Cesar Gomez P Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.07
FIP5.07
K%18.0%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
K: -1.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -2.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.24 (39 IP)-0.2WAR
-0.2-0.32627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202123MIX2 levels2213874057631759%3.914.0%9.0%5.0%1.7%5.823.97
202123MIX2 levels2213874057631759%3.918.8%7.7%11.1%1.7%5.823.47
202224MIX2 levels26149942595281454%3.817.4%7.5%9.9%4.2%4.834.90
202224MIX2 levels26149942595281454%3.822.4%6.6%15.8%3.3%4.833.87
202325MIX2 levels43048240412880%1.114.1%12.8%1.3%3.0%7.265.16
202325MIX2 levels43048240412880%1.117.1%11.7%5.4%3.3%7.265.29
202426MIX2 levels34249214412056%1.415.8%10.0%5.8%3.0%4.044.69
202426MIX2 levels34249214412056%1.419.2%9.3%9.8%2.3%4.043.98
202527MIX2 levels2686327246231031%2.414.2%9.1%5.2%4.1%5.605.27
202527MIX2 levels2686327246231031%2.416.9%8.5%8.5%3.7%5.604.81
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBARI38040167301660%1.018.0%9.8%8.2%3.4%5.075.07-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBARI36038160291660%1.018.3%10.0%8.3%3.5%5.085.13-0.3
202729MLBARI11012519520%1.118.3%10.0%8.3%3.5%5.085.13-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11012509520%1.118.3%10.0%8.3%3.5%5.084.75-0.0
/ 200 IP190020084415285340%1.118.3%10.0%8.3%3.5%5.084.75+1.5
Career1513734515562371454925%2.315.2%9.3%5.9%3.2%5.454.73+2.7
/ 200 IP8721200901137842925%2.315.2%9.3%5.9%3.2%5.454.73+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Cesar Gomez (OGILVIE) 5.07 18.0%9.8%3.4% 5.13 18.3%8.3%38 +0.06
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 28 SW 4.72 19.2%8.2%4.0%.311 5.88 16.9%4.6%74 +1.16 3.33 258 81
Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 81
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 81
Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 80
Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 80
Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP 29 SW 4.73 13.8%5.9%3.7%.332 4.45 11.2%7.2%74 -0.28 4.45 135 79
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 79
Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP 27 SU 5.26 17.1%11.2%4.0%.326 3.66 109 78
Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 28 SW 5.49 15.9%7.4%5.1%.244 5.53 11.2%2.3%115 +0.04 4.54 224 77
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.28 FIP 30 SW 4.28 12.4%6.9%2.5%.288 4.99 11.4%1.3%125 +0.71 3.49 212 77
Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 28 SW 3.90 16.0%7.8%2.1%.298 3.37 23.2%16.5%145 -0.53 2.22 385 76
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 28 SU 4.21 16.6%12.5%1.7%.302 5.16 16.9%5.7%194 +0.95 4.21 265 76
Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 75
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 75
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 75
Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 28 SW 4.00 17.5%9.8%2.1%.313 3.74 21.7%14.1%336 -0.26 3.02 1,507 75
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 75
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 28 SU 5.09 15.3%12.2%3.2%.347 3.42 173 74
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 74
Fernando Cruz R 2023 · 5.41 FIP 25 SU 5.41 15.6%12.2%3.8%.284 2.52 356 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23918.2%9.9%1.345.07
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86