Nolan Arenado3B Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 35 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 12.901 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION347 act + 231 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 108111vR 119
AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .323 / .425
PA231
HR7
K%17
BB%7
BABIP288
ISO167
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +4.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +1.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +16.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +2.50+2.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.71.10.40.0262829
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 68 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT68
Whiff%
905.7%
xwOBA
380.295
POWER60
Barrel%
204.4
Avg EV
1286.2
Bat Spd
4871.1
EYE58
Chase%
7726.5%
SPEED38
Sprint
1025.3
DEFENSE70
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1160 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
291
869
wRC+
86
95
R
wOBA
298
310
R
ISO
129
133
BABIP
260
281
R
K%
9.6%
15.2%
◀◀L
BB%
4.5%
6.4%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2013
Service   12.901 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
NTC
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$13M+1.0$8M-$5M
Totals $13M $8M -$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
200918 ROKCasper Ghosts 225209 501102 10262 52 239281321601 81259 124 260 57
200918 ROKCasper Ghosts 225203 611502 16182 52 300357404761 103316 87 337 116
201019 AAsheville Tourists 402385 872918 9761 13 226246369614 143256 192 264 60
201019 AAsheville Tourists 402373 11541112 19521 13 308342520862 212326 135 369 141
201120 A+2 teams 713659 17932239 34911 22 272308504812 232257 135 343 121
201120 A+2 teams 713638 20144326 55671 22 315370516886 201312 98 379 148
201221 AATulsa Drillers 573532 13330113 23857 02 250290383673 133270 154 292 82
201221 AATulsa Drillers 573516 14736112 39587 02 285343428772 143296 107 338 117
201322 MLB2 teams 589554 13333310 26851 22 240275365640 125265 144 280 73 -18 -0 +17 +2 +17 1.7
201322 MLB2 teams 589552 15440413 28811 22 279315437752 158305 145 328 109 +6 -0 +17 +2 +17 4.2
201423 MLB2 teams 487452 11229214 25624 21 248293414707 166257 135 302 89 -6 +0 +5 +2 +14 1.5
201423 MLB2 teams 487452 13136218 25614 21 290333498830 208299 135 360 133 +18 +0 +5 +2 +14 3.9
201524 MLBColorado Rockies 665616 14935332 341104 25 242286464750 222241 175 307 93 -5 -2 +6 +2 +19 2.1
201524 MLBColorado Rockies 665616 17743442 341104 25 287329575903 287284 175 384 152 +39 -2 +6 +2 +19 6.6
201625 MLBColorado Rockies 696618 15428531 681032 23 249326461787 212250 1510 331 112 +9 -1 +15 +2 +20 4.7
201625 MLBColorado Rockies 696618 18235641 681032 23 294366570936 275293 1510 401 165 +51 -1 +15 +2 +20 9.0
201726 MLBColorado Rockies 680607 15935628 621064 32 262334478812 216273 169 341 119 +15 -0 +9 +2 +19 4.6
201726 MLBColorado Rockies 680606 18743737 621064 32 309376586962 277320 169 412 173 +56 -0 +9 +2 +19 8.9
201827 MLBColorado Rockies 673590 14931229 731223 22 253338459797 207270 1811 335 114 +11 -0 +10 +2 +19 4.3
201827 MLBColorado Rockies 673590 17538238 731223 22 297377561938 264314 1811 404 167 +51 -0 +10 +2 +19 8.4
201928 MLBColorado Rockies 662588 15825231 62934 32 269343476819 207269 149 342 120 +15 -0 +17 +2 +19 5.4
201928 MLBColorado Rockies 662588 18531241 62934 32 315384583967 269312 149 415 176 +57 -0 +17 +2 +19 9.7
202029 MLBColorado Rockies 201182 39706 15200 00 214274352626 137206 107 266 62 -9 +0 +5 +1 +6 0.3
202029 MLBColorado Rockies 201182 46908 15200 00 253310434744 181241 107 323 105 +1 +0 +5 +1 +6 1.3
202130 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 653593 15134334 50963 20 255316494810 239249 158 339 117 +13 +0 +9 +2 +19 4.4
202130 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 653593 15134334 50963 20 255316494810 239249 158 350 126 +19 +0 +9 +2 +19 5.0
202231 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 620557 16342130 52727 53 293360533894 241290 128 382 150 +35 -0 +12 +2 +18 6.9
202231 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 620557 16342130 52727 53 293360533894 241290 128 388 155 +39 -0 +12 +2 +18 7.2
202332 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 612560 14926226 411013 33 266320459778 193279 177 330 111 +8 -1 +5 +2 +17 3.2
202332 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 612560 14926226 411013 33 266320459778 193279 177 339 118 +12 -1 +5 +2 +17 3.7
202433 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 635579 15723016 44925 22 271328394722 123295 147 316 100 +0 -0 +9 +2 +18 3.0
202433 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 635578 15723016 44925 22 272328394722 123296 147 321 104 +3 -0 +9 +2 +18 3.3
202534 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 436401 9518112 28493 30 237292377668 140241 116 288 78 -11 +1 +3 +2 +12 0.7
202534 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 436401 9518112 28493 30 237292377668 140241 116 297 85 -7 +1 +3 +2 +12 1.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD35 MLBARI 347309 7517012 29746 30 243320414734 172279 218 318 102 +1 +1 -1 +1 +10 1.2
YTD35 MLBARI 347309 7517012 29746 30 243320414734 172279 218 326 108 +3 +1 -1 +1 +10 1.4
ROS35 MLBARI 100% 231209 541217 17403 20 258323425748 167287 177 333 113 +3 +0 +2 +1 +7 1.3
ROS35 MLBARI 100% 231209 541217 17403 20 258323426749 167289 177 327 108 +2 +0 +2 +1 +7 1.2
FULL35 MLBARI 578518 12929119 461149 50 249321419740 170283 208 322 104 +3 +1 +1 +2 +16 2.4
TOT35 MLBARI 578518 12929119 461149 50 249321419740 170283 208 324 106 +4 +1 +1 +2 +16 2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202736 MLBARI 100% 389353 8719111 28715 20 246311399710 153279 187 320 103 +1 +0 -3 +1 +11 1.1
202837 MLBARI 100% 324294 691419 23614 10 235299381680 146269 197 305 91 -3 +0 -4 +1 +9 0.3
202938 MLBARI 100% 254231 521016 18493 00 225290355645 130259 197 290 80 -6 +0 -6 +1 +7 -0.3
202736 MLBARI 100% 389353 8819112 28715 20 249313411724 161281 187 314 98 -1 +0 -3 +1 +11 0.9
202837 MLBARI 100% 324294 711519 23614 10 241305391696 150271 197 299 87 -5 +0 -4 +1 +9 0.1
202938 MLBARI 100% 254231 521016 18493 00 225290355645 130261 197 284 75 -7 +0 -6 +1 +7 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 87127894 218646138387 663131558 3623 277337492829 215287 158 359 133 +327 -2 +111 +31 +247 73.0
/ 162G 650589 16334329 49984 32 277336492828 216286 158 359 133 +24 -0 +8 +2 +18 5.4
Career 107209769 247952338394 742161069 4434 254311436747 182264 157 319 102 +28 -5 +111 +38 +304 48.7
/ 162G 650592 15032224 45984 32 253310436746 182264 157 319 102 +2 -0 +7 +2 +18 3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
200918 ROKCasper Ghosts 225203 611502 16182 52 300357404761 103316 87 337 116 +4 +0 +6 1.1
201019 AAsheville Tourists 402373 11541112 19521 13 308342520862 212326 135 369 141 +18 -1 +11 2.9
201120 A+Modesto Nuts 583517 15432320 47531 21 298358487845 190293 98 361 135 +23 +0 +17 4.0
201120 INTLSalt River Rafters 130121 471206 8140 01 3884266361.063 248402 116 459 210 +16 -0 +4 2.0
201221 AATulsa Drillers 573516 14736112 39587 02 285343428772 143296 107 338 117 +11 -1 +16 2.7
201322 MLBColorado Rockies 514486 13029410 23721 20 267302405707 138296 144 311 96 -2 +0 +17 +2 +15 3.2
201322 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox 7566 241103 590 02 3644086671.075 303368 127 439 194 +8 -1 +2 0.9
201423 MLBColorado Rockies 467432 12434218 25584 21 287332500832 213294 125 360 134 +18 +0 +5 +2 +13 3.8
201423 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox 2020 7200 030 00 350350450800 100412 150 355 130 +1 +0 +1 0.1
201524 MLBColorado Rockies 665616 17743442 341104 25 287329575903 287284 175 384 152 +39 -2 +6 +2 +19 6.6
201625 MLBColorado Rockies 696618 18235641 681032 23 294366570936 275293 1510 401 165 +51 -1 +15 +2 +20 9.0
201726 MLBColorado Rockies 680606 18743737 621064 32 309376586962 277320 169 412 173 +56 -0 +9 +2 +19 8.9
201827 MLBColorado Rockies 673590 17538238 731223 22 297377561938 264314 1811 404 167 +51 -0 +10 +2 +19 8.4
201928 MLBColorado Rockies 662588 18531241 62934 32 315384583967 269312 149 415 176 +57 -0 +17 +2 +19 9.7
202029 MLBColorado Rockies 201182 46908 15200 00 253310434744 181241 107 323 105 +1 +0 +5 +1 +6 1.3
202130 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 653593 15134334 50963 20 255316494810 239249 158 350 126 +19 +0 +9 +2 +19 5.0
202231 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 620557 16342130 52727 53 293360533894 241290 128 388 155 +39 -0 +12 +2 +18 7.2
202332 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 612560 14926226 411013 33 266320459778 193279 177 339 118 +12 -1 +5 +2 +17 3.7
202433 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 635578 15723016 44925 22 272328394722 123296 147 321 104 +3 -0 +9 +2 +18 3.3
202534 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals 436401 9518112 28493 30 237292377668 140241 116 297 85 -7 +1 +3 +2 +12 1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 75146807 192140534353 577109443 3123 282342507849 225288 158 368 140 +338 -3 +123 +27 +213 71.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chase Utleylast yr '18
AS×6SS×4
career totals — 16 seasons, 7,863 PA
167,863259154275358465+28+10767.860.2
/1626642213+2.4+9.15.7pk7: 53
#2Evan Longorialast yr '23
career totals — 16 seasons, 8,206 PA
168,20634258264333471+29+11061.251.8
/162664285+2.4+8.94.9pk7: 42
#3Scott Rolenlast yr '12
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,507 PA
136,50723476281361488+5+10158.551.3
/162664248+0.6+10.36.0pk7: 44
#4Andruw Joneslast yr '12
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,774 PA
136,77435478253338488-12+11554.651.1
/162664358-1.2+11.35.4pk7: 48
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons
189,39540841274331484+11+16858.351.0
/162664293+0.8+11.94.1pk7: 44
#5Eric Chavezlast yr '14
career totals — 14 seasons, 5,747 PA
145,74724748270344481+0+3641.138.0
/162664296+0.0+4.24.7pk7: 35
#6Kyle Seagerlast yr '21
career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA
116,20424255251321442+22+5535.332.4
/162664266+2.4+5.83.8pk7: 29

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nolan Arenado (OGILVIE) 35 68 60 38 58 249/321/419 170283 195 20% 8% 106 +2.5
Ronny Paulino
2016 · AAA
35 53→63 46→50 46→40 47 264/308/394 130300 144 17% 6% 97 +1.5 246/292/371 125281 158 18% 6% 85 +0.7 239/286/34210326616717%6%75-0.0
Aaron Boone
2008 · MLB
35 52→57 46→60 46→55 51 255/330/388 132289 148 17% 8% 106 +2.2 245/316/387 142290 146 20% 8% 100 +1.7 238/298/37914028214020%7%85+0.3
Charlie Blackmon
2021 · MLB
35 51→57 52→60 44→55 50 259/321/429 170289 196 18% 7% 112 +2.6 239/309/366 127273 125 17% 8% 91 +1.1 232/307/35011926511416%8%83+0.5
Eric Karros
2004 · MLB
36 53→55 49→55 44→40 51 268/324/416 147289 174 14% 7% 110 +2.4 247/305/394 147271 167 16% 8% 97 +1.5 192/243/30811520911514%6%42-0.4
Alex Gonzalez
2012 · MLB
35 48→55 49→55 44→40 43 242/280/395 153275 173 20% 5% 86 +0.8 231/275/367 136269 155 20% 5% 77 +0.1 178/206/233552225022%3%10-0.9
Mike Cervenak
2013 · AAA
36 55→65 47→50 41→40 47 275/320/413 138303 154 15% 6% 108 +2.3 258/298/379 121288 137 15% 5% 89 +1.0 255/286/3489328010413%3%75-0.0
Rondell White
2007 · MLB
35 53→62 48→60 44→40 45 265/306/411 146287 163 14% 5% 102 +1.8 237/289/380 143262 166 16% 6% 86 +0.8 201/261/34214121217015%5%63-0.2
Noe Mata
2009 · AAA
35 57→61 47→50 42→50 42 281/311/412 131316 159 17% 4% 103 +1.9 232/263/336 104284 118 22% 3% 63 -0.9 200/226/272722546524%2%27-1.2
Adonis García
2019 · MLB
34 51→56 48→50 49→50 45 256/300/393 137281 169 16% 5% 94 +1.3 213/271/328 115261 1314 23% 5% 66 -0.6 180/234/2597922391624%4%30-1.4
Jeff Conine
2001 · MLB
35 54→63 50→55 44→50 54 272/332/427 155286 177 12% 8% 116 +2.8 284/346/438 154306 179 13% 8% 125 +3.5 283/346/44115830217912%8%118+2.9
Juan Rivera
2013 · MLB
35 51→61 48→60 39→40 51 254/310/395 141268 165 13% 7% 99 +1.7 248/295/369 121264 136 12% 5% 85 +0.7 252/290/3459326810310%4%72-0.1
Yorvit Torrealba
2013 · MLB
35 52→55 44→50 41→45 49 255/309/374 119294 125 18% 7% 92 +1.2 230/290/329 99264 96 16% 7% 73 -0.1 208/265/244362400012%7%33-1.0
Matt Williams
2001 · MLB
35 52→53 50→60 42→40 48 265/310/422 157280 184 14% 6% 106 +2.2 264/316/447 183286 225 16% 7% 115 +2.8 262/319/45319128323317%7%113+1.2
Chris Widger
2006 · MLB
35 48 47→60 39→40 50 239/296/379 140264 145 16% 7% 89 +1.0 225/296/354 129267 147 20% 9% 82 +0.5 167/252/229622116022%10%31-0.5
Brendan Harris
2015 · MLB
34 46→56 46→50 42→45 52 228/304/356 128267 135 20% 9% 87 +0.8 223/297/329 106269 107 20% 8% 76 +0.1 204/292/270662475018%9%58-0.4
Hernando Arredondo
2013 · AAA
36 50→56 51→50 42→50 41 257/284/414 157284 208 19% 4% 93 +1.3 242/276/384 142279 175 20% 4% 82 +0.5 238/274/36913127416220%4%74-0.0
Hunter Pence
2018 · MLB
35 55→63 51→60 42→50 50 278/337/436 158323 184 20% 8% 120 +3.1 260/312/419 159313 198 22% 7% 106 +2.2 266/313/42716132420923%6%106+1.2
Manny Rodriguez
2016 · AAA
34 52→62 51→55 46→50 42 266/306/425 159284 199 15% 3% 105 +2.1 252/295/394 142277 1615 15% 5% 92 +1.2 234/278/349115261131116%5%73-0.1
Jordy Mercer
2021 · MLB
34 50→59 47→50 48→45 47 250/307/391 141292 144 20% 7% 96 +1.5 244/304/380 136309 147 24% 8% 92 +1.2 254/307/3641103419027%7%87+0.2
Aaron Hill
2017 · MLB
35 49→59 45→60 45→50 53 240/307/357 117265 138 15% 8% 88 +0.9 230/312/367 137265 158 19% 10% 93 +1.3 143/266/27513216811022%12%50-0.3