Randy Wynne
P
Louisville Bats
Age 33
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 154144vR 135
ERA6.02
FIP6.02
K%10.2%
BB%5.5%
K-BB%4.7%
ROS IP63
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH (13%)
CT (19%)
SI (51%)
CU (11%)
SL (6%)
FB-0.7 (51%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 25% | 3.5 | 20.7% | 0.0% | 20.7% | 5.8% | 4.50 | 4.52 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 25% | 3.5 | 25.9% | 0.0% | 25.9% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 2.81 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 25 | 14 | 89 | 388 | 67 | 11 | 13 | 56% | 3.6 | 14.0% | 3.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 4.94 | 4.77 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 25 | 14 | 89 | 388 | 67 | 11 | 13 | 56% | 3.6 | 17.3% | 2.8% | 14.4% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 26 | 22 | 133 | 578 | 85 | 34 | 28 | 85% | 5.1 | 12.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 4.66 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 26 | 22 | 133 | 578 | 85 | 34 | 28 | 85% | 5.1 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.75 | 5.33 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 13 | 76 | 348 | 49 | 20 | 26 | 43% | 2.5 | 12.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.48 | 6.98 | -1.9 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 13 | 76 | 348 | 49 | 20 | 26 | 43% | 2.5 | 14.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.48 | 7.03 | -1.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 27 | 18 | 93 | 393 | 62 | 26 | 22 | 67% | 3.4 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.16 | 5.58 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 27 | 18 | 93 | 393 | 62 | 26 | 22 | 67% | 3.4 | 15.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.16 | 5.68 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 63 | 270 | 35 | 11 | 16 | 76% | 3.7 | 11.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.43 | 7.08 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 63 | 270 | 35 | 11 | 16 | 76% | 3.7 | 13.0% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.43 | 5.81 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 27 | 15 | 13 | 100% | 6.3 | 10.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.02 | 6.02 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 57 | 242 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 100% | 5.7 | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.02 | 6.13 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 51 | 217 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.13 | 6.30 | -1.1 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 3.0 | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.02 | 6.13 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.13 | 6.30 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33% | 3.0 | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.46 | 5.54 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 14 | 200 | 877 | 111 | 67 | 44 | 23% | 3.4 | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.46 | 5.54 | -0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 129 | 81 | 468 | 2035 | 270 | 107 | 108 | 63% | 3.6 | 13.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.03 | 5.57 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 35 | 200 | 869 | 115 | 46 | 46 | 63% | 3.6 | 13.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.03 | 5.57 | -0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Randy Wynne (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.02 | 10.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | — | 6.21 | 11.1% | 4.4% | 109 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Rolando Valdez R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.15 | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 258 | 69 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.95 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 104 | 67 |
| Sergio Valenzuela R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.47 | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 244 | 66 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.40 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 300 | 66 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2024 · 5.44 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.44 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.44 | 117 | 65 |
| Thad Weber R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.86 | 13.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 363 | 65 |
| Elih Villanueva R 2024 · 5.43 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.43 | 14.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | .365 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 225 | 62 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.48 | 15.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 133 | 59 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2029 · 5.02 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.02 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | .282 | 4.48 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.54 | 4.48 | 156 | 58 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2025 · 6.21 FIP | 32 | SW | 6.21 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 4.2% | .316 | 4.21 | 21.3% | 16.2% | 15 | -2.00 | 3.49 | 212 | 57 |
| David Fletcher R 2023 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 54 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 53 |
| Dan Straily R 2026 · 6.38 FIP | 33 | SP- | 6.38 | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.9% | .269 | 5.59 | 18.8% | 7.7% | 79 | -0.79 | 3.42 | 890 | 52 |
| Kris Medlen R 2025 · 5.11 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.11 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.66 | 261 | 51 |
| Iván Nova R 2026 · 6.26 FIP | 33 | SP | 6.26 | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 810 | 51 |
| Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.30 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 4.3% | .277 | 4.87 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 198 | -0.43 | 3.63 | 885 | 50 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.91 | 12.0% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .320 | 6.50 | 11.0% | 1.8% | 66 | +1.59 | 4.23 | 325 | 50 |
| Scott Carroll R 2025 · 6.06 FIP | 32 | SP | 6.06 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 248 | 49 |
| Jesse Estrada R 2026 · 5.69 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.69 | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | .285 | 4.91 | 14.4% | 7.8% | 85 | -0.78 | 3.71 | 257 | 49 |
| Tyson Ross R 2025 · 5.80 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.80 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 449 | 49 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 10.8% | 6.3% | 1.96 | 6.05 |
| Adam Plutko ('21) | 4 | 68 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 2.17 | 5.37 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Phil Hughes ('18) | 4 | 75 | 15.2% | 4.0% | 1.89 | 5.18 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Paolo Espino ('22) | 3 | 82 | 19.4% | 5.6% | 1.82 | 4.70 |