Jake Diekman
P
New York Mets
Age 39
LHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109119vR 128
ERA4.57
FIP4.81
K%27.0%
BB%14.9%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p7228.7%
K%
p7927.6%
xwOBA vs
p200.348
SL (29%)
FB-2.9 (61%)
CH-3.6 (10%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 73 | 0 | 65 | 286 | 76 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 1.9% | 3.58 | 3.40 | +1.0 |
| 2015 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 73 | 0 | 65 | 286 | 76 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.6% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 1.7% | 3.58 | 3.24 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 66 | 0 | 53 | 221 | 59 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 3.40 | 3.25 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 66 | 0 | 53 | 221 | 59 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 3.40 | 3.27 | +0.8 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 1 | 17 | 67 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 6% | 1.0 | 31.3% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 1.5% | 2.12 | 2.97 | +0.3 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 1 | 17 | 67 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 6% | 1.0 | 31.3% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 1.5% | 2.12 | 2.98 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 71 | 0 | 53 | 243 | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 27.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 1.6% | 4.72 | 3.18 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 71 | 0 | 53 | 243 | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 0.8 | 27.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 1.6% | 4.72 | 3.23 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 76 | 0 | 62 | 282 | 84 | 38 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.8% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 1.1% | 4.65 | 2.90 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 76 | 0 | 62 | 282 | 84 | 38 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.8% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 1.1% | 4.65 | 2.86 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 21 | 0 | 21 | 84 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 36.9% | 13.1% | 23.8% | 1.2% | 0.42 | 2.33 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 21 | 0 | 21 | 84 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 36.9% | 13.1% | 23.8% | 1.2% | 0.42 | 2.35 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 34 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 67 | 0 | 61 | 262 | 83 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.7% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 4.0% | 3.86 | 4.17 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 34 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 67 | 0 | 61 | 262 | 83 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.7% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 3.8% | 3.86 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 35 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 70 | 0 | 58 | 269 | 79 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 35 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 70 | 0 | 58 | 269 | 79 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 4.99 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 63 | 0 | 57 | 243 | 64 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 1.3% | 3.34 | 3.52 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 63 | 0 | 57 | 243 | 64 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 1.2% | 3.34 | 3.49 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 37 | MLB | New York Mets | 43 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 40 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 0.7 | 27.6% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 5.62 | 5.53 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 37 | MLB | New York Mets | 43 | 0 | 32 | 145 | 40 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 0.7 | 27.6% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 5.62 | 5.69 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | NYM | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 61 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | NYM | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 50 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | NYM | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 50 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 599 | 0 | 512 | 2249 | 638 | 306 | 54 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.4% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 4.12 | 3.75 | +9.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 234 | 0 | 200 | 879 | 249 | 120 | 21 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.4% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 4.12 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 567 | 1 | 479 | 2102 | 603 | 279 | 48 | 0% | 0.8 | 28.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 2.3% | 3.95 | 3.60 | +10.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 237 | 0 | 200 | 878 | 252 | 117 | 20 | 0% | 0.8 | 28.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 2.3% | 3.95 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Diekman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 27.0% | 14.9% | 3.2% | — | 5.25 | 25.9% | 10.3% | 46 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.72 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .258 | 4.35 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 50 | +0.63 | 3.72 | 164 | 39 |
| Jason Grilli R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.13 | 32.3% | 12.4% | 4.0% | .264 | 5.63 | 26.1% | 16.3% | 40 | +1.50 | 1.98 | 133 | 35 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.62 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 199 | 34 |
| Daniel Bard R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.81 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 1.7% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 200 | 32 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.08 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 0.9% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 219 | 30 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.77 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 174 | 28 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 225 | 28 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.94 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 119 | 27 |
| Matt Belisle R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.59 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 174 | 22 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.66 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 119 | 15 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.88 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 14 |
| Chris Young R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.65 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 242 | 13 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 5 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 50 | 26.5% | 15.2% | 1.30 | 4.76 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |