Kevin Cron
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 26 | AAAARI | 377 | .331/.448/.777 | 38 | 1 | 142 | — | .241/.336/.549 | |
| 2019 | 26 | MLBARI | 78 | .211/.273/.521 | 6 | 0 | 116 | -0.6 | ||
| 2020 | 27 | MLBARI | 20 | .000/.150/.000 | 0 | 0 | -40 | -0.3 | ||
| 2023 | 30 | AAAOAK | 46 | .133/.152/.156 | 0 | 0 | -43 | — | .111/.130/.133 | |
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 150 | 132 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 376 | 508 | 883 | 212 | 297 | 11 | 7 | 388 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 559 | 518 | 141 | 34 | 0 | 27 | 28 | 131 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 316 | 494 | 811 | 222 | 311 | 23 | 5 | 351 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 510 | 465 | 103 | 20 | 1 | 26 | 33 | 134 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 282 | 437 | 718 | 215 | 248 | 26 | 6 | 313 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 86 | 80 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 338 | 573 | 150 | 203 | 22 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 588 | 515 | 146 | 35 | 0 | 25 | 56 | 134 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 363 | 497 | 860 | 214 | 332 | 23 | 10 | 374 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 438 | 392 | 121 | 28 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 100 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 309 | 373 | 554 | 926 | 245 | 359 | 23 | 8 | 399 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 78 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 273 | 521 | 794 | 310 | 237 | 36 | 5 | 339 | 116 | +2 | -0 | -1 | -8 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 377 | 305 | 101 | 20 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 77 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 331 | 448 | 777 | 1.225 | 446 | 328 | 20 | 16 | 508 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 20 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 108 | -40 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.3 | ||||
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 46 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 152 | 156 | 308 | 22 | 222 | 39 | 2 | 141 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 98 | 88 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 247 | 420 | 668 | 250 | 188 | 36 | 5 | 292 | 83 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -8 | +2 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 150 | 136 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 282 | 353 | 635 | 140 | 225 | 15 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 559 | 529 | 112 | 25 | 0 | 24 | 18 | 175 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 246 | 395 | 641 | 183 | 258 | 31 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 510 | 476 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 22 | 167 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 166 | 212 | 315 | 527 | 149 | 200 | 33 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 588 | 535 | 127 | 30 | 0 | 20 | 36 | 166 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 295 | 406 | 701 | 168 | 293 | 28 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 438 | 403 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 285 | 404 | 689 | 171 | 288 | 30 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 78 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 273 | 521 | 794 | 310 | 237 | 36 | 5 | 340 | 116 | +2 | -0 | -1 | -8 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 377 | 328 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 103 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 336 | 549 | 885 | 308 | 254 | 27 | 11 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 20 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 108 | -40 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.3 | ||||
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 46 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 130 | 133 | 264 | 22 | 195 | 46 | 2 | 105 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 150 | 136 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 282 | 353 | 635 | 140 | 227 | 15 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 150 | 132 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 376 | 508 | 883 | 212 | 297 | 11 | 7 | 388 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 559 | 529 | 112 | 25 | 0 | 24 | 18 | 175 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 246 | 395 | 641 | 183 | 262 | 31 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 559 | 518 | 141 | 34 | 0 | 27 | 28 | 131 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 316 | 494 | 811 | 222 | 311 | 23 | 5 | 351 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 556 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 21 | 26 | 195 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 165 | 212 | 313 | 525 | 147 | 205 | 33 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 596 | 545 | 118 | 23 | 1 | 29 | 37 | 153 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 275 | 422 | 697 | 206 | 241 | 26 | 6 | 304 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 588 | 535 | 127 | 30 | 0 | 20 | 36 | 166 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 295 | 406 | 701 | 168 | 299 | 28 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 588 | 515 | 146 | 35 | 0 | 25 | 56 | 134 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 363 | 497 | 860 | 214 | 332 | 23 | 10 | 374 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 438 | 403 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 285 | 404 | 689 | 171 | 297 | 30 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 438 | 392 | 121 | 28 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 100 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 309 | 373 | 554 | 926 | 245 | 359 | 23 | 8 | 399 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 455 | 399 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 34 | 45 | 131 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 236 | 325 | 544 | 869 | 308 | 253 | 29 | 10 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 455 | 376 | 116 | 24 | 1 | 44 | 65 | 105 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 309 | 418 | 729 | 1.147 | 420 | 313 | 23 | 14 | 479 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 20 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 108 | -40 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.3 | ||||
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 20 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 108 | -40 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.3 | ||||
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 46 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 130 | 133 | 264 | 22 | 208 | 46 | 2 | 105 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 46 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 152 | 156 | 308 | 22 | 222 | 39 | 2 | 141 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 150 | 136 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 282 | 353 | 635 | 140 | 225 | 15 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 559 | 530 | 112 | 25 | 0 | 24 | 18 | 175 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 246 | 394 | 640 | 183 | 258 | 31 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 558 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 21 | 26 | 195 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 165 | 212 | 312 | 524 | 147 | 200 | 33 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 588 | 539 | 127 | 30 | 0 | 20 | 36 | 166 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 295 | 403 | 698 | 167 | 293 | 28 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 438 | 406 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 285 | 401 | 686 | 170 | 288 | 30 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 455 | 399 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 34 | 45 | 131 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 236 | 325 | 544 | 869 | 308 | 251 | 29 | 10 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 20 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 108 | -40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 46 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 130 | 133 | 264 | 22 | 195 | 46 | 2 | 105 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 98 | 88 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 247 | 420 | 668 | 250 | 188 | 36 | 5 | 292 | 80 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -8 | +2 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 100 | 27 | 0 | 40 | 33 | 232 | 27 | 0 | 7 | 171 | 249 | 423 | 672 | 252 | 188 | 36 | 5 | 292 | 80 | -13 | -3 | -7 | -56 | +14 | -6.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2852 | 2620 | 553 | 118 | 3 | 119 | 158 | 848 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 211 | 267 | 395 | 662 | 184 | 258 | 30 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -8 | +2 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 126 | 27 | 1 | 27 | 36 | 193 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 267 | 395 | 663 | 184 | 258 | 30 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -13 | -3 | -7 | -56 | +14 | -6.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 46 PAwOBA .138 → .105 (−33)K% 39.1% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.13% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.17% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 1.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 16.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 2.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .138 → .105; ISO .022 → .014; BABIP .222 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAReno Aces · 377 PAwOBA .493 → .378 (−116)K% 20.4% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.42% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.85% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 10.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷1.035 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 15.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.77% | ÷1.025 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.077 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 12.28% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .493 → .378; ISO .446 → .329; BABIP .328 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAReno Aces · 438 PAwOBA .393 → .296 (−97)K% 22.8% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.83% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.22% | ÷1.069 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.97% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 20.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.59% | ÷1.117 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 6.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 5.82% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 105, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .393 → .296; ISO .245 → .176; BABIP .359 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAJackson Generals · 588 PAwOBA .367 → .307 (−60)K% 22.8% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.79% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.84% | ÷0.987 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.57% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 20.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.19% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 8.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.39% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .367 → .307; ISO .214 → .178; BABIP .332 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMobile BayBears · 510 PAwOBA .306 → .226 (−80)K% 26.3% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.27% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.08% | ÷0.975 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.92% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 14.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.85% | ÷1.160 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.56% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .306 → .226; ISO .215 → .149; BABIP .248 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Visalia Rawhide · 559 PAwOBA .343 → .274 (−69)K% 23.4% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.43% | ÷1.002 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷1.057 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.67% | ÷1.058 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 17.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.79% | ÷1.007 | ×0.820 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.760 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 6.67% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 112, 2B 101, 3B 83, K 100, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .343 → .274; ISO .222 → .189; BABIP .311 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKMissoula Osprey · 150 PAwOBA .380 → .278 (−102)K% 10.7% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 4.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 15.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .380 → .278; ISO .212 → .154; BABIP .297 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .