Robert Stephenson

Robert Stephenson P Los Angeles Angels

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs MLB peak 1.0 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA3.97

FIP4.01

K%27.6%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%18.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6565

CT+0.5 (76%)

FB (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	134	567	140	70	10	100%	5.4	20.6%	13.3%	7.3%	2.0%	3.83	4.16	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	134	567	140	70	10	100%	5.4	24.7%	12.3%	12.3%	1.8%	3.83	3.55	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	32	174	761	151	89	26	100%	5.4	18.0%	12.2%	5.8%	3.9%	4.77	5.26	-0.7
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	32	174	761	151	89	26	100%	5.4	19.8%	11.7%	8.1%	3.4%	4.77	4.84	+0.1
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	18	125	544	131	63	20	55%	3.8	23.1%	11.7%	11.4%	3.6%	4.39	4.61	+0.4
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	18	125	544	131	63	20	55%	3.8	24.1%	11.6%	12.5%	3.7%	4.39	4.60	+0.4
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	125	530	146	66	14	96%	5.2	24.5%	13.0%	11.5%	2.9%	3.47	4.25	+0.9
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	125	530	146	66	14	96%	5.2	27.5%	12.5%	15.1%	2.6%	3.47	3.81	+1.6
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	67	272	84	21	9	0%	1.1	30.9%	7.6%	23.3%	3.2%	3.78	3.20	+1.1
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	0	67	272	84	21	9	0%	1.1	30.9%	7.7%	23.2%	3.3%	3.78	3.28	+1.0
2020	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	10	0	10	43	13	3	8	0%	1.0	30.2%	7.0%	23.3%	18.6%	9.90	11.64	-0.8
2020	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	10	0	10	43	13	3	8	0%	1.0	30.2%	7.0%	23.3%	18.6%	9.90	11.80	-0.8
2021	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	1	47	203	53	19	5	2%	0.9	26.4%	9.1%	17.3%	2.3%	3.45	3.26	+0.7
2021	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	1	47	203	53	19	5	2%	0.9	26.1%	9.4%	16.7%	2.5%	3.45	3.44	+0.6
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	59	250	55	13	10	0%	1.0	22.3%	5.3%	17.0%	4.4%	5.34	4.29	+0.2
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	0	59	250	55	13	10	0%	1.0	22.0%	5.2%	16.8%	4.0%	5.34	4.10	+0.3
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	56	221	83	19	9	0%	0.9	38.3%	7.0%	31.3%	4.1%	3.40	2.99	+1.0
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	56	221	83	19	9	0%	0.9	38.3%	7.0%	31.3%	4.1%	3.40	2.99	+1.0
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	56	221	83	19	9	0%	0.9	37.6%	8.6%	29.0%	4.1%	3.40	3.24	+0.9
2024	31	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0%	—	0.0%	100.0%	-100.0%	0.0%	—	15.77	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0%	—	0.0%	100.0%	-100.0%	0.0%	—	15.77	—
2024	31	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0%	—	0.0%	100.0%	-100.0%	0.0%	—	—	—
2025	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	18	72	19	3	4	0%	0.9	26.4%	4.2%	22.2%	5.6%	3.50	4.45	+0.0
2025	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	18	72	19	3	4	0%	0.9	26.4%	4.2%	22.2%	5.6%	3.50	4.45	+0.0
2025	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	0	18	72	19	3	4	0%	0.9	26.4%	4.2%	22.2%	5.6%	3.50	4.38	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			283	22	374	1608	416	147	64	8%	1.3	25.9%	9.1%	16.7%	4.0%	4.59	4.28	+1.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	LAA	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	27.6%	8.8%	18.8%	3.2%	3.97	4.01	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	LAA	152	0	159	672	179	62	23	0%	1.0	26.7%	9.2%	17.4%	3.5%	4.18	4.31	+0.4
2028	35	MLB MLE	LAA	136	0	143	603	155	59	23	0%	1.1	25.7%	9.8%	15.9%	3.8%	4.46	4.65	-0.2
2027	34	MLB CTX	LAA	151	0	159	671	179	62	24	0%	1.1	26.7%	9.2%	17.4%	3.6%	4.22	4.35	+0.4
2028	35	MLB CTX	LAA	136	0	143	604	155	59	24	0%	1.1	25.7%	9.8%	15.9%	3.9%	4.50	4.69	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		571	22	676	2884	751	268	111	4%	1.2	26.0%	9.3%	16.7%	3.9%	4.49	4.20	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		169	7	200	853	222	79	33	4%	1.2	26.0%	9.3%	16.7%	3.9%	4.49	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		376	99	814	3463	819	375	121	26%	2.2	23.6%	10.8%	12.8%	3.5%	4.18	4.39	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		92	24	200	851	201	92	30	26%	2.2	23.6%	10.8%	12.8%	3.5%	4.18	4.39	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Stephenson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.01	27.6%	8.8%	3.2%	—	4.47	26.2%	16.7%	302	+0.46	—	—	—
Daniel Bard R 2020 · 2.82 FIP	35	SU	2.82	25.5%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	3.63	25.3%	12.0%	175	+0.81	2.56	200	72
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	3.13	352	69
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	64
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	64
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	64
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	5.01	20.8%	10.0%	88	+1.97	2.79	239	64
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	63
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	63
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	63
C.C. Lee R 2018 · 3.03 FIP	31	SU	3.03	34.7%	9.1%	3.1%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	121	61
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	61
Neftalí Feliz R 2021 · 3.61 FIP	33	SU	3.61	33.6%	9.9%	3.8%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	291	61
David Hernandez R 2018 · 2.94 FIP	33	SU	2.94	25.6%	6.3%	2.2%	.240	3.72	26.8%	18.2%	43	+0.78	2.60	268	60
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	60
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	60
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	60
Nate Jones R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	32	SU	4.09	23.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.279	5.85	21.4%	13.8%	38	+1.76	2.57	157	60
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	60
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	60
Bud Norris R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	33	SU	3.65	27.3%	7.3%	3.5%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	316	60

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	154	26.7%	9.2%	1.35	4.19
Triston McKenzie ('24)	2.1	105	26.0%	9.4%	1.52	3.94
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Luis Garcia ('23)	1.7	113	25.5%	7.7%	1.19	3.63
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54