Connor Gillispie
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
ERA6.69
FIP5.39
xFIP5.06
SIERA4.79
K%18.9%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%8.6%
IP89
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD4040
K†3040
FB Velo
p1091.3
Whiff%
p2221.4%
K%
p2618.7%
xwOBA vs
p150.354
FB+0.5 (29%)
CU (1%)
CH-1.2 (15%)
SL-1.3 (30%)
CT-6.6 (25%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 21 | 12 | 80 | 325 | 78 | 29 | 16 | 18.5% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 4.97 | 6.04 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 14 | 97 | 413 | 113 | 48 | 18 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 3.79 | 5.91 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 27 | 14 | 116 | 482 | 99 | 37 | 14 | 16.6% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 3.89 | 4.39 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 30 | 15 | 121 | 508 | 127 | 53 | 22 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 3.93 | 5.25 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 18 | 16 | 73 | 333 | 51 | 36 | 19 | 14.3% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 7.73 | 5.97 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 3 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 15 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 89 | 375 | 57 | 42 | 16 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 7.10 | 5.90 | -0.7 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 102 | 420 | 72 | 45 | 16 | 17.1% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 6.19 | 5.15 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 87 | 366 | 56 | 40 | 15 | 15.4% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 6.26 | 5.81 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 84 | 355 | 54 | 38 | 14 | 15.3% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 5.93 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 81 | 343 | 52 | 37 | 14 | 15.1% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 5.83 | 5.81 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 78 | 329 | 55 | 33 | 14 | 16.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 5.69 | 5.62 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 74 | 315 | 50 | 32 | 13 | 16.0% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 5.72 | 5.75 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 46 | 31 | 13 | 15.3% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 5.82 | 5.88 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 41 | 30 | 12 | 14.5% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 5.95 | 6.04 | -0.8 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 36 | 29 | 12 | 13.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 6.10 | 6.20 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 124 | 72 | 500 | 2106 | 402 | 223 | 96 | 19.1% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 4.51 | 5.33 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 29 | 200 | 842 | 161 | 89 | 38 | 19.1% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 4.51 | 5.33 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Connor Gillispie (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.90 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | — | 5.80 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 252 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Matt Harvey R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.94 | 15.5% | 10.2% | 5.2% | .298 | 4.62 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 249 | -1.32 | 2.90 | 806 | 67 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.94 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 239 | 67 |
| Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.87 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | +0.17 | 4.87 | 294 | 65 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 28 | SP- | 6.02 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 223 | 65 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 65 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 64 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .261 | 5.17 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.41 | 4.58 | 261 | 64 |
| Warwick Saupold R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 389 | 63 |
| Cody Martin R 2026 · 5.89 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.89 | 16.3% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 402 | 63 |
| Brad Allen R 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.86 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 149 | 62 |
| Mat Latos R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.89 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | .279 | 5.69 | 16.8% | 5.6% | 41 | +0.80 | 3.55 | 244 | 62 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.86 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .328 | 4.86 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 62 |
| Chris Jensen R 2025 · 5.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 488 | 62 |
| Mike Connolly R 2024 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 328 | 61 |
| Kaleb Roper R 2024 · 5.69 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.69 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 4.7% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.69 | 146 | 60 |
| David Fletcher R 2028 · 5.65 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.65 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.65 | 100 | 60 |
| Jake Lemoine R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.51 | 14.8% | 12.0% | 3.9% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 290 | 60 |
| Davis Daniel R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.19 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% | .285 | 5.45 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 19 | +0.26 | 3.02 | 519 | 60 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.29 | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 412 | 60 |
| Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.72 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .280 | 3.82 | 20.9% | 14.5% | 259 | -0.90 | 2.98 | 598 | 59 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.