Jarren DuranLF Boston Red Sox
Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 3.901 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION577 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 82106vR 115
AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125
PA9
HR0
K%22
BB%11
BABIP313
ISO185
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: -18.6 runs (577 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: +0.0 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-19BATRUN so far: +2.2 runs (577 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+2RUNFLD so far: -0.3 runs (577 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: +0.1 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-0FLDPOS so far: -6.2 runs (577 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: -0.1 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-6POSREP so far: +12.5 runs (577 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.2 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+13REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): -1.04so far: -1.1 WAR-1.0WAR
0.01.53.00.02.62.21.626272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr post-control+$16M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
778.1%
xAVG
490.251
POWER50
Barrel%
599.6
Avg EV
7690.9
Bat Spd
8174.6
EYE50
Chase%
9023.4%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%25%26% over 93 PA (30d) · proj 24%
BB%7%6% over 152 PA (45d) · proj 8%
ISO.172.161 over 186 AB (60d) · proj .185xISO .156 vs .176 prior — approach backs the move
HR/BB4.6%·4.9% over 142 BBE (60d) · proj 4.3%barrel% 9.7% vs 9.5% prior
BABIP.308.259 over 135 BIP (60d) · proj .316xBABIP .282 vs .351 prior — approach backs the move
SLASH.250/.307/.422proj .255/.320/.441
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1524 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
461
1063
wRC+
79
136
▶▶R
wOBA
286
369
▶▶R
ISO
109
226
▶▶R
BABIP
310
341
R
K%
25.4%
22.2%
R
BB%
6.3%
8.4%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.901 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.6M
2027Arb-2$10M+2.6$20M+$11M
2028Arb-3$13M+2.2$15M+$5M
Totals $23M $34M +$15M
Options · projected decision
2027CLUB OPT$12.6M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2028CLUB OPT$8.0M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2029CLUB OPT$12.6M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201821 AGreenville Drive 134128 47911 5221 126 367396477872 109438 164 388 149 +8 +0 +3 1.1
201922 AAPortland Sea Dogs 352320 801151 23845 288 250310325635 75335 247 287 80 -8 +2 +8 0.2
201922 A+Salem Red Sox 226199 771334 23443 185 3874585431.000 156480 1910 441 185 +23 +2 +5 3.0
201922 INTLPeoria Javelinas 10190 24521 10200 72 267340400740 133329 2010 329 109 +1 +1 +2 0.4
202023 INTLPuerto Rico 10080 23311 17212 90 287424388812 100373 2117 372 138 +4 +2 +2 0.9
202124 MLBBoston Red Sox 112107 23322 4400 21 215243336580 121318 364 255 58 -6 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.2
202124 AAAWorcester Red Sox 283244 6311216 30668 163 258358516875 258288 2311 382 145 +15 +2 +6 2.4
202225 MLBBoston Red Sox 223204 451433 14634 71 221284363647 142302 286 289 82 -5 +1 -3 +2 +5 -0.1
202225 AAAWorcester Red Sox 307279 7916610 26732 183 283349491840 208352 248 369 136 +13 +2 +7 2.3
202326 MLBBoston Red Sox 362332 983428 24903 242 295347482829 187381 257 363 132 +14 +4 -3 +1 +8 2.5
202326 AAAWorcester Red Sox 5141 8212 10110 20 195353439792 244214 2220 354 125 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202427 MLBBoston Red Sox 735671 191481421 541606 347 285343492835 207345 227 364 133 +29 +4 +8 +3 +16 6.0
202528 MLBBoston Red Sox 696620 159411316 6016912 246 256334442776 185326 249 342 118 +15 +2 -2 -7 +15 2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 21281934 5161403450 15652225 9117 267329452781 185340 257 343 118 +46 +11 -1 -0 +46 10.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201821 A MLEGreenville Drive 134130 39711 3291 126 300321392713 92381 222 309 95 -1 +0 +3 0.2
201922 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs 352329 68841 141035 288 207250264514 58289 294 225 38 -26 +2 +8 -1.6
201922 A+ MLESalem Red Sox 226207 61923 15653 185 295351401752 106410 297 329 109 +2 +2 +5 0.9
202124 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 112107 23322 4400 21 215243336580 121318 364 253 58 -6 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.2
202124 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox 283253 50928 21788 163 198280344624 146247 287 276 73 -9 +2 +6 -0.1
202225 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 223204 441333 14634 71 216279353632 137302 286 284 78 -6 +1 -3 +2 +5 -0.2
202225 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox 307288 691267 17872 183 240287396682 156318 286 295 86 -5 +2 +7 0.4
202326 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 362333 953228 24903 242 285339465804 180381 257 351 124 +10 +4 -3 +1 +8 2.1
202326 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox 5144 6111 7130 20 136255273528 136178 2514 266 66 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 735671 189451622 541606 347 282341495835 213345 227 359 129 +25 +4 +8 +3 +16 5.7
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 696620 158391516 6016912 246 255332444776 189326 249 337 115 +12 +2 -2 -7 +15 2.0
201821 A MLEGreenville Drive 134130 39711 3291 126 300321392713 92380 222 309 95
201821 A RAWGreenville Drive 134128 47911 5221 126 367396477872 109438 164 388 95
201922 AA MLE3 teams 679631 1522075 341988 5315 241288319607 78341 295 266 66
201922 AA RAW3 teams 679609 18129106 561488 5315 297364407771 110382 228 344 66
202023 INTL MLEPuerto Rico 10080 23311 17212 90 287424388812 100373 2117
202023 INTL RAWPuerto Rico 10080 23311 17212 90 287424388812 100373 2117 372 138
202124 AAA MLE2 teams 395360 7412411 251188 184 206272353625 147270 306 270 69
202124 AAA RAW2 teams 395351 8614418 341068 184 245326462787 217297 279 346 69
202225 AAA MLE2 teams 530492 11325910 311506 254 230284378662 148309 286 290 83
202225 AAA RAW2 teams 530483 12430913 401366 254 257321437758 180331 268 335 83
202326 MLB MLE2 teams 413377 10233310 311033 262 271331454784 183346 258 340 116 +8 +4 -3 +1 +9 2.1
202326 MLB RAW2 teams 413373 10636310 341013 262 284348477825 193364 248 362 116 +8 +4 -3 +1 +9 2.1
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 735671 189451622 541606 347 282341495835 213339 227 359 129 +25 +4 +8 +3 +16 5.7
202427 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox 735671 191481421 541606 347 285343492835 207345 227 364 129 +25 +4 +8 +3 +16 5.7
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 696620 158391516 6016912 246 255332444776 189324 249 337 115 +12 +2 -2 -7 +15 2.0
202528 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox 696620 159411316 6016912 246 256334442776 185326 249 342 115 +12 +2 -2 -7 +15 2.0
201821 A MLEGreenville Drive 134129 39711 3291 126 302321395716 93381 222 309 95
201922 AA MLE3 teams 679632 1522075 341988 5315 241288318606 78336 295 266 66
202124 AAA MLE2 teams 395359 7412411 251188 184 206272354626 148267 306 270 69
202225 AAA MLE2 teams 530488 11325910 311506 254 232284381665 150311 286 290 83
202326 MLB MLE2 teams 413376 10233310 311033 262 271331455786 184356 258 340 116
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 735669 189451622 541606 347 283341496837 214345 227 359 129
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 696619 158391516 6016912 246 255332444777 189326 249 337 115
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202326 MLB MLE2 teams 413376 10233310 311033 262 271331455786 184356 258 340 116
202427 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 735669 189451622 541606 347 283341496837 214345 227 359 129
202528 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 696619 158391516 6016912 246 255332444777 189326 249 337 115
YTD29 MLB MLEBOS 577526 10814521 371605 194 205264371635 165247 286 270 69 -22 +2 -0 -6 +13 -1.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR29 MLB RAWBOS 577526 10815420 371605 194 205264363627 158249 286 276 69 -22 +2 -0 -6 +13 -1.4
YTD29 MLB RAWBOS 577526 10815420 371605 194 205264363627 158249 286 276 73 -19 +2 -0 -6 +13 -1.1
ROS29 MLB MLEBOS 100% 98 1000 120 00 125222125347 309 2211 324 106 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
ROS29 MLB CTXBOS 100% 98 1000 120 00 125222125347 313 2211 318 106 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
FULL29 MLB A+CBOS 586534 10915420 381625 194 204263360623 155248 286 277 69 -22 +2 -0 -6 +13 -1.3
TOT29 MLB MLEBOS 586534 10914521 381625 194 204263367630 163246 286 270 69 -22 +2 -0 -6 +13 -1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202730 MLB MLEBOS 100% 660602 158381021 461757 255 262322463786 201333 277 342 118 +14 +3 +2 -7 +14 2.6
202831 MLB MLEBOS 100% 660603 15437920 461776 224 255315446761 191328 277 336 113 +11 +3 +1 -7 +14 2.2
202932 MLB MLEBOS 100% 660603 15136920 461806 184 250310439749 189321 277 328 108 +6 +2 +0 -7 +14 1.6
203033 MLB MLEBOS 100% 584534 13030817 401625 132 243302425727 182315 287 319 102 +1 +2 -1 -6 +13 0.9
203134 MLB MLEBOS 100% 535489 11426714 361525 82 233292401693 168306 287 308 94 -4 +1 -2 -6 +12 0.1
202730 MLB CTXBOS 100% 660602 16041820 461757 255 266325460785 194339 277 336 118 +14 +3 +2 -7 +14 2.6
202831 MLB CTXBOS 100% 660603 15740820 461776 224 260319453772 192333 277 330 113 +11 +3 +1 -7 +14 2.2
202932 MLB CTXBOS 100% 660603 15238819 461806 184 252311436748 184326 277 322 108 +6 +2 +0 -7 +14 1.6
203033 MLB CTXBOS 100% 584534 13132716 401625 132 245304421725 176319 287 313 102 +1 +2 -1 -6 +13 0.9
203134 MLB CTXBOS 100% 535489 11527614 361525 82 235294401695 166310 287 302 94 -4 +1 -2 -6 +12 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 52364773 123231871139 371137054 17734 258319442761 184332 267 330 99 +75 +22 -1 -33 +113 18.0
/ 162G A+C 650593 15239917 461707 224 256317438756 182330 267 330 99 +9 +3 -0 -4 +14 2.2
Career MLE 67906200 155835199168 470179675 28761 251312421733 170326 267 315 99 +75 +22 -1 -33 +113 18.0
/ 162G MLE 650594 14934916 451727 276 251311419730 168325 267 315 99 +9 +3 -0 -4 +14 2.2