Diego Castillo P Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 268 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.86
FIP4.93
K%22.2%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%9.3%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -2.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -1.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.24 (54 IP)-0.2WAR
-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.6262829
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6060
CTRL4545
CMD5555
K†5555
SL+1.4 (63%)
CH (2%)
SI (23%)
FB-0.6 (35%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201521ABowling Green Hot Rods509414400%1.99.8%9.8%0.0%0.0%4.823.51
201521ABowling Green Hot Rods509414400%1.99.8%9.8%0.0%0.0%4.823.53
201622MIX2 levels38060265671640%1.618.9%7.1%11.8%1.6%2.983.26
201622MIX2 levels38060265671640%1.625.3%6.0%19.2%1.5%2.982.54
201723MIX2 levels51172294901932%1.426.2%6.9%19.3%1.1%2.762.36
201723MIX2 levels51172294901932%1.430.6%6.5%24.1%1.0%2.761.93
201824MIX2 levels6211833199725718%1.329.2%7.9%21.3%2.4%2.492.93+2.0
201824MIX2 levels6211833199725718%1.330.4%7.8%22.6%2.2%2.492.76+2.2
201925MIX2 levels66670294822389%1.127.9%7.6%20.3%2.9%3.363.30+1.2
201925MIX2 levels66670294822389%1.127.9%7.8%20.1%2.7%3.363.23+1.2
202026MLBTampa Bay Rays2202289231130%1.025.8%12.4%13.5%3.6%1.664.44+0.0
202026MLBTampa Bay Rays2202289231130%1.025.8%12.4%13.5%3.4%1.664.30+0.1
202127MIX2 levels62059236771590%1.032.2%6.4%25.8%4.1%2.733.43+0.8
202127MIX2 levels62059236771590%1.032.6%6.4%26.3%3.8%2.733.23+0.9
202228MIX2 levels60055229541950%0.923.9%8.1%15.8%2.4%4.423.41+0.7
202228MIX2 levels60055229541950%0.923.6%8.3%15.3%2.2%4.423.35+0.8
202329MIX2 levels51156267574072%1.119.5%15.3%4.1%1.9%5.304.41+0.1
202329MIX2 levels51156267574072%1.121.3%15.0%6.4%2.6%5.304.83-0.2
202430MIX2 levels47047219483140%1.021.0%13.7%7.3%2.3%4.984.34+0.1
202430MIX2 levels47047219483140%1.021.9%14.2%7.8%1.8%4.984.14+0.2
202531AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes2002195231240%1.121.3%13.3%8.0%4.5%5.065.44
202531AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes2002195231240%1.124.2%12.6%11.6%4.2%5.065.07
▸ 2026 Season
202632MLBCOL52054230513070%1.022.2%12.9%9.3%3.1%4.864.93-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733MLBCOL48050211452870%1.021.3%13.4%8.0%3.4%5.075.22-0.4
202834MLBCOL43045192392770%1.120.4%13.9%6.6%3.7%5.345.52-0.5
202935MLBCOL39041172332570%1.019.5%14.4%5.1%4.0%5.655.86-0.6
202733MLBCOL1701876161030%1.121.3%13.4%8.0%3.4%5.075.22-0.1
202834MLBCOL140156313920%1.120.4%13.9%6.6%3.7%5.345.52-0.2
202935MLBCOL10011469720%1.119.5%14.4%5.1%4.0%5.655.86-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career307173231327348125406%1.126.3%9.4%16.9%3.0%3.493.72+6.3
/ 200 IP1901120082321677256%1.126.3%9.4%16.9%3.0%3.493.72+3.9
Career484195542348578219564%1.124.6%9.3%15.3%2.4%3.513.51+12.3
/ 200 IP175720084720979204%1.124.6%9.3%15.3%2.4%3.513.51+4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Diego Castillo (OGILVIE) 4.93 22.2%12.9%3.1% 5.51 20.5%6.6%136 +0.58
Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 81
Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 81
Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 81
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 32 SU 3.77 20.4%10.0%2.1%.331 5.83 17.9%3.7%41 +2.06 3.37 170 80
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 79
Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 32 SU 3.89 22.3%9.2%2.8%.247 3.30 23.0%13.8%141 -0.59 2.82 284 77
Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 77
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 32 SU 4.31 23.2%9.2%3.6%.319 2.62 28.5%21.7%186 -1.69 2.01 380 76
Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP 31 SU 4.46 25.1%11.6%3.7%.290 2.30 132 74
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 32 SU 3.94 21.4%8.1%3.0%.292 3.77 19.5%9.5%55 -0.17 3.15 272 74
Luis García R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 32 SU 5.49 20.5%11.5%4.9%.273 2.50 25.7%19.8%112 -2.99 2.40 617 74
Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 33 SU 4.50 16.3%8.6%3.1%.276 4.06 18.5%11.9%128 -0.44 3.92 186 74
Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 32 SU 4.06 23.4%10.9%2.8%.279 6.10 21.4%13.8%38 +2.04 2.54 157 73
Dustin McGowan R 2027 · 5.47 FIP 33 SU 5.47 15.0%14.5%3.3%.300 4.24 20.9%13.0%145 -1.23 3.83 208 72
Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP 32 SU 5.28 20.4%10.1%4.8%.362 4.22 17.0%8.6%21 -1.06 2.90 227 72
Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 72
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 32 SU 4.66 22.8%10.1%4.0%.280 3.59 27.2%17.5%149 -1.07 3.07 363 72
Alan Busenitz R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 32 SU 4.54 19.3%11.1%3.0%.299 4.99 18.3%10.5%92 +0.45 2.86 436 72
Matt Bush R 2026 · 4.74 FIP 32 SU 4.74 17.6%13.0%2.7%.278 2.86 249 71
Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP 31 SU 4.23 15.7%10.7%2.0%.341 3.46 108 71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44821.0%13.6%1.355.20
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72