Jacob Latz
P
Texas Rangers
+0.5
WAR
Age 30
LHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.83
FIP4.29
xFIP4.06
SIERA3.49
K%22.8%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%12.0%
IP70
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL3535
CMD4040
K†5555
FB+4.2 (52%)
CH+0.6 (15%)
SL (26%)
CU (7%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 13 | 13 | 61 | 239 | 74 | 25 | 2 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 1.1% | 1.62 | 3.33 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 23 | 20 | 101 | 437 | 123 | 44 | 17 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 4.37 | 4.55 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 19 | 10 | 53 | 243 | 59 | 31 | 12 | 21.4% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 5.77 | 6.22 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 49 | 5 | 70 | 288 | 92 | 32 | 5 | 28.8% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 3.73 | 3.22 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 54 | 1 | 54 | 240 | 53 | 33 | 7 | 20.8% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 42 | 9 | 100 | 415 | 98 | 46 | 8 | 23.0% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 2.69 | 3.69 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 9 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 10 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.54 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | TEX | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 58 | 29 | 6 | 23.9% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 3.95 | 4.40 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 70 | 287 | 68 | 32 | 7 | 23.8% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.55 | 3.66 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 67 | 283 | 66 | 32 | 8 | 23.2% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 4.43 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 61 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 57 | 30 | 7 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 52 | 29 | 7 | 21.2% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 48 | 28 | 7 | 20.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 19.7% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 211 | 59 | 453 | 1918 | 453 | 227 | 55 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 3.61 | 4.18 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 26 | 200 | 846 | 200 | 100 | 24 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 3.61 | 4.18 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Latz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 23.9% | 11.8% | 2.6% | — | 4.55 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 193 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 79 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 76 |
| Brandon Mann L 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 75 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.33 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .245 | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.48 | 3.06 | 244 | 75 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 277 | 74 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 3.03 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.70 | 2.38 | 306 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 73 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 72 |
| Adam Loewen L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.84 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | .287 | 3.62 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.22 | 2.96 | 176 | 72 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.04 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 228 | 71 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.60 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.28 | 1.60 | 309 | 71 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 71 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.54 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% | .268 | 7.97 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.43 | 2.98 | 145 | 70 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 70 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.62 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.46 | 3.62 | 113 | 70 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 70 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.03 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.25 | 3.78 | 127 | 70 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 70 |
| Justin Marks L 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.82 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 324 | 69 |
| Franklin Morales L 2025 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | .271 | 4.03 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.33 | 101 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.