Todd Peterson
P
Harrisburg Senators
+0.1
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 230 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.5%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%8.7%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 20 | 3 | 35 | 154 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 3.82 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 14 | 0 | 18 | 79 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.09 | 5.62 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 42 | 0 | 56 | 247 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 13.7% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 42 | 2 | 51 | 228 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 14.7% | 11.2% | 2.1% | 3.91 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 23 | 0 | 27 | 136 | 22 | 20 | 3 | 12.8% | 15.1% | 2.6% | 7.33 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 28 | — | 28 | 119 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 19.5% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 142 | 5 | 188 | 854 | 131 | 95 | 27 | 15.3% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.83 | 4.93 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 151 | 5 | 200 | 907 | 139 | 101 | 29 | 15.3% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.83 | 4.93 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Todd Peterson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 19.5% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.77 | 19.7% | 9.1% | 28 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 88 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 87 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 86 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 83 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 82 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 82 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.47 | 3.01 | 115 | 82 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 81 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.87 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 22 | +0.86 | 2.78 | 312 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 81 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 80 |
| Guido Knudson R 2024 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 106 | 80 |
| Bayden Root R 2024 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 102 | 80 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.10 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.09 | 3.18 | 253 | 80 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 80 |
| Scott Griggs R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.07 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 176 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.