Kenyon Yovan — OGILVIE

Kenyon Yovan P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 221 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%18.2%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP31

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	20	79	39	5	0	0%	1.2	34.5%	7.9%	26.7%	0.0%	1.77	1.18	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	20	79	39	5	0	0%	1.2	49.4%	6.3%	43.0%	0.0%	1.77	0.00	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	55	240	56	28	10	0%	1.1	18.4%	11.7%	6.7%	5.0%	5.73	5.77	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	55	240	56	28	10	0%	1.1	18.4%	11.7%	6.7%	5.0%	5.73	5.77	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	55	240	56	28	10	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.7%	11.7%	4.2%	5.73	4.95	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	43	188	37	17	3	0%	1.3	14.0%	8.5%	5.5%	2.5%	4.15	4.38	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	43	188	37	17	3	0%	1.3	14.0%	8.5%	5.5%	2.5%	4.15	4.38	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	43	188	37	17	3	0%	1.3	19.7%	9.0%	10.6%	1.6%	4.15	3.47	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	2	54	249	57	26	2	5%	1.2	18.7%	9.4%	9.3%	0.9%	4.36	3.22	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	2	54	249	57	26	2	5%	1.2	18.7%	9.4%	9.3%	0.9%	4.36	3.22	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	2	54	249	57	26	2	5%	1.2	22.9%	10.4%	12.4%	0.8%	4.36	2.91	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	46	0	54	227	67	22	3	0%	1.2	23.9%	10.7%	13.2%	1.6%	2.82	3.30	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	46	0	54	227	67	22	3	0%	1.2	23.9%	10.7%	13.2%	1.6%	2.82	3.30	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	LAA	46	0	54	227	67	22	3	0%	1.2	29.5%	9.7%	19.8%	1.3%	2.82	2.56	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	LAA	28	0	30	126	23	12	3	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.6%	8.8%	2.7%	4.56	4.61	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	LAA	9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.6%	8.8%	2.7%	4.59	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	39	7	4	1	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.6%	8.8%	2.7%	4.59	4.26	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	86	21	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.6%	8.8%	2.7%	4.59	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		191	2	227	983	199	98	23	1%	1.2	20.2%	10.0%	10.3%	2.3%	4.05	3.92	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		169	2	200	867	175	86	20	1%	1.2	20.2%	10.0%	10.3%	2.3%	4.05	3.92	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenyon Yovan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	18.2%	9.4%	2.5%	—	4.61	18.5%	8.8%	30	+0.11	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	93
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	90
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	87
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	86
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	85
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	85
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	84
Bryan Morris R 2015 · 3.48 FIP	28	SU	3.48	17.0%	9.4%	1.1%	.318	4.82	16.7%	5.9%	39	+1.34	3.48	102	84
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Austin Adams R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	18.6%	9.5%	1.4%	.331	3.40	21.1%	15.0%	56	-0.11	3.40	162	84
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	84
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	83
Pedro Beato R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.93	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.46	3.47	295	83
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	18.3%	9.5%	1.00	4.53
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86