Jacob Latz
P
Texas Rangers
Age 30
LHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 6675vR 84
ERA3.26
FIP3.46
K%25.8%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%16.1%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p7729.5%
K%
p8228.2%
xwOBA vs
p900.249
FB+4.2 (54%)
CH+0.6 (18%)
SL (20%)
CU (9%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.5% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 1.80 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.5% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 1.60 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 61 | 239 | 74 | 25 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 1.62 | 3.28 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 61 | 239 | 74 | 25 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 31.0% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 0.8% | 1.62 | 2.33 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 20 | 101 | 437 | 123 | 44 | 17 | 87% | 4.4 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.37 | 4.49 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 20 | 101 | 437 | 123 | 44 | 17 | 87% | 4.4 | 28.1% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 3.9% | 4.37 | 4.16 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 19 | 10 | 53 | 243 | 59 | 31 | 12 | 53% | 2.8 | 21.4% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.77 | 6.25 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 19 | 10 | 53 | 243 | 59 | 31 | 12 | 53% | 2.8 | 24.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 5.77 | 5.57 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 5 | 70 | 288 | 92 | 32 | 5 | 10% | 1.4 | 28.8% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 1.9% | 3.73 | 3.18 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 5 | 70 | 288 | 92 | 32 | 5 | 10% | 1.4 | 31.9% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 1.7% | 3.73 | 2.77 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 1 | 54 | 240 | 53 | 33 | 7 | 2% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 54 | 1 | 54 | 240 | 53 | 33 | 7 | 2% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 9 | 100 | 415 | 98 | 46 | 8 | 21% | 2.4 | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 2.69 | 3.66 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 9 | 100 | 415 | 98 | 46 | 8 | 21% | 2.4 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 2.69 | 3.56 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 35 | 1 | 45 | 163 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 3% | 1.3 | 28.2% | 5.5% | 22.7% | 1.8% | 1.61 | 2.43 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | TEX | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 3.26 | 3.46 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | TEX | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 3.26 | 3.46 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 70 | 268 | 73 | 19 | 5 | — | — | 27.3% | 7.2% | 20.1% | 2.0% | 2.20 | 2.79 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 70 | 293 | 73 | 19 | 5 | — | — | 24.9% | 6.5% | 18.4% | 1.9% | 2.20 | 2.85 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 67 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 4.16 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 60 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 53 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 64 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 57 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 50 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 304 | 10 | 381 | 1570 | 369 | 158 | 42 | 3% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 3.43 | 3.87 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 5 | 200 | 825 | 194 | 83 | 22 | 3% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 3.43 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 237 | 59 | 486 | 2038 | 489 | 233 | 56 | 25% | 2.1 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 3.48 | 4.03 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 24 | 200 | 838 | 201 | 96 | 23 | 25% | 2.1 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 3.48 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Latz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 23.5% | 12.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.41 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 180 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 72 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 70 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 70 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.70 | 22.5% | 11.9% | 154 | +0.08 | 4.40 | 713 | 69 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 69 |
| Jake Diekman L 2025 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 68 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 67 |
| Adam Loewen L 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 67 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.48 | 29.2% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .308 | 3.86 | 24.0% | 13.5% | 93 | +0.38 | 2.48 | 420 | 66 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.42 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | .202 | 4.09 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.33 | 2.37 | 296 | 65 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 65 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.55 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 3.9% | .261 | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 26 | -0.79 | 3.10 | 137 | 64 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 64 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 64 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 63 |
| Justin Marks L 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.84 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 324 | 62 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.22 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 269 | 62 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 62 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 62 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 62 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 1.08 | 4.23 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |