Robert Stephenson
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.7 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 157 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 92
ERA3.98
FIP4.02
K%27.6%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%18.8%
ROS IP157
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 157 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CT+0.5 (76%)
FB (16%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 134 | 567 | 140 | 70 | 10 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.6% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 3.83 | 4.12 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 134 | 567 | 140 | 70 | 10 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.8% | 3.83 | 3.55 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 32 | 174 | 761 | 151 | 89 | 26 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.77 | 5.51 | -0.2 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 32 | 174 | 761 | 151 | 89 | 26 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.84 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 18 | 125 | 544 | 131 | 63 | 20 | 55% | 3.8 | 23.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 4.39 | 4.60 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 18 | 125 | 544 | 131 | 63 | 20 | 55% | 3.8 | 24.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 4.39 | 4.60 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 125 | 530 | 146 | 66 | 14 | 96% | 5.2 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 3.47 | 4.28 | +1.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 125 | 530 | 146 | 66 | 14 | 96% | 5.2 | 27.5% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 2.6% | 3.47 | 3.81 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 67 | 272 | 84 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.9% | 7.6% | 23.3% | 3.3% | 3.78 | 3.24 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 67 | 272 | 84 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.9% | 7.7% | 23.2% | 3.3% | 3.78 | 3.28 | +1.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 7.0% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 9.90 | 11.64 | -0.8 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 7.0% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 9.90 | 11.80 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 47 | 203 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 26.4% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 1.9% | 3.45 | 3.10 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 1 | 47 | 203 | 53 | 19 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 26.1% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 2.5% | 3.45 | 3.44 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 55 | 13 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 5.3% | 17.0% | 4.1% | 5.34 | 4.13 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 55 | 13 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 5.2% | 16.8% | 4.0% | 5.34 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 56 | 221 | 83 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 38.3% | 7.0% | 31.3% | 4.2% | 3.40 | 3.06 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 56 | 221 | 83 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 37.6% | 8.6% | 29.0% | 4.1% | 3.40 | 3.24 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | — | 0.0% | 100.0% | -100.0% | 0.0% | — | 15.77 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | — | 0.0% | 100.0% | -100.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 18 | 72 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.4% | 4.2% | 22.2% | 5.6% | 3.50 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 18 | 72 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.4% | 4.2% | 22.2% | 5.6% | 3.50 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 112 | 0 | 118 | 497 | 137 | 43 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 8.8% | 18.8% | 3.2% | 3.98 | 4.02 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 152 | 0 | 159 | 672 | 179 | 62 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 3.5% | 4.18 | 4.32 | +2.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 136 | 0 | 143 | 603 | 155 | 59 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 3.8% | 4.47 | 4.66 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 120 | 0 | 126 | 534 | 132 | 56 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 4.2% | 4.80 | 5.03 | +0.5 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 151 | 0 | 159 | 671 | 179 | 62 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 3.4% | 4.15 | 4.29 | +2.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 136 | 0 | 143 | 604 | 155 | 59 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 3.8% | 4.43 | 4.62 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 120 | 0 | 126 | 532 | 131 | 55 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 4.76 | 4.99 | +0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 691 | 22 | 803 | 3418 | 882 | 324 | 132 | 3% | 1.2 | 25.8% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 3.9% | 4.50 | 4.24 | +10.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 5 | 200 | 851 | 220 | 81 | 33 | 3% | 1.2 | 25.8% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 3.9% | 4.50 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 376 | 99 | 814 | 3463 | 819 | 375 | 123 | 26% | 2.2 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 4.18 | 4.43 | +9.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 24 | 200 | 851 | 201 | 92 | 30 | 26% | 2.2 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 4.18 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Stephenson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.02 | 27.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.64 | 25.8% | 16.0% | 429 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .358 | 4.13 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +0.98 | 3.15 | 352 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 65 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 64 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 64 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.09 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .305 | 5.10 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.01 | 2.74 | 239 | 64 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 64 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 62 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 62 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 62 |
| C.C. Lee R 2024 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.00 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 121 | 61 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 61 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.97 | 25.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | .240 | 3.77 | 26.8% | 18.2% | 43 | +0.80 | 2.56 | 268 | 61 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 33.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 291 | 61 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2024 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 60 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 60 |
| Ryan Madson R 2027 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 60 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 60 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 60 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 60 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 137 | 26.2% | 9.6% | 1.43 | 4.36 |
| Triston McKenzie ('24) | 4 | 105 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 1.52 | 3.94 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Danny Salazar ('17) | 3 | 142 | 28.1% | 9.0% | 1.12 | 3.79 |
| Chris Archer ('22) | 6 | 164 | 26.9% | 8.3% | 1.21 | 4.10 |
| Kutter Crawford ('24) | 3 | 130 | 23.9% | 7.2% | 1.45 | 4.47 |
| Luis Garcia ('23) | 3 | 113 | 25.5% | 7.7% | 1.19 | 3.63 |