Drew Anderson
P
Detroit Tigers
+0.0
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP4.96
SIERA4.62
K%23.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.2%
IP11
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p2518.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.379
CU (22%)
FB (38%)
SL (7%)
CH-1.8 (32%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 15 | 15 | 70 | 279 | 78 | 22 | 3 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.6% | 2.70 | 3.39 | +1.3 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 22 | 117 | 488 | 95 | 43 | 14 | 15.6% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 3.86 | 4.56 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 20 | 117 | 496 | 95 | 29 | 14 | 17.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.99 | 4.19 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 13 | 11 | 54 | 253 | 46 | 30 | 10 | 15.8% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 5.96 | 6.02 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 40.50 | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 24 | 13 | 93 | 379 | 95 | 35 | 9 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 3.11 | 3.91 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 9 | 0 | 14 | 65 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 3.11 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 6 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.20 | — | — |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.74 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 116 | 81 | 476 | 2017 | 370 | 190 | 61 | 18.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 3.99 | 4.40 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 34 | 200 | 847 | 155 | 80 | 26 | 18.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 3.99 | 4.40 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 21.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.74 | 20.6% | 10.1% | 20 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 85 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.50 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 3.82 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 119 | 83 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 82 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 81 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 80 |
| Bryan Morris R 2024 · 3.68 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.68 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 102 | 80 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.31 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 131 | 79 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 16.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 299 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 79 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.33 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 200 | 78 |
| Jason Urquidez R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.58 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 1.1% | .386 | 1.79 | 25.5% | 20.7% | 90 | -1.79 | 1.25 | 123 | 78 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 77 |
| J.D. Martin R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.85 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .302 | 5.41 | 12.2% | -0.2% | 249 | +0.56 | 4.85 | 289 | 76 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 76 |
| Bobby Parnell R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.55 | 15.2% | 11.3% | 0.6% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 102 | 75 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 75 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.90 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 133 | 75 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.20 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 300 | 75 |
| Jeff Manship R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.