Robert Stephenson
P
Los Angeles Angels
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA3.67
FIP4.05
xFIP4.19
SIERA3.65
K%26.3%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%17.6%
IP47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
K†6565
CT+0.5 (76%)
FB (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 25 | 25 | 134 | 567 | 140 | 70 | 10 | 20.6% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 3.83 | 4.16 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 32 | 32 | 174 | 761 | 151 | 89 | 26 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 4.77 | 5.29 | +0.0 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 33 | 18 | 125 | 544 | 131 | 63 | 20 | 23.1% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.39 | 4.59 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 24 | 23 | 125 | 530 | 146 | 66 | 14 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 3.47 | 4.24 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 59 | 0 | 67 | 272 | 84 | 21 | 9 | 30.9% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 3.78 | 3.32 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 8 | — | — | — | 9.90 | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 50 | 1 | 47 | 203 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 26.4% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 3.45 | 3.22 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 59 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 55 | 13 | 10 | 22.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.34 | 4.28 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 64 | 0 | 56 | 221 | 83 | 19 | 9 | 38.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.40 | 2.82 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 20 | 0 | 18 | 72 | 19 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 3.50 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 14 | — | 14 | 60 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 28.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 3.63 | 3.91 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 53 | 17 | 6 | 27.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 3.88 | 4.05 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 48 | 16 | 6 | 27.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.07 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 26.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.25 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 37 | MLB | CIN | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 39 | 15 | 6 | 25.5% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 4.42 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 38 | MLB | CIN | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 35 | 14 | 5 | 24.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 4.60 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 376 | 99 | 814 | 3463 | 819 | 375 | 121 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 4.18 | 4.39 | +8.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 24 | 200 | 851 | 201 | 92 | 30 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 4.18 | 4.39 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Stephenson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.91 | 28.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.20 | 27.1% | 18.0% | 126 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bard R 2028 · 2.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.86 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.60 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.74 | 2.45 | 200 | 83 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 73 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 73 |
| C.C. Lee R 2024 · 3.02 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.02 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 121 | 71 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 71 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 69 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 69 |
| Kodai Senga R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.69 | 29.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 305 | 69 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.54 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .308 | 4.43 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.89 | 3.54 | 348 | 69 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 69 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 33.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 291 | 69 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 2.77 FIP | 33 | SW | 2.77 | 32.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .244 | 3.72 | 32.0% | 24.0% | 12 | +0.95 | 2.00 | 494 | 68 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.12 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .358 | 4.15 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +1.03 | 3.12 | 352 | 68 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 67 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 2.86 FIP | 33 | SW | 2.86 | 25.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.85 | 26.8% | 18.2% | 43 | +0.99 | 2.56 | 268 | 66 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 66 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2024 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 66 |
| Ryan Madson R 2027 · 2.94 FIP | 34 | SW | 2.94 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .244 | 2.97 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.03 | 1.43 | 240 | 66 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.61 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .335 | 2.56 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -1.05 | 2.56 | 144 | 66 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.