Hayden Juenger — OGILVIE

Hayden Juenger P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%17.6%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p1014.8%

p107.4%

xwOBA vs

p100.371

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	11	0	20	74	34	4	0	0%	1.8	35.4%	6.2%	29.2%	0.0%	2.70	0.90	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	11	0	20	74	34	4	0	0%	1.8	45.9%	5.4%	40.5%	0.0%	2.70	0.30	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	19	89	361	100	37	18	50%	2.3	23.1%	11.1%	12.0%	5.8%	3.76	5.74	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	19	89	361	100	37	18	50%	2.3	27.7%	10.2%	17.5%	5.0%	3.76	4.74	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	54	5	75	348	92	39	11	9%	1.4	21.9%	10.1%	11.9%	3.8%	6.33	4.61	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	54	5	75	348	92	39	11	9%	1.4	21.9%	10.1%	11.9%	3.8%	6.33	4.61	—
2023	22	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	54	5	75	348	92	39	11	9%	1.4	26.4%	11.2%	15.2%	3.2%	6.33	4.11	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	54	0	69	295	64	26	6	0%	1.3	18.0%	7.9%	10.1%	2.3%	4.19	3.82	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	54	0	69	295	64	26	6	0%	1.3	18.0%	7.9%	10.1%	2.3%	4.19	3.82	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	54	0	69	295	64	26	6	0%	1.3	21.7%	8.8%	12.9%	2.0%	4.19	3.51	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	2	41	179	40	24	4	6%	1.2	17.4%	12.8%	4.6%	3.2%	4.39	5.01	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	2	41	179	40	24	4	6%	1.2	17.4%	12.8%	4.6%	3.2%	4.39	5.01	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	2	41	179	40	24	4	6%	1.2	22.3%	13.4%	8.9%	2.2%	4.39	4.17	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	0	16	81	6	8	0	0%	1.1	7.4%	9.9%	-2.5%	0.0%	9.00	3.85	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Athletics	47	3	56	253	42	23	4	6%	1.2	14.2%	8.5%	5.7%	1.7%	5.43	3.93	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Athletics	47	3	56	253	42	23	4	6%	1.2	14.2%	8.5%	5.7%	1.7%	5.43	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	OAK	32	3	40	172	36	15	4	9%	1.3	20.9%	8.7%	12.2%	2.3%	4.02	3.71	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	OAK	15	0	16	81	6	8	0	0%	1.1	7.4%	9.9%	-2.5%	0.0%	9.00	3.73	+0.2
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	OAK	15	0	16	81	6	8	0	0%	1.1	7.4%	9.9%	-2.5%	0.0%	9.00	3.73	+0.2
ROS	25	MLB MLE	OAK	2	0	2	11	2	1	0	0%	1.2	17.6%	10.0%	7.7%	2.9%	4.48	4.48	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	OAK	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	17.6%	10.0%	7.7%	2.9%	4.48	4.48	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	59	264	44	24	4	—	—	16.6%	9.1%	7.5%	1.6%	5.39	3.96	+0.4
FULL	25	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	18	78	44	24	4	—	—	56.2%	30.8%	25.4%	5.5%	17.15	5.29	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	OAK	59	0	62	261	47	26	7	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.1%	7.9%	2.6%	4.69	4.66	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	OAK	58	0	61	257	47	26	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.1%	8.3%	2.7%	4.67	4.67	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56	0	59	249	45	25	6	0%	1.1	18.0%	10.1%	7.9%	2.6%	4.69	4.66	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55	0	58	245	45	25	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.1%	8.3%	2.7%	4.67	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		128	0	135	584	97	59	13	0%	1.1	16.7%	10.0%	6.6%	2.3%	5.19	4.21	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	864	144	87	19	0%	1.1	16.7%	10.0%	6.6%	2.3%	5.19	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		239	29	350	1510	306	147	51	12%	1.5	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.4%	4.68	4.48	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	17	200	863	175	84	29	12%	1.5	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.4%	4.68	4.48	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hayden Juenger (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	18.8%	10.3%	3.0%	—	4.66	18.2%	8.1%	123	-0.16	—	—	—
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	89
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	88
Carlos Alvarado R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.3%	10.0%	3.5%	.342	4.15	24.3%	14.8%	78	-0.75	2.68	102	87
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	87
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	86
Alex Palsha R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	25	SU	3.95	16.0%	10.9%	1.5%	.293	3.40	12.8%	1.8%	17	-0.55	3.40	134	85
Bubba Hall R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SU	4.30	15.2%	10.9%	2.0%	.237	3.19	20.2%	13.9%	68	-1.11	3.19	101	85
Raul Fernandez R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	14.2%	9.4%	1.7%	.285	4.79	16.1%	5.0%	103	+0.76	4.03	165	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	84
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	84
Luis De La O R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.0%	9.4%	2.8%	.370	3.72	15.3%	10.8%	81	-0.65	3.25	145	84
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	84
Ronald Peña R 2017 · 3.72 FIP	25	SU	3.72	15.9%	10.0%	1.3%	.351	4.36	22.0%	9.9%	101	+0.64	3.72	187	84
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	198	84
Jason Ruffcorn R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	25	SU	4.02	17.8%	10.7%	1.9%	.315	4.20	18.5%	8.7%	173	+0.18	4.01	280	84
Nick Richmond R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	17.6%	10.8%	2.1%	.323	4.54	15.7%	2.7%	60	+0.43	3.11	133	84
Michael Flynn R 2022 · 3.89 FIP	25	SW	3.89	14.2%	8.4%	1.7%	.362	4.45	24.0%	13.5%	98	+0.56	3.89	168	84
Scott Oberg R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	17.0%	11.2%	3.4%	.273	2.92	22.8%	15.6%	188	-2.04	2.54	302	84
Brad Schreiber R 2016 · 4.06 FIP	25	SU	4.06	16.5%	7.9%	2.5%	.304	4.23	17.3%	4.6%	57	+0.17	3.81	171	84
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	25	SU	4.59	15.1%	10.4%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	218	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	18.3%	10.1%	1.04	4.71
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58