Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 20 | 79 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.5% | 7.9% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 1.77 | 1.18 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 20 | 79 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 49.4% | 6.3% | 43.0% | 0.0% | 1.77 | 0.00 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 55 | 240 | 56 | 28 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.73 | 5.85 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 55 | 240 | 56 | 28 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 5.73 | 4.95 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 43 | 188 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.69 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 43 | 188 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 1.6% | 4.15 | 3.47 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 2 | 54 | 249 | 57 | 26 | 2 | 5% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 4.36 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 2 | 54 | 249 | 57 | 26 | 2 | 5% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 0.8% | 4.36 | 2.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 30 | 0 | 34 | 138 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 1.7% | 3.21 | 3.38 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 65 | 270 | 67 | 26 | 5 | — | — | 24.8% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 3.79 | 3.88 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.40 | 4.02 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 0 | 30 | 126 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.49 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.13 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 80 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 175 | 2 | 206 | 894 | 181 | 94 | 23 | 1% | 1.2 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 4.24 | 4.11 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 2 | 200 | 868 | 175 | 91 | 22 | 1% | 1.2 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 4.24 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kenyon Yovan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 2.5% | — | 4.54 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 30 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 88 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 86 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 86 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 86 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 86 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 86 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 85 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 85 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 85 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 84 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 83 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 83 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.77 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 187 | +0.34 | 2.67 | 333 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.39 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.08 | 3.39 | 162 | 83 |
| Chris Martin R 2027 · 3.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.28 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .319 | 3.06 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.22 | 1.76 | 416 | 83 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 82 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 82 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 1.01 | 4.45 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |