Jorge López
P
Washington Nationals
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION38 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.44
FIP4.18
xFIP4.47
SIERA4.20
K%20.9%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%13.0%
IP38
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p1017.1%
K%
p1016.2%
xwOBA vs
p150.354
SL+3.7 (21%)
SI (27%)
CU (17%)
FB (53%)
CH-1.5 (10%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 26 | 153 | 618 | 147 | 57 | 9 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 2.47 | 3.62 | +3.2 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | 25 | 24 | 125 | 582 | 113 | 70 | 17 | 16.5% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 5.78 | 5.02 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 40 | 13 | 106 | 447 | 105 | 37 | 7 | 19.5% | 9.1% | 1.1% | 4.26 | 3.19 | +2.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 43 | 9 | 91 | 397 | 72 | 31 | 11 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 4.18 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 39 | 18 | 124 | 548 | 109 | 42 | 27 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.33 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 10 | 6 | 39 | 174 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 16.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.69 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 33 | 25 | 122 | 555 | 112 | 54 | 21 | 20.2% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 6.07 | 4.56 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 67 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 72 | 26 | 4 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 1.3% | 2.54 | 2.89 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 61 | 0 | 59 | 266 | 49 | 19 | 12 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.95 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 58 | 0 | 58 | 247 | 55 | 19 | 7 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.01 | 3.69 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 26 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 16.0% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 6.57 | 3.10 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 20.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 28 | — | 28 | 117 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 18.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 4.99 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 428 | 121 | 972 | 4238 | 815 | 388 | 122 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.21 | +13.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 25 | 200 | 872 | 168 | 80 | 25 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jorge López (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.18 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.80 | 19.1% | 10.1% | 94 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 71 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2025 · 3.34 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.34 | 18.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.82 | 24.5% | 18.6% | 25 | -0.52 | 2.82 | 316 | 71 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 70 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 70 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 70 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 70 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.48 | 20.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .327 | 2.28 | 26.9% | 20.6% | 86 | -1.20 | 2.23 | 323 | 70 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 69 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .358 | 4.13 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +0.98 | 3.15 | 352 | 69 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 69 |
| Mark Melancon R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% | .357 | 2.85 | 21.9% | 15.5% | 155 | -0.30 | 2.24 | 428 | 69 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 69 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.77 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | .286 | 3.18 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.59 | 2.27 | 426 | 68 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 68 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.44 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .273 | 6.28 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.84 | 3.44 | 155 | 68 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 67 |
| Ryan Madson R 2027 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SW | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 67 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.