Daulton Jefferies
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 30
RHP
6'0" / 182 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA4.72
FIP5.03
K%15.7%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p1320.1%
K%
p1016.4%
xwOBA vs
p400.323
SI (37%)
FB (46%)
SL-1.8 (25%)
CH-2.7 (15%)
CT-4.2 (15%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 5 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 38.6% | 4.5% | 34.1% | 0.0% | 2.38 | 0.41 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 5 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 38.6% | 4.5% | 34.1% | 0.0% | 2.38 | 0.63 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 2 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 3.5 | 19.4% | 3.2% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 1.87 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 2 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 3.5 | 19.4% | 3.2% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 1.81 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 71.4% | 0.0% | 71.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -2.93 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 71.4% | 0.0% | 71.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.90 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 15 | 79 | 319 | 93 | 9 | 8 | 58% | 3.0 | 23.4% | 3.1% | 20.2% | 3.2% | 3.42 | 3.29 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 15 | 79 | 319 | 93 | 9 | 8 | 58% | 3.0 | 29.2% | 2.8% | 26.3% | 2.5% | 3.42 | 2.40 | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 2.0 | 7.7% | 15.4% | -7.7% | 15.4% | 22.50 | 12.84 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100% | 2.0 | 7.7% | 15.4% | -7.7% | 15.4% | 22.50 | 18.10 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 16 | 92 | 390 | 76 | 15 | 14 | 80% | 4.6 | 17.4% | 4.0% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 4.70 | 4.56 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 16 | 92 | 390 | 76 | 15 | 14 | 80% | 4.6 | 19.5% | 3.8% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 3.92 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 8 | 8 | 39 | 172 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.3% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 5.72 | 3.65 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 8 | 8 | 39 | 172 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.3% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 5.72 | 3.61 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 8 | 55 | 246 | 41 | 19 | 9 | 50% | 3.4 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.26 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 8 | 55 | 246 | 41 | 19 | 9 | 50% | 3.4 | 16.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 6.26 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 65 | 276 | 43 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 40 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.97 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 9 | 9 | 56 | 238 | 37 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.3 | 15.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.19 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 9 | 9 | 52 | 218 | 33 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.42 | 5.60 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.97 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.19 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.42 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 35 | 26 | 160 | 690 | 106 | 52 | 25 | 74% | 4.6 | 15.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 5.83 | 4.76 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 32 | 200 | 865 | 133 | 65 | 31 | 74% | 4.6 | 15.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 5.83 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 79 | 55 | 287 | 1222 | 237 | 58 | 44 | 70% | 3.6 | 19.4% | 4.8% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.07 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 38 | 200 | 851 | 165 | 41 | 31 | 70% | 3.6 | 19.4% | 4.8% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daulton Jefferies (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.03 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | — | 5.38 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 169 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 74 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 70 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 70 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 70 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 69 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 69 |
| Jerome Williams R 2029 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | .326 | 5.94 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.15 | 4.79 | 195 | 68 |
| Scott McGregor R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 68 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 68 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 68 |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 67 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 67 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 66 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2025 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 66 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.84 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.10 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 305 | +1.26 | 3.84 | 567 | 65 |
| Colin Bates R 2023 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 65 |
| Dylan Axelrod R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.75 | 14.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .304 | 4.43 | 13.7% | 7.4% | 133 | -0.32 | 4.43 | 251 | 65 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 65 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 15.5% | 8.8% | 1.41 | 5.05 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |