Drew Anderson
P
Detroit Tigers
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION7 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA3.69
FIP3.81
xFIP4.96
SIERA4.62
K%25.1%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%15.5%
IP8
K†5055
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p2518.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.379
CU (22%)
FB (40%)
SL (6%)
CH-1.8 (32%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 15 | 15 | 70 | 279 | 78 | 22 | 3 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 3.54 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 22 | 117 | 488 | 95 | 43 | 14 | 15.6% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 3.86 | 4.36 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 20 | 117 | 496 | 95 | 29 | 14 | 17.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.99 | 4.31 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 13 | 11 | 54 | 253 | 46 | 30 | 10 | 15.8% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 5.96 | 6.65 | -1.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 40.50 | 14.92 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 24 | 13 | 93 | 379 | 95 | 35 | 9 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 3.11 | 3.96 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 9 | 0 | 14 | 65 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 3.11 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 24 | 1 | 43 | 180 | 52 | 16 | 6 | 28.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 3.80 | 3.62 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | DET | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.38 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 134 | 82 | 509 | 2150 | 413 | 199 | 68 | 19.2% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 3.91 | 4.39 | +6.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 32 | 200 | 845 | 162 | 78 | 27 | 19.2% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 3.91 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.54 | 23.5% | 13.5% | 20 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 90 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 88 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 88 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 84 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.44 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | .338 | 4.07 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.63 | 2.73 | 410 | 83 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 83 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 82 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 82 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.20 | 27.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .243 | 3.59 | 28.0% | 21.3% | 157 | -0.61 | 2.49 | 417 | 81 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 80 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 80 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 80 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 79 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 79 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 78 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.89 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.59 | 2.82 | 284 | 77 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.59 | 25.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | .287 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 8.6% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.56 | 290 | 77 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.06 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.48 | 17.6% | 3.6% | 14 | +0.42 | 3.03 | 256 | 77 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.59 | 21.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 14.1% | 92 | +0.73 | 2.80 | 288 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.