Esmerlyn Valdez — OGILVIE

Esmerlyn ValdezOF Indianapolis Indians

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 234 lbs AAA BB +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.6 · 2030

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .286 / .376

PA210

HR8

K%35

BB%8

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗44

PWR

50↗59

SPD

40→40

FLD

40↗44

EYE

53↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$9M	+$9M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.4	$12M	+$11M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.6	$14M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$3M	+1.6	$15M	+$12M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.5	$14M	+$9M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.3	$13M	+$6M
Totals		$17M		$78M	+$61M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	153	134	26	6	0	5	11	54	6	3	1	.194	.285	.351	.636	.157	.276	35	7	.262	59	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	124	106	20	5	0	3	11	36	5	0	1	.189	.295	.321	.616	.132	.246	29	9	.264	60	-6	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	182	167	32	6	1	3	11	71	2	3	2	.192	.250	.293	.543	.102	.305	39	6	.242	43	-12	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	435	373	58	12	1	15	44	193	13	4	1	.155	.267	.314	.581	.158	.253	44	10	.261	58	-21	+0	+0	-3	+12	-1.1
2025	21	A+	3 teams	609	548	125	21	2	25	42	198	13	3	3	.228	.299	.411	.709	.182	.302	33	7	.301	89	-8	-1	+0	-4	+17	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	100	82	18	4	0	4	16	25	1	0	0	.220	.354	.415	.768	.195	.259	25	16	.331	111	+1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.4
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	110	96	20	4	0	4	11	36	2	1	0	.208	.303	.375	.678	.167	.283	33	10	.307	93	-1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.2
TOT	22	MLB	PIT	210	178	38	8	0	8	27	61	3	1	0	.213	.327	.393	.720	.180	.270	29	13	.318	102	+0	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 58%	PIT	543	479	104	19	2	21	50	171	9	4	2	.217	.303	.397	.700	.180	.281	31	9	.308	94	-4	+0	-2	-3	+15	0.7
2028	24	MLB 76%	PIT	580	511	112	20	2	23	54	177	10	5	2	.219	.306	.401	.707	.182	.283	31	9	.315	99	-1	+0	-2	-3	+16	1.1
2029	25	MLB 91%	PIT	602	529	118	21	2	24	58	180	10	6	2	.223	.312	.406	.718	.183	.284	30	10	.320	103	+2	+0	-2	-4	+17	1.4
2030	26	MLB	PIT	613	538	121	22	2	25	60	182	10	6	2	.225	.314	.413	.727	.188	.285	30	10	.322	105	+3	+0	-2	-4	+17	1.6
2031	27	MLB	PIT	616	540	121	22	2	25	61	184	10	6	2	.224	.314	.411	.725	.187	.285	30	10	.322	105	+3	+0	-2	-4	+17	1.6
2032	28	MLB	PIT	612	536	120	21	2	25	61	184	10	5	1	.224	.315	.410	.725	.187	.285	30	10	.321	104	+3	+1	-2	-4	+17	1.5
2033	29	MLB	PIT	603	528	117	21	2	24	60	183	10	5	1	.222	.313	.405	.718	.184	.284	30	10	.319	102	+1	+1	-3	-4	+17	1.3
2034	30	MLB	PIT	593	520	113	20	2	23	59	182	9	4	1	.217	.308	.396	.704	.179	.282	31	10	.316	100	-0	+0	-4	-4	+17	1.0
2035	31	MLB	PIT	580	508	109	20	1	22	58	180	9	2	0	.215	.306	.388	.694	.173	.280	31	10	.312	97	-2	+0	-4	-3	+16	0.7
2036	32	MLB	PIT	562	492	105	19	1	21	56	177	9	1	0	.213	.305	.384	.689	.171	.279	31	10	.307	93	-4	+0	-5	-3	+16	0.3
2037	33	MLB	PIT	532	466	96	17	1	19	53	171	8	1	0	.206	.298	.369	.667	.163	.277	32	10	.301	89	-7	+0	-6	-3	+15	-0.0
2038	34	MLB	PIT	484	426	86	15	1	17	48	160	7	1	0	.202	.293	.362	.655	.160	.275	33	10	.295	84	-9	+0	-6	-3	+14	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8533	7497	1603	291	24	324	808	2719	152	60	21	.214	.303	.389	.692	.175	.284	32	9	.307	93	-68	+4	-40	-51	+242	8.8
/ 162G	—			650	571	122	22	2	25	62	207	12	5	2	.214	.304	.391	.695	.177	.283	32	10	.307	93	-5	+0	-3	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	153	129	32	8	0	5	16	39	6	3	1	.248	.358	.426	.784	.178	.314	25	10	.349	125	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	124	99	23	7	0	3	18	29	5	0	1	.232	.377	.394	.771	.162	.290	23	15	.349	125	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	23	20	5	1	1	0	2	9	1	0	0	.250	.348	.400	.748	.150	.455	39	9	.337	116	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	159	141	43	10	1	4	15	37	1	3	2	.305	.376	.475	.851	.170	.382	23	9	.373	144	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	435	358	81	17	1	22	59	133	13	4	1	.226	.356	.464	.820	.237	.284	31	14	.361	134	+17	+0	—	—	+12	3.0
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	215	181	47	7	1	6	25	53	6	1	2	.260	.368	.409	.777	.149	.328	25	12	.348	124	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	314	277	84	18	1	20	31	77	6	2	0	.303	.385	.592	.977	.289	.356	25	10	.424	183	+29	+0	—	—	+9	3.9
2025	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	80	57	21	3	0	8	19	12	1	0	1	.368	.532	.842	1.375	.474	.325	15	24	.544	275	+16	-0	—	—	+2	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esmerlyn Valdez (OGILVIE)	22	40→44	50→59	40	50	.208/.286/.376	.168	.290	8	2	35%	8%	86	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	40→50	55→60	37→30	35	.218/.261/.399	.181	.292	25	3	35%	5%	81	+0.4	.243/.298/.442	.199	.327	27	2	33%	7%	107	+2.2	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	38→48	57→60	45	44	.208/.292/.405	.196	.269	26	6	32%	8%	95	+1.4	.237/.306/.414	.177	.301	21	9	28%	7%	103	+1.9	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Jamie Romak 2009 · AA	23	38→48	54→55	40→45	41	.204/.277/.384	.180	.285	22	3	36%	8%	83	+0.6	.202/.263/.342	.140	.274	17	3	31%	6%	66	-0.6	.206/.262/.386	.180	.274	22	5	33%	6%	74	-0.0
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	42→40	53→55	44→45	48	.217/.302/.388	.171	.294	21	6	32%	10%	95	+1.4	.213/.290/.367	.154	.295	19	6	32%	9%	84	+0.6	.206/.283/.354	.148	.282	18	4	32%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Michael Chavis 2018 · AA	22	38→47	52→60	46→45	36	.207/.252/.373	.165	.272	21	4	32%	4%	69	-0.4	.235/.290/.418	.183	.313	24	5	32%	6%	97	+1.5	.239/.300/.427	.188	.323	26	5	33%	7%	99	+0.7
✕Elehuris Montero 2022 · AAA	23	40→50	54→60	45→30	41	.215/.273/.385	.170	.274	23	3	31%	7%	82	+0.5	.230/.290/.405	.175	.298	22	3	30%	6%	94	+1.3	.225/.286/.390	.165	.295	21	2	30%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Heriberto Hernández 2022 · A	22	45	50→55	45	41	.217/.295/.373	.156	.333	18	7	38%	8%	88	+0.9	.205/.283/.367	.162	.312	20	6	38%	9%	82	+0.5	.213/.297/.387	.174	.298	22	7	34%	10%	90	+0.8
●Spencer Torkelson 2023 · MLB	23	41→44	52→60	42→40	50	.214/.298/.382	.168	.263	20	4	27%	10%	92	+1.2	.223/.304/.410	.187	.275	23	3	27%	10%	102	+1.8	.224/.310/.421	.197	.273	25	2	27%	10%	103	+2.1
✕Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	41→45	52→55	46→45	48	.212/.303/.381	.169	.284	20	5	32%	10%	94	+1.3	.217/.292/.385	.168	.281	20	3	29%	8%	89	+1.0	.222/.297/.399	.177	.273	22	1	27%	8%	93	+1.0
✕Chris Gittens 2017 · A	23	41→45	53→55	44→30	40	.217/.282/.386	.169	.301	22	5	35%	7%	85	+0.7	.210/.285/.367	.157	.319	20	3	38%	9%	82	+0.5	.210/.302/.377	.167	.307	24	0	37%	11%	89	+0.5
●Michael Choice 2012 · A	22	45→52	52→55	45→40	42	.228/.293/.393	.165	.309	20	8	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.231/.294/.361	.130	.308	15	5	29%	7%	84	+0.6	.224/.275/.388	.164	.306	22	4	33%	5%	82	+0.2
✕Kala Ka'aihue 2009 · AA	24	43→46	53→55	40→30	47	.219/.305/.392	.172	.309	21	3	34%	10%	97	+1.5	.187/.280/.323	.136	.276	15	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	.116/.217/.222	.106	.170	13	2	39%	10%	15	-2.1
●Renato Núñez 2016 · AA	22	41→51	51→60	46→30	38	.217/.257/.371	.153	.265	20	3	27%	4%	71	-0.3	.208/.255/.372	.164	.256	22	3	28%	5%	70	-0.3	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Jerry Sands 2010 · A	22	41→46	55→60	50→45	45	.221/.289/.402	.182	.275	23	5	29%	8%	93	+1.3	.233/.298/.427	.194	.284	25	7	27%	8%	103	+1.9	.226/.293/.412	.186	.274	25	6	27%	8%	97	+1.5
●Travis Ishikawa 2006 · A	22	45→49	53→55	41→45	45	.227/.302/.406	.179	.316	20	4	33%	9%	99	+1.7	.218/.281/.379	.161	.305	18	3	33%	7%	82	+0.5	.255/.318/.419	.165	.306	19	6	22%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2019 · AA	23	43→45	51→50	45→50	47	.219/.296/.381	.161	.294	20	5	31%	9%	90	+1.0	.210/.279/.350	.140	.267	15	7	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.193/.292/.339	.145	.253	18	12	29%	11%	76	+0.0
●Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	43→46	54→60	44→30	40	.225/.279/.406	.181	.298	21	4	32%	6%	89	+1.0	.233/.298/.402	.169	.294	21	2	27%	7%	96	+1.5	.231/.298/.387	.156	.283	20	1	25%	8%	91	+1.0
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	42→50	52→55	46→55	49	.217/.305/.388	.170	.285	20	9	30%	10%	96	+1.5	.210/.290/.346	.136	.279	14	9	28%	10%	79	+0.3	.223/.297/.332	.109	.287	9	13	24%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Kyle Parker 2013 · A	23	46→51	53→55	45	44	.236/.304/.404	.168	.312	22	3	31%	8%	99	+1.7	.235/.283/.378	.143	.306	17	5	28%	6%	83	+0.6	.226/.265/.349	.123	.300	14	5	29%	4%	64	-0.6
●Davis Schneider 2022 · A	23	45→44	52→55	45→50	42	.212/.294/.375	.164	.352	20	6	42%	10%	88	+0.9	.215/.305/.396	.181	.297	21	11	33%	11%	98	+1.6	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)