Chuck King P Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION75 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132122vR 113
ERA4.99
FIP4.99
K%15.3%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%7.1%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 140 IP
K: -2.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: +0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+0CONTACTSTAM: +19.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+19STAMTotal WAR: +1.80 (140 IP)+1.8WAR
0.0-0.1-0.32628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202426MIX4 levels34141176451513%1.219.4%9.9%9.5%0.9%3.923.21
202426MIX4 levels34141176451513%1.225.6%8.5%17.0%0.6%3.922.33
202527AAReading Fightin Phils2523123535105371892%4.915.9%7.6%8.3%3.8%4.384.79
202527AAReading Fightin Phils2523123535105371892%4.919.6%6.9%12.7%3.4%4.384.19
▸ 2026 Season
202628AAALehigh Valley IronPigs1615753286729594%4.717.8%9.3%8.4%1.7%4.543.70+1.0
ROS28MLBPHI11116527542229100%5.915.3%8.1%7.1%3.2%4.994.99-0.3
ROS28MLBPHI11730521100%7.015.3%8.1%7.1%3.2%4.994.99-0.0
2026 TOT28MLBPHI140603109511418.1%8.5%9.6%2.3%4.754.30+1.8
2026 FULL28MLBPHI72742115.3%8.1%7.1%3.2%4.994.61-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBPHI11116628044249100%6.015.8%8.5%7.4%3.3%5.005.05-0.3
202830MLBPHI10106226342239100%6.216.1%8.8%7.3%3.5%5.085.17-0.4
202729MLBPHI44241011693100%6.015.8%8.5%7.4%3.3%5.005.05-0.1
202830MLBPHI663414423135100%5.716.1%8.8%7.3%3.5%5.085.17-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11116527544249100%5.915.9%8.6%7.3%3.4%5.044.73-0.1
/ 200 IP34342008441357428100%5.915.9%8.6%7.3%3.4%5.044.73+1.6
Career75392401039177892752%3.217.1%8.5%8.5%2.6%4.354.18+3.4
/ 200 IP6232200866148742352%3.217.1%8.5%8.5%2.6%4.354.18+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Chuck King (OGILVIE) 4.99 15.3%8.1%3.2% 5.11 16.0%7.3%128 +0.12
Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 83
Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP 29 SP- 4.77 15.4%6.4%4.0%.261 5.16 17.1%8.6%173 +0.39 4.66 261 83
Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 27 SP- 4.69 14.9%8.8%3.2%.297 4.34 340 82
Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 28 SP- 4.19 11.8%7.6%2.1%.293 4.19 107 81
Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 28 SP- 4.00 20.9%8.8%2.8%.291 3.13 195 80
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP 31 SP- 4.68 8.9%6.6%2.7%.346 4.95 8.4%-0.8%52 +0.27 4.68 104 79
Colin Bates R 2025 · 4.59 FIP 27 SP- 4.59 10.5%6.5%2.9%.301 4.59 111 78
Shawn Haviland R 2027 · 3.93 FIP 29 SP- 3.93 14.6%6.0%2.4%.303 4.49 16.1%8.8%169 +0.56 3.57 283 78
Ivan Zavala R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 28 SP- 4.50 7.0%4.7%2.6%.312 4.84 12.2%4.3%50 +0.34 4.31 209 78
David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP 27 SP- 6.04 14.5%10.3%5.2%.306 4.52 239 77
Kanekoa Texeira R 2027 · 4.12 FIP 29 SP- 4.12 14.5%11.2%1.5%.280 4.05 10.2%-0.2%63 -0.07 4.05 165 77
Jair Jurrjens R 2027 · 4.46 FIP 29 SP- 4.46 10.3%6.9%2.5%.365 4.29 16.3%8.4%54 -0.17 4.29 125 77
Frank Batista R 2024 · 4.33 FIP 26 SP- 4.33 12.1%8.2%2.2%.280 4.33 118 77
Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP 27 SP- 4.65 12.4%8.5%2.8%.322 4.41 18.2%7.6%75 -0.24 4.41 210 77
Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.69 FIP 31 SW 4.69 13.5%6.6%3.5%.315 4.31 11.5%3.2%106 -0.38 4.31 219 76
Luke Irvine R 2025 · 4.17 FIP 27 SP- 4.17 13.4%9.8%1.8%.302 4.17 104 76
Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP 28 SP- 4.38 18.9%6.3%3.8%.333 4.43 14.9%10.1%186 +0.05 3.67 381 76
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 28 SP- 4.54 12.6%5.3%3.3%.289 3.95 15.5%7.0%329 -0.59 3.16 593 76
Mike Augliera R 2023 · 4.28 FIP 25 SP- 4.28 12.0%7.2%2.3%.350 4.28 114 75
Miguel Ruiz R 2027 · 6.00 FIP 29 SP- 6.00 8.8%8.0%4.8%.346 5.44 10.6%-0.4%53 -0.56 5.44 117 75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36615.7%8.5%1.305.02
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
JC Ramírez ('17)38317.0%7.7%1.304.33
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Vance Worley ('17)37715.4%8.5%1.024.73
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20