Carlos Lequerica
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 198 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141131vR 122
ERA5.41
FIP5.41
K%14.2%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%2.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 2.57 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 25.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 2.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 42 | 170 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 3.46 | 3.84 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 42 | 170 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.9% | 7.6% | 18.2% | 1.2% | 3.46 | 2.55 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 43 | 0 | 54 | 216 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.35 | 4.61 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 43 | 0 | 54 | 216 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 2.35 | 3.44 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 24 | 0 | 36 | 160 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.00 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.41 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.2% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | DET | — | — | 106 | 456 | 82 | 53 | 14 | — | — | 18.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 5.61 | 5.47 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.2% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 47 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | DET | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 48 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | DET | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 47 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | DET | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 30 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | DET | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 35 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 86 | 62 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.22 | 4.85 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 139 | 100 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.22 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 135 | 562 | 95 | 63 | 15 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.74 | 4.60 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 149 | 0 | 200 | 835 | 141 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.74 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carlos Lequerica (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.41 | 14.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | — | 5.23 | 16.3% | 4.5% | 206 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 89 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 188 | 89 |
| Justin Camp R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 88 |
| El'Hajj Muhammad R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .285 | 5.19 | 7.1% | -2.5% | 11 | +0.48 | 4.65 | 113 | 87 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.49 | 15.1% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 218 | 87 |
| Tyler Burch R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.70 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 119 | 86 |
| Confesor Lara R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 86 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .273 | 2.80 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -1.91 | 2.42 | 302 | 86 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 86 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 15.1% | 12.1% | 1.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 145 | 85 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 84 |
| Philip Walby R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.33 | 12.7% | 12.0% | 1.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 137 | 84 |
| Zach Barnes R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.81 | 15.3% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .350 | 5.60 | 13.3% | -10.1% | 14 | +0.79 | 4.81 | 145 | 84 |
| Scott Griggs R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 11.3% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.01 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 112 | -1.07 | 3.06 | 176 | 83 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .267 | 3.96 | 14.1% | 5.7% | 37 | -0.29 | 3.96 | 198 | 83 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 83 |
| Merrick Baldo R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.55 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.57 | 14.7% | 8.1% | 38 | -0.98 | 2.69 | 154 | 83 |
| Zach Nuding R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 83 |
| Rob Huber R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 83 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 1.6% | .279 | 4.38 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 167 | -0.26 | 4.02 | 328 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 15.8% | 11.9% | 1.14 | 5.27 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |