Randy Wynne — OGILVIE

Randy Wynne P Louisville Bats

Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.89

FIP5.89

K%10.0%

BB%4.8%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL7070

CMD4040

K†3030

CH (13%)

CT (19%)

SI (51%)

CU (11%)

SL (6%)

FB-0.7 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	1	14	58	15	0	2	25%	3.5	20.7%	0.0%	20.7%	5.5%	4.50	4.35	—
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	1	14	58	15	0	2	25%	3.5	25.9%	0.0%	25.9%	3.4%	4.50	2.81	—
2021	28	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	25	14	89	388	67	11	13	56%	3.6	14.0%	3.1%	10.9%	4.2%	4.94	4.64	—
2021	28	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	25	14	89	388	67	11	13	56%	3.6	17.3%	2.8%	14.4%	3.4%	4.94	3.86	—
2022	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	26	22	133	578	85	34	28	85%	5.1	12.9%	6.2%	6.8%	4.2%	4.75	5.07	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	26	22	133	578	85	34	28	85%	5.1	14.7%	5.9%	8.8%	4.8%	4.75	5.33	—
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	13	76	348	49	20	26	43%	2.5	12.1%	5.1%	7.0%	8.1%	6.48	7.15	-2.2
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	13	76	348	49	20	26	43%	2.5	12.1%	5.1%	7.0%	8.1%	6.48	7.15	-2.2
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	13	76	348	49	20	26	43%	2.5	14.1%	5.7%	8.3%	7.5%	6.48	7.03	-2.1
2024	31	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	27	18	93	393	62	26	22	67%	3.4	13.1%	6.0%	7.1%	5.5%	4.16	5.79	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	27	18	93	393	62	26	22	67%	3.4	13.1%	6.0%	7.1%	5.5%	4.16	5.79	—
2024	31	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	27	18	93	393	62	26	22	67%	3.4	15.8%	6.6%	9.2%	5.6%	4.16	5.68	—
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	63	270	35	11	16	76%	3.7	10.3%	3.5%	6.8%	7.1%	5.43	6.58	-1.2
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	13	63	270	35	11	16	76%	3.7	10.3%	3.5%	6.8%	7.1%	5.43	6.58	-1.2
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	13	63	270	35	11	16	76%	3.7	13.0%	4.1%	8.9%	5.9%	5.43	5.81	-0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	5	24	3	2	1	0%	2.7	12.5%	8.3%	4.2%	4.2%	3.37	5.54	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	CIN	1	1	5	21	2	1	1	100%	5.0	10.0%	4.8%	5.2%	4.8%	5.89	5.89	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	CIN	10	10	57	242	26	14	12	100%	5.7	10.8%	5.8%	5.0%	4.9%	5.90	6.01	-0.7
2028	35	MLB MLE	CIN	9	9	51	217	24	14	11	100%	5.7	11.1%	6.6%	4.5%	5.1%	6.02	6.19	-0.7
2027	34	MLB CTX	CIN	1	1	3	13	1	1	1	100%	3.0	10.8%	5.8%	5.0%	4.9%	5.90	6.01	-0.0
2028	35	MLB CTX	CIN	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	100%	1.0	11.1%	6.6%	4.5%	5.1%	6.02	6.19	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	1	9	39	5	3	2	33%	3.0	11.8%	7.4%	4.5%	4.5%	4.41	5.49	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		58	14	200	877	111	67	44	23%	3.4	11.8%	7.4%	4.5%	4.5%	4.41	5.49	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		129	81	468	2035	262	98	113	63%	3.6	12.9%	4.8%	8.1%	5.5%	5.03	5.66	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	35	200	869	112	42	48	63%	3.6	12.9%	4.8%	8.1%	5.5%	5.03	5.66	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Randy Wynne (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.89	10.0%	4.8%	4.8%	—	6.10	10.9%	4.8%	109	+0.21	—	—	—
Rolando Valdez R 2019 · 5.36 FIP	33	SP-	5.36	11.7%	7.6%	4.2%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	258	69
Sergio Valenzuela R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	32	SP	5.66	10.6%	6.5%	4.8%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	244	66
Thad Weber R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	32	SP-	5.25	13.2%	4.4%	4.9%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	363	66
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	65
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	64
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	63
Elih Villanueva R 2017 · 5.48 FIP	31	SP	5.48	14.1%	6.0%	5.1%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	225	62
Yohan Pino R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	33	SP-	5.33	15.2%	3.6%	5.6%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	60
Sergio Mitre R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	36	SP	4.76	9.7%	4.8%	3.4%	.282	4.54	11.8%	5.3%	103	-0.22	4.54	156	58
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	55
Jerome Williams R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	33	SP-	4.72	13.4%	5.6%	3.7%	.326	5.81	11.7%	5.6%	74	+1.09	4.72	195	53
Alfredo Aceves R 2016 · 4.78 FIP	33	SP	4.78	10.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.270	5.10	8.9%	0.0%	51	+0.32	4.78	160	53
Deck McGuire R 2022 · 5.12 FIP	33	SP-	5.12	15.7%	13.1%	3.1%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	52
Dan Straily R 2022 · 6.26 FIP	33	SP-	6.26	16.7%	11.3%	5.7%	.269	5.67	17.7%	8.2%	79	-0.59	3.50	890	51
Brad Peacock R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	33	SP-	4.70	21.0%	9.8%	3.9%	.327	3.82	23.9%	13.3%	60	-0.88	2.97	533	50
Kris Medlen R 2018 · 5.20 FIP	32	SP	5.20	16.2%	10.0%	4.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	261	50
Cesar Carrillo R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	33	SP	4.97	12.0%	11.9%	2.5%	.320	6.22	11.0%	1.8%	66	+1.25	4.14	325	49
Scott Carroll R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	32	SP	5.71	14.4%	8.6%	5.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	248	49
Jesse Estrada R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	33	SP	5.39	8.3%	5.6%	4.2%	.285	4.34	14.4%	7.8%	85	-1.05	3.80	257	48
Tyler Cloyd R 2019 · 5.21 FIP	32	SP	5.21	18.9%	9.5%	4.6%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	250	48

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	10.6%	5.7%	1.92	5.93
Adam Plutko ('21)	1.4	68	17.0%	7.2%	2.17	5.37
Paolo Espino ('22)	1.2	82	19.4%	5.6%	1.82	4.70
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45