Mychal Givens — OGILVIE

Mychal Givens P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 36 RHP 6'0" / 250 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.32

FIP4.39

K%23.1%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p6427.5%

p7827.3%

xwOBA vs

p620.300

CH+0.7

SL-0.7

FB-0.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	87	344	117	22	2	0%	1.5	29.6%	6.9%	22.8%	0.6%	1.75	1.77	+3.0
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	87	344	117	22	2	0%	1.5	34.0%	6.4%	27.6%	0.6%	1.75	1.47	+3.3
2016	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	66	0	75	313	96	34	6	0%	1.1	30.7%	10.9%	19.8%	1.7%	3.13	2.84	+1.5
2016	26	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	66	0	75	313	96	34	6	0%	1.1	30.7%	10.9%	19.8%	1.9%	3.13	2.94	+1.4
2017	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	69	0	79	315	88	24	10	0%	1.1	27.9%	7.6%	20.3%	2.9%	2.75	3.28	+1.2
2017	27	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	69	0	79	315	88	24	10	0%	1.1	27.9%	7.6%	20.3%	3.2%	2.75	3.43	+1.0
2018	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	69	0	77	317	79	26	4	0%	1.1	24.9%	8.2%	16.7%	1.1%	3.99	2.66	+1.7
2018	28	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	69	0	77	317	79	26	4	0%	1.1	24.9%	8.2%	16.7%	1.3%	3.99	2.73	+1.7
2019	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	58	0	63	260	86	25	13	0%	1.1	33.1%	9.6%	23.5%	4.5%	4.57	4.00	+0.4
2019	29	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	58	0	63	260	86	25	13	0%	1.1	33.1%	9.6%	23.5%	5.0%	4.57	4.24	+0.2
2020	30	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	22	0	22	93	25	10	5	0%	1.0	26.9%	10.8%	16.1%	4.8%	3.63	4.81	-0.1
2020	30	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	22	0	22	93	25	10	5	0%	1.0	26.9%	10.8%	16.1%	5.4%	3.63	5.11	-0.1
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	1	53	226	56	23	8	2%	0.9	25.0%	10.6%	14.4%	3.0%	3.57	3.98	+0.4
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	1	53	226	56	23	8	2%	0.9	24.8%	10.2%	14.6%	3.5%	3.57	4.25	+0.2
2022	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	2	62	263	73	21	8	3%	1.0	27.3%	8.1%	19.2%	3.1%	3.32	3.51	+0.8
2022	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	2	62	263	73	21	8	3%	1.0	27.8%	8.0%	19.8%	3.0%	3.32	3.44	+0.8
2023	33	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	1	19	90	16	13	2	5%	0.9	17.8%	14.4%	3.3%	2.2%	7.58	4.65	-0.0
2023	33	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	1	19	90	16	13	2	5%	0.9	17.8%	14.4%	3.3%	2.2%	7.58	4.65	-0.0
2023	33	MIX RAW	4 levels	21	1	19	90	16	13	2	5%	0.9	17.8%	14.4%	3.3%	2.2%	7.58	4.84	-0.1
2024	34	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	9	0	11	54	13	5	2	0%	1.3	20.0%	8.3%	11.6%	4.4%	7.94	4.88	—
2024	34	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	9	0	11	54	13	5	2	0%	1.3	20.0%	8.3%	11.6%	4.4%	7.94	4.88	—
2024	34	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	9	0	11	54	13	5	2	0%	1.3	24.1%	9.3%	14.8%	3.7%	7.94	4.42	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			425	1	462	1913	539	174	54	0%	1.1	28.2%	9.1%	19.1%	2.8%	3.47	3.42	+6.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	MIA	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	9.1%	14.0%	3.1%	4.32	4.39	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	MIA	42	0	44	187	41	18	7	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.8%	12.3%	3.5%	4.60	4.79	-0.1
2027	37	MLB CTX	MIA	42	0	44	186	41	18	7	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.8%	12.3%	3.5%	4.60	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		467	1	506	2100	580	192	61	0%	1.1	27.6%	9.2%	18.5%	2.9%	3.57	3.51	+6.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		185	0	200	830	229	76	24	0%	1.1	27.6%	9.2%	18.5%	2.9%	3.57	3.51	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		488	4	548	2275	631	205	55	1%	1.1	27.7%	9.0%	18.7%	2.4%	3.48	3.24	+6.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		178	1	200	830	230	75	20	1%	1.1	27.7%	9.0%	18.7%	2.4%	3.48	3.24	+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mychal Givens (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.39	23.1%	9.1%	3.1%	—	4.79	22.0%	12.3%	44	+0.40	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	86
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	81
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	81
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	81
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	79
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	78
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	77
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	73
Tommy Hunter R 2022 · 3.98 FIP	36	SU	3.98	22.1%	4.5%	4.0%	.292	5.22	18.9%	14.2%	24	+1.24	2.78	316	73
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	73
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	72
Blaine Boyer R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	36	SU	3.24	18.0%	7.6%	1.3%	.341	7.38	8.3%	-0.9%	22	+4.14	3.24	209	71
Daniel Bard R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	36	SU	3.62	26.3%	11.5%	2.3%	.337	3.64	24.6%	10.3%	110	+0.02	2.56	200	71
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	70
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	70
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	70
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	70
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	68
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	48	22.6%	9.4%	1.28	4.45
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Félix Peña ('20)	1.2	62	23.6%	8.3%	1.37	4.46
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21