	26	AAA	BAL	55%	198	186	40	8	1	9	8	66	2	1	0	215	255	414	669	199	275	33	4	289	80	-5	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	BAL	55%	109	102	23	5	1	5	5	36	1	1	0	225	269	441	710	216	280	33	5	287	77	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
FULL	26	AAA	BAL	—	406	380	84	17	3	20	15	145	4	3	0	221	258	439	698	218	290	36	4	290	80	-9	+1	+0	-7	+12	-0.4
TOT	26	AAA	BAL	—	495	464	101	20	3	24	18	175	5	3	0	218	255	429	683	211	284	35	4	290	80	-11	+1	+0	-9	+14	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	BAL	55%	407	382	82	17	2	18	17	135	5	2	0	215	257	411	668	196	274	33	4	289	79	-10	+0	+0	-7	+12	-0.5
2027	27	MLB	BAL	55%	222	208	45	9	1	10	9	74	3	1	0	216	259	413	673	197	279	33	4	286	77	-6	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	832	778	177	31	2	36	35	246	12	4	2	228	272	411	683	184	281	30	4	295	84	-15	+0	-4	-26	+24	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	138	24	2	28	27	192	9	3	2	227	270	411	681	184	280	30	4	295	84	-12	-0	-3	-20	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	2336	2173	507	105	13	103	112	725	35	18	4	233	282	436	718	202	297	31	5	309	95	-14	+2	-4	-42	+66	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	142	29	4	29	31	202	10	5	1	235	284	440	723	205	299	31	5	309	95	-4	+1	-1	-12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	92	87	34	2	2	4	5	26	0	2	0	391	424	598	1.022	207	526	28	5	447	200	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	208	190	60	8	2	12	10	52	6	1	1	316	369	568	937	253	375	25	5	405	168	+16	-0	—	—	+6	2.2
2022	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	330	294	87	23	3	20	30	85	5	7	1	296	371	599	969	303	353	26	9	417	177	+29	+1	—	—	+9	4.0
2023	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	241	222	60	7	0	13	14	69	5	2	0	270	328	477	805	207	336	29	6	356	130	+8	+0	-2	-10	+7	0.4
2023	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	316	278	92	21	2	20	33	69	3	2	0	331	408	637	1.044	306	377	22	10	447	201	+36	+0	—	—	+9	4.6
2024	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	123	116	22	6	0	2	4	35	1	0	0	190	223	293	516	103	247	28	3	228	33	-9	+0	-0	-3	+3	-0.9
2024	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	32	26	10	2	0	0	4	9	1	1	0	385	484	462	945	77	556	28	12	417	177	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	137	130	27	4	0	6	3	32	2	0	2	208	237	377	614	169	223	23	2	267	62	-6	-1	-3	-7	+4	-1.2
2025	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	252	229	56	20	2	11	17	62	5	0	0	245	311	493	804	249	287	25	7	350	126	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	501	468	109	17	0	21	21	136	8	2	2	233	278	404	682	171	279	27	4	300	88	-7	-0	-5	-20	+14	-1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#3John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	870	36	4	225	267	404	-16	-9	-0.8	-0.5
	/162	664	28	3	225	267	404	-11.9	-7.1	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (OGILVIE)	26	40	50	50	25	218/255/429	211	284	24	3	35%	4%	80	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Kevin Cron 2019 · AAA	26	40→45	52→60	47→30	39	215/265/374	159	279	21	3	31%	6%	76	+0.0	227/300/444	217	279	30	5	30%	8%	109	+2.4	219/310/499	280	240	41	1	29%	10%	125	+2.6
✕Brett Carroll 2009 · MLB	26	42→45	53→55	42→50	40	220/272/392	172	276	20	5	28%	5%	83	+0.6	215/282/365	150	268	17	7	26%	6%	80	+0.4	208/280/351	143	254	16	8	25%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Richie Shaffer 2016 · MLB	25	38	54→55	47→40	43	206/272/387	181	266	22	5	32%	8%	82	+0.5	185/252/318	133	280	16	5	38%	7%	56	-1.3	161/230/272	111	256	13	3	41%	7%	31	-2.2
✕Brad Glenn 2013 · AA	26	38→46	53→55	45	37	207/254/378	170	277	22	6	34%	5%	72	-0.2	223/270/378	155	299	19	4	31%	6%	78	+0.2	223/270/372	148	296	18	2	30%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	41	55	44→40	37	221/260/404	183	286	23	4	32%	5%	81	+0.4	222/266/391	169	290	21	5	30%	5%	80	+0.4	215/261/388	174	266	23	2	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Lewin Díaz 2023 · MLB	26	37→44	58→60	48→30	42	211/266/408	198	241	27	3	27%	6%	85	+0.7	218/287/373	155	267	19	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	211/291/346	135	257	18	2	25%	9%	77	+0.1
✕D.J. Peterson 2017 · AAA	25	44→46	51→55	46→40	39	228/275/387	160	298	19	4	30%	5%	82	+0.5	213/257/342	129	283	15	5	29%	5%	63	-0.9	184/241/324	140	253	18	2	34%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Zach Walters 2016 · MLB	26	39→48	53→60	47→45	37	213/250/386	173	263	21	4	28%	4%	72	-0.2	206/243/325	119	264	12	6	26%	4%	52	-1.6	194/228/298	105	245	11	4	26%	4%	37	-1.1
✕Tyler Colvin 2012 · MLB	26	40→50	53→60	52→45	40	213/257/390	177	263	20	6	28%	5%	76	+0.0	216/263/374	158	286	16	8	29%	6%	73	-0.1	216/264/365	150	289	14	8	30%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	51→55	50	40	202/258/351	149	255	20	7	30%	6%	67	-0.5	220/291/413	193	279	26	9	30%	7%	97	+1.5	205/284/416	211	247	30	7	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Curtis Terry 2022 · MLB	25	43	55	46→30	40	231/290/421	190	279	23	4	26%	5%	98	+1.6	230/294/399	169	270	20	5	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/286/375	161	242	19	0	20%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Daniel Palka 2018 · AAA	26	40→44	52→55	46→50	37	211/256/369	158	290	21	8	35%	6%	70	-0.3	213/270/385	172	283	23	4	32%	7%	80	+0.4	207/274/387	180	263	25	4	31%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Kiel Roling 2013 · AA	26	39→38	54→55	42→30	35	209/254/379	169	296	23	4	37%	5%	72	-0.2	214/264/370	156	290	19	4	32%	6%	73	-0.1	201/252/361	161	260	19	0	30%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→42	57→55	45→50	37	212/259/399	186	275	27	9	34%	6%	79	+0.3	223/281/395	172	280	22	11	28%	6%	88	+0.9	221/284/392	171	272	22	11	27%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Chad Tracy 2011 · AAA	26	42→49	54→55	46→45	44	227/280/401	174	260	23	6	23%	6%	89	+0.9	200/260/333	133	258	15	4	28%	6%	63	-0.9	183/247/299	116	244	13	2	30%	6%	47	-1.4
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39	54→60	44→40	37	211/255/391	180	278	21	3	32%	5%	76	+0.0	215/260/381	166	289	20	6	32%	5%	75	-0.0	200/245/377	177	257	23	4	32%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Dustin Peterson 2021 · MLB	26	47→48	48→50	47→45	38	236/273/372	136	302	17	6	28%	4%	78	+0.2	227/282/361	134	278	16	5	24%	6%	79	+0.3	212/272/346	134	262	17	3	25%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Jamie Romak 2012 · AA	26	39→48	51→55	44→45	42	210/268/363	153	254	20	5	26%	6%	74	-0.1	209/264/353	144	263	17	6	27%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/371	171	274	21	5	34%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Sandro Fabian 2023 · AAA	25	42→47	56→60	49→45	40	228/271/417	188	255	26	4	23%	4%	89	+1.0	232/278/399	167	262	20	6	20%	5%	87	+0.8	232/278/395	164	259	19	5	19%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Jon Knott 2006 · MLB	27	39→40	52→55	49→40	44	209/275/377	167	251	19	4	25%	7%	80	+0.4	220/285/403	183	265	22	4	26%	7%	91	+1.1	216/283/399	183	257	22	3	26%	8%	86	+0.6