Jorge López
P
Washington Nationals
+0.4
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.50
FIP4.22
xFIP4.47
SIERA4.20
K%20.6%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%12.6%
IP38
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p1017.1%
K%
p1016.2%
xwOBA vs
p150.354
SL+3.7 (21%)
SI (27%)
CU (17%)
FB (53%)
CH-1.5 (10%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 26 | 153 | 618 | 147 | 57 | 9 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | 2.47 | 3.71 | +2.8 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | 25 | 24 | 125 | 582 | 113 | 70 | 17 | 16.5% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 5.78 | 5.08 | +0.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 40 | 13 | 106 | 447 | 105 | 37 | 7 | 19.5% | 9.1% | 1.3% | 4.26 | 3.33 | +2.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 43 | 9 | 91 | 397 | 72 | 31 | 11 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.26 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 39 | 18 | 124 | 548 | 109 | 42 | 27 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.33 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 10 | 6 | 39 | 174 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 16.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.69 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 33 | 25 | 122 | 555 | 112 | 54 | 21 | 20.2% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 6.07 | 4.38 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 67 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 72 | 26 | 4 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 2.54 | 2.85 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 61 | 0 | 59 | 266 | 49 | 19 | 12 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.95 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 58 | 0 | 58 | 247 | 55 | 19 | 7 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.01 | 3.74 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 26 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 6.57 | 3.15 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.55 | 4.12 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 20.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 428 | 121 | 972 | 4238 | 815 | 388 | 125 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.25 | +11.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 25 | 200 | 872 | 168 | 80 | 26 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.25 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jorge López (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.12 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.41 | 20.6% | 12.1% | 103 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 73 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 72 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.12 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .358 | 4.15 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +1.03 | 3.12 | 352 | 71 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 71 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 71 |
| Mark Melancon R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% | .357 | 2.80 | 21.9% | 15.5% | 155 | -0.35 | 2.22 | 428 | 70 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .286 | 3.13 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.70 | 2.31 | 403 | 69 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 69 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.82 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 272 | 69 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.61 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .335 | 2.56 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -1.05 | 2.56 | 144 | 68 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2025 · 3.29 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.29 | 18.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.73 | 24.5% | 18.6% | 25 | -0.56 | 2.73 | 316 | 68 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 68 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.18 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.28 | 2.80 | 284 | 68 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2024 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 68 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.53 | 20.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | .327 | 2.11 | 26.5% | 21.0% | 63 | -1.42 | 2.11 | 300 | 67 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 67 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 67 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 67 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.