Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 11 | 0 | 20 | 74 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 35.4% | 6.2% | 29.2% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 0.90 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 11 | 0 | 20 | 74 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 45.9% | 5.4% | 40.5% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 0.30 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 19 | 89 | 361 | 100 | 37 | 18 | 50% | 2.3 | 23.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 3.76 | 5.74 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 19 | 89 | 361 | 100 | 37 | 18 | 50% | 2.3 | 27.7% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 5.0% | 3.76 | 4.74 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 54 | 5 | 75 | 348 | 92 | 39 | 11 | 9% | 1.4 | 23.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 6.33 | 4.92 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 54 | 5 | 75 | 348 | 92 | 39 | 11 | 9% | 1.4 | 26.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 3.2% | 6.33 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 54 | 0 | 69 | 295 | 64 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 3.91 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 54 | 0 | 69 | 295 | 64 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 2.0% | 4.19 | 3.51 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 2 | 41 | 179 | 40 | 24 | 4 | 6% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.39 | 5.58 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 2 | 41 | 179 | 40 | 24 | 4 | 6% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 4.39 | 4.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 48 | 4 | 56 | 242 | 59 | 24 | 2 | 8% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 0.9% | 3.56 | 2.99 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TOR | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TOR | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 74 | 318 | 75 | 32 | 4 | — | — | 23.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 1.4% | 3.87 | 3.44 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 20 | 84 | 75 | 32 | 4 | — | — | 89.0% | 38.6% | 50.5% | 5.2% | 14.30 | 3.32 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 28 | 0 | 30 | 125 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 5.16 | 4.47 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 851 | 171 | 96 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 5.16 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 240 | 30 | 349 | 1499 | 334 | 164 | 52 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 4.38 | 4.49 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 17 | 200 | 858 | 191 | 94 | 30 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 4.38 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hayden Juenger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.76 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 30 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 86 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 83 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 83 |
| Will Latcham R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 134 | 83 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 83 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 83 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.0% | .323 | 4.34 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 142 | 83 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 83 |
| Carlos Alvarado R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 16.3% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .342 | 4.48 | 24.3% | 14.8% | 78 | -0.52 | 2.72 | 102 | 83 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 83 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.21 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 152 | 82 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .273 | 3.78 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.57 | 2.30 | 208 | 82 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 82 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 82 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.23 | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.45 | 19.6% | 9.2% | 141 | +0.22 | 3.97 | 248 | 81 |
| Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 18.8% | 12.0% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 321 | 81 |