Connor Gillispie
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133
ERA5.44
FIP5.89
K%15.1%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%3.6%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.3
Whiff%
p2221.4%
K%
p2618.7%
xwOBA vs
p150.354
FB+0.5 (29%)
CU (1%)
CH-1.2 (15%)
SL-1.3 (30%)
CT-6.6 (25%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 21 | 12 | 80 | 325 | 78 | 29 | 16 | 57% | 3.8 | 18.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.97 | 5.96 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 21 | 12 | 80 | 325 | 78 | 29 | 16 | 57% | 3.8 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 4.9% | 4.97 | 4.84 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 14 | 97 | 413 | 113 | 48 | 18 | 56% | 3.9 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.79 | 5.84 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 14 | 97 | 413 | 113 | 48 | 18 | 56% | 3.9 | 27.4% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 3.79 | 4.66 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 27 | 14 | 116 | 482 | 99 | 37 | 14 | 52% | 4.3 | 16.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 3.89 | 4.12 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 27 | 14 | 116 | 482 | 99 | 37 | 14 | 52% | 4.3 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 3.89 | 3.92 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 15 | 121 | 508 | 127 | 53 | 22 | 50% | 4.0 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 3.93 | 5.07 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 15 | 121 | 508 | 127 | 53 | 22 | 50% | 4.0 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 4.3% | 3.93 | 4.67 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 16 | 73 | 333 | 51 | 36 | 19 | 89% | 4.1 | 14.3% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.73 | 5.92 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 16 | 73 | 333 | 51 | 36 | 19 | 89% | 4.1 | 15.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.73 | 6.55 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 4 | 2 | 17 | 68 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 50% | 4.3 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 3.63 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 41 | 32 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.1% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.44 | 5.89 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.1% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.44 | 5.89 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 82 | 342 | 59 | 39 | 13 | — | — | 17.4% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.06 | 5.55 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 6 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 15.1% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.44 | 5.52 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 62 | 261 | 40 | 30 | 11 | 100% | 6.9 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.65 | 5.90 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 58 | 246 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 6.5 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.80 | 5.99 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 3 | 3 | 23 | 97 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 7.7 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.65 | 5.90 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 21 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.80 | 5.99 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 15 | 95 | 414 | 71 | 46 | 17 | 83% | 5.3 | 17.0% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.22 | 5.29 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 32 | 200 | 868 | 149 | 97 | 36 | 83% | 5.3 | 17.0% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.22 | 5.29 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 125 | 73 | 505 | 2129 | 402 | 228 | 93 | 58% | 4.0 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.60 | 5.25 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 90 | 37 | 58% | 4.0 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.60 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Connor Gillispie (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.89 | 15.1% | 11.5% | 4.1% | — | 5.94 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 120 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Daulton Jefferies R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 265 | 69 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 65 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2027 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 65 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 63 |
| Brady Rodgers R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.58 | 14.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.98 | 354 | 63 |
| Kevin Miranda R 2024 · 7.02 FIP | 26 | SP- | 7.02 | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 153 | 63 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 62 |
| Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 62 |
| Luis Niebla R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 11.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 156 | 61 |
| Mat Latos R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.94 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .279 | 5.79 | 16.8% | 5.6% | 41 | +0.85 | 3.68 | 244 | 61 |
| Brian Edgington R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 61 |
| Colin Rea R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.72 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% | .344 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 198 | -1.62 | 2.67 | 1,073 | 60 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.20 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.77 | 2.78 | 844 | 60 |
| Davis Daniel R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 4.0% | .285 | 4.63 | 19.4% | 10.1% | 84 | -0.64 | 3.06 | 584 | 60 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 59 |
| Mike Connolly R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 59 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.26 | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 412 | 59 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 28 | SW | 6.03 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | 4.41 | 8.3% | -7.5% | 10 | -1.62 | 3.92 | 233 | 59 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 58 |
| Chris Jensen R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.29 | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 488 | 58 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 62 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 1.60 | 5.62 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |