Chuck King — OGILVIE

Chuck King P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION131 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%15.3%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 137 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	1	41	176	45	15	1	3%	1.2	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	0.8%	3.92	3.17	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	1	41	176	45	15	1	3%	1.2	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	0.8%	3.92	3.17	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	34	1	41	176	45	15	1	3%	1.2	25.6%	8.5%	17.0%	0.6%	3.92	2.33	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	25	23	123	535	105	37	18	92%	4.9	15.9%	7.6%	8.3%	3.9%	4.38	4.86	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	25	23	123	535	105	37	18	92%	4.9	15.9%	7.6%	8.3%	3.9%	4.38	4.86	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	25	23	123	535	105	37	18	92%	4.9	19.6%	6.9%	12.7%	3.4%	4.38	4.19	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	26	25	131	555	103	40	10	96%	5.0	15.4%	6.6%	8.7%	2.0%	4.12	3.73	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	26	25	131	555	103	40	10	96%	5.0	15.4%	6.6%	8.7%	2.0%	4.12	3.73	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	PHI	3	3	13	61	9	4	0	100%	4.3	14.8%	6.6%	8.2%	0.0%	5.54	2.68	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	PHI	23	22	118	494	94	36	10	96%	5.1	19.0%	7.3%	11.7%	2.0%	3.97	3.53	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	PHI	1	1	6	25	4	2	1	100%	5.8	15.3%	8.2%	7.1%	3.3%	5.02	5.02	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	137	580	107	42	11	—	—	18.4%	7.2%	11.2%	1.9%	4.16	3.78	+1.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	66	280	44	24	9	100%	6.0	15.8%	8.5%	7.4%	3.4%	5.02	5.08	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	PHI	10	10	62	263	42	23	9	100%	6.2	16.1%	8.8%	7.2%	3.6%	5.10	5.20	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	PHI	4	4	24	101	16	9	3	100%	6.0	15.8%	8.5%	7.4%	3.4%	5.02	5.08	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	34	144	23	13	5	100%	5.7	16.1%	8.8%	7.2%	3.6%	5.10	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	59	250	40	22	9	100%	5.9	16.0%	8.7%	7.3%	3.5%	5.07	4.77	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	135	74	30	100%	6.0	16.0%	8.7%	7.3%	3.5%	5.07	4.77	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		85	49	296	1266	204	95	33	58%	3.5	16.1%	7.5%	8.7%	2.6%	4.20	4.13	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	33	200	856	138	64	23	58%	3.5	16.1%	7.5%	8.7%	2.6%	4.20	4.13	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chuck King (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	15.3%	8.2%	3.3%	—	5.14	16.0%	7.3%	128	+0.12	—	—	—
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	86
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	83
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	80
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	80
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	80
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	80
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	80
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	79
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	79
David Phelps R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	28	SP	3.94	16.0%	6.8%	2.4%	.299	2.82	29.9%	20.6%	142	-1.12	2.50	373	78
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	78
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	78
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	78
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	78
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	78
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	77
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	77
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	76
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	76
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	15.7%	8.5%	1.32	5.05
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45