Randy Wynne
P
Louisville Bats
+0.0
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
AAA
ERA5.63
FIP5.63
xFIP5.22
SIERA4.12
K%15.6%
BB%6.5%
K-BB%9.1%
IP64
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF3030
CTRL7070
CMD4040
K†3030
CH (13%)
CT (19%)
SI (51%)
CU (11%)
SL (6%)
FB-0.7 (51%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 26 | A | Dayton Dragons | 4 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 20.7% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.50 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 25 | 14 | 89 | 388 | 67 | 11 | 13 | 14.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.94 | 4.62 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 26 | 22 | 133 | 578 | 85 | 34 | 28 | 12.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.75 | 5.22 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 30 | 13 | 76 | 348 | 49 | 20 | 26 | 12.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.48 | 7.26 | -1.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 27 | 18 | 93 | 393 | 62 | 26 | 22 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.16 | 5.80 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 17 | 13 | 63 | 270 | 35 | 11 | 16 | 11.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.43 | 6.62 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 36 | 17 | 13 | 13.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.81 | 5.81 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 36 | 17 | 12 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.72 | 5.77 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 58 | — | 58 | 243 | 34 | 17 | 11 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.71 | 5.78 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 32 | 17 | 11 | 14.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.76 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 129 | 81 | 468 | 2035 | 270 | 107 | 114 | 13.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.03 | 5.73 | -2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 35 | 200 | 869 | 115 | 46 | 49 | 13.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.03 | 5.73 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Randy Wynne (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.81 | 13.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | — | 5.80 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 172 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.34 | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | .318 | 4.07 | 23.7% | 15.5% | 155 | -1.27 | 3.13 | 244 | 78 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2029 · 4.85 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.85 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.54 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.31 | 4.54 | 156 | 78 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 76 |
| Raul Barron R 2026 · 5.95 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.95 | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 201 | 76 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.78 | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .270 | 5.04 | 8.9% | 0.0% | 51 | +0.26 | 4.78 | 160 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 75 |
| Casey Fien R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.87 | 15.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 136 | 75 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.39 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 148 | 74 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 73 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.70 | 10.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 152 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 72 |
| Sergio Valenzuela R 2025 · 5.63 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.63 | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 244 | 72 |
| Barry Enright R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.95 | 13.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 315 | 71 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.41 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 176 | 71 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.63 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 5.47 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.84 | 4.63 | 172 | 70 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.36 | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 258 | 69 |
| Scott Carroll R 2025 · 5.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.63 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.96 | 248 | 69 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SW | 5.28 | 14.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 424 | 69 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.52 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 3.5% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 117 | 69 |
| Elih Villanueva R 2024 · 5.50 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.50 | 14.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | .365 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 225 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.