Carlos Lequerica

Carlos Lequerica P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 198 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.54

FIP5.54

K%16.3%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%3.1%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	5	0	3	16	4	2	0	0%	0.7	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	5.40	2.57	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	5	0	3	16	4	2	0	0%	0.7	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	5.40	2.50	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	42	170	44	13	2	0%	1.5	16.3%	10.0%	6.2%	1.7%	3.46	3.92	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	42	170	44	13	2	0%	1.5	16.3%	10.0%	6.2%	1.7%	3.46	3.92	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	42	170	44	13	2	0%	1.5	25.9%	7.6%	18.2%	1.2%	3.46	2.55	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	43	0	54	216	42	21	3	0%	1.2	15.0%	11.2%	3.8%	2.0%	2.35	4.37	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	43	0	54	216	42	21	3	0%	1.2	15.0%	11.2%	3.8%	2.0%	2.35	4.37	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	43	0	54	216	42	21	3	0%	1.2	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	1.4%	2.35	3.44	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	29	0	42	191	48	21	8	0%	1.5	19.4%	12.6%	6.7%	5.2%	6.59	5.94	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	29	0	42	191	48	21	8	0%	1.5	19.4%	12.6%	6.7%	5.2%	6.59	5.94	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	29	0	42	191	48	21	8	0%	1.5	25.1%	11.0%	14.1%	4.2%	6.59	4.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	DET	57	0	60	253	41	34	8	0%	1.1	16.3%	13.2%	3.1%	3.2%	5.54	5.54	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	56	0	59	247	42	32	8	0%	1.0	17.0%	12.9%	4.1%	3.2%	5.44	5.45	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	DET	54	0	57	240	42	31	8	0%	1.1	17.4%	12.8%	4.6%	3.3%	5.41	5.45	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	20	0	21	89	15	11	3	0%	1.1	17.0%	12.9%	4.1%	3.2%	5.44	5.45	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	DET	31	0	33	139	24	18	5	0%	1.1	17.4%	12.8%	4.6%	3.3%	5.41	5.45	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	232	40	30	8	0%	1.1	17.2%	12.8%	4.4%	3.3%	5.42	5.07	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	146	109	29	0%	1.1	17.2%	12.8%	4.4%	3.3%	5.42	5.07	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		105	0	141	593	101	67	17	0%	1.3	17.0%	11.4%	5.7%	2.9%	4.02	4.70	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	0	200	841	143	96	24	0%	1.3	17.0%	11.4%	5.7%	2.9%	4.02	4.70	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Lequerica (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.54	16.3%	13.2%	3.2%	—	5.45	17.2%	4.3%	115	-0.09	—	—	—
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	91
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	91
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	89
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	86
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	86
Jake Johansen R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	26	SU	4.65	15.9%	12.1%	2.5%	.273	3.65	12.8%	4.9%	48	-1.00	3.65	162	86
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	85
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	85
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	85
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	85
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	84
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	84
Chris Jefferson R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	16.6%	11.8%	2.3%	.333	5.65	16.4%	2.8%	46	+1.20	3.53	140	84
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	83
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	83
Daniel Webb R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	15.7%	13.4%	2.0%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	126	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Todd Peterson R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	14.7%	11.2%	2.1%	.289	5.37	12.8%	-2.3%	21	+0.92	4.45	175	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	16.9%	13.0%	1.26	5.46
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52