Jack Perkins P Athletics
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10697vR 88
ERA3.65
FIP3.70
K%27.6%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%17.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 135 IP
K: +14.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+14KBB: -7.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-8BBCONTACT: -1.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +18.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+18STAMTotal WAR: +2.48 (135 IP)+2.5WAR
0.00.51.01.00.30.2+$9M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP55
STUF6060
CTRL4545
CMD4550
K†6565
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p6227.2%
K%
p7827.3%
xwOBA vs
p440.318
FB+1.7 (40%)
CH+0.7 (18%)
CT (9%)
SI (3%)
SL-1.3 (34%)
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M+1.0$8M+$8M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2028Arb-1$2M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $1M $10M +$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202222MIX2 levels621038142033%1.736.8%5.3%31.6%0.0%2.700.66
202222MIX2 levels621038142033%1.736.8%5.3%31.6%0.0%2.700.90
202323MIX2 levels22201084639347591%4.915.8%11.4%4.5%1.1%4.103.83
202323MIX2 levels22201084639347591%4.920.1%10.2%9.9%1.1%4.103.29
202424MIX2 levels18167832110335289%4.325.7%12.2%13.5%0.9%2.882.95
202424MIX2 levels18167832110335289%4.332.1%10.9%21.2%0.6%2.882.14
202525MIX2 levels21138333810538762%3.928.7%11.5%17.1%2.0%3.483.21+1.8
202525MIX2 levels21138333810538762%3.931.1%11.2%19.8%2.1%3.483.04+1.9
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBAthletics2766529581301122%2.427.3%8.7%18.6%3.8%6.613.98+0.5
ROS26MLBOAK67070296823190%1.027.6%10.5%17.1%2.9%3.653.70+0.9
ROS26MLBOAK67070296823180%1.027.6%10.5%17.1%2.9%3.613.66+0.9
2026 TOT26MLBOAK135591163612027.5%10.3%17.2%3.3%5.083.83+2.5
2026 FULL26MLBOAK128539163611930.2%11.3%18.9%3.6%5.363.96+2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBOAK20201305481495616100%6.527.1%10.2%16.9%3.0%4.104.13+1.9
202828MLBOAK20201305481465617100%6.526.6%10.2%16.4%3.1%4.184.22+1.8
202727MLBOAK18181235191415315100%6.827.1%10.2%16.9%2.9%4.064.09+1.9
202828MLBOAK18181235191385316100%6.826.6%10.2%16.4%3.0%4.144.18+1.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career1404741317624701785334%2.926.7%10.1%16.6%3.0%4.413.79+7.8
/ 200 IP6823200853228862634%3.026.7%10.1%16.6%3.0%4.413.79+3.8
Career945734414553471592661%3.723.9%10.9%13.0%1.8%4.113.44+7.9
/ 200 IP5533200847202921561%3.723.9%10.9%13.0%1.8%4.113.44+4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jack Perkins (OGILVIE) 3.97 28.1%11.7%2.5% 4.17 26.9%16.6%260 +0.20
Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 78
Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 76
Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 26 SP- 3.47 23.4%9.5%2.1%.295 3.47 146 73
Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 3.29 FIP 26 SP- 3.29 28.3%13.5%1.6%.366 4.50 21.3%8.9%135 +1.21 3.04 341 73
Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 3.45 102 69
Riley Cornelio R 2026 · 4.20 FIP 26 SW 4.20 28.2%14.0%3.1%.329 4.18 417 69
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP 26 SW 4.63 23.7%8.7%4.4%.317 3.95 22.5%14.7%87 -0.68 3.36 432 68
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 2.91 FIP 26 SP- 2.91 23.2%11.1%0.7%.333 3.81 23.7%15.0%136 +0.90 2.59 309 66
Mitch White R 2026 · 3.30 FIP 26 SW 3.30 25.1%8.6%2.2%.282 4.10 20.0%10.6%265 +0.80 2.49 626 66
Daniel Federman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP 24 SP- 4.34 23.8%8.3%4.0%.311 4.34 119 66
Jace Beck R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SW 3.54 31.8%12.7%2.8%.352 3.54 177 66
Heath Holder R 2026 · 3.12 FIP 26 SW 3.12 21.9%7.5%1.7%.263 5.32 19.8%4.9%85 +2.20 2.74 367 65
Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 26 SW 4.65 20.5%7.8%4.2%.319 4.96 18.4%6.6%242 +0.31 4.39 353 65
Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 4.28 121 65
Will Schomberg R 2024 · 3.84 FIP 24 SP- 3.84 23.3%11.6%2.2%.272 3.84 206 65
José De León R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 26 SP- 3.14 28.9%12.8%1.6%.314 3.61 35.0%22.1%30 +0.47 3.14 445 64
Trent Sellers R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 26 SP- 5.09 23.5%14.2%4.0%.336 3.39 236 64
Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP 26 SP- 3.40 19.8%8.9%1.6%.299 3.40 322 63
Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 63
Trent Baker R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 26 SW 3.74 20.2%8.3%2.4%.304 4.64 16.6%7.0%39 +0.90 3.74 459 63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION312927.3%10.7%1.114.07
Danny Salazar ('17)314228.1%9.0%1.123.79
Nate Karns ('17)39624.2%9.3%1.224.24
Ian Anderson ('22)39122.5%10.4%0.963.97
Triston McKenzie ('24)410526.0%9.4%1.523.94
Alek Manoah ('24)410523.4%9.0%1.033.34
Tyson Ross ('19)410721.3%10.8%0.844.31