Jonathan Hughes — OGILVIE

Jonathan Hughes P Columbus Clingstones

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 196 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%19.0%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	23	13	73	341	57	37	5	57%	3.2	12.9%	12.5%	0.4%	1.8%	5.92	4.60	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	23	13	73	341	57	37	5	57%	3.2	16.7%	10.9%	5.9%	1.5%	5.92	3.95	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	35	0	43	185	36	15	1	0%	1.2	15.0%	9.3%	5.7%	0.8%	3.59	3.44	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	35	0	43	185	36	15	1	0%	1.2	19.5%	8.1%	11.4%	0.5%	3.59	2.77	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	35	0	53	225	50	18	5	0%	1.5	17.1%	9.2%	7.9%	2.7%	3.08	4.31	—
2023	26	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	35	0	53	225	50	18	5	0%	1.5	17.1%	9.2%	7.9%	2.7%	3.08	4.31	—
2023	26	A+ RAW	Rome Braves	35	0	53	225	50	18	5	0%	1.5	22.2%	8.0%	14.2%	2.2%	3.08	3.46	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	34	0	50	208	44	23	1	0%	1.5	17.1%	12.2%	5.0%	0.6%	3.58	3.54	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	34	0	50	208	44	23	1	0%	1.5	17.1%	12.2%	5.0%	0.6%	3.58	3.54	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	34	0	50	208	44	23	1	0%	1.5	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	0.5%	3.58	2.98	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	6	0	10	42	5	5	2	0%	1.7	11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	4.8%	3.60	6.22	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	6	0	10	42	5	5	2	0%	1.7	11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	4.8%	3.60	6.22	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	6	0	10	42	5	5	2	0%	1.7	11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	4.8%	3.60	6.20	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	ATL	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.8%	8.2%	2.7%	4.74	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	ATL	31	0	33	138	26	15	4	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.87	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	10	42	8	5	1	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	8	5	1	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	97	19	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		133	13	229	1001	151	111	17	10%	1.7	15.1%	11.1%	4.0%	1.7%	4.21	4.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	11	200	876	132	97	15	10%	1.7	15.1%	11.1%	4.0%	1.7%	4.21	4.17	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonathan Hughes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	19.0%	10.8%	2.7%	—	4.87	19.1%	8.1%	33	+0.13	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	87
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	85
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	83
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	83
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	82
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	82
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	80
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	79
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	79
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	79
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	79
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	78
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	19.1%	10.9%	1.10	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84